2025 年 11 月 19 日 星期三 ➢ 每日大市点评 1 2025 年 11 月 19 日 星期三 11 月 17 日，美国减息预期降温，拖累科技股，周二亚太区主要股市普遍下跌。港股上午走势反复，但下午跌幅扩大。 恒生指数最终跌穿 26,000 点心里关口，收报 25,930 点，下跌 454 点（1.7%），跌穿 50 天平均线；恒生科技指数下跌 111 点（1.9%），收报 5,645 点；全天大市成交额扩大至 2,421 亿元。港股通净流入进一步减少至 74.7 亿元。盘面上， 小鹏汽车（9868 HK）虽然三季度亏损持续受窄，但四季度收入指引低于市场预期，并且被券商下调目标价，小鹏汽车全 天下挫 10.5%。科技股全面受压，阿里巴巴（9988 HK）受益于千问 APP 上线受到追捧，上午股价逆市造好，但下午跟随 大盘转跌，收盘跌 0.2%；腾讯（700 HK）跌 2.0%；快手（1024 HK）跌 3.2%；铝制品企业中国宏桥（1378 HK）以折让 9.6%配售最多 4 亿股，全天股价下跌 5.9%；小米集团（1810 HK）业绩公布前全天下滑 2.8%。关注恒生指数在本周能否 修复至 26, ...

Market Overview - On November 17, the Hang Seng Index fell by 188 points (0.7%) to close at 26,384 points, with a maximum drop of 320 points during the day[1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index decreased by 55 points (0.96%), closing at 5,756 points, with total market turnover of HKD 217.6 billion[1] - Net inflow from the Hong Kong Stock Connect dropped to HKD 8.45 billion[1] Sector Performance - Lithium carbonate futures rose over 4%, boosting Hong Kong lithium mining stocks, with Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK) and Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK) increasing by 5%-9%[1] - Commodity stocks declined, with Zijin Mining (2899 HK) down 2.7%, Shandong Gold (1787 HK) down 3.1%, and Zhaojin Mining (1818 HK) down 2.8%[1] U.S. Market Insights - The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December fell to 42.9%, down from approximately 50% the previous week[2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 557 points (1.2%) to 46,590 points, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 indices fell by 192 points (0.8%) and 61 points, respectively[2] - Gold prices decreased by up to 1.8%, reaching USD 4,007 per ounce, and Bitcoin fell below USD 92,000[2] Macroeconomic Data - Fixed asset investment in China (excluding rural households) declined by 1.7% year-on-year in the first ten months of 2025, while automotive investment surged by 17.5%[3] - In the same period, 27.33 million vehicles were produced, marking an 11% year-on-year increase, with new energy vehicles accounting for 12.67 million units produced, up 28%[3] Automotive Industry Highlights - Geely Automobile (175 HK) reported a 27% year-on-year revenue increase in Q3, with net profit reaching HKD 3.82 billion, up 26.5% year-on-year[4] - The company achieved a 43% increase in sales volume, completing 82.6% of its annual target of 3 million units[4] Pharmaceutical Sector Update - The Hang Seng Healthcare Index fell by 1.8%, despite stable operational performance in the pharmaceutical sector[5] - Tianyan Pharmaceutical (ADAG US) entered a licensing agreement with Third Arc Bio, receiving an upfront payment of USD 5 million and potential milestone payments of up to USD 840 million[5] New Energy and Utilities - The new energy and utilities sectors in Hong Kong experienced declines, with stocks like Xinyi Solar (968 HK) and GCL-Poly Energy (3800 HK) dropping by 1.6%-3.1%[6]