Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a pervasive sense of "economic stagnation" among many American households due to high borrowing costs, decreasing job opportunities, and increasing economic and political uncertainty [1] Economic Conditions - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut may have boosted the stock market, but economists believe it will have little impact on ordinary Americans, who continue to face significant challenges [1] - Economic uncertainty, rising tariffs, inflation, and recession risks are contributing to a sense of helplessness among American consumers [1] Employment Trends - Monthly home sales in the U.S. have hit a low point, and job recruitment activities have significantly stalled, with only one-third of the new jobs added in the past three months compared to last summer [1] - Census data indicates a decline in the frequency of Americans moving to new homes or cities [1] Public Sentiment - A joint poll by The Washington Post and Ipsos reveals that 63% of surveyed Americans believe it is a bad time to find a job [1] - Concerns about increased tariffs and tightened immigration policies potentially reigniting inflation and creating further economic uncertainty are prevalent among the public [1]

日本上半年出生人数刷新了1969年有可比数据以来的最低纪录。如果按照这样的速度持续下去，全年出 生人数也极有可能创出历史新低。上半年的结婚数量为23.8561万对，同比减少4.0％，两年来首次转为 下降…… 日本厚生劳动省8月29日发布的1～6月人口动态统计（包含外国人的快报值）显示，出生人 数为33.928万人，较上年同期减少3.1％。虽然新冠疫情后曾超过5％的下滑速度有所放缓， 但仍很难认为少子化趋势得到遏制。2025年4月，申请后仍无法进入保育所等机构的待入园 儿童数量连续7年刷新历史最低值，原因之一是少子化导致的入园需求减少。 上半年出生人数刷新了1969年有可比数据以来的最低纪录。如果按照这样的速度持续下去， 全年出生人数也极有可能创出历史新低。 上半年的死亡人数为83.6818万人，同比增加3.1％。出生人数减去死亡人数后得出的自然增 减人数为负49.7538万人。日本已连续21年出现人口自然减少。结婚数量为23.8561万对， 同比减少4.0％，两年来首次转为下降。 从不同地区来看，所有都道府县均出现人口自然减少。 日本政府根据2023年底制定的《儿童未来战略》，大力推进了扩充儿童津贴等"异次元 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Korea Development Institute (KDI) maintains its economic growth forecast for South Korea at 0.8% for this year, despite the last-minute trade agreement with the U.S. that mitigated the impact of punitive tariff increases [1] Economic Growth Forecast - KDI's forecast for South Korea's economic growth remains unchanged at 0.8% for this year, consistent with its May prediction [1] - The positive impact of government stimulus plans on consumer confidence is being offset by declining construction investment and ongoing weak exports due to U.S. tariff increases [1] Trade Agreement Impact - The recent trade agreement reduced the proposed U.S. tariff cap on South Korean exports from 25% to 15%, helping South Korea avoid more severe economic repercussions [1] - However, the new terms are less favorable than the Korea-U.S. Free Trade Agreement, and KDI warns that current tariff levels and uncertainties remain high compared to previous years [1] Export Growth Outlook - KDI projects only moderate growth in goods exports over the next two years, as the negative effects of tariff increases are expected to become apparent starting in the second half of this year [1]

Group 1 - The core concept of "Dual New Economics" is the division of economic development into "new stock economics" and "new increment economics," which are interrelated and provide new insights for China's economic transformation [2][3] - The theory emphasizes the dialectical relationship between new stock and new increment, where new stock serves as the foundation for new increment, and new increment guides the development of new stock [3][10] - The theory also highlights the importance of industrial integration, regional collaborative development, and the incorporation of cultural factors into economic growth [3][4] Group 2 - The "Fifty-Six Think Tank" was established based on the principles of Dual New Economics, focusing on sustainable urban development and city cluster research [4] - The think tank employs a problem-oriented research approach, a systematic analysis framework, and interdisciplinary methods to address urban development issues [4] - The research outcomes aim to provide policy applications and scientific recommendations for government decision-making [4] Group 3 - New stock economics focuses on transforming traditional industries through content innovation, flow reconstruction, and structural optimization to create new value [5][6] - New increment economics emphasizes the role of digital technology, innovation ecosystems, and data value extraction in driving economic growth [9] - The integration of new stock and new increment is essential for fostering innovation and enhancing competitiveness in various industries [10] Group 4 - The "7+3" cross-regional cooperation model proposed by the Fifty-Six Think Tank aims to promote coordinated regional development and optimize resource allocation [14][15] - This model recognizes the non-uniform development of regions and seeks to leverage complementary advantages for overall efficiency [14] - Successful case studies, such as the collaboration between Yunnan and Guangdong, demonstrate the practical application of this model [18] Group 5 - The "56+N" cross-national cultural cooperation model emphasizes cultural diversity and economic integration, promoting international cultural exchange and cooperation [20][21] - This model aims to enhance cultural confidence and recognition through collaborative cultural initiatives and the development of international cultural tourism standards [21][22] - Practical applications of this model include the establishment of cultural IPs and cross-border tourism routes to foster global cultural connections [22][24] Group 6 - The evaluation system for high-quality urban cluster development is based on innovation, coordination, green development, openness, and sharing [25][26] - Key indicators include economic growth rates, innovation-driven metrics, and measures of social equity and environmental sustainability [26][27][28] - The focus is on creating a comprehensive framework that assesses urban cluster performance across multiple dimensions [25] Group 7 - The paths for urban cluster innovation development involve building shared innovation platforms, leveraging digital technologies, and facilitating talent mobility across regions [29][30] - The integration of traditional industries with emerging sectors is crucial for fostering new business models and enhancing economic resilience [31] - Collaborative governance mechanisms and digital governance capabilities are essential for modernizing urban cluster management [37]

Core Viewpoint - The IMK research institute indicates that the proposed 30% tariff by the U.S. on EU imports will negatively impact Germany's economic growth by approximately 0.25 percentage points over the next two years [1] Economic Impact - Germany's economic growth rate is projected to be zero for this year and 1.2% for the next year due to the tariffs [1] - Prior forecasts by IMK suggested that Germany's economy would begin to recover in the fourth quarter, with an average growth rate of 0.2% by 2025 and a 1.5% growth next year driven by public investment and defense spending plans [1] Recommendations - IMK emphasizes that the rapid implementation of planned public investment initiatives could significantly mitigate economic risks for Germany [1] - The institute also notes that the economic loss for the U.S. will be greater than that for Germany, highlighting the importance of the U.S. as a key export market for Germany, accounting for nearly 10% of its exports [1]

Group 1 - The Korea Development Institute (KDI) has significantly lowered its economic growth forecast for South Korea in 2025 to 0.8%, marking the first prediction of growth below 1% since 1990, raising concerns of an "economic recession" [1] - KDI predicts that South Korea's GDP growth rate for the first half of this year will be only 0.3%, with a recovery to 1.3% in the second half, resulting in an annual growth rate of 0.8%, down from a previous forecast of 1.6% made just three months ago [1] - The main factors dragging down South Korea's economy include deteriorating external conditions and persistently weak domestic demand, influenced by rising trade protectionism in the US and Europe, weak global demand, a sluggish real estate market, high interest rates, and low consumer confidence [1] Group 2 - In response to the economic situation, presidential candidates in South Korea are focusing on "economic livelihood" in their campaigns, with the Democratic Party candidate Lee Jae-myung advocating for a fair market order to support small and medium enterprises [2] - The People Power Party candidate Kim Moon-soo emphasizes activating market vitality through an "economic freedom development model," promising to implement measures such as deregulation, tax cuts, and subsidies to enhance the business environment and encourage innovation [2]