10月21日，记者从省统计局获悉，今年以来，全省经济运行呈现平稳向好、趋新向优、韧性增强的良好态 势，主要指标增速持续高于全国。前三季度全省实现地区生产总值48867.57亿元，同比增长5.6%，高于全国 0.4个百分点。 分产业看，第一产业增加值4007.37亿元，同比增长3.1%，比上半年加快0.4个百分点；第二产业增加值 18659.76亿元，同比增长5.7%，高于全国0.8个百分点；第三产业增加值26200.44亿元，同比增长5.9%，高于 全国0.5个百分点。 生产供给稳定增长。农业生产稳中有升。前三季度，全省农林牧渔业总产值同比增长3.6%，比上半年加快0.4 个百分点。主要经济作物生产稳定向好。前三季度，全省蔬菜及食用菌产量6134.50万吨、同比增长2.8%，比 上半年加快0.1个百分点；特色经济作物较快发展，中药材产量43.52万吨、同比增长4.0%，比上半年加快1.6 个百分点。工业生产平稳较快增长。前三季度，全省规模以上工业增加值同比增长8.4%，高于全国2.2个百分 点，增速与上半年持平，高于上年同期0.7个百分点。全省汽车及零部件产业、装备产业增加值同比分别增长 20.0%、14.3 ...

Economic Overview - The province's economy continued to show a stable and positive development trend in April, with industrial growth remaining robust and investment and consumption growth accelerating, with key indicators surpassing the national average [4] Industrial Growth - In April, the province's industrial added value above designated size increased by 8.0% year-on-year, exceeding the national average by 1.9 percentage points [1] - The automotive and parts industry and the electronic information industry saw year-on-year added value growth of 17.3% and 13.0%, contributing 10.7% and 9.9% to the province's industrial growth, respectively [1] - The electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing industry experienced a year-on-year added value growth of 23.0%, accelerating by 0.7 percentage points compared to March, outpacing the province's industrial growth by 15 percentage points [1] - From January to April, the province's industrial added value increased by 8.6% year-on-year, higher than the national average by 2.2 percentage points [1] Investment Trends - From January to April, fixed asset investment in the province grew by 6.4% year-on-year, accelerating by 1 percentage point compared to the first quarter and surpassing the national average by 2.4 percentage points [2] - Investment in projects above 100 million yuan increased by 10.6% year-on-year, contributing 6.7 percentage points to the overall investment growth [2] - Industrial investment surged by 26.6% year-on-year, accelerating by 4.7 percentage points compared to the first quarter, significantly exceeding the national average by 14.9 percentage points [2] - Equipment and tool purchase investment rose by 54.2% year-on-year, accelerating by 7.9 percentage points compared to the first quarter [2] - Private investment increased by 9.7% year-on-year, slightly accelerating compared to the first quarter and surpassing the national average [2] Consumption Growth - In April, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 206.739 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.1%, accelerating by 0.7 percentage points compared to March and exceeding the national average by 3 percentage points [3] - The retail sales of computers and related products, wearable smart devices, household appliances, and audio-visual equipment saw significant year-on-year growth of 140.4%, 110.0%, 42.6%, respectively, contributing 3.1 percentage points to the overall retail sales growth [3] - From January to April, the total retail sales of consumer goods amounted to 946.793 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.2%, slightly accelerating compared to the first quarter and exceeding the national average by 2.5 percentage points [3] Emerging Industries - In April, the added value of high-tech manufacturing above designated size increased by 13.5% year-on-year, with the new energy vehicle industry and the next-generation information technology industry growing by 14.5% and 11.5%, respectively, outpacing the overall industrial growth rate [3] - High-tech manufacturing investment from January to April grew by 24.6% year-on-year, accelerating by 7.9 percentage points compared to the first quarter [3] - The proportion of new energy power generation in the total industrial power generation reached 23.5%, increasing by 1.7 percentage points compared to the first quarter and 6.1 percentage points compared to the full year of 2024 [3]

Group 1 - The core challenges facing the economy include the restructuring of global trade, deep adjustments in the real estate market, and long-term pressure from insufficient domestic demand [1] - 68% of economists predict that the GDP growth rate in Q1 2025 will be between 5.0% and 5.2%, while 24% expect it to be between 4.7% and 4.9% [3][4] - The stability of wage and property income is crucial for residents' spending willingness, with income being the primary influencing factor for consumption at 81% [1][6] Group 2 - Economists emphasize the need for macroeconomic policies to balance "stabilizing growth" and "preventing risks," with a stronger focus on growth while also addressing risk prevention [1][14] - The impact of U.S. tariffs is expected to create significant challenges for labor-intensive industries and consumer electronics, necessitating policy adjustments [12][13] - The survey indicates that 72% of economists believe China may initiate cuts in reserve requirements and interest rates in April to counteract the effects of U.S. tariffs [13] Group 3 - The current economic environment necessitates a focus on stabilizing employment, with 48% of economists identifying stimulating market vitality as a key strategy [10] - The need for increased fiscal support in areas such as consumption, livelihood, and broad infrastructure is highlighted as essential for achieving the 5% growth target [14] - The anticipated expansionary fiscal policy for 2025 is projected to reach 8 trillion yuan, reflecting the need to address external influences and employment pressures [13]