熔盐储能
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分化明显,博弈加剧,持仓还是持币?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-24 06:07
Market Overview - The market showed increased volatility with a notable divergence between bulls and bears, experiencing a rise followed by a pullback and then another surge. By midday, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.63%, the Shenzhen Component increased by 1.11%, and the ChiNext Index climbed by 1.76%. Over 4,000 stocks in the two markets saw gains, with a total trading volume of 1.41 trillion yuan [1]. Chip Industry - The chip industry chain experienced a significant rally, surging by 7.02% by midday. More than 20 stocks, including ShenGong Co., Jingyi Equipment, and Jiangfeng Electronics, hit the daily limit. Notably, Zhangjiang Hi-Tech achieved a consecutive two-day limit increase, while Huasoft Technology and Xiangrikui both saw four consecutive limit increases, and Changchuan Technology and Shengmei Shanghai reached historical highs [3]. Real Estate Sector - The real estate sector showed signs of strength, with stocks like Dalong Real Estate achieving three limit increases in four days [3]. Robotics Sector - The robotics concept stocks were partially active, with Haoneng Co. hitting the daily limit [3]. Tourism Sector - The tourism sector faced a downturn, with stocks collectively dropping by 1.4% by midday. Companies such as Yunnan Tourism and Xiyu Tourism hit the daily limit down [3]. Other Industries - Several industries, including coal, wheel motors, precious metals, electric motors, synchronous reluctance motors, molten salt energy storage, and pumped storage, experienced slight declines [3]. Box Office Performance - According to data from Maoyan Professional Edition, as of September 23, 17:08, the pre-sale box office for new films during the 2025 National Day holiday has exceeded 5 million yuan [3]. Economic Outlook - Goldman Sachs indicated that as economic and market performance declines, high valuations are no longer justified, predicting further depreciation of the US dollar in the coming months [3]. Semiconductor Pricing - Samsung has significantly increased prices for its DRAM and NAND flash products, with some products seeing price hikes of up to 30% [3].
方正证券:光热发电/熔盐储能的未来市场空间广阔 度电成本有望进一步向市场化电价靠拢
智通财经网· 2025-08-18 02:21
Core Viewpoint - Tower molten salt energy storage solar thermal power generation has become the most mainstream solar thermal power technology due to its high system efficiency and significant cost reduction potential [1][2] Group 1: Technology Overview - Solar thermal power plants generally consist of a collection system, a heat storage and exchange system, and a heat-power-electricity conversion system [2] - The main structure types of the collection system include tower, trough, linear Fresnel, and dish systems, with the tower structure offering a high concentration ratio and greater cost reduction potential [2] Group 2: Market Development - The transition from demonstration projects to marketization is expected to drive continuous cost reductions in solar thermal power generation [3] - In 2016, China initiated solar thermal power demonstration projects with a fixed electricity price policy of 1.15 yuan/kWh, leading to the construction of seven operational projects [3] - After 2021, central government subsidies for new energy generation were discontinued, promoting a multi-energy complementary model of "solar thermal + photovoltaic/wind power" [3] Group 3: Future Market Potential - The domestic market has over 8 GW of solar thermal projects under construction or planned by the end of 2024, with a conservative estimate of 3 GW/year installation during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, leading to a cumulative investment of 210 billion yuan [4] - Internationally, regions like North Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, and Australia have abundant solar resources, with many domestic companies already involved in overseas solar thermal power station projects [4] Group 4: Cost Trends - The cost per kilowatt-hour (kWh) is expected to continue decreasing due to technological advancements and economies of scale, potentially reaching 0.43 yuan/kWh by 2030 [5] - Current estimates suggest that the cost of electricity from tower solar thermal power plants could drop to between 0.5287 and 0.5312 yuan/kWh by 2026 [5] - One case from the first batch of demonstration projects has already achieved a cost of approximately 0.31 yuan/kWh, indicating significant cost reduction potential [5]