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美国在重构财政收入?
Hu Xiu· 2025-08-03 05:55
Group 1 - The core issue for a regime is fundamentally about "where the money comes from and where it intends to spend" [1] - The main sources of revenue for the U.S. federal government include individual income tax, payroll taxes, and corporate income tax [2][6][8] - Individual income tax accounts for approximately 45% of federal revenue and has remained stable since the 1980s [2] - Payroll taxes, which support social security and Medicare, contribute about 35% to federal revenue [6] - Corporate income tax is the third largest source, making up around 10% of federal revenue [8] Group 2 - Tariff revenue has surged since the implementation of "reciprocal tariffs," reaching $26.6 billion in June, four times the average level of previous years [13] - As of June 30, tariff revenues from reciprocal tariffs (10%) and auto tariffs (25%) generated over $17.7 billion and $10.7 billion, respectively [14] - The average effective tariff rate in the U.S. reached 20.6%, the highest since 1910 [15] - Monthly tariff revenue could potentially rise to between $30 billion and $40 billion with the full implementation of higher tariffs [16] - Tariff revenue may approach $400 billion annually, nearing the total amount of corporate income tax [17] Group 3 - Trump's tax structure is unique, as it relies more on tariffs compared to traditional models where developed countries typically do not emphasize tariff revenue [20][21] - The World Bank data shows that as of 2023, tariffs account for 2.8% of U.S. tax revenue, compared to lower percentages in other developed countries [21] - The article suggests that tariff revenue could reach 6.8% of total tax revenue, with a possibility of being in the 8% to 10% range based on current trends [23] Group 4 - If tariffs become a stable source of revenue, it may be difficult for future administrations to reduce or eliminate them, as they could become entrenched in the fiscal structure [25][26] - The political implications of removing tariffs could lead to significant backlash from industries that benefit from them, making it a contentious issue in future elections [28][29] Group 5 - The article discusses the winners and losers of Trump's tariff policies, noting that few countries outside the U.S. have benefited from the tariff situation [35] - Countries like Vietnam and Taiwan are particularly affected, with Vietnam facing a significant reduction in its export competitiveness due to high tariffs [41][42] - Japan and South Korea are also deeply impacted, with Japan seeking to reduce its reliance on the U.S. market as a response to tariff pressures [44][46]