Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for VSTECS (00856 HK) with a target price of HK$14.00, revised from the previous target price of HK$8.18 [1]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated strong performance in the first half of 2025, with earnings per share exceeding expectations by 3.7%. Revenue growth was particularly robust in the cloud computing segment, which saw a year-on-year increase of 67.9%, surpassing expectations by 8.2% [5]. - The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 has been revised upwards to HK$14.03 billion (+16.0%), HK$16.28 billion (+19.2%), and HK$20.36 billion, respectively. The current target price corresponds to a price-to-book ratio of 2.0 times and a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.9 times for 2025 [5][6]. - The company has secured several significant projects in the cloud computing space and maintains strong relationships with domestic chip design companies, positioning it well for future growth [5]. Financial Performance Summary - For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2023, VSTECS reported total revenue of HK$73.891 billion and a net profit of HK$922 million, with an earnings per share (EPS) of HK$0.656 [4]. - The projected revenue for 2025 is HK$103.922 billion, with a net profit forecast of HK$1.403 billion and an EPS of HK$1.009, reflecting a growth of 33.3% in EPS compared to 2024 [4][7]. - The company’s cloud computing revenue for the first half of 2025 was HK$2.620 billion, marking a significant increase of 67.9% year-on-year [6]. Segment Performance - The cloud computing segment is expected to grow significantly, with projected revenues of HK$5.477 billion in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 39.2% [9]. - The Southeast Asia expansion has also been fruitful, with revenues reaching HK$16.735 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.5%, driven by strong growth in markets like Thailand and the Philippines [5][6]. Valuation Metrics - The report indicates that VSTECS is currently trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.2 for 2024 and is expected to decrease to 11.4 by 2025, suggesting an attractive valuation relative to its growth prospects [10]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 11.6% in 2023 to 17.7% by 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [14].

Group 1: Company Overview - Company is a leading technology product solutions and IT service platform in the Asia-Pacific region, positioned as an IT distributor connecting upstream brand manufacturers with downstream channel partners [1] - The company has established deep partnerships with over 300 Fortune 500 brands and covers more than 50,000 sales channels, showcasing its significant competitive advantage [1] Group 2: Market Growth and Opportunities - The Southeast Asian market is experiencing explosive growth driven by increasing digital demand, cloud service expansion, and AI technologies, with the company actively expanding its distribution channels in eight Southeast Asian countries [2] - The company's revenue and profit from Southeast Asia have reached new highs over the past six years, with profits exceeding 500 million HKD and a continuous increase in revenue contribution from this region [2] Group 3: Financial Performance and Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 99.65 billion HKD, 111.09 billion HKD, and 122.96 billion HKD in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected to reach 1.16 billion HKD, 1.3 billion HKD, and 1.5 billion HKD in the same years [3] - The target price is set at 9.16 HKD, representing a potential upside of 46.6% from the current price, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 11.4x and 10.1x for 2025 and 2026 [3] Group 4: Competitive Positioning - The company has established deep collaborations with leading cloud service providers such as Alibaba Cloud, Huawei Cloud, and AWS, positioning itself to benefit from the rapid growth of the cloud computing industry [2] - Despite being smaller in overall revenue compared to peers like Digital China, the company has surpassed them in net profit, indicating strong profitability [2]