Core Viewpoint - The equity market continues to show a rebound trend from the "9.24" rally, while the fixed income market experiences fluctuations in a historically low-risk interest rate environment. Overall, various fund indices have yielded positive results in the first half of 2025 [1]. Equity Market - In the second half of 2025, the equity market is expected to face downward pressure but is supported by a stable economic fundamental. The introduction of further reforms in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board by the CSRC in June is anticipated to maintain market activity, although external complexities and domestic demand pressures may lead to a primarily fluctuating stock market with an upward central tendency [5]. - Key sectors to focus on include dividends, pharmaceuticals, military industry, and AI applications [5]. Fund Manager Insights - Fund Manager Yang Jiannan highlights the promising outlook for the pharmaceutical sector driven by innovative drugs, with domestic companies increasingly entering global markets through licensing agreements [6]. - Fund Manager Chen Bo emphasizes the rapid development of new productive forces, including AI and high-end manufacturing, and the rising penetration of spiritual consumption products [7]. - Fund Manager Lu Yang notes that large-cap indices have rebounded to median valuations, and investment strategies will focus on bottom-up stock selection based on industry competition and company performance [8]. Fixed Income Market - The fixed income market is characterized by a pragmatic approach, with limited expectations for significant interest rate cuts in the second half of the year. The central bank is expected to prioritize the stability of the banking system's liabilities and optimize policies based on macro-prudential principles [9]. - The market is likely to see a focus on short-term rates and credit products, with convertible bonds standing out due to their dual advantages in a resilient stock market [9]. Fund Manager Insights - Fund Manager Cai Weifeng reports a mixed strategy in the bond market, achieving moderate net value growth despite a challenging environment [10]. - Fund Manager Chen Fangfei observes that the bond market experienced fluctuations, with the central bank's actions providing some support, while maintaining a high duration strategy [12]. - Fund Manager Xu Jia notes that external risks have influenced bond market trends, with a focus on internal economic conditions as the market stabilizes [14].

2025年一季度，全球资本市场在复杂的内外部环境中波动加剧。国内方面，债券市场受流动性充裕和避险情绪推动，收益率中枢下移；权益市场则呈现结 构性分化，科技、消费板块震荡加剧。在此背景下，众多投资者将目光投向以债券资产打底、权益增强收益的固收+产品，这类产品既能在债市波动中力 争票息收益，又能通过适度权益仓位捕捉股市结构性机会。尤其在2025年一季度，沪深300指数年化波动率达11%的背景下，以偏债混合型基金为代表的 固收+产品凭借股债动态平衡机制， 平均回撤仅为1.38%，展现出较强的抗风险能力。 （数据来源：Wind，截至2025.3.31） 02.上银丰益混合A：灵活制胜的长跑选手 注：以上上银丰益混合A收益率、业绩比较基准收益率来源于定期报告，沪深300收益率来源于Wind，截至2025.3.31。 注：以上上银丰瑞一年持有期混合发起式A收益率、业绩比较基准收益率来源于定期报告，截至2025.3.31。国泰海通证券（原海通证券）同类型分类：混 合型-主动混合开放型-偏债混合型。 自2023年12月成立至2025年3月末，该产品A类份额累计收益率达 15.70%，为同期业绩比较基准的 2.5倍，近一年超额 ...