1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - From February 24 to February 27, 2026, all major equity market indices rose, with the CSI 500 having the largest increase of 4.32%. Among the 31 Shenwan primary industries, 25 industries rose, with the top five gainers being steel, non-ferrous metals, chemicals, environmental protection, and coal; the top five decliners were media, commercial trade, food and beverages, non-bank finance, and banks [1][12]. - The CSRC issued the "Administrative Measures for the Supervision of Information Disclosure of Private Investment Funds", which takes effect on September 1, 2026. The Shanghai Stock Exchange and China Securities Index Co., Ltd. announced the adjustment of constituent stocks of key indices such as the STAR 50, to be implemented after the close on March 13, 2026 [2][31][33]. - In terms of fund performance, quantitative funds had the largest increase, with an average increase of 2.22% and a positive return ratio of 92.26%. Fixed - income + funds rose 0.30% on average, with a positive return ratio of 73.12%. Pure - bond funds rose 0.01% on average, with a positive return ratio of 60.51%. Pension target FOFs rose 0.93% on average, with a positive return ratio of 99.50%. QDII funds fell 0.11% on average, with a positive return ratio of 58.16% [2][34]. - The top three sectors with the largest increase in positions of active equity funds last week were media, commerce and retail, and real estate; the top three sectors with the largest decrease in positions were electronics, non - ferrous metals, and pharmaceutical biology. As of February 27, 2026, the overall position of active equity funds was 77.23%, an increase of 0.81 pct from the previous period [2][40][42]. - Last week, the overall ETF market had a net capital outflow of 22.828 billion yuan. Stock - type ETFs had a relatively large net outflow of 36.286 billion yuan. The daily average trading volume of the overall ETF market reached 476.804 billion yuan, the daily average trading volume reached 168.72 billion shares, and the daily average turnover rate was 7.40%. The Hang Seng Technology, power grid equipment, securities, and Internet sectors had net capital inflows, with the Hang Seng Technology having a capital inflow close to 10 billion yuan. Broad - based indices such as the CSI 1000, CSI A500, CSI Small Cap 500, CSI 300, and SSE STAR 50 were the main varieties with capital outflows [3][46][49]. - Last week, 36 new funds were issued, an increase of 28 from the previous period; 5 new funds were established, a decrease of 59 from the previous period. New funds raised a total of 1.451 billion yuan, a decrease of 56.879 billion yuan from the previous period [4][54][59]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Review 3.1.1 Domestic Market Situation - From February 24 to February 27, 2026, all major equity market indices rose, with the CSI 500 rising 4.32%. Among the 31 Shenwan primary industries, 25 industries rose, and 6 industries fell. The top five gainers were steel, non - ferrous metals, chemicals, environmental protection, and coal; the top five decliners were media, commercial trade, food and beverages, non - bank finance, and banks. In the bond market, the ChinaBond Composite Full - Price Index fell 0.14%, and the total full - price indices of ChinaBond Treasury bonds, financial bonds, and credit bonds fell between 0.01% and 0.31%. The CSI Convertible Bond Index fell 0.23%. In the commodity market, the Nanhua Commodity Index rose 3.56% [12]. 3.1.2 European, American, and Asia - Pacific Market Situation - Last week, most major indices in European, American, and Asia - Pacific markets rose. In the US stock market, the S&P 500 rose 0.21%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.34%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.18%. In the European market, the French CAC40 rose 0.98%, and the German DAX rose 1.17%. In the Asia - Pacific market, the Hang Seng Index fell 1.67%, and the Nikkei 225 rose 3.56% [20]. 3.1.3 Market Valuation Situation - Last week, the valuation quantiles of most major market indices rose. In terms of the historical quantile of price - to - earnings ratio, the CSI All - Share Index had the largest increase of 8.6 pct. In terms of the historical quantile of price - to - book ratio, the CSI 1000 had the largest increase of 5.4 pct. Among industries, the top five industries with the highest historical quantiles of price - to - earnings ratio of the Shenwan primary index were real estate, electronics, building materials, comprehensive, and chemicals. The price - to - earnings ratio quantile of real estate remained at a high level, and that of electronics reached 96.9%. The bottom five industries with the lowest historical quantiles of price - to - earnings ratio were non - bank finance, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, food and beverages, beauty care, and pharmaceutical biology. The valuation of the non - bank finance industry was close to its historical low since 2013 [23]. 3.2 Active Public - Offering Fund Situation - Market hotspots: The CSRC issued the "Administrative Measures for the Supervision of Information Disclosure of Private Investment Funds", which takes effect on September 1, 2026. The Shanghai Stock Exchange and China Securities Index Co., Ltd. announced the adjustment of constituent stocks of key indices such as the STAR 50, to be implemented after the close on March 13, 2026 [31][33]. - Fund performance: Quantitative funds had the largest increase, with an average increase of 2.22% and a positive return ratio of 92.26%. Fixed - income + funds rose 0.30% on average, with a positive return ratio of 73.12%. Pure - bond funds rose 0.01% on average, with a positive return ratio of 60.51%. Pension target FOFs rose 0.93% on average, with a positive return ratio of 99.50%. QDII funds fell 0.11% on average, with a positive return ratio of 58.16% [34]. - The top three sectors with the largest increase in positions of active equity funds last week were media, commerce and retail, and real estate; the top three sectors with the largest decrease in positions were electronics, non - ferrous metals, and pharmaceutical biology. As of February 27, 2026, the overall position of active equity funds was 77.23%, an increase of 0.81 pct from the previous period [40][42]. 3.3 ETF Fund Situation - Last week, the overall ETF market had a net capital outflow of 22.828 billion yuan. Stock - type ETFs had a relatively large net outflow of 36.286 billion yuan. The daily average trading volume of the overall ETF market reached 476.804 billion yuan, the daily average trading volume reached 168.72 billion shares, and the daily average turnover rate was 7.40%. The Hang Seng Technology, power grid equipment, securities, and Internet sectors had net capital inflows, with the Hang Seng Technology having a capital inflow close to 10 billion yuan. Broad - based indices such as the CSI 1000, CSI A500, CSI Small Cap 500, CSI 300, and SSE STAR 50 were the main varieties with capital outflows [3][46][49]. 3.4 Fund Issuance Statistics - Last week, 36 new funds were issued, an increase of 28 from the previous period, including 15 active equity - biased funds and 10 passive index funds. The 10 passive index funds were all stock - type, mainly tracking indices such as the CSI Battery Theme, Hang Seng Biotechnology, ChiNext 50, and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery. Currently, the issuance share of active equity funds is still at a historical low, but there has been an obvious upward trend since this year. - Five new funds were established last week, a decrease of 59 from the previous period. New funds raised a total of 1.451 billion yuan, a decrease of 56.879 billion yuan from the previous period. The E Fund CSI Battery Theme ETF managed by Li Xu had the largest raised scale of about 859 million yuan [54][59].

证券板块 证券类 APP 发展态势良好，行业活跃度显著提升，用户参与意愿与市场吸引力持续走高。据易观千帆最新发布的数 据，2026 年 1 月，证券服务应用领域的月度活跃用户规模达到 1.84 亿，环比增长 5.11%，同比增长 13.86%。多家券 商增速亮眼，华泰证券旗下的"涨乐财富通"与国泰海通的"国泰海通君弘"稳居行业前列，1 月份月活分别为 1281.5 万、1100.99 万，环比分别增长 5.73%、5.85%。此外，平安证券的"平安证券"App 当月活跃用户数为 937.28 万，较 上月提升 5.56%；招商证券的"招商证券"、中信证券的"中信证券信 e 投"、国泰海通的"国泰海通通财"以及中信 建投证券的"蜻蜓点金"、广发证券的"广发易淘金"等应用，月活用户均突破 700 万大关，环比增长率均在 4%以上。 投资建议：建议关注三条主线：（1）强烈推荐估值及业绩错配程度较大的优质券商，重点关注国泰海通；建议关注 AH 溢价率较高、有收并购主题的券商；建议关注短期受益于科技股上市的券商。（2）四川双马：科技赛道占优，创投业 务有望受益，布局基因治疗赛道新标的，深化生物医药产业链。公司管理基金的 ...

分析师：张洋 登记编码：S0730516040002 证券Ⅱ zhangyang-yjs@ccnew.com 021-50586627 券商板块 2026 年 1 月回顾及 2 月前瞻 ——券商板块月报 证券研究报告-行业月报 同步大市(维持) 证券Ⅱ相对沪深 300 指数表现 资料来源：聚源、中原证券研究所 -14% -9% -4% 1% 6% 11% 16% 21% 2025.02 2025.06 2025.10 2026.02 证券Ⅱ 沪深300 相关报告 | 《证券Ⅱ行业月报：券商板块 | 2025 年 | 12 月 | | --- | --- | --- | | 回顾及 2026 年 | 1 月前瞻》 2026-01-28 | | | 《证券Ⅱ行业月报：券商板块 | 2025 年 | 11 月 | | 回顾及 12 月前瞻》 | 2025-12-26 | | | 《证券Ⅱ行业月报：券商板块 | 2025 年 | 10 月 | | 回顾及 11 月前瞻》 | 2025-11-25 | | 联系人：李智 ⚫ 券商板块 2026 年 1 月行情回顾：1 月券商指数尝试转强但以失败 告终，全月在各行业指数中 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Perform" rating for the brokerage sector, indicating a synchronized performance with the market [1]. Core Insights - The brokerage index attempted to strengthen in January 2026 but ultimately failed, resulting in a decline of 1.49%, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 1.65% [5][8]. - The brokerage sector experienced increased differentiation, with a notable number of stocks outperforming the brokerage index, leading to a higher average P/B ratio fluctuating between 1.426 and 1.541 times [5][11][14]. - The overall market conditions for January 2026 were characterized by a significant increase in trading volumes and a record high in margin financing balances, indicating a robust trading environment despite the sector's overall weakness [7][30]. Summary by Sections 1. January 2026 Brokerage Market Review - The brokerage index's performance was weak, with a 1.49% decline, ranking 28th among 30 industry indices [5][8]. - The average P/B ratio for the brokerage sector fluctuated between 1.426 and 1.541 times, reflecting a slight increase in valuation [14]. - A total trading volume of 1.03 trillion yuan was recorded, marking a 40.1% increase month-on-month [9]. 2. Key Market Factors Impacting January 2026 Performance - The equity market faced resistance after an initial rise, while the fixed income market showed signs of mild recovery, contributing to a rebound in proprietary trading [7][18]. - The average daily trading volume reached a historical high of 3.05 trillion yuan, with a total monthly trading volume of 60.90 trillion yuan, indicating a strong recovery in brokerage activity [26]. - Margin financing balances reached 27,153 billion yuan, reflecting a 6.9% month-on-month increase and a 53.1% year-on-year increase [30]. 3. February 2026 Performance Outlook for Listed Brokerages - Proprietary trading is expected to decline due to a cooling equity market, while brokerage activity may experience a seasonal drop in performance [7][40]. - The brokerage index is anticipated to face continued weakness, with a potential drop in overall monthly performance expected to return to relative lows seen in the previous 12 months [7][45]. - The report suggests that if the brokerage sector's valuation drops to 1.3x P/B, it may present a good opportunity for re-entry, particularly for leading firms with strong wealth management capabilities [7].

Group 1 - The basis between the 5-year National Development Bonds and the same-term FR007 interest rate swap is 20 basis points (BP), which has increased by 17 BP compared to the end of 2024 [1] - In 2025, the overall basis between cash bonds and swaps is expected to rise, with the 1-year National Development Bonds and FR007 interest rate swap basis at 5 BP, up 31 BP from the end of 2024, and the 5-year basis at 20 BP, up 17 BP [1] - At the beginning of 2025, due to rising funding rates, interest rate swaps lead cash bonds, causing the basis to drop to a low of -20 BP for the 1-year National Development Bonds and 3 BP for the 5-year basis [1] Group 2 - Since February, the rise in the equity market has led to some capital diversion, impacting cash bonds and causing yields to rise, which has gradually expanded the basis between cash bonds and interest rate swaps [1] - In the second quarter, as the cash bond market recovered, yields fell, leading to a narrowing of the basis between cash bonds and interest rate swaps [1] - In the second half of the year, the cash bond market faced multiple disruptions from VAT collection, institutional behavior, and new rate regulations, resulting in a greater increase in yields and a subsequent expansion of the basis [1]

南方希元可转债（A类：005461、D类：024077）的基金经理刘盈杏认为，在权益市场中期向好预期和 转债供需错配的双重驱动下，预计转债估值中枢整体维持在中高水平。但转债市场在经历2025年的大幅 上涨后，资产估值也步入偏高位新常态，2026年转债市场的收益预期将从"高弹性"回归"稳健增强"，市 场也将进入个券深度跟踪、差异化分析的精细化挖掘阶段，在强调胜率的同时追求更高的赔率。 2026年开年，全球大宗商品走出了一波震荡节奏，美股、A股等也呈现波动走势。 复杂行情中，可转债基金凭借其既能在股市下跌时提供一定的债底保护，又能在市场反弹时捕捉上涨机 遇的优势，成为投资配置热点。 专题：2026年度投资策略|顶级基金公司、基金经理展望马年投资机会 责任编辑：石秀珍 SF183 专题：2026年度投资策略|顶级基金公司、基金经理展望马年投资机会 2026年开年，全球大宗商品走出了一波震荡节奏，美股、A股等也呈现波动走势。 复杂行情中，可转债基金凭借其既能在股市下跌时提供一定的债底保护，又能在市场反弹时捕捉上涨机 遇的优势，成为投资配置热点。 作为行业新生代代表，刘盈杏与债基老将刘文良共同管理南方希元可转债。刘盈杏 ...

国泰海通发布研报称，低利率环境和权益市场赚钱效应形成，居民资金入市稳步推进；券商各业务均受 益于增量资金入市。居民无论是以直接入市还是间接入市的方式增配权益，券商都将受益。国泰海通认 为：1)渠道端从垂直流量走向公域流量，更适应业态转型的券商预计更优；2)固收+商将以两预计成为 本轮居民增量入市的核心抓手，股债能力并重，更看好参控股头部公募的券商。 国泰海通主要观点如下： 私募基金/资管：私募基金新发环比高增。12月末私募基金存量规模22.2万亿元，环比增长0.27%，私募 基金新备案规模989.0亿元，环比变动+38.6%。12月私募资管存量规模12.3万亿元，环比变动-1.65%， 其中权益类、固收类、商品及金融衍生品类、混合类规模分别同比变动-2.35%、-4.11%、+73.61%、 +38.69%；12月私募资管新发规模达819.3亿元，环比变动-3.86%。 理财/保险/存款：12月银行理财份额增量-2356.1亿元，份额环比-0.81%，其中权益类、固收类、现金管 理类增量分别为-17.4、-1885.4、+18.8亿元；保险公司保费收入4007亿元，同比变动+7.2%，其中寿险 保费收入同比+ ...

Core Viewpoint - By December 2025, residents' asset allocation is primarily focused on deposits, with a marginal increase in equity investments. Securities firms will benefit multidimensionally as residents' funds enter the market [1]. Group 1: Asset Allocation - As of December 2025, the total market stock of wealth management products available for residents reached 352.5 trillion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter change of +1.05% and a year-on-year change of +10.4%. The net increase in value was 3.7 trillion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter change of +364.2% [1]. - The incremental growth of various wealth management products includes public funds (+695.7 billion yuan), private funds (+59.3 billion yuan), private asset management (-206.2 billion yuan), bank wealth management (-122.3 billion yuan), and deposits (+2.585 trillion yuan), contributing 19%, 2%, -6%, -3%, and +70% respectively [1]. Group 2: Market Performance - The equity market showed strong performance, with major indices rising as residents' risk appetite increased, leading to a shift from deposits to higher-yield assets. The stock fund index, mixed fund index, bond fund index, and money market fund index saw changes of +2.12%, +3.28%, +0.17%, and +0.11% respectively [2]. - By the end of December, the total market size of public funds reached 37.7 trillion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter change of +1.88%. The sizes of stock funds, mixed funds, bond funds, and QDII saw quarter-on-quarter changes of +4.39%, +2.13%, +3.92%, and +1.64% respectively [2]. - New fund issuance in December totaled 113.22 billion units, with a quarter-on-quarter change of +19.72%. Equity fund issuance decreased by -10.73%, while bond fund issuance increased by +136.82% [2]. Group 3: Private Funds and Asset Management - The stock of private funds reached 22.2 trillion yuan by the end of December, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of +0.27%. The newly registered private fund scale was 98.9 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter change of +38.6% [3]. - The stock of private asset management reached 12.3 trillion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter change of -1.65%. The year-on-year changes for equity, fixed income, commodity and financial derivatives, and mixed categories were -2.35%, -4.11%, +73.61%, and +38.69% respectively [3]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The low interest rate environment and the profit effect from the equity market are driving residents' funds into the market steadily. Securities firms are expected to benefit from the influx of incremental funds. It is anticipated that firms adapting to the transition from vertical to public flow will perform better [4]. - The combination of fixed income and equity is expected to be a core strategy for this round of residents' incremental market entry, with a focus on firms that balance both capabilities [4].

即将发行的景顺长城信优成长，股票投资比例为基金资产的60%—95%，投资范围覆盖A股、港股等，其中可用不超过50% 的股票仓位投资港股通标的股票。产品设置上，景顺长城信优成长采用与基金业绩表现挂钩的浮动管理费机制，引导基金管理 人和基金经理提升挖掘超额收益的投资能力，并鼓励投资者长期持有。此外，该基金以中证800指数收益率×60%+中证港股通 综合指数（人民币）收益率×20%+中债综合全价（1年以下）指数收益率×20%为业绩比较基准，注重超越基准的表现。 展望2026年，农冰立对权益市场保持乐观，策略上将更注重盈利增长的确定性。他认为，第一季度可能是较好的建仓窗 口。具体关注方向包括算力、半导体、互联网、创新药及消费电子等。对于港股市场，他认为经过深度调整后，不少公司已具 备较好的投资性价比。 （编辑 郭之宸） 本报讯 （记者昌校宇）尽管近期受外部情绪传导、内部结构分化及高估值消化等因素影响，科技板块出现调整，但由AI 驱动的科技革命仍在持续深化。鉴于科技领域细分方向众多、选股难度较高，关注投资能力突出、覆盖多细分领域的"大科 技"型基金经理或是优选。据悉，景顺长城基金旗下的景顺长城信优成长即将发行，拟任基金 ...

Group 1 - The issuance of public funds is actively continuing ahead of the Spring Festival, with 29 funds set to be launched in the next three weeks, including 10 equity mixed funds and 8 passive index funds [1] - 21 out of the 29 funds belong to equity categories, indicating that equity funds are leading the issuance trend before and after the Spring Festival [1] - The reasons for the active layout of equity funds include attractive market valuations, seasonal inflow of resident funds, and regulatory encouragement for long-term capital to enter the market [1] Group 2 - The equity market in February is expected to continue a rotation pattern, with a potential for upward movement despite a lack of clear catalysts before the Spring Festival [2] - The focus on technology sectors, particularly overseas computing-related areas, is seen as a favorable strategy, with expectations for the "AI+" sector to become more active [2] - The issuance of funds during the Spring Festival has both advantages and disadvantages, with increased investor attention during the holiday but potential delays in the fundraising process due to market closures [3] Group 3 - The public fund industry is projected to develop towards higher quality, tool-oriented, and long-term investment strategies by 2026, with equity products remaining mainstream [3] - The total issuance of fund products is expected to steadily increase, with a continued optimization of structure and a balanced development of actively managed funds and index investment tools [3] - The market share of leading institutions is likely to expand, focusing on new productivity and dividend themes [3]