Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 304 yuan [2][8]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 10.63 to 10.84 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 35.01% to 37.68%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be between 2.31 to 2.45 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 33.48% to 41.57% [2][8]. - In Q2 2025, the company anticipates revenue of 5.782 to 5.992 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 31.67% to 36.46%. The net profit is expected to be between 1.33 to 1.47 billion yuan, showing a growth of 24.68% to 37.81% [2][8]. - The company is focusing on increasing marketing expenditures during the peak season, which is expected to drive sales growth and enhance the performance of new products [2][8]. Financial Summary - For the fiscal years 2024A to 2027E, the total revenue is projected to grow from 15.839 billion yuan in 2024 to 28.962 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 40.6%, 30.9%, 20.9%, and 15.5% respectively [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to increase from 3.326 billion yuan in 2024 to 6.617 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 63.1%, 35.8%, 24.2%, and 17.9% respectively [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 6.40 yuan in 2024 to 12.72 yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios decreasing from 45 to 23 over the same period [4][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of 309.05 RMB per share based on a 35x PE valuation for 2025 [7][12]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 15.84 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-over-year growth of 40.63%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.33 billion RMB, up 63.09% year-over-year [12]. - The company plans to achieve at least 20% growth in both revenue and net profit for 2025 [12]. - The growth in revenue and profitability is driven by a refined channel strategy and the successful launch of new products, including the 500ml gold bottle and "Dongpeng Hydration" [12]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: The company is projected to achieve revenues of 20.65 billion RMB, 25.81 billion RMB, and 31.47 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7][12]. - **Net Profit Forecast**: Expected net profits attributable to shareholders are 4.59 billion RMB, 6.08 billion RMB, and 7.60 billion RMB for the same years [7][12]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: Projected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 8.83 RMB, 11.69 RMB, and 14.62 RMB respectively [7][12]. - **Gross Profit Margin**: The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 44.8% in 2024 to 48.4% by 2027 [10]. Product and Market Strategy - The company is focusing on a "dual-engine + multi-category" product strategy, strengthening its position in the energy drinks market while expanding into new categories such as electrolyte drinks and sugar-free teas [12]. - The core product, "Dongpeng Special Drink," achieved revenue of 13.30 billion RMB in 2024, with a market share increase in the energy drink segment from 43.0% in 2023 to 47.9% in 2024 [3][12]. - The "Dongpeng Hydration" product line generated nearly 1.5 billion RMB in revenue in 2024, marking a significant market entry with a year-over-year sales growth of 280.37% [3][12]. Regional and Channel Expansion - The company has implemented a nationwide strategy, achieving significant revenue growth across various regions, with the East and Central regions seeing increases of 45.13% and 48.17% respectively [5][12]. - Online sales channels have also seen rapid growth, with revenue increasing by 116.95% in 2024 [5][12]. - The company has established a comprehensive distribution network with over 3,000 distributors and nearly 400,000 active retail outlets nationwide [6][12].

作者 | 远禾 数据支持 | 勾股大数 据（www.gogudata.com） 2024年至今，食品饮料行业整体下跌，食品饮料指数从2024年1月至今跌幅已近10%。 而在整体下跌的趋势之中，东鹏饮料却以超过80%的涨幅，位列A股整个食品饮料行业前列。 尽管伴随着诸多争议，东鹏饮料的股价相比2021年发行价已经上涨近5倍，市值也超过1200亿元，成为国内能量饮料企业绝对的龙 头。 靠着一句"累了困了，喝东鹏特饮"，在饮料行业"低糖化"和"健康化"的风潮之下，东鹏饮料能否继续维持"稳稳的幸福"？ 01 而当今年的业绩落地，对于部分提前进场的投资者来说，恰恰是到了获利离场的时刻。 最近，东鹏饮料发布2024年业绩。 全年实现营业收入158.39 亿元，同比增加40.63%；归母净利润33.27亿元，同比增长63.09%。 收入与利润增速，均落在了此前业绩预告偏高的区间，也创下了上市以来的最佳表现。 东鹏特饮在能量饮料市场的规模也逐渐扩大。 尼尔森IQ数据显示，东鹏饮料的能量饮料市占率从2023年的43%提升至47.9%，销售额份额突破34.9%，500ml瓶装单品稳居全国 前三。 能量饮料市场，华彬红牛的收入仍旧 ...