自2014年首批民营银行试点启动以来已有十年时间，近期，19家民营银行交出了2024年业绩 成绩单。 从资产规模看，截至去年末，上述银行资产规模合计达2.15万亿元，同比增长9.5%。其中， 微众银行和网商银行总资产保持断层领先，前者突破6500亿元，后者达到4710亿元。值得注 意的是，亿联银行、三湘银行、振兴银行去年末总资产较上年末缩减，分别下滑21%、 10.46%和2.35%。 2024年，微众银行和网商银行总资产保持断层领先，前者突破6500亿元，后者达到4710亿 元。 经营业绩方面，去年，19家民营银行合计实现营收934.17亿元，同比增长近2%；合计实现 净利润187.92亿元，同比下降超10%。其中更有近一半民营银行盈利水平出现下降，而中关 村银行、蓝海银行、三湘银行、民商银行、振兴银行营收及净利均双双下降。 亿联银行资产规模缩减超20%， | 名称 | 资产总额 | 增速 | 营业收入 | 帮速 | 净利润 | 增速 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | (亿元) | (%) | (亿元) | (%) | (亿元) | (%) ...

Group 1: Investment Trends in China - Andrew Left, founder of Citron Research, is bullish on China, indicating a significant influx of global funds into Chinese assets [1][2] - Goldman Sachs reported that from March 27 to April 23, global stock funds saw a net inflow of $68.079 billion, with emerging markets receiving $27.14 billion, 90% of which flowed into China [2] - Chinese stock funds specifically received a net inflow of $24.686 billion, surpassing other emerging markets like South Korea, India, and Brazil [2] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Economic Outlook - Left believes that despite ongoing trade tensions, China has shown resilience, with low price-to-earnings ratios indicating that the market is undervalued [2][3] - Historical data shows that during previous trade conflicts, such as the first U.S.-China trade war, Left also favored investing in China, citing the market's potential for recovery [2][3] Group 3: Interest Rate Trends and Banking Sector - Recent adjustments in deposit rates by small and medium-sized banks indicate a shift towards a low-interest-rate environment, with over 30 banks reducing rates, particularly for three and five-year products [5][6] - The average interest rates for three and five-year deposits have fallen to 2.042% and 1.883%, respectively, highlighting a growing disparity in deposit rates [5] Group 4: Asset Allocation and Investment Shifts - As deposit rates decline, there is a noticeable trend of funds moving from traditional savings to wealth management products, with a 15% growth in wealth management scale in the first quarter [7][8] - The bond market has faced challenges, with the 10-year government bond yield rising from 1.6% to 1.9%, leading to losses for banks and insurance companies heavily invested in bonds [8] Group 5: Commodity Market Dynamics - The Chinese gold market is experiencing significant growth, with domestic gold ETF holdings increasing by 23.47 tons in Q1 2025, a 327.73% year-on-year rise [10][14] - High demand for gold is reflected in the net inflow of 158.36 billion yuan into the SEG gold index, indicating a strong preference for gold investments amid market volatility [10][14] Group 6: Future Economic Predictions - Analysts suggest that the current commodity bull market may be at the beginning stages, driven by factors such as de-globalization and a potential dollar crisis [17] - The concept of a new Bretton Woods III system is emerging, which could reshape global asset dynamics, emphasizing commodities like gold as safe-haven assets [17]

利率上升、消费者投诉增多以及资产配置过度集中等问题。 近段时间以来，多家民营银行下调存款产品挂牌利率，甚至出现存款利率"倒挂"现象，引发市场关注。这一举措背后，是民营银行在负债端面临较大压力下 的"自救"之举。 从已披露的2024年经营情况来看，民营银行正面临净息差收窄与负债成本上升的双重压力，业绩表现也因此出现分化。具体来看，一方面，高息揽储模式难 以为继，监管政策收紧与市场利率波动使得民营银行吸储能力和盈利能力下滑；另一方面，居民存款定期化趋势延续，进一步拉高了负债成本。在上述双重 压力下，多家银行净利润出现下滑，部分银行甚至接近"腰斩"。 2024年，民营银行净息差整体呈下降趋势。具体来看，民商银行净息差为2.23%，较上年末下降0.52个百分点；富民银行净息差为3.39%，较上年末下降0.26 个百分点；威海蓝海银行净息差较去年同期大幅下降，减少199个基点至2.35%。 业内人士分析称，民营银行净息差不断收窄，根源在于其高息揽储模式难以为继。上海金融与发展实验室首席专家、主任曾刚指出，在存款利率整体下行的 大环境下，民营银行过去依赖"高息+线上"揽储的方式正遭遇重重困境。一方面，高息揽储使得民营银行 ...

民营银行加速"降息"。 在此起彼伏的民营银行降息潮中，许久未出手的民营银行"一哥"微众银行终于现身了。 近日，微众银行公告，该行计划于4月29日起调整个人存款产品年利率，调整后，整存整取定期存款5年期、3年期、2年期、1年期的年利率均为1.60%；大 额存单3年期、2年期、1年期、6个月的年利率均为1.60%。 根据该行APP显示，此前整存整取定期存款5年期、3年期、2年期、1年期、6个月、3个月的年利率分别为2%、2%、2%、1.8%、1.60%和1.4%。 也就是说，微众银行5年期、3年期、2年期定期存款均下调了40BP（基点），1年期下调了20BP。 过往的民营银行存款利息调降，通常采用"小步快跑"的方式，即调降幅度小，但频次多。比如，今年以来，就有多家民营银行已两次下调了存款利率，但每 次仅下调10BP左右。 如此大幅调息的案例比较少，上一次下调40BP的还是众邦银行，该行自4月1日起，3年期大额存单利率从2.6%调降至2.4%，降幅20BP，5年期大额存单利率 从2.9%直降至2.5%，下调40BP。 微众银行此番降息之后，5年期存款利率已经开始逼近国有大行，部分期限存款利率甚至低于股份行。 6家国 ...