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一辆车贵近2000美元!车企涨价保利润,美国消费者将为关税买单
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-06-19 08:34
Group 1 - The core issue is that U.S. consumers are expected to bear the burden of $30 billion in auto tariffs, leading to an estimated price increase of approximately $1,760 per vehicle [1] - General Motors and Ford are projected to face tariff impacts of $5 billion and $2.5 billion respectively, with both companies seeking to mitigate these costs through price adjustments [1] - AlixPartners predicts a reduction of about 1 million vehicles in U.S. auto sales over the next three years due to price increases, although sales are expected to rebound to 17 million by 2030, an increase of 1 million from last year [1] Group 2 - AlixPartners forecasts that the 25% auto tariff will eventually decrease to 7.5% for complete vehicles and 5% for parts, aligning with the USMCA agreement [2] - The reduction and elimination of electric vehicle incentives, such as the $7,500 tax credit, are expected to significantly impact consumer behavior, steering buyers away from electric vehicles towards traditional gasoline cars [2] - The forecast for electric vehicle sales has been cut nearly in half, with only 17% of U.S. auto sales expected to be electric by 2030, down from a previous estimate of 31% [2] Group 3 - The policy shift is anticipated to weaken the competitiveness of U.S. automakers, with a sarcastic remark about American manufacturers potentially being the only ones with V8 engines by 2028 [3]
电动汽车增速放缓,丰田重仓押注插混
汽车商业评论· 2025-06-01 15:18
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses Toyota's strategic focus on plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) amidst a slowing growth rate in electric vehicle (EV) sales, highlighting the company's diversified approach to achieving carbon neutrality and its cautious stance compared to other manufacturers [3][5][11]. Group 1: Market Trends and Predictions - Electric vehicle sales are still growing, but the pace has slowed compared to early 2020 [3]. - Analysts predict moderate growth for PHEVs in the next five years, with S&P forecasting a penetration rate increase from about 2% last year to 5% by the end of the decade in the U.S. [5]. - AutoPacific estimates that by 2030, the penetration rate for PHEVs will reach approximately 4.2%, while AutoForecast Solutions expects it to stabilize around 3.3% [5]. Group 2: Toyota's Strategy and Product Line - Toyota has been promoting hybrid vehicles globally since 1997, with PHEVs being a natural extension of this strategy [7]. - Currently, PHEVs account for 50.6% of Toyota's electric vehicle sales in North America [7]. - The company plans to expand its PHEV lineup, with a focus on increasing electric-only range [9][11]. Group 3: Sales Performance and Growth - Toyota and Lexus PHEV sales grew by 39% last year, with the Prius and RAV4 PHEV models increasing by 30% [13]. - Lexus PHEVs, including the new TX model, saw an impressive growth of 88.6% [14]. Group 4: Challenges and Consumer Education - PHEVs face higher manufacturing costs due to the dual powertrain system, making them more expensive than traditional hybrids or gasoline vehicles [16][18]. - Educating consumers about the benefits and operation of PHEVs is crucial for increasing market acceptance [20]. Group 5: Future Models and Innovations - Toyota is transitioning core models to offer only hybrid options, starting with the new Camry and RAV4 [23]. - The Grand Highlander is expected to feature a PHEV system, likely based on the RAV4's technology [25]. Group 6: Long-term Strategy and Production Capacity - Toyota's long-term strategy includes offering a variety of powertrain options, including hybrids, PHEVs, and EVs [27]. - The company is set to begin battery production at its new North Carolina plant, which will support the demand for PHEVs and EVs [31][32].