上 市 公 司 交通运输 ——深耕西部公路运输行业，积极布局低空物流业务 投资要点： 财务数据及盈利预测 | | 2024 | 2025H1 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 856 | 405 | 953 | 1,296 | 1,801 | | 同比增长率（%） | -1.1 | -5.6 | 11.3 | 36.0 | 39.0 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 122 | 115 | 158 | 197 | 232 | | 同比增长率（%） | -18.8 | 41.1 | 29.4 | 24.3 | 18.2 | | 每股收益（元/股） | 0.39 | 0.37 | 0.50 | 0.63 | 0.74 | | 毛利率（%） | 18.5 | 19.0 | 19.3 | 22.4 | 21.7 | | ROE（%） | 7.7 | 6.9 | 9.3 | 10.5 | 11.3 | | 市盈率 | 25 | | 19 | 16 | 13 | 注： "净资产收益率"是指摊薄后归属 ...

Core Viewpoint - The global multi-modal transport market is expected to grow significantly, driven by various factors including the Belt and Road Initiative, supply chain restructuring, and advancements in low-altitude economy, impacting port operations and management [4][5][6]. Multi-Modal Transport Market Growth - The global multi-modal transport market is projected to reach $62.25 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of approximately 6.6%, and is expected to expand to $103.29 billion by 2032 [4]. - In North America, the multi-modal transport demand is anticipated to grow due to the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement and potential tariffs, with a projected total of 18.084 million units in 2024, reflecting an 8.5% increase [4]. - The European multi-modal transport market is steadily growing, supported by the new TEN-T policy aimed at creating an efficient multi-modal network across Europe [4]. China's Multi-Modal Transport Development - China's multi-modal transport market is significantly driven by the Belt and Road Initiative, with a projected 2024 port container rail-water transport volume of 13.35 million TEUs, marking a 15.4% increase [5]. - The China-Europe Railway Express is expected to operate 19,000 trains in 2024, showing a year-on-year growth of 10.7% [5]. Supply Chain Restructuring Impact - The global supply chain landscape is undergoing profound changes due to geopolitical conflicts and supply chain restructuring, significantly affecting the port industry [9]. - The Red Sea crisis has led to a 56% increase in the diversion of dry bulk vessels and a 90% increase for container ships compared to 2023, disrupting trade and logistics [9]. Low-Altitude Economy and Port Development - The low-altitude economy, particularly low-altitude logistics, is emerging as a key component in enhancing port operations, showcasing advantages in short-distance transport and high-efficiency delivery [13][14]. - The global low-altitude economy market reached 2.08 trillion RMB in 2023, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 11.51% from 2024 to 2029 [14]. Sustainable Port Transformation - Ports are transitioning from traditional logistics nodes to multi-dimensional sustainable hubs, balancing environmental, social, and economic impacts through community collaboration and green technology [17]. - Recent initiatives in Australia, such as the redevelopment of the Darwin waterfront area, aim to enhance community sustainability while preserving ecological spaces [17].

格隆汇4月16日丨嘉诚国际(603535.SH)在投资者互动平台表示，作为致力于AI大模型驱动的全球化智慧 物流企业，公司将低空经济视为构建"海陆空一体化"智慧物流生态的核心增量，依托政策红利与技术积 淀，系统性推进以下布局： （1）基础设施先行：打造低空物流枢纽网络 粤琼航线枢纽建设：公司位于 粤港澳大湾区几何中心的广州南沙嘉诚国际港园区及海南省三座智慧物流中心，规划建设适配低空飞行 器起降的智能化设施（如顶层停机坪、装卸系统），承接无人机城际运输及末端配送功能，配合政府探 索粤琼跨海低空货运航线试点，重点服务高附加值海产品、医疗物资及跨境电商包裹的快速转运。 （2）"干—支—末"网络协同：结合广东省"低空智慧物流体系"规划，以嘉诚国际港为核心节点，联动 省内物流园区、分拨中心及城市末端站点，构建覆盖"干线运输—支线分拨—末端配送"的低空物流网 络，目标实现百公斤级货物72小时全省通达。 （3）技术赋能：AI与大模型驱动的运营体系。智能调度 与路径优化：通过AI算法整合低空飞行器与地面物流资源，动态优化航线规划与仓储协同，降低30%库 存周转周期，提升跨场景配送效率。 （4）数字孪生与安全管控：计划在海南数 ...