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新能源及有色金属日报:多空博弈激烈,沪镍不锈钢震荡走弱-20250820
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-08-20 05:16
新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-08-20 多空博弈激烈,沪镍不锈钢震荡走弱 镍品种 2025-08-19日沪镍主力合约2509开于120490元/吨,收于120330元/吨,较前一交易日收盘变化-0.37%,当日成交量 为63677手,持仓量为55967手。 期货方面:沪镍主力即将更换至2510合约,今日主力合约夜盘开盘后快速冲高至 121,450 元 / 吨,但未能站稳高 位,随后回落至 120,140 元 / 吨,最终收于 120,340 元 / 吨,较前日结算价下跌 350 元,跌幅 0.29%。成交量 78,139 手,持仓量 62,507 手,显示夜盘交易活跃度较高,但持仓量未显著增加,多空资金博弈后选择离场。日盘延续弱 势,开盘价 120,490 元,最高价 120,950 元,最低价 120,050 元,最终收于 120,330 元,下跌 450 元,跌幅 0.37%。 成交量 63,677 手,持仓量减少至 55,967 手,较夜盘减少 6,540 手,资金离场迹象明显。8 月 18 日 LME 镍价收 于 15,095 美元 / 吨,下跌 0.66%,8 月 19 日进一步跌至 15, ...
沪镍日度报告-20250522
Guo Jin Qi Huo· 2025-05-22 12:04
Group 1: Report General Information - The report is about nickel, written on May 21, 2025, with a daily review cycle [1] - The researcher is Cao Baiquan with consultation certificate number (Z0019820), and it's a daily report on Shanghai nickel [2] Group 2: Market Data - On May 21, 2025, the opening price of the Shanghai nickel main contract was 123,450 yuan/ton, the highest was 123,800 yuan/ton, the lowest was 122,960 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 123,280 yuan/ton, with a decline of 0.05%. The trading volume was 107,562 lots, and the open interest was 59,648 lots [3] - On May 20, 2025, the People's Bank of China cut the 1 - year and 5 - year LPR by 10 basis points each, while Fed officials stated they prefer only one rate cut this year, and Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating, increasing market risk - aversion [3] - On May 21, 2025, the price of SMM1 electrolytic nickel was 123,400 - 125,650 yuan/ton, with an average price of 124,525 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The mainstream spot premium range of Jinchuan No.1 nickel was 2,000 - 2,200 yuan/ton, with an average premium of 2,100 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan/ton from the previous day. The premium range of Russian nickel was 100 - 300 yuan/ton, with an average premium of 200 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day [3] - As of May 20, 2025, the LME nickel inventory was 201,786 tons, down 312 tons from the previous trading day, and the注销仓单占比 was 11.28%. Seasonally, the current inventory is at a relatively high level compared to the past five years [3] Group 3: Core View - Overall, there is an expectation of cost relaxation for nickel, combined with weak spot demand, inventory may re - enter the accumulation cycle, and nickel prices may continue the bearish pattern [4]