非标产品发行放缓，资产风险收敛但持续存在 ——2025 年非标产品观察 联合资信 公用评级部 2025 年，中国非标市场在监管持续引导下进入深度转型与结构调整阶段。信托行业监管 框架迎来系统性重构，推动信托业回归资产管理和服务本源。融资租赁方面，监管明确将融 资平台业务划为"退出类"，相关业务面临到期置换压力。市场运行方面，2025 年债权投资 计划登记规模延续下滑趋势，同比下降 28.46%至 4419.06 亿元，湖北、浙江、山东、四川和 江苏存量债权投资计划规模合计占比 41.21%，区域集中度上升，交通运输类、园区基础设施 领域为前两大投资领域，占比分别为 49.24%和 21.21%；2025 年 6 月末，信托资产存续规模 继续增长至 24.43 万亿元，但资金投向持续向证券市场倾斜，传统非标融资业务进一步压降； 2025 年租赁融资财产价值同比下降 7.77%至 3.19 万亿元，城投相关业务继续收缩。风险层 面，非标风险事件数量显著下降，信托计划成为最主要的风险产品类型。城投企业作为重要 底层资产，在化债政策支持下短期风险整体可控，但山东、贵州等债务压力较大区域风险仍 需关注。展望未来，在监管 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a mixed outlook for the insurance asset management industry, with a focus on innovative products and strategic investments in infrastructure and green finance [4][6]. Core Insights - In 2025, the scale and number of innovative insurance asset management products are expected to decline, except for equity investment plans, which are projected to grow against the trend [6][25]. - The report highlights the importance of infrastructure REITs and government support for green finance, suggesting that insurance asset management can leverage these areas for investment opportunities [6][32]. - The report emphasizes the structural challenges faced by debt investment plans due to economic slowdown and interest rate declines, leading to a concentration of investments in specific regions and sectors [9][15]. Summary by Sections Product Operation Analysis - In 2025, the number of innovative insurance asset management products registered is expected to decrease by 89 to 410, with an overall scale down by 21.30% to 872.96 billion [6][7]. - Debt investment plans remain the core product, accounting for 50.62% of the number and 69.51% of the scale, while asset-backed plans show slight growth [7][8]. - The report notes a significant concentration of investments in the transportation sector, which accounts for nearly 50% of the debt investment plans [9][15]. Institutional Operation Analysis - The report identifies leading institutions in the debt investment plan sector, with Huatai Asset and Guoshou Investment registering the highest numbers [27][28]. - In the asset-backed plan sector, Everbright Yuming Asset leads in registration scale, while Minsheng Tonghui Asset leads in the number of registrations [30][31]. - The report indicates a decline in the number and scale of private equity funds, with only 7 funds registered in 2025, down 18.61% from the previous year [25][33]. Industry Policy Overview - Recent government policies encourage long-term capital participation in infrastructure REITs and green finance, providing attractive investment opportunities for insurance asset management [32][36]. - The establishment of a debt management department within the Ministry of Finance aims to enhance government debt management and mitigate risks [37][39]. - The report highlights the launch of the National Venture Capital Guidance Fund, which aims to support strategic emerging industries and innovation [34][36].

Core Insights - The performance of insurance asset management products in January has been released, with a median return of 0.53% and an average return of 1.82% across 1564 products, of which 94% achieved positive returns [1][2]. Group 1: Performance Overview - A total of 1564 insurance asset management products reported their January returns, with the highest return reaching 24.71% and the lowest at -4.41% [2][3]. - Among the 1079 fixed-income products, 1019 achieved positive returns, with an average return of 0.64%, while the highest return was 9.41% and the lowest was -3.07% [2]. - In the equity category, 269 products reported returns, with 251 achieving positive returns and an average return of 5.04%, the highest being 24.71% [3]. - The mixed products category included 216 products, with 204 achieving positive returns and an average return of 3.69%, the highest being 16.53% [3]. Group 2: Future Investment Trends - Analysts predict that insurance capital will continue to adopt an active market entry strategy, focusing on high-dividend stocks and increasing investments in technology and growth sectors [4][5]. - It is estimated that approximately 600 billion yuan of new insurance capital will enter the market by 2026, with a shift in investment style from "dividend-stable" to "dividend-stable + growth" [4]. - The low-interest-rate environment is driving insurance capital to increase allocations to equity assets, as fixed-income products become less attractive [5].

Core Viewpoint - The insurance asset management industry is experiencing a decline in the registration of debt investment plans, equity investment plans, and insurance private equity funds, with a total of 314 registered plans and a scale of 510.443 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of 20.71% in quantity and 26.08% in scale [2]. Debt Investment Plans - In 2025, the insurance asset management institutions registered 285 debt investment plans, a year-on-year decrease of 24%, with a registration scale of 441.905 billion yuan, down 28.46% [3]. - The decline in debt investment plans is attributed to changes in the economic financing structure, particularly in traditional industries like real estate and infrastructure, which are undergoing adjustment cycles and experiencing significant financing contractions [3]. - The average investment yield for newly registered debt plans in 2025 is 3.61%, with an average investment term of 7.6 years, indicating a downward trend in yields compared to previous years [4]. Equity Investment Plans - The insurance asset management sector is still exploring equity investment plans and private equity fund businesses, with fluctuations in the number and scale of registered equity investment products [5]. - In 2025, 22 equity investment plans were registered, an increase of 83.33% year-on-year, with a total scale of 33.532 billion yuan, up 12.52% [6]. - The registered equity investment plans vary significantly in scale, with some as low as 100 million yuan and others reaching 10 billion yuan [6]. Private Equity Funds - In 2025, seven insurance private equity funds were registered, with a total scale of 35.006 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 22.22% in quantity and 18.61% in scale [7]. - The decline in the number of newly registered private equity funds is due to the maturation of previously established funds, which are now entering operational phases and gradually investing in projects [7].

Core Insights - In 2025, insurance asset management institutions registered a total of 314 debt investment plans, equity investment plans, and insurance private equity funds, with a total scale of 510.443 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 20.71% in quantity and 26.08% in scale [1] Debt Investment Plans - There were 285 debt investment plans registered, with a total scale of 441.905 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 24.00% in quantity and 28.46% in scale [1] Equity Investment Plans - The number of equity investment plans increased to 22, with a total scale of 33.532 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 83.33% in quantity and 12.52% in scale [1] Insurance Private Equity Funds - A total of 7 insurance private equity funds were registered, with a scale of 35.006 billion yuan, which represents a year-on-year decrease of 22.22% in quantity and 18.61% in scale [1]

Core Insights - The insurance asset management sector is experiencing a decline in debt investment plans, with a continuous drop for four years, while equity investment plans show a modest increase in scale [1][2]. Debt Investment Plans - In 2025, insurance asset management institutions registered 285 debt investment plans, a decrease of 24% year-on-year, with a total scale of 4419.05 billion yuan, down 28.46% [2]. - The number of registered debt plans is approximately 50% of the peak level in 2021, when it reached over 9600 billion yuan [2]. - The decline in debt plans is attributed to changes in financing structures, particularly in traditional sectors like real estate and infrastructure, which are undergoing adjustments [2]. - The average investment yield for debt plans in 2025 is reported at 3.61%, continuing a downward trend from over 4% in 2024 [4]. Equity Investment Plans - In contrast to debt plans, the equity investment plans and private equity funds are in a phase of exploration, with significant fluctuations in registration numbers and scales [5]. - In 2025, 22 equity investment plans were registered, marking an 83.33% increase year-on-year, with a total scale of 335.32 billion yuan, up 12.52% [5]. - The scale of individual equity investment plans varies significantly, with some as low as 1 billion yuan and others reaching up to 100 billion yuan [5]. Private Equity Funds - In 2025, seven insurance private equity funds were registered, with a total scale of 350.06 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 22.22% in quantity and 18.61% in scale year-on-year [6]. - The number of insurance private equity funds peaked between 2019 and 2022, but has since seen a reduction as previously established funds enter operational phases [6]. - The future development of insurance private equity funds is expected to stabilize as experience accumulates in the sector [6].

Core Insights - The insurance asset management sector is experiencing a decline in the registration of debt investment plans, equity investment plans, and insurance private equity funds, with a total of 314 registered plans and a scale of 510.44 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of 20.71% in quantity and 26.08% in scale [1] Debt Investment Plans - The number of registered debt investment plans in 2025 is 285, a decrease of 24% year-on-year, with a registration scale of 441.91 billion yuan, down 28.46% year-on-year [3] - This marks the fourth consecutive year of decline in both quantity and scale, with current figures only about 50% of the peak levels reached in 2021 [3] - The decline is attributed to changes in financing structures, particularly in traditional sectors like real estate and infrastructure, which are undergoing adjustments and experiencing reduced financing scales [3] - The average investment yield for newly registered debt plans in 2025 is 3.61%, continuing a downward trend from over 4% in 2024 [5] Equity Investment Plans - In contrast to debt plans, the equity investment plans and private equity funds are still in an exploratory phase, with significant fluctuations in the number and scale of registered products [6] - In 2025, 22 equity investment plans were registered, an increase of 83.33% year-on-year, with a total scale of 33.53 billion yuan, up 12.52% year-on-year [7] - The scale of individual equity investment plans varies significantly, with some as low as 100 million yuan and others reaching 10 billion yuan [7] Private Equity Funds - In 2025, 7 insurance private equity funds were registered, with a total scale of 35.01 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 22.22% in quantity and 18.61% in scale [7] - The decline in new registrations is attributed to the maturation of previously established funds, which are now entering operational phases and gradually implementing investment projects [8]

Core Insights - The insurance asset management sector is experiencing a decline in both the number and scale of registered investment plans for 2025, with a total of 314 plans amounting to 510.44 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decrease of 20.71% in quantity and 26.08% in scale [1] Group 1: Debt Investment Plans - There are 285 registered debt investment plans with a total scale of 441.90 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 24.00% in quantity and 28.46% in scale [1] Group 2: Equity Investment Plans - The sector has 22 registered equity investment plans, which is an increase of 83.33% in quantity and 12.52% in scale, amounting to 33.53 billion yuan [1] Group 3: Insurance Private Equity Funds - There are 7 registered insurance private equity funds with a total scale of 35.01 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 22.22% in quantity and 18.61% in scale [1]

Core Viewpoint - The financial market reform is deepening, leading the asset management industry into a golden development period, with banks and insurance asset management playing crucial roles in wealth management, capital market stability, and supporting the real economy [1][6]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The insurance asset management sector consists of 36 core companies, 16 private fund companies, and over 200 management centers, employing more than 12,000 professional investors [2]. - The banking wealth management sector has 32 subsidiaries providing inclusive financial services to a broad range of investors [2]. - Both sectors manage a total of 69 trillion yuan in assets, with insurance funds reaching 37.46 trillion yuan and a compound annual growth rate of 14% over the past decade [2]. Group 2: Financing Tools and Services - Insurance asset management has provided 2 trillion yuan in debt and equity investment plans, offering stable financing tools for the real economy [3]. - Bank wealth management focuses on fixed-income and cash assets, creating a diverse product matrix to meet the stable investment needs of the public [3]. Group 3: Support for Strategic Development - Insurance funds are actively investing in major infrastructure projects and sectors like healthcare, green energy, and semiconductor industries, contributing to sustainable development [4]. - The insurance asset management industry promotes a virtuous cycle of funds, capital, and assets, with long-term investments exceeding 2 trillion yuan [4]. Group 4: Capital Market Participation - Insurance funds are involved in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, enhancing the investor structure and creating a favorable financing environment for the real economy, with a balance of 5.6 trillion yuan in stock and fund investments [5]. Group 5: Economic Outlook - The recovery of the economy and increasing demand for wealth management, particularly in technology innovation and new business models, are favorable for the development of the banking and insurance asset management industry [6].

Core Insights - The non-standard investment environment for insurance funds is facing significant challenges, with declining yields and a scarcity of quality assets, marking a departure from the previous high-yield era [1][5] Group 1: Investment Environment - The yield on most bond projects has dropped to around 2.5%, with some even falling below this threshold, leading to caution among investors regarding projects with yields above 3% due to concerns over credit quality and funding purposes [1][2] - The overall yield of debt investment plans is expected to continue declining due to complex external economic conditions and insufficient domestic demand, increasing asset allocation pressures for companies [2][5] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The non-standard project market is experiencing a "dual weakness" in supply and demand, with both registered and actual establishment scales showing significant contraction [3] - Data from the China Banking and Insurance Asset Management Association indicates a 26.83% year-on-year decrease in the number of registered debt and equity investment plans, and a 52.08% decrease in registered scale as of April 2023 [3] Group 3: Corporate Financing Trends - There is a noticeable reduction in effective financing demand from quality enterprises, with some companies opting not to pursue additional financing despite having high credit ratings [4] Group 4: Strategic Adjustments - Insurance institutions need to balance innovation and risk management in response to the changing market environment, moving away from the previous "easy win" phase characterized by abundant quality projects and high yields [6] - Companies are encouraged to adapt their investment strategies by shifting focus from debt to equity investments, enhancing asset evaluation capabilities, and exploring long-duration quality assets to achieve reasonable returns [7]