10月29日，新京智库发布《2025京津冀养老服务研究报告（现状篇）》。 截至2024年底，北京60岁以上老年人首次突破500万大关，天津353万，河北多地老龄化率超全国平均——京津冀 1.3亿人口中，每7个人就有1个老人。这个庞大的群体，能否找到理想的养老方式？ 10月29日，新京智库发布《2025京津冀养老服务研究报告（现状篇）》（下称《报告》）。报告显示，"离京不离 家"的跨城养老模式正在悄然形成——截至2024年11月，仅廊坊一地就承接了超2万北京老人、3000多天津老人。 京津冀养老服务的区域协同，正在从政策文件走向现实生活。 整体水平：具备区域养老服务的"硬件基础" 从老龄化程度看，京津冀形成了"外围重、核心轻"的格局。张家口老龄化率为21.15%，已进入深度老龄化社会， 成为京津冀"最老"的城市；秦皇岛、唐山、衡水等城市老龄化率在18%-19%之间；而北京、廊坊等城市相对"年 轻"，老龄化率分别为15.87%和13.64%。 2023年京津冀各地养老床位供给相对水平系数。 从养老服务供给水平来看，京津冀13个城市的每千名老年人（65岁及以上）拥有养老床位数的平均供给相对水平 系数为93.9%，接 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of expanding service consumption to stimulate economic growth and enhance the quality of domestic demand, highlighting the need for structural improvements in service supply to meet evolving consumer needs [1][3]. Group 1: Economic Context - Domestic demand is identified as the fundamental driver of economic development, with a focus on boosting consumption to create a virtuous cycle within the national economy [1]. - In 2024, domestic demand is projected to contribute 69.7% to economic growth, with final consumption expenditure accounting for 44.5%, indicating a gap compared to the international average of 50% [1]. - The current service consumption rate in China is approximately 46.1%, suggesting significant room for growth given the country's GDP level [1]. Group 2: Service Consumption Trends - China's middle-income group is the largest globally and is shifting from goods consumption to service consumption, indicating a growing demand for higher-quality, personalized, and experiential services [2]. - There exists a structural contradiction in service supply, characterized by an oversupply of low-end and homogeneous services, while specialized and personalized offerings are insufficient [2]. Group 3: Quality of Service Supply - Enhancing the quality of service supply is crucial for stimulating new consumer demand, as the unique characteristics of service consumption, such as localization and high elasticity, create challenges in meeting market needs [3]. - The article suggests that relaxing entry barriers and regulatory policies in sectors like healthcare, education, and telecommunications can attract more investment and improve service quality [3]. Group 4: Trust Mechanisms in Service Consumption - Addressing trust issues in service consumption is essential, as the simultaneous production and consumption of services lead to reliance on reputation and reviews, which can deter consumer engagement if information costs are high [4]. - Promoting professionalization and standardization in the service industry can reduce perceived risks for consumers, while ensuring consumer rights protection can compel businesses to enhance service quality [4]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Service consumption is viewed as a key growth engine for the economy, with the potential to better meet the public's demand for improved living standards [5]. - The article advocates for greater internal and external openness, encouraging innovation and competition to drive high-quality development in the service sector [5].

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Commerce, along with other government departments, has introduced a set of policies aimed at expanding service consumption to stimulate economic growth and enhance the quality of the economy [1] Group 1: Economic Context - Domestic demand is identified as the fundamental driving force for economic development, with a focus on boosting consumption to expand domestic demand and create a virtuous cycle in the national economy [1] - In 2024, domestic demand is expected to contribute 69.7% to China's economic growth, with final consumption expenditure contributing 44.5%, indicating a gap compared to the international average of 50% [1] Group 2: Service Consumption Trends - China has the largest and most dynamic middle-income group globally, shifting their consumption needs from goods to services, yet there exists a structural mismatch in service supply [2] - The service consumption supply is characterized by an oversupply of low-end and homogeneous services, while there is a lack of specialized and personalized offerings [2] Group 3: Quality of Service Supply - Enhancing the quality of service supply is crucial to meet and stimulate new consumer demands, as the unique characteristics of service consumption, such as localization and high operational costs, contribute to supply challenges [3] - The policies propose relaxing entry barriers and regulatory measures in sectors like telecommunications, healthcare, and education to attract more foreign and private investment [3] Group 4: Trust Mechanisms in Service Consumption - Addressing trust issues in service consumption is essential, as the simultaneous production and consumption of services lead to reliance on reputation and reviews, which can deter consumer willingness if information costs are high [4] - Long-term growth potential in service consumption is anticipated to be a major driver for future consumption growth, necessitating systemic reforms to promote professionalism and standardization in the service industry [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the importance of expanding service consumption to stimulate economic growth and enhance domestic demand, with a focus on high-quality development [1] - The Chinese government has introduced 19 specific measures across five areas to boost service consumption, aiming to create new momentum for economic growth [1] - In 2024, domestic demand is projected to contribute 69.7% to China's economic growth, with final consumption expenditure accounting for 44.5%, indicating a gap compared to the international average [1] Group 2 - China's middle-income group is the largest and most dynamic globally, shifting their consumption needs from goods to services, yet there is a structural mismatch in service supply [2] - The service consumption supply is characterized by an oversupply of low-end and homogeneous services, while there is a lack of specialized and personalized offerings [2] - Examples include a surplus of basic housekeeping services that do not meet the demand for specialized services like nutrition and health care, and a mismatch in the supply of elderly care facilities [2] Group 3 - Enhancing the quality of service supply is crucial for stimulating new consumer demands and addressing the current issues of service consumption [3] - The unique characteristics of service consumption, such as localization and high operational costs, contribute to the challenges in meeting consumer needs [3] - The government aims to relax entry barriers and regulatory policies to attract more investment in high-quality service sectors, including healthcare and education [3] Group 4 - Addressing trust issues in service consumption is essential, as the simultaneous production and consumption of services create challenges in consumer confidence [4] - The article suggests promoting professionalization and standardization in the service industry to reduce perceived risks for consumers [4] - Long-term growth potential in service consumption is highlighted as a key driver for economic growth, necessitating systemic reforms and increased openness to foster innovation and competition [4]