首次覆盖，给予"增持"投资评级。我们预计公司2025-2027 年分别可实现归母净利润42.53/46.50/50.99 亿元，同比增长37.2%/9.4%/9.6%。我们对公司传统冷配和汽车热管理业务进行分部估值，并考虑到AH 股溢价，对应合理市值为1433 亿元人民币；而三花智控H 股市值为1408 亿元港币，参考2025 年12 月26 日港币兑人民币汇率为0.9067，仍有12.3%上涨空间，首次覆盖，给予"增持"投资评级。 风险提示：原材料价格波动风险；汇率波动风险；人形机器人行业发展进度不及预期。 成熟业务：公司传统制冷和汽零业务保持领先地位。公司深耕传统制冷配件几十余载，多种产品在行业 市占率位居前列；制冷配件业务25H1 收入占比达64%，为公司第一大营收来源。随着内销空调等家电 保有量提升，出海市场空间广阔，有望刺激制冷配件需求，而公司有望凭借行业优势地位保持业务稳健 增长。汽零业务方面，公司凭借制冷配件多年积淀进行底层技术迁移，在份额高度集中的全球热管理市 场中，三花多品类份额居前，深度绑定国内外知名传统燃油车及新能车的核心整车厂商，获得客户广泛 认可。 新兴业务：储能＆机器人业务打开成长 ...

申万宏源主要观点如下： A+H两地上市提升全球竞争力 三花智控是传统制冷配件及汽车热管理领域龙头，2005年在深交所正式上市;25年6月成功发行H股，实 现A+H两地上市，融资渠道进一步打开，公司的国际影响力有望进一步提升。截至25Q3，公司实现营 业总收入240.3亿元，同比增长17%，实现归母净利润32.4亿元，同比增速超40%。 成熟业务：公司传统制冷和汽零业务保持领先地位 智通财经APP获悉，申万宏源发布研报称，预计三花智控(02050)2025-2027年分别可实现归母净利润 42.53/46.50/50.99亿元，同比增长37.2%/9.4%/9.6%。该行对公司传统冷配和汽车热管理业务进行分部估 值，并考虑到AH股溢价，对应合理市值为1433亿元人民币;而三花智控H股市值为1408亿元港币，参考 2025年12月26日港币兑人民币汇率为0.9067仍有12.3%上涨空间，首次覆盖，给予"增持"投资评级。 公司深耕传统制冷配件几十余载，多种产品在行业市占率位居前列;制冷配件业务25H1收入占比达 64%，为公司第一大营收来源。随着内销空调等家电保有量提升，出海市场空间广阔，有望刺激制冷配 件需求， ...

智通财经APP获悉，申万宏源发布研报称，预计三花智控(02050)2025-2027年分别可实现归母净利润 42.53/46.50/50.99亿元，同比增长37.2%/9.4%/9.6%。该行对公司传统冷配和汽车热管理业务进行分部估 值，并考虑到AH股溢价，对应合理市值为1433亿元人民币;而三花智控H股市值为1408亿元港币，参考 2025年12月26日港币兑人民币汇率为0.9067仍有12.3%上涨空间，首次覆盖，给予"增持"投资评级。 申万宏源主要观点如下： 成熟业务：公司传统制冷和汽零业务保持领先地位 公司深耕传统制冷配件几十余载，多种产品在行业市占率位居前列;制冷配件业务25H1收入占比达 64%，为公司第一大营收来源。随着内销空调等家电保有量提升，出海市场空间广阔，有望刺激制冷配 件需求，而公司有望凭借行业优势地位保持业务稳健增长。汽零业务方面，公司凭借制冷配件多年积淀 进行底层技术迁移，在份额高度集中的全球热管理市场中，三花多品类份额居前，深度绑定国内外知名 传统燃油车及新能车的核心整车厂商，获得客户广泛认可。 新兴业务：储能&机器人业务打开成长天花板 储能热管理与传统制冷及车用热管理具有较高相 ...

三花智控新昌生产基地 赛力斯集团股份有限公司 从浙江新昌的一家制冷配件厂，到热管理零部件领域隐形冠军，再到实现"A+H"两地上市——这条路， 三花智控走了41年。2025年6月，三花智控董事长张亚波敲响了港交所的上市铜锣。 时间回到2024年。经历了一段时间的沉寂后，港股市场流动性复苏、估值逐步修复，中金公司捕捉到了 这一变化。 三花智控越南生产基地 赛力斯超级工厂生产线 中国国际金融股份有限公司 2025年6月，港交所交易大厅鸣锣声响起，三花智控——这家从制冷配件厂起步的企业，开启 了"A+H"上市的新征程。5个月后，总部位于重庆的车企赛力斯登陆港交所，成为国内首家"A+H"两地 上市的豪华新能源车企。 两家企业"A+H"上市，是中国制造向"中国智造"转型并积极拥抱全球化的缩影。以中金公司为代表的券 商全方位赋能国内企业，助力其实现价值出海、产品出海，在全球市场中塑造更具竞争力的中国品牌。 朝着一以贯之的市场化、法治化、国际化方向，我国资本市场对外开放纵深推进，助力科创企业获取国 际融资、对接全球规则、融入世界创新网络，有力推动了"科技—产业—金融"的良性循环。证券公司依 托于此，深度赋能企业国际化征程，这 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Shun'an Environment has experienced fluctuations, with a current price of 13.51 CNY per share, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 24.98% but a recent decline over the past five and twenty trading days [1] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Shun'an Environment reported a revenue of 9.723 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 769 million CNY, which is an 18.46% increase compared to the previous year [2] - The company has cumulatively distributed 739 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with no dividends distributed in the last three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Shun'an Environment increased by 19.80% to 46,800, while the average number of tradable shares per person decreased by 16.53% to 19,644 shares [2] - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 19.6622 million shares, an increase of 6.7727 million shares from the previous period, while Southern CSI 1000 ETF reduced its holdings by 54,700 shares [3] Market Activity - On November 3, Shun'an Environment's stock saw a decline of 2.03%, with a trading volume of 187 million CNY and a turnover rate of 1.48%, leading to a total market capitalization of 14.394 billion CNY [1] - The net outflow of main funds was 25.1461 million CNY, with significant selling pressure observed in large orders [1]

Core Insights - Company reported Q3 performance exceeding expectations with significant revenue and profit growth [1][3] Financial Performance - For Q1-3 2025, company achieved revenue of 24.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached 3.24 billion yuan, up 41% year-on-year [1] - Q3 alone saw revenue of 7.77 billion yuan, a 13% increase, and net profit of 1.13 billion yuan, growing 44% year-on-year [1] Business Segments - In the refrigeration parts sector, China's household air conditioning production reached 160 million units in the first three quarters of 2025, a 4.7% increase [2] - Domestic sales of air conditioners grew by 8% to 90.81 million units, driven by the "old-for-new" policy [2] - The company’s revenue growth in refrigeration parts is expected to align with the overall industry, despite a projected decline in demand in Q4 [2] Cost Management - Q3 gross profit margin was 28.02%, a slight decrease of 0.14 percentage points [3] - Effective control of selling, administrative, and financial expenses led to a net profit margin of 14.82%, an increase of 3.23 percentage points year-on-year [3] Profit Forecast - The company raised its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 4.04 billion, 4.46 billion, and 4.90 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting year-on-year growth of 30%, 10%, and 10% respectively [3] - Current price-to-earnings ratios are projected at 52, 47, and 43 times for the respective years [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - The company's Q3 performance exceeded expectations, with a revenue of 77.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13%, and a net profit of 11.32 billion yuan, up 44% year-on-year [6] - The report highlights effective cost control as a key factor for the strong Q3 performance, with a net profit margin of 14.82%, an increase of 3.23 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The company has raised its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 40.4 billion yuan, 44.6 billion yuan, and 49.0 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 30%, 10%, and 10% [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 31,736 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 13.6% [2] - The net profit for 2025 is estimated at 4,039 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 30.3% [2] - The gross profit margin is expected to remain stable, with a slight increase from 28.1% in 2025 to 28.3% in 2027 [2] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 49.93 yuan, with a market capitalization of 183,958 million yuan [3] - The price-to-earnings ratio is projected to decrease from 68 to 43 over the next few years [2][3] Business Segment Performance - The cooling parts segment is closely tied to the overall demand for household air conditioners, which saw a total production of 160 million units in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.7% [6] - The new energy vehicle thermal management business is expected to grow at a slower pace than the overall industry due to a decline in sales from key North American customers [6]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Shun'an Environment has experienced fluctuations, with a current price of 13.97 yuan per share, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 29.23% and a recent decline over the past 20 days [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Shun'an Environment reported a revenue of 9.723 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.15%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 769 million yuan, showing an increase of 18.46% compared to the previous year [2]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Shun'an Environment reached 46,800, an increase of 19.80% from the previous period. The average number of circulating shares per shareholder decreased by 16.53% to 19,644 shares [2]. Dividend Distribution - Since its A-share listing, Shun'an Environment has distributed a total of 739 million yuan in dividends. However, there have been no dividend distributions in the past three years [3]. Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the third-largest circulating shareholder, holding 19.6622 million shares, an increase of 6.7727 million shares from the previous period. The Southern CSI 1000 ETF has reduced its holdings by 54,700 shares, now holding 5.8431 million shares [3].

Core Points - The stock price of Shun'an Environment increased by 2.03% on October 29, reaching 14.09 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 15.012 billion CNY [1] - The company has seen a year-to-date stock price increase of 30.34%, with a recent 5-day increase of 4.53% and a 20-day decrease of 6.00% [1] - Shun'an Environment's main business includes the research, design, production, and sales of refrigeration parts and equipment, contributing 80.42% of its revenue [1] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Shun'an Environment reported a revenue of 9.723 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 769 million CNY, up 18.46% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 739 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with no dividends distributed in the past three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 19.80% to 46,800, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 16.53% to 19,644 shares [2] - Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the third-largest circulating shareholder, holding 19.6622 million shares, an increase of 6.7727 million shares from the previous period [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [6] Core Views - The company has shown stable revenue performance with a year-on-year increase in revenue of 4.1% for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 9.72 billion yuan, and a net profit increase of 18.5% to 770 million yuan [1] - The company is focusing on expanding its automotive thermal management business, which is expected to continue its growth trend [2] - The gross margin has improved to 19.3%, reversing the downward trend observed in the first half of the year, with a net profit margin of 7.8% [3] - The company is positioned as a leader in the refrigeration components sector, with ongoing structural upgrades in its home appliance business and a focus on high-growth areas such as new energy vehicle thermal management [4] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a net profit of 1.08 billion yuan, with corresponding dynamic P/E ratios of 13.9x, 11.8x, and 10.2x for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] - The revenue forecast for the years 2025 to 2027 is 13.47 billion yuan, 15.29 billion yuan, and 17.33 billion yuan, with growth rates of 6.26%, 13.50%, and 13.37% respectively [5] - The company’s net profit is expected to grow from 1.08 billion yuan in 2025 to 1.47 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 16.13% [5]