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研报掘金丨华福证券:首予陕西能源“买入”评级,目标价11.52元
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-09-18 09:34
Core Viewpoint - Shaanxi Energy leverages its coal resources in Shaanxi and Northwest China to implement a coal-electricity integration strategy, focusing on combined heat and power generation and comprehensive utilization [1] Business Segments Summary - The revenue distribution for 2024 is projected to be 76% from electricity, 21% from coal, and 2% from heat, with corresponding gross profit contributions of 65%, 35%, and -1% respectively [1] - The company's coal products primarily consist of thermal coal and chemical coal, with a dual approach of internal consumption and external sales to maximize profits based on coal price fluctuations [1] Operational Efficiency - The company achieves a balance between electricity generation capacity and coal production, with a coal-electricity integration and pithead power station capacity accounting for 61.57%, highlighting significant cost advantages [1] - 42.43% of the coal-electricity units are part of the "West-East Power Transmission" project, supporting electricity growth with strong cost and utilization hour guarantees [1] Competitive Positioning - Shaanxi Energy is recognized as a leading enterprise in the "coal-electricity-heat" full industry chain, demonstrating stronger profit stability compared to ordinary thermal power companies due to its coal-electricity integration advantages [1] - The company is better positioned to withstand performance declines during periods of falling coal prices compared to coal companies, and offers greater flexibility in internal consumption and external coal sales compared to other coal-electricity integrated enterprises [1] Financial Outlook - The company is expected to maintain stable and high dividend levels with potential for improvement, with a target price of 11.52 yuan based on a 16x PE for 2025, reflecting a valuation premium compared to comparable companies with an average PE of 12.3 [1]
陕西能源(001286):成长性煤电一体化企业,兼具分红潜力
Huafu Securities· 2025-09-18 08:18
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Shaanxi Energy with a target price of 11.52 CNY, reflecting a valuation premium based on its integrated coal-electricity business model [5][7]. Core Viewpoints - Shaanxi Energy is positioned as a leading integrated coal-electricity enterprise backed by the Shaanxi Investment Group, leveraging regional coal resources to implement a coal-electricity integration strategy [1][16]. - The company is expected to experience revenue growth in the coming years, with projected revenue growth rates of -13.1%, +15.7%, and +15.1% for 2025-2027, respectively [4][5]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Shaanxi Energy is a major player in the coal-electricity sector, focusing on efficient coal extraction and electricity generation, with a significant portion of its revenue derived from electricity and coal sales [2][19]. Coal Business - The company has a coal production capacity of 30 million tons per year, with 24 million tons currently in production and 6 million tons under construction. Future capacity could reach 46 million tons per year [3][39]. - The coal business generated 48.4 billion CNY in revenue in 2024, reflecting an 18.5% year-on-year increase, driven by optimized sales strategies [43][27]. Electricity Business - The company has a total approved coal power generation capacity of 17.25 million kilowatts, with 11.23 million kilowatts currently operational and 4.02 million kilowatts under construction [4][67]. - The electricity segment is expected to benefit from the commissioning of new power plants, contributing to revenue growth and maintaining a competitive edge in the market [66][72]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 23.16 billion CNY, with a net profit of 3.01 billion CNY, indicating a 17.7% increase in net profit year-on-year [22][6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 0.72 CNY, with a gradual increase to 0.96 CNY by 2027 [4][5]. Dividend Potential - The company is noted for its strong cash flow, which supports a stable and potentially increasing dividend payout, appealing to income-focused investors [5][6].