Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company reported better-than-expected Q2 performance, leading the industry in growth rates. For the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 269.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, with service revenue of 249.1 billion yuan, up 1.2%, surpassing the overall industry growth rate of 1.0% [1][2] - The company's EBITDA for the first half was 80.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.9%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 23.0 billion yuan, up 5.5%, indicating strong profitability [1] - The company is expected to maintain good growth in revenue, EBITDA, and net profit for the full year [2] Summary by Sections Business Performance - Mobile communication services revenue reached 106.6 billion yuan in the first half, growing 1.3% year-on-year. The number of mobile users reached 433 million, with a net increase of 8.19 million users, including 282 million 5G users, a net increase of 31.29 million, resulting in a 5G penetration rate of 65.2%, up 6.1 percentage points from the end of 2024 [3] - Fixed-line and smart home services revenue was 64.1 billion yuan, a 0.2% year-on-year increase, with broadband access revenue at 45.7 billion yuan, up 1.7% [3] Digital Business Development - The company's digital industry revenue was 74.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.5%. The AIDC revenue was 18.4 billion yuan, up 7.4%, while Tianyi Cloud's revenue reached 57.3 billion yuan, growing 3.8% [4] - The company has upgraded its computing infrastructure, with over 580,000 data center racks and a computing power scale of 77 EFLOPS, a 23% increase from the end of 2024 [4] Cost Management and Cash Flow - The company has implemented AI-driven cost management, resulting in a 0.9% year-on-year increase in operating expenses, with a decrease in network operation costs by 2.3% [5] - Capital expenditures decreased significantly by 27.5% year-on-year to 34.2 billion yuan, with free cash flow increasing by 13.9% [6][12] Shareholder Returns - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of 0.1812 yuan per share, an increase of 8.4% year-on-year, with a payout ratio of 72%, up 1.9 percentage points [13] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve revenue growth rates of 2.3%, 2.1%, and 2.0% for 2025-2027, with net profit growth rates of 6.4%, 6.2%, and 6.0% respectively. The corresponding P/E ratios are projected to be 19, 18, and 17 times [14]

Core Viewpoint - The three major telecom operators in China reported positive growth in net profit for the first half of 2025, while revenue growth showed divergence among them [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - China Telecom achieved operating revenue of 2694.22 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 230.17 billion yuan, up 5.5% [2]. - China Mobile reported operating revenue of 5437.69 billion yuan, a decline of 0.5%, but a net profit of 842.35 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 5% [2]. - China Unicom's operating revenue reached 2002.02 billion yuan, growing by 1.5%, with a net profit of 63.49 billion yuan, an increase of 5.1% [2]. Group 2: Dividend Distribution - The three telecom operators plan a total interim dividend exceeding 740 billion yuan [3]. - China Telecom's interim profit distribution plan includes a cash dividend of 0.1812 yuan per share, totaling approximately 165.81 billion yuan, which is 72% of its net profit [3][5]. - China Mobile intends to distribute an interim dividend of 2.75 Hong Kong dollars per share, which is a 5.8% increase year-on-year, amounting to about 540 billion yuan [5]. - China Unicom plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.112 yuan per 10 shares, totaling around 34.77 billion yuan [7].

Group 1: Company Performance - China Telecom (601728) reported a revenue of 2694.22 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 1.3% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 230.17 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.53% [1] - The company plans to distribute an interim cash dividend of 0.1812 yuan per share (tax included) [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The National Development and Reform Commission is preparing the "14th Five-Year" marine economy development plan, focusing on innovation-driven growth and the transformation of traditional marine industries [2] - The marine economy's total production value is expected to exceed 10 trillion yuan for the first time in 2024, doubling since 2012 [2] - The marine economy is recognized as a strategic priority, with an emphasis on deep-sea technology and the integration of marine communication as a key infrastructure for future 6G networks [2] Group 3: Stock Market Activity - Several marine technology concept stocks have seen significant inflows from financing clients, with major stocks like Jili Rigging and Weichai Heavy Industry showing substantial price increases [3][4] - China Shipbuilding's net profit is projected to be between 28 billion and 31 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 98.25% to 119.49% [4] - Financing net inflows for key stocks include China Shipbuilding at 4.43 billion yuan, China Ship Defense at 1.46 billion yuan, and Diweier at 1.1 billion yuan [5][6]

中国电信（601728）(00728)发布截至2025年6月30日止的中期业绩，该集团取得经营收入人民币2714.69 亿元(单位下同)，同比增加1.3%;公司股东应占利润230.17亿元，同比增加5.52%;每股基本净利润0.25 元，拟派发中期股息每股0.1812元。 公司持续推动创新引领的基础和产数业务双轮驱动融合发展，基础业务稳健增长，战略新兴业务快速发 展。2025年上半年，公司移动通信服务收入达到1066亿元，同比增长1.3%;固网及智慧家庭服务收入达 到641亿元，同比增长0.2%;移动用户达到4.33亿户，宽带用户达到1.99 亿户，移动用户ARPU达到46.0 元，宽带综合ARPU达到48.3 元。产业数字化收入达到749亿元，AIDC收入同比增长7.4%。 战新重点产品收入保持较快增长，天翼云收入达到573亿元;智能收入达到63亿元，同比增长89.4%;安全 收入达到91亿元，同比增长 18.2%;视联网收入同比增长46.2%，卫星收入同比增长20.5%，量子收入同 比增长171.1%。 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is expected to maintain stable revenue from traditional communication services while achieving significant growth in digital services, with a projected CAGR of 15% from 2020 to 2024 for digital services [5][22] - The company is positioned to benefit from advancements in satellite communication and quantum technology, which are anticipated to drive future growth [5][49] - The company has a strong dividend yield, with a projected cash dividend of 23.8 billion yuan in 2024, representing 72% of net profit attributable to shareholders [5][21] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The company's stock has shown a relative performance against the CSI 300 index, with a decline of 23% from June 2024 to October 2024 [2] Financial Data and Forecasts - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 507.84 billion yuan in 2023 to 586.73 billion yuan by 2027, with a net profit increase from 30.45 billion yuan to 40.59 billion yuan over the same period [6] - The company’s PE ratios for 2025-2027 are estimated at 21.02, 19.33, and 18.08, respectively, which are higher than the average PE ratios of comparable companies [5][6] Business Overview - The company’s traditional communication business remains robust, contributing 3,282 billion yuan in revenue by 2024, although its proportion of total revenue is expected to decline from 73% in 2020 to 63% in 2024 [5][22] - Digital services are projected to grow significantly, increasing from 840 billion yuan in 2020 to 1,466 billion yuan in 2024, enhancing the overall revenue mix [5][22] Capital Expenditure - The company’s capital expenditure peaked at 98.8 billion yuan in 2023, with a slight decrease to 93.5 billion yuan in 2024, and is expected to stabilize at 83.6 billion yuan in 2025 [5][29] Future Growth Drivers - The company is actively pursuing advancements in quantum technology and satellite communications, with significant investments in these areas expected to yield high growth potential [5][49] - The launch of 5G-A services is anticipated to create new opportunities in wireless communication, supported by government policies and operational initiatives [50]