Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.753 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year decline of 10.1% [1] - Profit for the same period was 58.71 million yuan, down 13.7% year-on-year [1] Brand Performance - The core brands, including Tai Er, Song Hotpot, and Jiu Mao Jiu, are all facing performance declines [1] - Tai Er's revenue decreased by 13.3%, Song Hotpot's by 3.5%, and Jiu Mao Jiu's by 22.6% [1] Store Closures - The company closed 88 stores in the first half of the year, primarily due to expired lease agreements and unsatisfactory performance [1] - Tai Er brand saw the closure of 71 stores, marking the first contraction in its store count [1] Strategic Challenges - The multi-brand strategy of the company is facing challenges, as the sub-brands have not been able to sustain growth [1] - Same-store sales and table turnover rates have both declined, indicating ongoing weakness in individual store performance [1]

Core Viewpoint - Jiamaojiu (09922) has experienced a significant decline in stock price, dropping over 3% following the release of its mid-year results for 2025, indicating ongoing challenges in the restaurant industry [1] Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 2.753 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decrease of 10.1% [1] - The profit attributable to equity shareholders was 60.691 million yuan, down 16% compared to the previous year [1] Same-Store Sales - The same-store sales growth rates for the company's main brands were as follows: Taier at -19.0%, Song Hotpot at -20.1%, and Jiamaojiu at -19.8% [1] Store Closures - In the first half of the year, the company closed a net total of 88 stores, primarily due to the expiration of lease agreements and underperformance of certain restaurants [1] Analyst Revisions - Morgan Stanley has revised its earnings per share forecasts for Jiamaojiu for 2025 to 2027 down by 9%, 6%, and 10% respectively, reflecting weaker-than-expected demand year-to-date [1] - The target price has been adjusted from 2.3 HKD to 2.1 HKD, maintaining a "Reduce" rating [1] Market Impact - The company is expected to face selling pressure in the short term due to its removal from the Hang Seng Composite Index effective September 8, which will exclude it from the Hong Kong Stock Connect program [1] - As of August 22, southbound funds held 311.7 million shares, accounting for 22.3% of the total share capital and 44.4% of the free float [1]

Core Viewpoint - Jiumaojiu (09922) has experienced a decline of over 3%, with a current price of 2.61 HKD and a trading volume of 57.16 million HKD, following the release of its mid-year results for 2025, which showed a significant drop in revenue and profit [1] Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 2.753 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 10.1% [1] - The profit attributable to equity shareholders was 60.69 million RMB, down 16% year-on-year [1] Same-store Sales Data - The same-store sales growth rates for the company's main brands were as follows: - Taier: -19.0% - Song Hotpot: -20.1% - Jiumaojiu: -19.8% [1] Store Closures - In the first half of the year, the company closed 88 stores, primarily due to the expiration of lease agreements and underperformance of certain restaurants [1] Analyst Forecasts - Morgan Stanley has revised its earnings per share forecasts for Jiumaojiu for 2025 to 2027 down by 9%, 6%, and 10% respectively, reflecting weaker-than-expected demand year-to-date [1] - The target price has been adjusted from 2.3 HKD to 2.1 HKD, maintaining a "Reduce" rating [1] Market Impact - The company is expected to face significant selling pressure in the short term due to its removal from the Hang Seng Composite Index effective September 8, which will exclude it from the Hong Kong Stock Connect program [1] - As of August 22, southbound funds held 311.7 million shares, accounting for 22.3% of the total share capital and 44.4% of the free float [1]

Core Viewpoint - Jiumaojiu (09922) experienced a nearly 6% decline in stock price, attributed to disappointing financial results and ongoing challenges in same-store sales performance [1] Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 2.753 billion RMB for the six months ending June 30, 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of 10.1% [1] - The profit attributable to equity shareholders was 60.691 million RMB, down 16% compared to the previous year [1] Same-Store Sales - The same-store sales growth rates for the company's main brands were as follows: Taier at -19.0%, Song Hotpot at -20.1%, and Jiumaojiu at -19.8% [1] Store Closures - In the first half of the year, the company closed a net total of 88 stores, primarily due to the expiration of lease agreements and underperformance of certain restaurants [1] Analyst Outlook - Huatai Securities has adjusted its profit forecasts for the company, lowering the net profit estimates for 2025-2027 by 11%, 1%, and 4% to 132 million, 252 million, and 310 million RMB, respectively [1] - Corresponding earnings per share (EPS) estimates are revised to 0.09, 0.18, and 0.22 RMB for the same periods [1]

Core Viewpoint - Jiumaojiu (09922) experienced a nearly 6% decline in stock price, attributed to disappointing financial results and store performance [1] Financial Performance - The company reported revenue of 2.753 billion RMB for the six months ending June 30, 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of 10.1% [1] - The profit attributable to equity shareholders was 60.691 million RMB, down 16% year-on-year [1] Same-store Sales - Same-store sales growth rates for the main brands were as follows: Taier at -19.0%, Song Hotpot at -20.1%, and Jiumaojiu at -19.8% [1] Store Closures - The company closed a net total of 88 stores in the first half of the year, primarily due to the expiration of lease agreements and underperformance of certain restaurants [1] Analyst Adjustments - Huatai Securities downgraded the company's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 by 11%, 1%, and 4% to 132 million, 252 million, and 310 million RMB, respectively, with corresponding EPS estimates of 0.09, 0.18, and 0.22 RMB [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a neutral rating for the company, with a target price adjusted to HKD 2.79, indicating a potential decline of 3.1% from the current price of HKD 2.88 [2][17]. Core Insights - The company continues to face operational pressures in Q2, leading to a downward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2027. The same-store sales for key brands have shown a decline, with the company adjusting its strategies to stabilize performance [6][19]. - Despite the challenges, there are signs of improvement in the core brand's performance, with expectations for marginal recovery in the second half of the year as store adjustments take effect [6][19]. - The company has reduced its store count by 51 in Q2, primarily due to structural adjustments of underperforming locations, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency moving forward [6][19]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for 2025 have been revised down to RMB 5,615 million, reflecting a decrease of approximately 6.6% from previous estimates. Net profit forecasts have also been adjusted down to RMB 153 million for 2025, a reduction of 31.3% [5][7][19]. - The company’s financial metrics indicate a significant drop in earnings per share (EPS) for 2024, with a forecast of RMB 0.04, down from RMB 0.31 in 2023. The EPS is expected to recover gradually in subsequent years [5][19]. - The report highlights a stable gross margin of around 64.3% for 2025, although operating and net profit margins are projected to decline slightly [7][21].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 6.07 billion yuan for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.5%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders dropped to 60 million yuan, a decrease of 87.7% [4][8] - The company is undergoing operational adjustments due to a challenging market environment, which has led to negative same-store sales growth across its brands [7][8] - The company plans to adopt a cautious approach towards domestic store openings while aiming for steady international expansion [7][8] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 6.07 billion yuan, with a net profit of 60 million yuan, down from the previous year [4][8] - The operating profit margin for the company decreased to 4.2%, a decline of 6.4 percentage points year-on-year [6][8] Operational Adjustments - The company is implementing several operational strategies, including reducing discounts, focusing on product development, and optimizing store operations [7] - The company closed underperforming stores and adjusted employee configurations to lower operational costs [7] Future Outlook - The company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 125 million yuan and 175 million yuan, respectively, reflecting a significant downward adjustment [8] - The company aims to maintain a stable employee cost ratio while optimizing other cost areas [7][8]