Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent adjustments to the Hang Seng Index and its implications for investors, highlighting the inclusion and exclusion of specific stocks and the expected capital flows resulting from these changes [2][3][5]. Group 1: Hang Seng Index Adjustments - The Hang Seng Index has included China Telecom, JD Logistics, and Pop Mart, with respective weights of 1.44%, 0.51%, and 0.22%, increasing the total number of constituent stocks to 88 [3]. - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index has added Pop Mart with a weight of 2.10%, while Jitu Express has been removed, maintaining the total number of constituent stocks at 50 [3]. - The Hang Seng Technology Index saw no changes, keeping its 30 constituent stocks unchanged [3]. Group 2: Capital Flow Implications - For the Hang Seng Index, the expected capital inflows from the newly included stocks are approximately $160 million for China Telecom, $68.74 million for JD Logistics, and $45 million for Pop Mart, with respective inflow durations of 4.4 days, 3.5 days, and 1.0 day [3]. - The potential capital outflow from China Bank due to weight changes could reach $12 million, with an outflow duration of about 0.6 days [3]. - In the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, Pop Mart is expected to bring in $15 million, with an inflow duration of approximately 0.3 days, while Jitu Express may see an outflow of about $4.993 million over 1.2 days [4]. Group 3: Hong Kong Stock Connect Adjustments - The article anticipates 20 new stocks to be included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, with 19 stocks likely to be removed, aligning closely with previous predictions [5]. - The potential new additions include companies such as China Foods, Caocao Travel, and Nanshan Aluminum International, while removals include companies like Xirui and Youkang Vision [5]. Group 4: Implementation Timeline - The adjustments will be implemented on September 5 and will officially take effect on September 8, with passive funds expected to rebalance their portfolios on the implementation date, leading to significant trading volume increases [7].

Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Index Company will announce the results of the Hang Seng series index adjustments on August 22, 2025, with implementation on September 8, 2025. Potential candidates for inclusion include Bank of Communications, Pop Mart, Yum China, Xpeng Motors, Huazhu Group, JD Logistics, and Innovent Biologics, based on market capitalization and industry representation [1][2][3]. Group 1: Index Adjustment Details - The semi-annual review will affect major indices such as the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and Hang Seng Tech Index, with significant changes expected due to the large scale of passive funds tracking these indices, estimated at approximately $30.35 billion for the Hang Seng Index, $6.63 billion for the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and $26.12 billion for the Hang Seng Tech Index [2][6]. - The adjustment will be based on a new calculation method for the average market capitalization over the past 12 months, focusing on non-suspended trading days, which may impact the inclusion and exclusion of stocks [4][5]. Group 2: Potential Candidates for Inclusion - The potential candidates for inclusion in the Hang Seng Index are estimated based on market capitalization rankings and industry representation, with the following companies identified: Bank of Communications, Pop Mart, Yum China, Xpeng Motors, Huazhu Group, JD Logistics, and Innovent Biologics [3][4]. - Historical data indicates that predictions for index inclusion may not always align with actual results, as seen with Innovent Biologics in previous adjustments, suggesting that non-quantitative factors may influence final decisions [3]. Group 3: Hong Kong Stock Connect Adjustments - An estimated 19 companies are expected to be included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, while 17 may be removed due to market capitalization and other criteria [4][5]. - Companies listed in both A and H shares may be directly included in the Stock Connect after a price stabilization period, with recent listings such as Sanhua Intelligent Controls and others expected to join [5]. Group 4: Timeline and Trading Implications - The official announcement of the index adjustments will occur after market close on August 22, 2025, with the changes taking effect on September 8, 2025. Active funds may engage in arbitrage based on the results, while passive funds will likely adjust their holdings on September 5, leading to potential abnormal trading volumes [1][6].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming semi-annual review results of the Hang Seng Index series, which will be announced on August 22, 2025, and the potential adjustments to the index constituents that could impact significant passive fund flows [1]. Group 1: Hang Seng Index Adjustments - Potential candidates for inclusion in the Hang Seng Index include Bank of Communications, Pop Mart, Yum China, XPeng Motors, Huazhu Group, JD Logistics, and Innovent Biologics, based on market capitalization and industry representation [2]. - Historical data indicates that actual results may differ significantly from predictions based on market capitalization rankings, as non-quantitative factors may influence the final decisions [2]. Group 2: Hong Kong Stock Connect Adjustments - An estimated 19 companies are expected to be added to the Hong Kong Stock Connect, while 17 may be removed, influenced by the recent changes in the calculation method for average market capitalization [3]. - The new method for calculating average market capitalization now considers the average market value on non-suspended trading days, which may affect the eligibility of certain stocks [3]. Group 3: Inclusion and Exclusion Criteria - The criteria for inclusion in the Hong Kong Stock Connect require companies to meet specific market capitalization thresholds and other conditions, such as being listed for at least six months and having a market cap above HKD 5 billion [4]. - Companies that do not meet the criteria, such as those with market caps below HKD 4 billion or those that are suspended, may be excluded from the Stock Connect [4]. Group 4: Timeline and Market Impact - The official results of the index adjustments will be announced on August 22, 2025, and will take effect on September 8, 2025, with subsequent adjustments to the investable universe for the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges [5]. - Following the announcement, there may be significant trading volume spikes as active funds may engage in arbitrage, while passive funds will likely adjust their holdings to minimize tracking errors [5]. Group 5: ETF Fund Sizes - The article provides data on the sizes of ETFs tracking the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and Hang Seng Tech Index, with total assets of approximately USD 30.353 billion, USD 6.629 billion, and USD 26.119 billion respectively [6].

Core Insights - The report predicts that the Hang Seng Index will announce its second-quarter component stock review on August 22, 2025, with changes effective from September 8, 2025, impacting the Hong Kong Stock Connect [3] - It is anticipated that 20 stocks will gain eligibility for the Hong Kong Stock Connect, while 13 stocks may lose their eligibility [3] - The report highlights that companies listed in both A and H shares can enter the Hong Kong Stock Connect quickly, with Hai Tian Wei Ye (3288.HK) and Sanhua Intelligent Control (2050.HK) expected to be included in July [3] Selection Criteria - The selection criteria for the Hang Seng Composite Index include market capitalization and trading volume, with a focus on the top 95% of stocks based on average market capitalization over the past 12 months [3] - Stocks listed for less than 12 months will be ranked based on their average market capitalization since listing, while new entrants must meet slightly higher standards [3] - The trading volume requirement mandates that stocks must meet a minimum liquidity threshold for at least 10 months in the past year [3] Potential Inclusions and Exclusions - A list of potential stocks for inclusion in the Hong Kong Stock Connect includes: - Ying En Biological-B (9606.HK) with a market cap of 24.42 billion HKD - Nanshan Aluminum International (2610.HK) with a market cap of 23.81 billion HKD - Blue Moon Group (6993.HK) with a market cap of 23.80 billion HKD - Others include Cao Cao Chuxing (2643.HK), Kangnai Optical (2276.HK), and more [4] - Stocks that may be excluded from the Hong Kong Stock Connect include: - China Oriental Group (0581.HK) with a market cap of 5.66 billion HKD - Jin Di Commercial Property (0535.HK) with a market cap of 5.32 billion HKD - Others include Zhou Hei Ya (1458.HK), and more [4]