作者 | 周智宇 编辑 | 张晓玲 2025年，全球智驾行业正经历一场范式转移。过去十年，自动驾驶是实验室里的代码游戏，是靠Demo 和PPT堆砌的幻梦；而现在，这门生意正式从虚空坠入实地，开始在财务报表上硬碰硬。 当曾经光环满身的L4独角兽因无法跨越规模生死线而陷入停摆，先行者们已经悄然扣响了盈利的大 门。2025年二季度，百度萝卜快跑在武汉实现收支平衡；11月，小马智行宣布其第七代Robotaxi在广州 实现单位经济模型（UE）转正。 小马智行联合创始人、CFO王皓俊在近期的采访中对华尔街见闻表示，能够在广州实现UE转正，意味 着小马智行在规模上量的过程中，逐渐打磨出一个标准的运营流程，能够赋能给小马智行的合作伙伴。 王皓俊认为，前几年Robotaxi的商业化还更多处于0到1的阶段，现在已经逐渐进入到了一个1到100、1 到1000的阶段。 一张清晰的商业化时间表已经浮出水面：从2025年底冲击千辆级车队，2026年提升至3000辆，到2030年 迈向10万辆规模，Robotaxi将成为人们日常生活的一部分。 商业闭环 这意味着，Robotaxi的竞争主战场已经转移。当单车硬件成本下探至25万人民币的生死 ...

Core Viewpoint - The seventh-generation Robotaxi from Xiaoma Zhixing has officially launched operations, showcasing the company's commitment to scaling up its autonomous taxi services and laying the groundwork for a fleet of 1,000 vehicles by the end of 2025 [3][14]. Group 1: Product Features - The seventh-generation Robotaxi utilizes 100% automotive-grade components, designed for a lifespan of 600,000 kilometers, and has reduced the total cost of the autonomous driving suite by 70% compared to the previous generation, facilitating mass production and operational deployment [4]. - It is the world's first Robotaxi model to achieve L4-level full-scene autonomous driving based on automotive-grade SoC chips [4]. - The vehicle has undergone extensive testing, including over 3.5 million kilometers of public road testing, ensuring its readiness for passenger service [4]. Group 2: User Experience - The Robotaxi features a unique welcoming system that recognizes passengers via Bluetooth, automatically unlocking the doors, and includes customizable LED welcome lights for a personalized experience [6][9]. - Passengers can adjust the air conditioning or open windows via the app before boarding, and initiate the journey using voice commands after securing their seatbelts [9]. - The vehicle's interior is designed for enhanced user interaction, allowing real-time access to trip details, music control, and climate settings, with plans for full voice interaction in the future [9]. Group 3: Safety and Comfort - The seventh-generation Robotaxi is equipped with 34 sensors, including 9 LiDARs and 14 cameras, providing 360-degree coverage and detecting objects up to 650 meters away, ensuring safety across various driving conditions [10][13]. - The vehicle employs a multi-system redundancy architecture with over 20 safety redundancies and more than 1,000 monitoring designs to guarantee operational safety [13]. - An SOS physical button is included for emergency situations, allowing passengers to call for assistance quickly [13][17]. Group 4: Market Position - Xiaoma Zhixing is the only company operating fully autonomous Robotaxis in major cities such as Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen, with a fleet of over 720 vehicles [14].

Group 1 - The 15th National Games' torch relay was launched simultaneously in Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Hong Kong, and Macau, marking the first official use of autonomous driving technology in the event [2] - Pony.ai's seventh-generation Robotaxi, equipped with advanced autonomous driving systems, successfully escorted the torch during the relay in Guangzhou [2][3] - Pony.ai has established a regular operation of autonomous Robotaxi services in major cities including Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen, with over 55 million kilometers of testing mileage and more than 1 million kilometers of fully autonomous driving [2][3] Group 2 - The seventh-generation Robotaxi features 34 sensors for 360° perception and can detect objects up to 650 meters away, showcasing significant advancements in technology [3] - The vehicle is powered by Pony.ai's self-developed L4-level domain controller and is equipped with four Orin-X chips, improving computational efficiency by three times compared to the previous generation [3] - Pony.ai is the only company in China to operate Robotaxi services for a fee in four major cities, providing a model for intelligent urban transportation [3] Group 3 - During the National Games, Pony.ai will offer autonomous driving services in key areas of Guangzhou and Shenzhen, ensuring efficient transportation for attendees and media [4] - The company plans to launch multiple dedicated routes covering essential venues, media centers, hotels, airports, and train stations, promoting a smart and low-carbon travel experience [4]

Core Insights - Robotaxi is transitioning from a sci-fi concept to a practical urban transportation solution, with companies like Pony.ai leading the charge in major cities [1] - The industry is expected to see a significant increase in production and operational scale by 2025, marking a pivotal year for Robotaxi commercialization [2] - Key prerequisites for mass production include product, technology, and operational capabilities, which Pony.ai claims to have achieved [2][3] Industry Developments - Robotaxi operations have expanded into busier urban areas, with recent services launched in Beijing and Shenzhen, indicating a growing acceptance and integration of autonomous vehicles in public transport [1][2] - The cumulative operational hours for Pony.ai's fully autonomous Robotaxi have exceeded 500,000, demonstrating its capability for all-weather and all-scenario operations [3] - Strategic partnerships, such as the one with Tencent Cloud, are being formed to enhance the development and deployment of Robotaxi services [3] Market Strategy - The focus is on increasing the density of Robotaxi services in major cities, with a target of having at least 10% of the existing vehicle market to create a network effect [5] - Pony.ai aims to achieve a break-even point by 2028 or 2029, requiring a fleet of approximately 50,000 Robotaxis to reach profitability [5] - The company prioritizes its Robotaxi business in China, particularly in first-tier cities, to refine service experiences before expanding to broader markets [5]