Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company is transitioning from automotive manufacturing to AI technology, with significant growth expected in revenue and profit margins by 2026 [1][8] - The company plans to launch seven new models in 2026, focusing on both pure electric and extended-range vehicles, while expanding its global presence [8][41] - The Robotaxi segment is anticipated to reshape the Chinese transportation market, with commercial operations expected to accelerate in 2026 [8][50] Summary by Sections C-end Smart Vehicles - The company aims to build a "mass production capability" for multiple successful vehicle models, leveraging a platform-based technology approach [14][15] - The introduction of the X9 EREV model highlights the company's focus on long-range capabilities and efficient energy consumption [23][30] - The company has achieved significant growth in monthly deliveries, indicating a successful product strategy [20][41] B-end Robotaxi - The company is positioned to benefit from favorable policies and technological advancements in the Robotaxi market, with expectations for commercial operations to begin in 2026 [50] - The Robotaxi project is expected to leverage the company's AI capabilities and innovative business models to capture market share [8][50] Collaboration with Volkswagen - The partnership with Volkswagen has evolved from joint vehicle development to deeper collaboration on electronic architecture and AI technology [8][24] - The collaboration is expected to enhance the company's market position as a provider of intelligent technology solutions [8][24] Robotics and Flying Cars - The company is advancing its robotics initiatives, with plans for commercial applications of its IRON robot in various service scenarios by 2026 [8][24] - The flying car project is nearing production, with successful test flights and significant pre-orders indicating strong market interest [8][24]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an investment rating of "Outperform the Market" for the automotive industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the relevant market index [5]. Core Insights - The report highlights that Xiaopeng Motors reported a narrowing net loss of 380 million yuan in Q3 2025, with a gross margin exceeding 20%. The company anticipates Q4 2025 vehicle deliveries to be approximately 125,000 to 132,000 units, representing a year-on-year growth of about 36.6% to 44.3% [2]. - Xiaopeng's total revenue for Q3 2025 reached 20.38 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 101.8%. The automotive sales revenue was 18.05 billion yuan, up 105.3% year-on-year [2]. - The report emphasizes the strong growth in vehicle deliveries, with Q3 2025 deliveries reaching 116,007 units, a year-on-year increase of 149.3% [2]. - The company is focusing on dual-energy products and plans to launch several long-range extended-range models in 2026, aiming to capture the traditional fuel vehicle market in northern and inland cities [2]. - Xiaopeng is advancing its technology strategy centered on physical AI, with plans for significant upgrades in smart driving capabilities and the introduction of Robotaxi models by 2026 [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Xiaopeng's Q3 2025 total revenue was 20.38 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 20.1%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.8 percentage points. The net loss narrowed to 380 million yuan, showcasing improved cost control [2]. Market Expansion - The company reported a strong increase in overseas deliveries, surpassing 5,000 units in September 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 79%. The global sales network now covers 52 countries and regions [2]. Technological Development - Xiaopeng is focusing on the development of its self-researched Turing AI chip and plans to launch the VLA 2.0 model in Q1 2026, which is expected to enhance the smart driving experience significantly [2].

型及花 机械设备 2025 年 11 月 06 日 研究 行业 证券分析师 胡书捷 A0230524070007 husj@swsresearch.com 王珂 A0230521120002 wangke@swsresearch.com 戴文杰 A0230522100006 daiwj@swsresearch.com 邵翼 A0230524120001 shaoyi@swsresearch.com 联系人 胡书捷 A0230524070007 husj@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务号 表 1: 重点公司估值表 | 公司代码 | 公司简称 | 2025/11/5 | | EPS (元/股) | | | | PE | | | PB (LF) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 收盘价（元/股） | 24A | 25E | 26E | 27E | 24A | 25E | 26E | 27E | | | 09868 | 小鹏汽车-W | 87.70 | -3.03 | ...