事件：公司公布2025 年三季报，公司2025 前三季度实现营业收入1117.90亿元，同比增长15.52%，实现 归母净利润147.79 亿元，同比增长41.01%。 审慎经营降负债，海外业务探索推进。25 年三季度末公司资产负债率55.5%，若考虑10 月份已完成50 亿元权益分配，公司年初制定的降负债目标已经超额完成。未来公司仍会坚持审慎经营原则，争取将资 产负债率降至50%以下。公司港股上市处于证监会备案环节，正在按照流程推进，本次港股发行募集的 资金主要用于拓展公司全球业务。公司积极探索海外业务发展机会，近期公司与BAF 越南公司签署合 作协议，将在越南建设运营楼房养殖项目，将自身技术与体系复制到海外，为公司创造新的增长点。 公司盈利预测及投资评级：我们看好公司作为生猪龙头企业的核心成本优势，预计公司25-27 年归母净 利分别为170.58、240.91 和341.71 亿元，EPS 为3.12、4.41 和6.26 元，PE 为16、12 和8 倍，维持"强烈 推荐"评级。 风险提示：公司生猪销售不及预期，生猪价格波动风险，生猪疫病风险等。 生猪增量降本，成本优势进一步强化。公司25 年前三季度 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is continuously improving its pig farming operations, leading to a decrease in breeding costs, while the slaughtering business has significantly increased its capacity utilization and profitability, driving high-quality development [1]. Investment Highlights - The investment recommendation is to maintain a "Buy" rating with a target price of 50.8 yuan. The projected EPS for 2025-2027 is 2.54, 4.81, and 6.77 yuan respectively. The company's pig output continues to grow, and the profitability of the slaughtering business is improving. Compared to peers, the company remains a leader in the industry, combining growth and value attributes, with a 20x valuation for 2025 corresponding to the target price of 50.8 yuan [2]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 36.06 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.26%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.49 billion yuan, marking a turnaround from losses. The net cash flow from operating activities was 7.51 billion yuan, up 48.1% year-on-year [2]. - The company reported a pig output of 22.658 million heads in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 41.5%, with 18.395 million commodity pigs, 4.149 million piglets, and 113,000 breeding pigs [2]. Cost Management - The complete cost of pig farming in March 2025 has decreased to 12.5 yuan/kg, showing continuous optimization. The company is expected to enhance production indicators through health management and breeding improvements, while promoting excellent farm management practices to further reduce breeding costs [2]. Slaughtering Business Performance - The company slaughtered 5.32 million pigs in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 81%. The slaughtering capacity utilization rate improved significantly from 40% in Q1 2024 to 73% in Q1 2025. The company plans to further expand the market, strengthen channel construction, and optimize customer and product structures to enhance profitability [3].