0826强势股脱水 | 财报披露关键期，它们代表了 部分景气度方向 2025/08/26 16:38 ①养猪：龙头中报净利润同比增长超十倍，近期还有发改委准备收储加持，公司有望凭借成本优 势在"反内卷"中进一步提升行业地位。 ②CPO：得益于AI爆发，公司高速光模块配套的光无源和有源器件需求大增，客户订单快速转化 为收入，此外公司参与英伟达CPO供应链，相关产品已实现小批量交付。 ③企业Agent：它已有覆盖二十余个工业场景的应用Agent以及多款工业软件智能助手产品，落地 了多个亿级大项目，还和华为紧密合作打造针对不同行业需求的公有云应用解决方案。在2025年 华为中国合作伙伴大会上，新晋为华为优选级解决方案开发伙伴。 本文是对当日大涨公司进行研报深度复盘，相关个股信息仅供参考，不构成投资建议。 1、牧原股份：10倍业绩增长 （1）大涨题材：养猪+业绩增长 公司公布中报净利润105.3亿，同比增长1169.77%，主要得益于"生猪出栏量增加及养殖成本 的持续下降带来的盈利能力提升"。 出栏量上，25年1-7月，公司累计销售商品猪4474.90万头，同比增长16.1%。养殖成本上， 年初至今成本逐月下降，25 ...

消费电子午后爆发。 在8月25日放量大涨过后，A股今日（8月26日）整体保持震荡走势。AI芯片、创新药、稀土永磁等前期 热门板块有所调整，低位滞涨方向获资金流入；游戏、化工、农林牧渔、消费电子等板块表现较为活 跃。在此背景下，今日两市股指在低开后展开温和震荡调整走势，深证成指表现相对强势。 截至收盘，上证指数跌0.39%，报3868.38，盘中一度上涨至3888.60点，刷新2015年以来新高；深证成 指涨0.26%，创业板指跌0.75%。全市场超2800只股票上涨。 港股市场今日也有所调整，午后跌幅进一步扩大。截至发稿，恒生指数跌超1%，恒生科技指数跌近 1%，国企指数跌约1%。 华为概念股集体走高 8月26日，华为概念股表现比较强势，华为鲲鹏指数、华为鸿蒙指数盘中均上涨超2%。 华为鲲鹏指数中的君逸数码(301172)实现20%涨停，航天宏图大涨超10%；华为鸿蒙指数中的拓维信息 涨停，润和软件、常山北明等多股跟涨。 据悉，华为将于8月27日发布全新AI SSD（固态硬盘）产品，或将对中国AI存储器市场的现有格局产生 重要影响。 消息面上，8月25日，鸿蒙智行秋季新品发布会上，上汽与华为合作打造的"尚界" ...

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Summary of Conference Call Notes Company and Industry Overview - **Industry**: Financial Technology, Semiconductor, Chemical, Military, Agriculture, and New Consumption - **Key Companies**: Tianyang Technology, Wentai Technology, Wanhu Chemical, Gaode Hongai, Muyuan Co., Ltd., Chuan Yi Co., Ltd., Lao Pu Gold, Li Gao Video, and Long Sheng. Key Points and Arguments Tianyang Technology - **Market Position**: Leading in card solutions, with financial services accounting for about one-third and fintech solutions for two-thirds of revenue [2] - **Revenue**: Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 1.76 billion, down 8% year-on-year, with net profit at 78 million, also showing a decline [2] - **Growth Opportunities**: Key business areas like corporate credit are expected to grow over the next three years [2][4] Wentai Technology - **Business Segments**: Divided into product integration and semiconductor businesses, with the latter showing revenue growth in the first half of the year [5][6] - **Market Trends**: The semiconductor segment's revenue is expected to grow, particularly in automotive applications, which account for over 60% of revenue [6][7] - **Future Projections**: Expected revenue decline in product integration but significant profit growth in semiconductors projected for 2025-2027 [8] Wanhu Chemical - **Market Dynamics**: TDI prices are expected to rise due to supply shortages caused by maintenance and accidents at production facilities [9][10] - **Price Trends**: Domestic TDI prices increased by 32% recently, indicating strong demand and supply constraints [10][11] - **Industry Outlook**: Anticipated simultaneous price increases for TDI and MDI, benefiting leading companies like Wanhu [11] Gaode Hongai - **Business Expansion**: Transitioning from a supplier to a comprehensive weapon system provider, with significant contracts signed recently [12][13] - **Financial Performance**: Expected rapid growth in revenue and profit due to increased orders and successful project deliveries [14] Muyuan Co., Ltd. - **Market Position**: Positioned well in the agricultural sector with a focus on cost advantages and stable profit margins [15][19] - **Price Stability**: Government policies are expected to stabilize pork prices, reducing downward pressure on prices [17][18] - **Future Projections**: Anticipated price increases for pork in the coming year, benefiting the company's profitability [18][20] Chuan Yi Co., Ltd. - **Industry Position**: A leading automation instrument company with significant growth potential in domestic and international markets [24][25] - **Market Trends**: Expected growth in demand due to infrastructure projects and a low industry base [24] Lao Pu Gold - **Financial Performance**: Significant revenue growth projected for the first half of the year, with expectations for continued strong performance [27][28] - **Market Outlook**: Anticipated strong demand and expansion in new store openings contributing to revenue growth [28] Li Gao Video - **Market Dynamics**: Stable performance in the supply chain, with growth in revenue and profit despite market pressures [30] - **Product Innovation**: Introduction of new products in response to regulatory changes, enhancing market competitiveness [30][31] Long Sheng - **Cost Management**: Decrease in raw material costs, particularly oil, is expected to improve profit margins [32][33] - **Market Conditions**: Positive outlook due to government policies aimed at stabilizing the economy and improving PPI [34][35] Additional Important Insights - **Overall Market Trends**: The conference highlighted a general trend of companies adapting to market changes and government policies, with a focus on innovation and cost management across various sectors. - **Investment Recommendations**: Analysts recommended several companies as "golden stocks" based on their market positions, growth potential, and financial performance. This summary encapsulates the key insights and projections discussed during the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the companies and industries involved.

Industry News - The 2025 World Robot Conference held a press conference on August 2, where Xu Xiaolan, President of the China Electronics Society, stated that China continues to solidify its position as the world's largest industrial robot market, with sales increasing from 70,000 units in 2015 to 302,000 units in 2024, marking 12 consecutive years as the largest industrial robot market globally [3]. - The Zhejiang University Brain-Machine Intelligence National Key Laboratory announced the launch of a new generation of neuromorphic brain-like computer named "Darwin Monkey" (also known as "Wukong") on August 2. This computer supports over 2 billion pulse neurons and more than 100 billion synapses, with neuron counts approaching that of a macaque brain, operating at approximately 2000 watts under typical conditions [3]. Company News - Berkshire Hathaway A reported Q2 2025 revenue of $92.515 billion, exceeding expectations [5]. - As of August 1, 2025, Tim Cook has served as CEO of Apple for 5,091 days, surpassing Steve Jobs' tenure of 5,090 days, making him the longest-serving CEO in the company's history [5].

Industry News - China continues to solidify its position as the world's largest industrial robot market, with sales projected to grow from 70,000 units in 2015 to 302,000 units by 2024, marking 12 consecutive years of being the largest market globally [2] - The Zhejiang University Brain-Machine Intelligence National Key Laboratory unveiled a new generation of neuromorphic brain-like computer named "Darwin Monkey" (or "Wukong"), featuring over 2 billion pulse neurons and more than 100 billion synapses, with power consumption around 2000 watts in typical operation [2] Company News - Berkshire Hathaway reported Q2 2025 revenue of $92.515 billion, exceeding expectations [4] - As of August 1, 2025, Tim Cook has served as CEO of Apple for 5,091 days, surpassing Steve Jobs' tenure of 5,090 days, making him the longest-serving CEO in the company's history [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent focus on "anti-involution" in various industries, emphasizing the need to eliminate homogeneous or low-end production capacities and restore a reasonable pricing system to optimize the competitive environment and enhance innovation capabilities in foundational industries [1][3]. Group 1: Background and Current Situation - The main goal of the current "anti-involution" initiative is to address severe homogenization in competition, which has led to a collapse of the overall pricing system due to excess supply and stagnant demand growth [3][4]. - Industries affected include renewable energy, particularly solar power, automotive sectors, and traditional industries like steel, cement, and electrolytic aluminum, all of which have experienced downward trends in the past two years [4][5]. - The phenomenon of "involution" is characterized by price wars driven by market share competition, resulting in deteriorating profitability for many companies, particularly in the solar and renewable energy sectors [4][10]. Group 2: Demand and Supply Dynamics - Demand for traditional industries like steel and cement is closely tied to macroeconomic factors, especially real estate, which has seen a decline affecting related sectors [5][6]. - The solar industry experienced rapid growth of 40%-50% from 2021, but demand may fluctuate in the coming months due to policy changes [6]. - The supply side of these industries shows a commonality in underlying technologies and business models, leading to homogenization, although some segments are witnessing continuous technological innovation and product differentiation [6][7]. Group 3: Historical Context and Comparisons - The current "anti-involution" measures are compared to previous supply-side reforms in 1998 and 2016, highlighting the evolution of reform strategies as the economic landscape changes [7]. - The 1998 reforms focused on state-owned enterprises, while the 2016 reforms involved both state and private enterprises, with the current adjustments primarily affecting emerging industries dominated by private players [7]. Group 4: Mechanisms of Involution and Future Outlook - The rapid expansion of homogeneous production capacities is driven by factors such as talent mobility, innovation, and capital flow, leading to significant fluctuations in profitability [9][10]. - Future competition may shift from price to product differentiation and performance, depending on the market's focus on cost versus innovation [11][12]. Group 5: Investment Opportunities - Investment opportunities are anticipated in sectors like steel and solar energy, where certain companies are demonstrating resilience and competitive advantages despite the overall market challenges [16][17]. - The lithium battery supply chain is highlighted, with a distinction between the midstream battery segment, which is experiencing a bifurcation in profitability, and the upstream materials segment facing oversupply issues [16][17].

Group 1 - The company expects to turn a profit in the first half of 2025, with a projected net profit between 19 million and 25 million yuan, compared to a loss in the same period last year [1][2] - The seed business has shown significant growth, with rice seed sales increasing by over 100% and corn seed sales increasing by over 300% year-on-year [1] - The company has improved its feed business, with sales growth and reduced operating expenses due to enhanced management and efficiency [1] Group 2 - The company has reported a total of 3.8347 million pigs sold from its controlled and affiliated companies, representing a year-on-year increase of 34.64% [2] - Continuous improvements in production metrics and breeding capabilities have led to a decrease in pig farming costs, contributing to profitability in the pig farming segment [2]

Core Viewpoint - China Galaxy Securities indicates that based on the value of breeding sows and farming efficiency, pig prices in 2025 may show a downward trend year-on-year, while remaining relatively stable throughout the year. Additionally, profit expectations are exceeded due to declining costs, with a focus on high-quality pig companies that exhibit significant changes in marginal costs and have a good financial position [1]. Group 1 - The analysis suggests a potential year-on-year decline in pig prices for 2025 [1] - The pig market is expected to operate relatively steadily within the year [1] - Profit expectations are anticipated to exceed due to a decrease in costs [1] Group 2 - There is an emphasis on monitoring high-quality pig companies with significant changes in marginal costs [1] - Companies with a good financial position are highlighted as key areas of focus [1]