美国国务卿鲁比奥警告称，伊朗不愿与华盛顿讨论其弹道导弹计划，在周四旨在避免美军打击伊斯兰共 和国的谈判之前，这是一个"大问题"。 周三，鲁比奥在访问加勒比岛国圣基茨和尼维斯期间发表讲话，试图为可能对伊朗进行的武装干预加强 理由。此前一天，美国总统特朗普指责德黑兰在其核计划方面怀有"险恶"意图。 关于伊朗的弹道导弹，鲁比奥表示德黑兰"拒绝与我们或任何人讨论弹道导弹问题，这是一个大问题"。 这位美国最高外交官表示，伊斯兰共和国拥有"数千枚短程弹道导弹"，威胁着该地区的美军及其基地和 合作伙伴。他补充说，德黑兰还拥有"威胁航运并试图威胁美国海军"的海军资产，以及"旨在攻击美 国"的常规武器。 伊朗领导人坚持认为他们的核计划完全是用于和平目的，任何协议都必须承认他们所谓的伊朗在《不扩 散核武器条约》下浓缩铀的权利。 德黑兰还表示，不会同意美国提出的限制其弹道导弹计划或遏制其支持反以色列武装团体的单独要求。 当被问及周四是否是外交的最后机会时，鲁比奥说："我不认为外交手段会永远被排除在谈判桌之外。" 他补充说，特朗普的"偏好"是在"外交战线上取得进展"。鲁比奥说，"如果你连在核计划上都无法取得 进展，那么在弹道导弹问题 ...

△乌克兰总统泽连斯基（资料图） 乌克兰总统泽连斯基21日签署第130/2026号和第131/2026号法令，执行乌国家安全与国防委员会关于对 俄"影子舰队"和军工企业实施新一轮制裁方案的决定。相关文件已在乌克兰总统官方网站发布。 根据公布的信息，此次制裁措施之一针对俄罗斯"影子舰队"，对225名参与出口俄罗斯石油产品的船只 船长实施制裁，涉及来自11个国家的公民，包括俄罗斯、印度和菲律宾。此外乌方同时宣布，对包括46 名俄罗斯公民、2名伊朗公民以及44家为俄罗斯军工综合体提供服务的俄罗斯公司实施制裁，这些企业 涉及电子战系统及零部件的供应、研发、生产和维修等，其产品被用于生产弹道导弹和巡航导弹、攻击 和侦察无人机、轻武器和弹药。乌克兰方面表示，将把相关信息提交给伙伴以推动制裁同步，并将继续 扩大对协助俄罗斯军事行动的个人和实体实施制裁。 西方国家指责俄罗斯利用油轮等商用船只逃避西方制裁，将这些商用船只称为"影子舰队"。 来源：央视新闻 编辑：林力 责编 ： 肖明 ...

作者：穆斯塔法・萨利姆、法丽达・埃尔塞拜、詹卢卡・梅佐菲奥雷 一名伊朗军人参加在伊 朗南部举行的伊俄联合海上演习。 随着美国持续在中东大规模集结军力，伊朗已采取多项行动展示备战姿态，包括加固核设施、重建导弹 生产基地等。 该市北部一座导弹基地战后全面修复，所有被炸封的入口重新开放，入口保障区基本重建，部分 隧道已启用。 伊朗西部哈马丹空军基地，跑道上的弹坑已被填平，机库掩体完成修复。 伊朗与美国谈判代表周二在日内瓦举行了 3 个半小时间接会谈，但未达成明确结果。伊朗最高外交官阿 巴斯・阿拉克奇称双方就一系列 "指导原则" 达成一致，但美国副总统 JD・万斯表示，伊朗并未承认特 朗普总统划定的 "红线"。 多名知情消息人士告诉 CNN，尽管谈判仍在继续，白宫已收到简报：随着近期美军在中东海空力量持 续集结，美军最快本周末前即可具备发动攻击的条件。 面对战争威胁，伊朗近几个月已修复关键导弹设施与遭重创的空军基地，并进一步隐蔽核计划。伊朗任 命战争老兵进入国家安全机构，在波斯湾举行海上军演，并对国内异见展开严厉镇压。 设施修复 去年 6 月，以色列突袭伊朗，摧毁其部分核设施、严重破坏导弹生产基地，并炸死多名高级军事 ...

Core Viewpoint - A new large-scale military conflict involving the United States and Israel against Iran is imminent, with significant military preparations underway and negotiations at a standstill [2][30]. Group 1: Military Preparations - The U.S. and Israel are reportedly planning a coordinated attack on Iran, targeting its ballistic missile program, the Revolutionary Guard, and potentially its leadership [3][30]. - Israel has raised its military readiness, anticipating retaliation from Iran even if Israeli forces do not directly participate in the attack [4][30]. - The U.S. is mobilizing military assets, including bombers and refueling aircraft, to the Middle East, with Trump indicating a willingness to use the Diego Garcia military base for strikes against Iran [6][30]. Group 2: Negotiation Stalemate - The negotiations between the U.S. and Iran are characterized by an unbridgeable gap, with the U.S. demanding Iran abandon its nuclear program entirely, including civilian aspects [11][36]. - The U.S. aims to weaken Iran significantly, potentially leading to a situation similar to Venezuela, which Iran is unlikely to accept [11][36]. Group 3: Iranian Response - Iran is preparing for potential conflict by deploying military forces in the Strait of Hormuz and enhancing its defensive capabilities, including fortifying nuclear facilities [12][38]. - The Iranian leadership has expressed readiness for martyrdom, indicating a high level of commitment to resist U.S. aggression [39][14]. Group 4: Implications of Conflict - The likelihood of conflict is high, with the potential for a prolonged military engagement rather than a quick resolution [16][22]. - The Iranian regime is in a precarious position, facing existential threats from U.S. demands and the possibility of military action [21][46]. - The situation reflects broader geopolitical tensions, with the potential for regional escalation involving groups like Hezbollah and the Houthis [39][22].

【环球时报驻美国特约记者 李勇 环球时报记者 线一凡 文远】美国总统特朗普当地时间10日接受该国 Axios新闻网站采访时表示，自己正"考虑"派遣第二支航空母舰打击群前往中东，以准备在与伊朗谈判 失败时采取军事行动。他再次敦促伊朗"达成协议"。伊朗外交部长阿拉格齐10日在德黑兰接受"今日俄 罗斯"电视台专访时表示，伊朗完全致力于与美国通过外交途径解决问题，同时也在为可能再次爆发冲 突做准备。"伊朗核谈判进入关键阶段。"英国广播公司（BBC）称，中东地区紧张局势持续升级，美伊 谈判也在加紧进行，与此同时，特朗普11日在白宫接待以色列总理内塔尼亚胡。据美国《华盛顿邮报》 报道，美国官员表示，此次会晤将重点讨论特朗普的加沙和平计划，但内塔尼亚胡在启程赴美前表示， 他的"首要"目标是重申以色列的立场，即与伊朗达成的协议不应仅仅止步于终止伊朗任何制造核武器的 计划。据土耳其阿纳多卢通讯社报道，伊朗最高国家安全委员会秘书拉里贾尼表示，美国不应允许以色 列按照其自身立场左右谈判进程。 外媒披露美军导弹新动向 以色列总理为何此时访美 当地时间11日，特朗普与内塔尼亚胡在美国会晤。《华盛顿邮报》引述消息人士的话称，内塔尼亚胡将 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. has issued new guidelines for commercial vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz, advising them to stay as far away from Iranian territorial waters as possible and to verbally refuse boarding by Iranian forces if requested [1][3] - The Strait of Hormuz is a critical shipping route for Middle Eastern oil supplies, and tensions in the region have led Iran to threaten its closure multiple times [3][12] - The first round of nuclear negotiations between the U.S. and Iran took place on February 6, with no clear date or location for the second round yet [3][12] Group 2 - Iran's nuclear negotiation "red lines" include the non-negotiability of uranium enrichment rights and missile programs [7][9] - Iran's Atomic Energy Organization Chairman, Eslami, stated that Iran could dilute enriched uranium only if all sanctions against it are lifted [6][8] - The Turkish Foreign Minister indicated that both the U.S. and Iran show willingness to continue negotiations, but there is a mix of genuine negotiation and time-wasting tactics [11][12] Group 3 - Israel has expressed a firm stance against Iran's negotiation "red lines," particularly regarding missile capabilities, which they view as an existential threat [12][15] - Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu is scheduled to visit the U.S. to discuss Iran's nuclear program and to push for restrictions on Iran's missile capabilities [14][15] - Iran possesses the largest ballistic missile arsenal in the Middle East, with approximately 2,000 medium-range missiles capable of reaching Israel [18][20] Group 4 - Iran's missile capabilities are seen as a significant bargaining chip in negotiations with the U.S., and the country is unlikely to compromise on this issue [20][22] - The limitations of Israel's missile defense systems have led them to seek more advanced systems and to push for stricter conditions on Iran during negotiations [22] - The U.S. military recently intercepted a tanker in the Indian Ocean that violated sanctions, highlighting ongoing tensions and enforcement of sanctions against Iran [23]

Core Viewpoint - Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu is set to visit the U.S. to discuss issues related to Iran, specifically requesting the U.S. to facilitate the transfer of Iran's enriched uranium out of the country and to limit its ballistic missile capabilities [1]. Group 1: Israeli Security Assessment - Israeli security agencies assess that Iran is relocating some of its missiles to eastern regions to complicate potential strikes against it [3]. - The Israel Defense Forces estimate that if Iran is not attacked, its missile stockpile could soon reach approximately 2,000 units, returning to levels seen before the attacks in June of the previous year [3]. - There is ongoing discussion within Israel regarding the potential for Hezbollah and Houthi forces to resume missile attacks on Israel if the U.S. takes action against Iran [3]. Group 2: Missile Defense and Challenges - Israeli public opinion suggests skepticism regarding the new missile types recently showcased by Iran, with Israeli missile experts claiming that the related data is "not credible" [3]. - Israel's defense systems reportedly have a 90% interception rate for most Iranian missile types, but the main challenge remains in destroying missile launchers and the missiles themselves before they are fired [3].

Core Viewpoint - Iran has enhanced its deterrent capabilities through comprehensive technical upgrades to its ballistic missiles, shifting its military doctrine from defensive to offensive following recent conflicts with Israel [1] Group 1: Military Developments - Iran's Chief of Staff, Mousavi, stated that the country is prepared to respond to any actions from adversaries, indicating a readiness for military engagement [1] - The military doctrine of Iran has transitioned to an offensive stance, aiming to deliver devastating strikes against enemies after the "12-day war" with Israel [1] Group 2: Regional Tensions - The United States has been increasing military threats towards Iran and has deployed additional military forces in the region, urging Iran to negotiate and reach an agreement [1] - Following a large-scale airstrike by Israel on multiple Iranian locations in June 2025, Iran retaliated with missile and drone attacks on various targets within Israel [1] Group 3: Diplomatic Engagement - Iran's Foreign Minister, Araqchi, announced that negotiations regarding nuclear issues with the United States will take place on June 6 in Muscat, Oman [1] - The conflict between Iran and the U.S. escalated when the U.S. bombed Iranian nuclear facilities, leading to Iran's missile strikes on the U.S. military base in Al Udeid, Qatar [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the escalating tensions in the Middle East as the U.S. increases military presence and threatens action against Iran, raising the risk of military confrontation [1] - The U.S. may target the Iranian Revolutionary Guard's command centers, intelligence departments, and military bases if it decides to conduct a limited strike [1] - The Gulf region's energy sector is identified as Iran's most vulnerable point, with potential attacks leading to severe and lasting damage to its economy [1] Group 2 - Iran possesses a significant number of ballistic missiles and drones, which are seen as its primary means of retaliation, capable of launching saturation attacks on U.S. military bases and naval vessels in the region [4] - Various armed groups, including the Houthis, Hezbollah, and Iraqi militias, may also become involved in the conflict, forming a "resistance arc" [4] - Iran's strategic capability to block the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea could disrupt global oil supply, potentially causing a spike in international oil prices and triggering economic turmoil worldwide [4]

中新网1月31日电 伊朗上空，战云密布。 近日，美国向中东部署喷气式战斗机、防空系统和载有数千名士兵的航母打击群。此举加剧了美国与伊 朗的紧张关系，并增加了军事冲突的可能性。 尽管美国中央司令部没有提供更多关于为何部署该舰的细节，但其声明表明，在华盛顿和德黑兰之间的 紧张局势急剧升级之际，美国海军正在向伊朗进行大规模部署。 隶属于"亚伯拉罕·林肯"号的航空部队，即美军第9舰载航空联队，拥有8至9个中队和约65架战斗机，主 要装备F/A-18E"超级大黄蜂"攻击战斗机。 至少还有三艘驱逐舰也出现在"亚伯拉罕·林肯"号的编队中。它们都是阿利·伯克级导弹驱逐舰，全钢舰 体，能够发射战斧导弹进行陆基打击，并提供弹道导弹防御。这三艘驱逐舰均隶属于第21驱逐舰中队。 用于发射导弹或探测来袭威胁的"莫比尔湾"号导弹巡洋舰通常与"亚伯拉罕·林肯"号航空母舰一同部 署。但目前尚不清楚此次该舰是否随舰队抵达。 美军核动 力航空母舰"亚伯拉罕·林肯"号。来源：美国海军 美国媒体报道称，特朗普正在权衡一系列针对伊朗的军事选项，从可能的持续空袭行动，到针对伊朗安 全部队的规模较小、象征意义大于实际意义的打击。 据路透社报道，两名熟悉相 ...