Core Points - The Russian Ministry of Defense reported on the 14th that the military conducted intensive strikes on Ukrainian military-industrial enterprises and related energy facilities using "Dagger" hypersonic missiles and other precision weapons [1] - Over the past week, Russia has carried out large-scale attacks on Ukrainian military facilities, military airports, and weapon repair bases, claiming to have shot down 1,173 Ukrainian drones [1] - The Russian military has gained control of eight residential areas in multiple locations [1] - On the same day, Ukraine reported using "Neptune" missiles and drones to strike strategic facilities in Russia, including the Novorossiysk port and energy infrastructure in the Krasnodar region [1] - Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zakharova stated that Russia has no plans to attack NATO countries, but noted the ongoing military buildup by NATO near its borders, asserting that Russia is prepared for any developments [1]

Group 1 - Ukraine is set to equip its military with 4,000 long-range missiles, posing a significant threat to 200 Russian oil refineries, which are at risk of being targeted [1][3] - The U.S. is providing Ukraine with 3,350 new long-range cruise missiles with a maximum range of 450 kilometers, which will be transported via air to Poland and then to Ukraine [3] - Ukraine's domestic missile factories are ramping up production of a new long-range cruise missile named "Flamingo," capable of covering a range of 3,000 kilometers, allowing for potential saturation airstrikes against Russian territory [3] Group 2 - Over the past two years, Ukraine has utilized drones and HIMARS rocket systems to attack Russian oil refineries, crippling 17% of Russia's refining capacity, equivalent to a loss of 1.1 million barrels of oil per day [4] - The primary targets for Ukraine's missile strikes are the 200 oil refineries located in the western plains of Russia, which are crucial for Russia's economy, heavily reliant on energy exports exceeding $300 billion annually [4] - A significant strike on these refineries could lead to a devastating blow to Russia's energy system, potentially forcing Russia to halt its military operations due to the loss of financial support [4] Group 3 - Despite the potential impact of targeting oil refineries, it is unlikely that such actions will compel President Putin to concede, as Russia also exports natural gas and maintains strategic nuclear deterrence [6] - The Russian military leadership believes that Europe may declare war on Russia within three years, which aligns with Russia's strategy of engaging in a war of attrition [6] - The ongoing conflict may result in substantial losses for Russia, but Europe and Ukraine are also expected to face significant challenges, with Russia confident in its ability to navigate the international energy market [6]

Group 1 - The Russian Defense Ministry reported that over 100 Ukrainian drones were shot down across multiple regions in Russia, including Moscow and surrounding areas [1][2][3] - Ukrainian special forces conducted an attack on a military airport in Voronezh Oblast to weaken Russian airstrike capabilities, targeting aircraft and munitions storage [3][4] - Ukrainian President Zelensky stated that Russia launched a large-scale attack involving over 500 drones and various missiles, resulting in casualties in Kyiv [3][4] Group 2 - German Chancellor Merz and US President Trump discussed the situation in Ukraine and bilateral trade, focusing on enhancing Ukraine's air defense capabilities [5][6] - Germany expressed willingness to fund the procurement of US weapons intended for Ukraine to address current gaps in military support [5] - NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg acknowledged the need for the US to maintain weapon stockpiles but urged flexibility to ensure Ukraine receives necessary supplies [7]