东兴晨报 P1 经济要闻 2025 年 9 月 30 日星期二 本期编辑 | 分析师：刘嘉玮 | | | --- | --- | | 010-66554043 | liujw_yjs@dxzq.net.cn | | 执业证书编号： | S1480519050001 | 东兴证券研究所金股推荐 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | | --- | --- | | 002074.SZ | 国轩高科 | | 002850.SZ | 科达利 | | 002991.SZ | 甘源食品 | | 300619.SZ | 金银河 | | 300666.SZ | 江丰电子 | | 600012.SH | 皖通高速 | | 600176.SH | 中国巨石 | | 605123.SH | 派克新材 | | 688103.SH | 国力电子 | | 688111.SH | 金山办公 | | 688627.SH | 精智达 | 数据来源：《十月金股汇》 2025 年 09 月 29 日，东兴证券研究所 东 兴 晨 报 东 兴 证 券 股 份 有 限 公 司 敬请参阅报告结尾处的免责声明 东方财智 兴盛之源 1. 国家发展改革委 9 月 2 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [4] Core Views - The company has shown significant improvement in Q2 profitability, with a notable increase in revenue from semiconductor testing business [2][3] - The company is expected to benefit from the acceleration of domestic substitution in semiconductor testing equipment, with a positive outlook for revenue growth in the coming years [9] Financial Summary - For 2023A, the company reported revenue of 649 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 28.5%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 116 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 75.1% [1] - The company achieved a revenue of 4.44 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.68%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 0.31 million yuan, down 19.94% year-on-year [1][2] - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 36.05%, a decrease of 4.92 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 6.90%, down 3.43 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company expects to achieve net profits of 1.82 billion yuan, 2.75 billion yuan, and 3.74 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [9] Business Performance - The semiconductor testing equipment segment saw a substantial revenue increase of 376.52% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, driven by strong demand in the global storage and AI sectors [3] - The company has secured a significant contract worth 3.23 billion yuan for semiconductor testing equipment, which is expected to positively impact its performance in 2025 and 2026 [2][9] - The company is making progress in various product lines, including DRAM aging test repair equipment and MEMS probe cards, enhancing its position as a leading domestic equipment supplier [3][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to market benchmarks [12]. Core Viewpoints - The company has enhanced its growth elasticity through a diversified layout in lithium, cesium, rubidium, and copper-germanium, which supports its business resilience [1]. - The lithium segment is entering a new phase of structural price and volume increases, with the company transitioning from a geological exploration firm to a fully integrated mining group [1][2]. - The company has a robust lithium resource base, with significant production capacity and self-sufficiency in raw materials, which positions it well against market fluctuations [3][4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Business Segments - The company's main business segments include lithium (40% of revenue in H1 2025), cesium and rubidium (22% of revenue), and a multi-metal segment (expected to contribute from 2026) [2]. Resource and Production Capacity - The company owns two lithium resource mines with a total lithium ore volume of 118.17 million tons, equivalent to 3.06 million tons of lithium carbonate [3]. - The Bikita mine, a key asset, has undergone three resource increases since acquisition, with a current lithium ore volume of 107.42 million tons [3]. - The company has achieved a 100% self-sufficiency rate in lithium salt production, with a total lithium salt production capacity of 71,000 tons per year [4]. Cost Management and Efficiency - Investments in renewable energy projects, such as a solar power facility, are expected to save approximately $3.84 million in electricity costs annually [5]. - The company is adjusting its raw material supply structure to further reduce production costs for lithium salts [5]. Sales and Market Outlook - The company's lithium salt sales are projected to grow significantly, with a 76% increase in total sales from 2022 to 2024 [6]. - The company plans to cease external raw material purchases and processing by 2025, achieving full self-sufficiency in lithium salt production [6]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to see its earnings per share (EPS) grow from 1.92 yuan in 2025 to 3.80 yuan by 2027, reflecting strong growth potential [12].

Core Viewpoint - The company expresses confidence in its future development and recognizes its value, leading to an accelerated share repurchase plan with a total repurchase amount of no less than 40 million yuan by April 30, 2025 [1][2] Group 1: Share Repurchase Plan - The company plans to repurchase its shares using its own funds through centralized bidding, with a total repurchase amount between 30 million yuan and 50 million yuan, and a maximum repurchase price of 120.34 yuan per share [1][2] - The repurchase period is set for 12 months from the date of the board's approval [1][2] Group 2: Economic Outlook - The company maintains a positive outlook on China's economic development, citing strong fundamentals and resilience, and believes that the long-term supportive conditions for growth remain unchanged [2][3] Group 3: Trade Policy Impact - The company reports minimal negative impact from recent tariff increases, as its main products are primarily sold to domestic manufacturers, with a negligible proportion of orders and materials sourced from the U.S. [3][4] Group 4: Product Development Progress - The company has made significant advancements in various business lines, including successfully replacing U.S. suppliers for probe card products and signing procurement agreements for final test equipment with major clients [4][5] - The company has also received procurement notifications for new display detection equipment projects, indicating an increase in market share and industry influence [4][5]