智能移动周边产品

Search documents
转债市场周报:指数再创新高,银行转债转股节奏加快-20250706
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-06 15:07
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The 6 - month PMI data continued to improve slightly in June, indicating a stabilizing trend in China's economy. Sino - US trade situation has positive news, but there are still uncertainties in external demand due to ongoing US trade negotiations. The CSI Convertible Bond Index has reached new highs. Although most institutions' holding face - values of convertible bonds have slightly declined, considering the impact of bank convertible bond conversions on the overall scale, their actual willingness to reduce positions is weak, and the allocation demand for convertible bonds remains strong. The supply - demand contradiction of convertible bonds has intensified, and there is room for an increase in the convertible bond parity valuation [3][20]. - It is recommended to choose balanced convertible bonds with high - volatility underlying stocks that can quickly consume the premium rate or high - price, low - premium and non - redeemable equity - biased convertible bonds in the short term. For those with high requirements for drawdown, reducing positions can be considered. In July, attention should be paid to sectors such as consumer (appliances, auto parts, two - wheeled vehicles), technology (PCB, copper - clad laminates, data center power supplies in the computing power industry chain), grid equipment, sea wind, energy storage, innovative drugs, and some chemical pharmaceuticals with stable volume and price [4][21]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Focus Last Week (June 30 - July 4, 2025) Stock Market - The equity market fluctuated and rose last week. Sectors with over - capacity reduction expectations such as steel, building materials, and photovoltaic performed well, and the innovative drug sector led the gains. The high - dividend bank sector also performed well. The A - share market showed different trends each day, with changes in sector performance and trading volume [1][9]. - Most Shenwan primary industries closed higher. Steel (+5.06%), building materials (+3.96%), banks (+3.77%), pharmaceutical biology (+3.64%), and comprehensive (+2.82%) led the gains, while computer (-1.28%), non - bank finance (-0.72%), beauty care (-0.55%), and transportation (-0.20%) performed poorly [10]. Bond Market - The bond market fluctuated last week. After the quarter - end, the liquidity tightened. The second - quarter monetary policy implementation report mentioned observing and evaluating the bond market from a macro - prudential perspective. The slight recovery of the June PMI and the increase in market risk appetite suppressed bond market sentiment. The 10 - year Treasury bond yield closed at 1.64% on Friday, down 0.29bp from the previous week [1][10]. Convertible Bond Market - Most convertible bond issues closed higher. The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 1.21% for the whole week, the median price increased 1.10%, the calculated arithmetic average parity increased 1.82%, and the overall market conversion premium rate decreased 1.57% compared with the previous week. The arithmetic average conversion premium rates of convertible bonds with parities in the ranges of [90,100), [100,110), and [110,120) changed by +1.71%, +2.27%, and -0.79% respectively, at the 68%, 77%, and 39% percentile values since 2023 [2][10]. - Most industries in the convertible bond market closed lower. Pharmaceutical biology (+2.49%), national defense and military industry (+1.85%), environmental protection (+1.70%), and public utilities (+1.59%) led the gains, while transportation (-1.07%), textile and clothing (-0.84%), automobile (-0.41%), and communication (-0.33%) performed poorly [14]. - In terms of individual bonds, Seli (innovative drugs), Huicheng (hazardous waste treatment), Jing 23 (PCB), Emergency (military industry), and Xingang (thermal production and supply) convertible bonds led the gains; Sanyang (automobile logistics services), Jinji (H - acid reactive dyes), Jingduan (precision gears & announced forced redemption), Huafeng (automobile electronic control systems & announced forced redemption), and Huitong (modified plastics & announced forced redemption) convertible bonds led the losses [2][15]. - The total trading volume of the convertible bond market last week was 323.83 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 64.766 billion yuan, an increase from the previous week [18]. 3.2 Valuation Overview As of July 4, 2025, the average conversion premium rates of equity - biased convertible bonds with parities in the ranges of 80 - 90 yuan, 90 - 100 yuan, 100 - 110 yuan, 110 - 120 yuan, 120 - 130 yuan, and above 130 yuan were 40.92%, 30.48%, 23.07%, 12.75%, 8.96%, and 5.65% respectively, at the 85%/72%, 82%/68%, 84%/77%, 63%/35%, 62%/39%, and 71%/42% percentile values since 2010/2021. The average YTM of bond - biased convertible bonds with parities below 70 yuan was -0.72%, at the 4%/0% percentile values since 2010/2021. The average implied volatility of all convertible bonds was 33.78%, at the 64%/44% percentile values since 2010/2021. The difference between the convertible bond implied volatility and the long - term actual volatility of the underlying stock was -13.81%, at the 25%/31% percentile values since 2010/2021 [22]. 3.3 Primary Market Tracking Last Week (June 30 - July 4, 2025) - Libo Convertible Bond was announced for issuance, and Dianhua and Anke Convertible Bonds were listed. - Libo Convertible Bond (111023.SH): The underlying stock is Libote (605167.SH) in the building decoration industry, with a market value of 5.155 billion yuan as of July 4. The company focuses on the design and manufacturing of industrial modules. The issued convertible bond scale is 750 million yuan, and the funds after deducting issuance fees will be used for the large - scale industrial module manufacturing project of Nantong Libote Heavy Industry Co., Ltd [30]. - Dianhua Convertible Bond (127109.SZ): The underlying stock is Xiangtan Dianhua (002125.SZ) in the power equipment industry, with a market value of 8.555 billion yuan as of July 4. The company's main businesses include the production and sales of electrolytic manganese dioxide and new - energy battery materials, etc. The issued convertible bond scale is 487 million yuan, and the funds will be used for the 30,000 - ton spinel - type lithium manganate battery material project and to supplement working capital [31]. - Anke Convertible Bond (123257.SZ): The underlying stock is Anke Innovation (300866.SZ) in the electronics industry, with a market value of 61.207 billion yuan as of July 4. The company is mainly engaged in the R & D and sales of smart mobile peripherals, etc. The issued convertible bond scale is 1.105 billion yuan, and the funds will be used for multiple projects such as R & D and industrialization of portable and household energy - storage products [32]. - As of July 4, the exchange accepted Shenyu Co., Ltd., and there were no new enterprises approved for registration, passed by the listing committee, passed by the general meeting of shareholders, or with board of directors' plans. There are currently 77 convertible bonds to be issued, with a total scale of 123.22 billion yuan, including 4 approved for registration with a total scale of 9.01 billion yuan and 3 passed by the listing committee with a total scale of 2.62 billion yuan [33]. Future Week (July 7 - July 11, 2025) As of the announcement on July 4, there are no convertible bonds announced for issuance or listing in the coming week [33].
转债市场周报:转债呈现较强韧性,关注低价个券信用挖掘-20250615
Guoxin Securities· 2025-06-15 13:01
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the context of continued tariff conditions and global geopolitical tensions, the equity market may continue to experience index fluctuations, waiting for the progress of the technology industry to drive a new round of upward technology market. The convertible bond market showed strong resilience last week, with a slight increase in valuation. After the successive announcements of early redemptions of Hangyin and Nanyin convertible bonds, the problem of bottom - position allocation in the convertible bond market has become more urgent. Attention can be paid to underlying stocks with better fundamentals among the convertible bonds with positive YTM. If large - balance convertible bonds have their ratings downgraded, it may be a good opportunity to increase positions in convertible bonds. When selecting bonds, one can take advantage of the inconsistent driving factors of the dividend and technology sectors to reduce portfolio volatility and look for targets driven by performance and/or valuation, starting from three aspects: performance - driven, event - catalyzed, and dividend and defensive [3][19]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Focus from June 9th to June 13th Stock Market - The equity market showed an overall fluctuating pattern last week. Against the backdrop of intensified global geopolitical conflicts, the prices of gold and crude oil rose significantly, and the introduction of export control measures related to rare earth permanent magnets drove the non - ferrous metals and petroleum and petrochemical sectors to perform well. Affected by the suspension of trade - in subsidy activities in some regions, consumer sectors such as food and beverage and household appliances adjusted significantly. Most Shenwan primary industries closed down last week, with non - ferrous metals (+3.79%), petroleum and petrochemical (+3.50%), agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery (+1.62%), media (+1.55%), and pharmaceutical and biological (+1.40%) leading the gains; food and beverage (-4.37%), household appliances (-3.26%), building materials (-2.77%), and computer (-2.52%) performing poorly [1][9][10]. Bond Market - The bond market strengthened overall last week. The inflation in May remained low, the year - on - year export declined to 4.8%, the capital cost continued to decline, the overnight capital interest rate reached a new low this year, and the intensified geopolitical conflicts and the decline in market risk appetite all benefited the bond market. The yield of the 10 - year treasury bond closed at 1.64% on Friday, down 1.07bp from the previous week [1][10]. Convertible Bond Market - Most convertible bond issues closed down last week. The CSI Convertible Bond Index decreased by 0.02% for the whole week, the median price decreased by 0.63%, the arithmetic average parity calculated decreased by 0.95% for the whole week, and the overall market conversion premium rate increased by 0.61% compared with the previous week. In terms of individual bonds, Jinling (football concept), Jinji (reactive dyes), Haibo (steel structure engineering), Liande (display module equipment), and Zhite (aluminum formwork for construction) convertible bonds led the gains; Zhengyu (automobile shock absorbers and components & early redemption announced), Huati (intelligent transportation system), Haomei (aluminum profiles), and Tianyang (financial IT) convertible bonds led the losses. Most industries in the convertible bond market closed down last week, with communication (-4.42%), media (-3.67%), automobile (-1.63%), and computer (-1.58%) experiencing relatively large declines, while social services (+8.88%), non - bank finance (+1.37%), agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery (+0.79%), and banks (+0.78%) performing well. The total trading volume of the convertible bond market last week was 346.489 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 69.298 billion yuan, showing an increase compared with the previous week [2][10][13][14][18]. Views and Strategies from June 16th to June 20th - The equity market may continue to fluctuate, waiting for the technology industry to drive a new round of upward market. The convertible bond market showed strong resilience last week, with a slight increase in valuation. After the early redemptions of Hangyin and Nanyin convertible bonds, attention can be paid to underlying stocks with better fundamentals among the convertible bonds with positive YTM. If large - balance convertible bonds have their ratings downgraded, it may be a good opportunity to increase positions. When selecting bonds, one can take advantage of the inconsistent driving factors of the dividend and technology sectors to reduce portfolio volatility and look for targets from three aspects: performance - driven, event - catalyzed, and dividend and defensive [3][19][20]. Valuation Overview - As of June 13th, 2025, for equity - biased convertible bonds, the average conversion premium rates of convertible bonds with parities in the ranges of 80 - 90 yuan, 90 - 100 yuan, 100 - 110 yuan, 110 - 120 yuan, 120 - 130 yuan, and above 130 yuan were 39.18%, 27.52%, 18.77%, 13.77%, 8.02%, and 4.3% respectively, at the 79%/57%, 72%/46%, 65%/36%, 69%/46%, 58%/30%, and 64%/28% percentile values since 2010/2021. For debt - biased convertible bonds, the average YTM of convertible bonds with parities below 70 yuan was 0.43%, at the 12%/3% percentile values since 2010/2021. The average implied volatility of all convertible bonds was 30.27%, at the 51%/27% percentile values since 2010/2021. The difference between the implied volatility of convertible bonds and the long - term actual volatility of the underlying stocks was - 17.65%, at the 12%/18% percentile values since 2010/2021 [21]. Primary Market Tracking Newly Announced Issuances Last Week (June 9th - June 13th) - Luwei Convertible Bond (118056.SH): The underlying stock is Luwei Optoelectronics (688401.SH), belonging to the electronics industry. The convertible bond issuance scale is 615 million yuan, with a credit rating of AA -. The funds after deducting issuance fees will be used for semiconductor and high - precision flat - panel display mask expansion projects, acquisition of minority shareholders' equity in Chengdu Luwei, and supplementing working capital and repaying bank loans. - Dianhua Convertible Bond (127109.SZ): The underlying stock is Xiangtan Dianhua (002125.SZ), belonging to the power equipment industry. The convertible bond issuance scale is 487 million yuan, with a credit rating of AA. The funds after deducting issuance fees will be used for a project to produce 30,000 tons of spinel - type lithium manganate battery materials and supplementing working capital. - Anke Convertible Bond (123257.SZ): The underlying stock is Anke Innovation (300866.SZ), belonging to the electronics industry. The convertible bond issuance scale is 1.105 billion yuan, with a credit rating of AA+. The funds after deducting issuance fees will be used for R & D and industrialization projects of portable and household energy storage products, new - generation intelligent hardware products, warehousing intelligent upgrading, full - link digital operation center, and supplementing working capital [30][31][32]. Upcoming Listings - Hengshuai Convertible Bond (123256.SZ) is expected to be listed on June 17th. The underlying stock is Hengshuai Co., Ltd. (300969.SZ), belonging to the automobile industry. The convertible bond issuance scale is 328 million yuan, with a credit rating of A+. The funds after deducting issuance fees will be used for a project to build a new automobile parts production base in Thailand, an expansion project of an annual production of 19.54 million automobile micro - motors and cleaning and cooling system components and R & D center expansion, and R & D center expansion [33][34]. Issuance Progress - Last week, the exchange approved the registration of 1 company (Libote), and the general meetings of shareholders passed the proposals of 2 companies (Xianghe Industry and Lianrui New Materials). As of now, there are 82 convertible bonds to be issued, with a total scale of 129.19 billion yuan, including 8 that have been approved for registration with a total scale of 14.43 billion yuan and 4 that have passed the listing committee review with a total scale of 2.93 billion yuan [35].
知名机构4月集中调研!重点关注这一影响……
券商中国· 2025-05-04 02:00
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the focus of global investors on the resilience of supply chains and the strategies of export-oriented companies in response to the uncertainty surrounding the U.S. "reciprocal tariff" policy [1] Group 1: Lixun Precision - Lixun Precision held an investor meeting that attracted over 500 institutions, including major firms like BlackRock and Temasek [2] - The company specializes in precision manufacturing for consumer electronics, automotive, and communication sectors, providing a wide range of core components and solutions [2] - In response to concerns about the "reciprocal tariff" policy, Lixun stated that its production in Vietnam offers high cost-effectiveness, and its global production layout is robust enough to withstand extreme situations [2][3] - Lixun expects limited impact on its operating performance from the tariff adjustments, as it is a leading manufacturer in the industry [3] Group 2: Anker Innovations - Anker Innovations hosted an investor meeting with over 200 participating institutions, including Sequoia Capital and Goldman Sachs [4] - The company focuses on smart mobile and computer peripheral products, with a strong presence in global e-commerce platforms [4] - Anker confirmed that it has no plans to slow down the development of new product lines, particularly in consumer energy storage, which remains a strategic focus for the year [4][5] - The company is actively expanding into non-U.S. markets, particularly in Europe, and aims to enhance its market penetration through refined operations and product adjustments [5] Group 3: Crystal Optoelectronics - Crystal Optoelectronics attracted over 200 investment institutions for its recent meeting, including major firms like CICC and Sequoia Capital [7] - The company specializes in precision thin-film optical products and maintains a diversified business structure across various optical fields [7] - Crystal Optoelectronics indicated that it would adhere to its strategic principles of globalization and open cooperation, asserting that tariffs have minimal direct impact on its operations [7][8] - The company emphasizes the importance of maintaining strong relationships with major clients, which have contributed to its operational capabilities and cash flow management [8]