9月29日，兴业科技盘中下跌2.04%，截至10:54，报16.31元/股，成交9472.21万元，换手率1.96%，总市 值48.20亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出777.95万元，特大单买入726.75万元，占比7.67%，卖出1471.00万元， 占比15.53%；大单买入1612.91万元，占比17.03%，卖出1646.61万元，占比17.38%。 兴业科技今年以来股价涨74.63%，近5个交易日涨4.89%，近20日涨25.56%，近60日涨67.28%。 今年以来兴业科技已经4次登上龙虎榜，最近一次登上龙虎榜为9月23日，当日龙虎榜净买入9117.84万 元；买入总计1.22亿元 ，占总成交额比32.07%；卖出总计3094.52万元 ，占总成交额比8.13%。 资料显示，兴业皮革科技股份有限公司位于福建省晋江市安海第二工业区兴业路1号，成立日期1992年 12月14日，上市日期2012年5月7日，公司主营业务涉及从事中高档牛头层鞋面革的开发、生产与销售。 主营业务收入构成为：鞋包带用皮革63.62%，汽车内饰用皮革28.47%，二层皮胶原产品原料3.70%，其 他用皮革3.08%，其他( ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4]. Core Viewpoints - The company has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Suzhou Nengsida to jointly develop flexible electronic skin based on natural leather and bio-based materials, which will help the company explore new application areas [1][2]. - The company is primarily engaged in the research, production, and sales of natural cowhide leather, with a focus on high-end products for well-known domestic and international brands [3]. - The company has established partnerships with several domestic automotive brands, positioning itself to capitalize on the growth opportunities in the new energy vehicle sector [3]. Financial Summary - Projected revenue for 2023 is 2,700 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 35.8%, and is expected to reach 3,738 million yuan by 2027 [1]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 186 million yuan in 2023, with a year-on-year growth rate of 23.7%, declining to 121 million yuan in 2025, and recovering to 216 million yuan by 2027 [1]. - The company's EPS is expected to be 0.63 yuan in 2023, decreasing to 0.41 yuan in 2025, and then increasing to 0.73 yuan by 2027 [1][3]. - The P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 22.5 in 2023 to 19.4 in 2027, indicating a potential improvement in valuation over time [1][3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target of outperforming the industry index by more than 15% over the next six months [4][17]. Core Viewpoints - The automotive interior leather business continues to grow rapidly, with a nearly 30% increase in the first half of the year. The company achieved a revenue of 1.339 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.16%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 31 million yuan, a decline of 45.32% [1][2]. - The company has established partnerships with several domestic automotive brands, including Li Auto, NIO, Chery, Geely, and Jianghuai, supplying various models [8]. - The company is leveraging opportunities in the new energy vehicle sector, with expectations for rapid growth in its automotive interior leather segment, which is anticipated to become a second growth curve for the company [8]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 2.7 billion yuan in 2023 to 3.738 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10.4% [1]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decline from 186 million yuan in 2023 to 216 million yuan in 2027, with a notable drop in 2024 and 2025 [1]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to improve from 8.9% in 2023 to 9.6% in 2027 [1]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 0.63 yuan in 2023 to 0.73 yuan in 2027 [1]. Margin and Cost Analysis - The gross margin for the company was stable at 20.49% in the first half of 2025, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.13 percentage points. However, the net profit margin decreased to 4.76%, down 1.61 percentage points year-on-year due to rising expense ratios [2]. - The automotive interior leather segment showed a gross margin of 34.63%, an increase of 3.22 percentage points year-on-year, while the leather for shoes and bags had a gross margin of 15.68%, a decrease of 2.19 percentage points [2]. Production Capacity and Competitive Advantage - The company has a well-established production capacity with multiple manufacturing bases, including subsidiaries and joint ventures, which allows for effective resource integration and cost control [3]. - The diversified product matrix and sales channels enable the company to maintain a competitive edge in the leather industry, ensuring balanced consumption of raw materials and reducing fixed costs [3].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" rating for the company [10]. Core Views - The company's automotive leather business shows strong performance, with a significant increase in orders from new clients and overseas markets, particularly in the electric vehicle sector [2][4]. - Despite a decline in net profit, the overall revenue growth indicates resilience, driven by the automotive segment [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's revenue increased by 6.2% year-on-year to 1.34 billion yuan, while net profit dropped by 45.3% to 30 million yuan [1][2]. - Q2 2025 revenue grew by 7.2% year-on-year to 710 million yuan, with net profit also declining by 45.3% to 10 million yuan [1]. Business Segments - The leather business for shoes and bags saw a slight revenue decline of 0.1% to 850 million yuan due to weak domestic orders, while the automotive interior leather segment experienced a robust growth of 29.5% to 380 million yuan, driven by increased orders from brands like Li Auto and NIO [2]. - The company is expanding its overseas production capacity with ongoing construction in Indonesia and Vietnam, which will support future order fulfillment [2]. Profitability and Costs - The gross margin for H1 2025 increased by 0.1 percentage points to 20.5%, with the automotive leather segment improving its margin by 3.2 percentage points to 34.6%, while the margin for the shoe and bag leather segment decreased by 2.2 percentage points to 15.7% [3]. - Selling and administrative expense ratios increased by 0.3 and 0.7 percentage points, respectively, leading to a decline in net profit margin by 2.2 percentage points to 2.3% [3]. Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenue growth of 6%, 9.8%, and 8.4% for the years 2025 to 2027, reaching 3.13 billion, 3.43 billion, and 3.72 billion yuan, respectively [4]. - Net profit forecasts show a decline of 13.5% in 2025, followed by growth of 30% and 19.9% in 2026 and 2027, respectively [4].

Core Insights - The new energy vehicle (NEV) market in China is experiencing rapid growth, with a projected retail sales increase of 5.5% in 2024, reaching 22.89 million units, and NEV retail sales expected to grow by 40.7% to 10.89 million units, achieving a penetration rate of 47.61% [1][4] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The growth in the NEV market is driven by policies such as trade-in and scrappage incentives, which stimulate sales [1] - Domestic brands like Li Auto, NIO, and Hongmeng Zhixing dominate the mid-to-high-end NEV market, leveraging the demand for natural leather materials in vehicle interiors [1][2] Group 2: Company Performance - Hongxing Automotive Leather has successfully gained supplier qualifications from major brands like Li Auto and NIO, enabling bulk supply of automotive interior leather [2] - The company reported a 20.22% revenue increase in its automotive interior leather business for 2024, reaching 720 million, with a gross margin improvement of 4.43 percentage points to 34.34% [4] - The subsidiary Hongxing Automotive Leather achieved a net profit of 149 million, a 50.98% increase year-on-year, driven by sales growth and improved gross margins [4] Group 3: Competitive Advantages - The company possesses a full-process leather manufacturing capability, allowing for effective resource integration and strong bargaining power in raw material procurement [3] - Hongxing Automotive Leather's involvement in the early design stages of new vehicle models enhances its ability to meet customer demands for high-quality leather materials [3] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the high-end automotive interior trend, with expectations for rapid growth in production and sales [2][4] - The acquisition of Hongxing Automotive Leather allows the company to capitalize on the burgeoning NEV sector, potentially establishing a second growth curve [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a downward adjustment [5][4]. Core Views - The company continues to advance its automotive interior leather business, with a focus on expanding production capacity in Indonesia and Vietnam [2][4]. - The financial performance for Q1 2025 shows a revenue of 600 million, a year-on-year increase of 5%, but a significant decline in net profit attributable to shareholders, down 45% year-on-year [1][4]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.5 yuan per 10 shares, with an expected payout of 40 million, resulting in a payout ratio of 31% [1]. Financial Performance Summary - For the full year 2024, the company reported a revenue of 3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 140 million, down 24% year-on-year [1][4]. - The revenue breakdown for 2024 shows that leather for shoes and bags generated 2 billion, accounting for 68% of total revenue, while automotive interior leather contributed 700 million, representing 24% of total revenue [2]. - The gross margin for automotive interior leather improved by 4 percentage points year-on-year to 34% [2]. Profit Forecast Adjustments - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 150 million, 180 million, and 230 million respectively [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates have been revised to 0.5, 0.6, and 0.8 yuan for 2025-2027 [4]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The company has successfully entered the supply chains of international sports brands such as Adidas and COLEHAAN, indicating strong market positioning [2]. - The overseas revenue increased by 97% year-on-year, highlighting the potential for growth in international markets due to the investment in production capacity in Southeast Asia [2].

Core Viewpoint - The report by Tianfeng Securities on Xingye Technology highlights the company's ongoing development in the automotive interior leather business, maintaining a "buy" rating for the stock [1]. Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 600 million, a year-on-year increase of 5%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 20 million, down 45% year-on-year [1]. - In Q4 2024, revenue was 900 million, up 24% year-on-year, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 30 million, a significant increase of 150% year-on-year [1]. - The full year 2024 saw revenue of 3 billion, a 9% increase year-on-year, but net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 24% to 140 million [1]. Dividend and Management Changes - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.5 yuan per 10 shares, amounting to an expected payout of 40 million, with a dividend payout ratio of 31% [2]. - Wu Meili resigned as the board secretary but continues as the vice president, while Zhang Liang has been appointed as the new board secretary [2]. Product Segmentation and Market Expansion - Revenue from leather for shoes and bags in 2024 was 2 billion, an 8% increase, accounting for 68% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 18% [3]. - Revenue from automotive interior leather reached 700 million, a 20% increase, representing 24% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 34% [3]. - The company has successfully entered the supply chains of international brands such as Adidas and COLEHAAN [3]. Regional Performance - Revenue from East China was 1.9 billion, an 8% increase, accounting for 65% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 22% [3]. - Revenue from South China was 600 million, down 1%, representing 21% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 22% [3]. - International revenue surged by 97% to 300 million, accounting for 10% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 21% [3]. Subsidiary Performance - The subsidiary Hongxing Automotive Leather reported a net profit of 150 million, up 51% year-on-year, driven by increased sales and improved gross margins [4]. - Lianhua Leather reported a net loss of 10 million, down 62% year-on-year, primarily due to increased financial expenses [4]. Profit Forecast Adjustments - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 150 million, 180 million, and 230 million respectively [5]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.5, 0.6, and 0.8 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5]. - Price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are expected to be 20x, 16x, and 12x for the respective years [5].

Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 600 million, a year-on-year increase of 5%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 20 million, down 45% year-on-year, and a non-recurring net profit of 20 million, down 49% year-on-year [1] - For Q4 2024, the company achieved revenue of 900 million, a year-on-year increase of 24%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 30 million, up 150% year-on-year, and a non-recurring net profit of 30 million, up 21% year-on-year [1] - The total revenue for 2024 was 3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 140 million, down 24%, and a non-recurring net profit of 130 million, down 26% [1] Dividend and Management Changes - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.5 yuan per 10 shares (including tax), expecting a total payout of 40 million, resulting in a payout ratio of 31% [2] - Wu Meili resigned as the secretary of the board but continues to serve as the vice president, while Zhang Liang has been appointed as the new secretary of the board [2] Product Performance - Revenue from leather for shoes and bags in 2024 was 2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8%, accounting for 68% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 18%, down 2 percentage points [3] - Revenue from automotive interior leather was 700 million, a year-on-year increase of 20%, accounting for 24% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 34%, up 4 percentage points [3] - Revenue from second-layer leather collagen products was 100 million, down 1% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 10%, down 2 percentage points [4] Regional Performance - Revenue from East China was 1.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8%, accounting for 65% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 22%, up 1 percentage point [5] - Revenue from South China was 600 million, down 1% year-on-year, accounting for 21% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 22%, down 2 percentage points [5] - Revenue from overseas markets was 300 million, a year-on-year increase of 97%, accounting for 10% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 21%, up 5 percentage points [5] Subsidiary Performance - The subsidiary Hongxing Automotive Leather reported a net profit of 150 million, up 51% year-on-year, attributed to increased sales and improved gross margin [6] - Lianhua Leather reported a net loss of 10 million, down 62% year-on-year, primarily due to increased financial expenses and exchange losses [6] Profit Forecast Adjustment - Based on the performance in 2024 and Q1 2025, the company has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits attributable to shareholders of 150 million, 180 million, and 230 million respectively [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.5, 0.6, and 0.8 yuan for 2025-2027 [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a downward adjustment [5] Core Views - The company continues to advance its automotive interior leather business, with a focus on expanding production capacity in Indonesia and Vietnam [2][4] - The company reported a revenue of 600 million in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 45% to 20 million [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.5 yuan per 10 shares, with an expected payout of 40 million and a payout ratio of 31% [1] Financial Performance Summary - For the full year 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9%, with a net profit of 140 million, down 24% [1] - The revenue from leather for shoes and bags was 2 billion, up 8%, accounting for 68% of total revenue, while automotive interior leather revenue was 700 million, up 20%, accounting for 24% [2] - The gross margin for automotive interior leather improved by 4 percentage points to 34% [2] Subsidiary Performance - The subsidiary Hongxing Automotive Leather reported a net profit of 150 million, up 51%, attributed to increased sales and improved gross margin [3] - The subsidiary Lianhua Leather reported a net loss of 10 million, down 62%, due to increased financial expenses and exchange losses [3] Earnings Forecast - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 150 million, 180 million, and 230 million respectively [4] - The EPS for 2025-2027 is projected to be 0.5, 0.6, and 0.8 yuan respectively [4]

Group 1: Market Trends - Consumer preferences have shifted towards comfort, functionality, and fashion, leading to a decline in demand for traditional business leather shoes [2] - The demand for natural leather products has decreased domestically, while the overseas market shows signs of recovery, particularly in Europe and the U.S. [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of CNY 2.95 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.32%, but net profit decreased by 23.97% to CNY 142 million [3] - In Q1 2025, revenue reached CNY 627 million, a 5.04% increase year-on-year, while net profit fell by 45.31% to CNY 18.94 million [3] Group 3: Production and Supply Chain - The company acquired full ownership of a Vietnamese company to enhance production capabilities and meet local supply chain demands [4] - The leather business for shoes and bags is seasonal, with higher revenues expected in the second half of the year; however, domestic demand has weakened [4] Group 4: Automotive Leather Business - The automotive leather segment is expected to grow in 2025, with new customer acquisitions and increased model specifications compared to the previous year [5] - Natural leather remains preferred for mid-to-high-end vehicles due to its luxury attributes, despite the presence of alternative materials like PU and microfiber [6] Group 5: Trade and Tariff Impact - The U.S. has temporarily paused additional tariffs on products exported from Vietnam, which currently does not directly impact the company's operations [6]