Core Viewpoint - The stock of Xingye Technology has experienced fluctuations, with a year-to-date increase of 48.72% but a recent decline in the last five and twenty trading days [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 3, Xingye Technology's stock price was 13.89 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 4.105 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has seen a net outflow of 291.17 thousand CNY in principal funds, with large orders accounting for 2.40% of total buying and 12.00% of total selling [1]. - The stock has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" four times this year, with the most recent appearance on September 23, where it recorded a net purchase of 91.1784 million CNY [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Xingye Technology reported a revenue of 2.014 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.01%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 63.86% to 39.6558 million CNY [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 1.153 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 365 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3]. Group 3: Business Overview - Xingye Technology, established on December 14, 1992, specializes in the development, production, and sales of mid-to-high-end cowhide leather for shoes [1]. - The revenue composition includes leather for bags and belts (63.62%), automotive interior leather (28.47%), and other leather products [1]. - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 28.28% to 16,600, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 22.04% to 17,629 shares [2].

Core Viewpoint - Xingye Technology is a leading domestic manufacturer of mid-to-high-end cowhide leather for shoes, with a full industry chain advantage and a focus on supplying various overseas brands [1] Group 1: Business Performance - In Q3 2025, Xingye Technology reported revenue of 2.014 billion yuan, ranking third in the industry, with the top competitor, Weixing Co., achieving 3.633 billion yuan [2] - The company's net profit for the same period was 826.674 million yuan, also ranking third, while Weixing Co. led with a net profit of 587 million yuan [2] - The main business segments include leather for bags and belts (855.2 million yuan, 63.62%), automotive interior leather (381 million yuan, 28.47%), and other leather products [2] Group 2: Financial Ratios - As of Q3 2025, Xingye Technology's debt-to-asset ratio was 42.96%, up from 39.92% year-on-year, exceeding the industry average of 35.48% [3] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 18.72%, down from 21.27% year-on-year, and below the industry average of 28.37% [3] Group 3: Executive Compensation - The chairman, Wu Huachun, received a salary of 1.4 million yuan in 2024, a decrease of 40,000 yuan from the previous year [4] - The president, Sun Huiyong, earned 1.4132 million yuan in 2024, down from 1.4505 million yuan in 2023 [4] Group 4: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders increased by 28.28% to 16,600, while the average number of shares held per shareholder decreased by 22.04% [5] - The company reported a revenue of 700 million yuan in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7%, but a net profit decrease of 45% [5] Group 5: Strategic Developments - Xingye Technology signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Suzhou Nengsida to jointly develop flexible electronic skin based on natural leather and bio-based materials [6] - The company is expanding its overseas presence with factories in Indonesia and Vietnam, which will aid in market expansion [5][6] - Forecasted EPS for 2025-2027 is 0.41 yuan, 0.56 yuan, and 0.73 yuan respectively, maintaining a "buy" investment rating [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the recent stock performance and trading activity of Xingye Technology, indicating a decline of 2.04% in stock price on September 29, with a current price of 16.31 CNY per share and a total market capitalization of 4.82 billion CNY [1] - Year-to-date, Xingye Technology's stock price has increased by 74.63%, with a 4.89% rise over the last five trading days, 25.56% over the last twenty days, and 67.28% over the last sixty days [1] - The company has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" four times this year, with the most recent appearance on September 23, where it recorded a net purchase of 91.18 million CNY [1] Group 2 - Xingye Leather Technology Co., Ltd. is located in Jinjiang City, Fujian Province, and was established on December 14, 1992, with its listing date on May 7, 2012 [2] - The company's main business involves the development, production, and sales of mid-to-high-end cowhide leather, with revenue composition as follows: 63.62% from leather for shoes and bags, 28.47% from automotive interior leather, 3.70% from second-layer leather collagen products, and 3.08% from other leather [2] - As of June 30, the number of shareholders of Xingye Technology was 12,900, an increase of 4.14% from the previous period, with an average of 22,614 circulating shares per person, a decrease of 3.85% [2] Group 3 - Xingye Technology has distributed a total of 1.15 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 365 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4]. Core Viewpoints - The company has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Suzhou Nengsida to jointly develop flexible electronic skin based on natural leather and bio-based materials, which will help the company explore new application areas [1][2]. - The company is primarily engaged in the research, production, and sales of natural cowhide leather, with a focus on high-end products for well-known domestic and international brands [3]. - The company has established partnerships with several domestic automotive brands, positioning itself to capitalize on the growth opportunities in the new energy vehicle sector [3]. Financial Summary - Projected revenue for 2023 is 2,700 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 35.8%, and is expected to reach 3,738 million yuan by 2027 [1]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 186 million yuan in 2023, with a year-on-year growth rate of 23.7%, declining to 121 million yuan in 2025, and recovering to 216 million yuan by 2027 [1]. - The company's EPS is expected to be 0.63 yuan in 2023, decreasing to 0.41 yuan in 2025, and then increasing to 0.73 yuan by 2027 [1][3]. - The P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 22.5 in 2023 to 19.4 in 2027, indicating a potential improvement in valuation over time [1][3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target of outperforming the industry index by more than 15% over the next six months [4][17]. Core Viewpoints - The automotive interior leather business continues to grow rapidly, with a nearly 30% increase in the first half of the year. The company achieved a revenue of 1.339 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.16%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 31 million yuan, a decline of 45.32% [1][2]. - The company has established partnerships with several domestic automotive brands, including Li Auto, NIO, Chery, Geely, and Jianghuai, supplying various models [8]. - The company is leveraging opportunities in the new energy vehicle sector, with expectations for rapid growth in its automotive interior leather segment, which is anticipated to become a second growth curve for the company [8]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 2.7 billion yuan in 2023 to 3.738 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10.4% [1]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decline from 186 million yuan in 2023 to 216 million yuan in 2027, with a notable drop in 2024 and 2025 [1]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to improve from 8.9% in 2023 to 9.6% in 2027 [1]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 0.63 yuan in 2023 to 0.73 yuan in 2027 [1]. Margin and Cost Analysis - The gross margin for the company was stable at 20.49% in the first half of 2025, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.13 percentage points. However, the net profit margin decreased to 4.76%, down 1.61 percentage points year-on-year due to rising expense ratios [2]. - The automotive interior leather segment showed a gross margin of 34.63%, an increase of 3.22 percentage points year-on-year, while the leather for shoes and bags had a gross margin of 15.68%, a decrease of 2.19 percentage points [2]. Production Capacity and Competitive Advantage - The company has a well-established production capacity with multiple manufacturing bases, including subsidiaries and joint ventures, which allows for effective resource integration and cost control [3]. - The diversified product matrix and sales channels enable the company to maintain a competitive edge in the leather industry, ensuring balanced consumption of raw materials and reducing fixed costs [3].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" rating for the company [10]. Core Views - The company's automotive leather business shows strong performance, with a significant increase in orders from new clients and overseas markets, particularly in the electric vehicle sector [2][4]. - Despite a decline in net profit, the overall revenue growth indicates resilience, driven by the automotive segment [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's revenue increased by 6.2% year-on-year to 1.34 billion yuan, while net profit dropped by 45.3% to 30 million yuan [1][2]. - Q2 2025 revenue grew by 7.2% year-on-year to 710 million yuan, with net profit also declining by 45.3% to 10 million yuan [1]. Business Segments - The leather business for shoes and bags saw a slight revenue decline of 0.1% to 850 million yuan due to weak domestic orders, while the automotive interior leather segment experienced a robust growth of 29.5% to 380 million yuan, driven by increased orders from brands like Li Auto and NIO [2]. - The company is expanding its overseas production capacity with ongoing construction in Indonesia and Vietnam, which will support future order fulfillment [2]. Profitability and Costs - The gross margin for H1 2025 increased by 0.1 percentage points to 20.5%, with the automotive leather segment improving its margin by 3.2 percentage points to 34.6%, while the margin for the shoe and bag leather segment decreased by 2.2 percentage points to 15.7% [3]. - Selling and administrative expense ratios increased by 0.3 and 0.7 percentage points, respectively, leading to a decline in net profit margin by 2.2 percentage points to 2.3% [3]. Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenue growth of 6%, 9.8%, and 8.4% for the years 2025 to 2027, reaching 3.13 billion, 3.43 billion, and 3.72 billion yuan, respectively [4]. - Net profit forecasts show a decline of 13.5% in 2025, followed by growth of 30% and 19.9% in 2026 and 2027, respectively [4].

Core Insights - The new energy vehicle (NEV) market in China is experiencing rapid growth, with a projected retail sales increase of 5.5% in 2024, reaching 22.89 million units, and NEV retail sales expected to grow by 40.7% to 10.89 million units, achieving a penetration rate of 47.61% [1][4] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The growth in the NEV market is driven by policies such as trade-in and scrappage incentives, which stimulate sales [1] - Domestic brands like Li Auto, NIO, and Hongmeng Zhixing dominate the mid-to-high-end NEV market, leveraging the demand for natural leather materials in vehicle interiors [1][2] Group 2: Company Performance - Hongxing Automotive Leather has successfully gained supplier qualifications from major brands like Li Auto and NIO, enabling bulk supply of automotive interior leather [2] - The company reported a 20.22% revenue increase in its automotive interior leather business for 2024, reaching 720 million, with a gross margin improvement of 4.43 percentage points to 34.34% [4] - The subsidiary Hongxing Automotive Leather achieved a net profit of 149 million, a 50.98% increase year-on-year, driven by sales growth and improved gross margins [4] Group 3: Competitive Advantages - The company possesses a full-process leather manufacturing capability, allowing for effective resource integration and strong bargaining power in raw material procurement [3] - Hongxing Automotive Leather's involvement in the early design stages of new vehicle models enhances its ability to meet customer demands for high-quality leather materials [3] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the high-end automotive interior trend, with expectations for rapid growth in production and sales [2][4] - The acquisition of Hongxing Automotive Leather allows the company to capitalize on the burgeoning NEV sector, potentially establishing a second growth curve [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a downward adjustment [5][4]. Core Views - The company continues to advance its automotive interior leather business, with a focus on expanding production capacity in Indonesia and Vietnam [2][4]. - The financial performance for Q1 2025 shows a revenue of 600 million, a year-on-year increase of 5%, but a significant decline in net profit attributable to shareholders, down 45% year-on-year [1][4]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.5 yuan per 10 shares, with an expected payout of 40 million, resulting in a payout ratio of 31% [1]. Financial Performance Summary - For the full year 2024, the company reported a revenue of 3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 140 million, down 24% year-on-year [1][4]. - The revenue breakdown for 2024 shows that leather for shoes and bags generated 2 billion, accounting for 68% of total revenue, while automotive interior leather contributed 700 million, representing 24% of total revenue [2]. - The gross margin for automotive interior leather improved by 4 percentage points year-on-year to 34% [2]. Profit Forecast Adjustments - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 150 million, 180 million, and 230 million respectively [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates have been revised to 0.5, 0.6, and 0.8 yuan for 2025-2027 [4]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The company has successfully entered the supply chains of international sports brands such as Adidas and COLEHAAN, indicating strong market positioning [2]. - The overseas revenue increased by 97% year-on-year, highlighting the potential for growth in international markets due to the investment in production capacity in Southeast Asia [2].

Core Viewpoint - The report by Tianfeng Securities on Xingye Technology highlights the company's ongoing development in the automotive interior leather business, maintaining a "buy" rating for the stock [1]. Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 600 million, a year-on-year increase of 5%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 20 million, down 45% year-on-year [1]. - In Q4 2024, revenue was 900 million, up 24% year-on-year, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 30 million, a significant increase of 150% year-on-year [1]. - The full year 2024 saw revenue of 3 billion, a 9% increase year-on-year, but net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 24% to 140 million [1]. Dividend and Management Changes - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.5 yuan per 10 shares, amounting to an expected payout of 40 million, with a dividend payout ratio of 31% [2]. - Wu Meili resigned as the board secretary but continues as the vice president, while Zhang Liang has been appointed as the new board secretary [2]. Product Segmentation and Market Expansion - Revenue from leather for shoes and bags in 2024 was 2 billion, an 8% increase, accounting for 68% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 18% [3]. - Revenue from automotive interior leather reached 700 million, a 20% increase, representing 24% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 34% [3]. - The company has successfully entered the supply chains of international brands such as Adidas and COLEHAAN [3]. Regional Performance - Revenue from East China was 1.9 billion, an 8% increase, accounting for 65% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 22% [3]. - Revenue from South China was 600 million, down 1%, representing 21% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 22% [3]. - International revenue surged by 97% to 300 million, accounting for 10% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 21% [3]. Subsidiary Performance - The subsidiary Hongxing Automotive Leather reported a net profit of 150 million, up 51% year-on-year, driven by increased sales and improved gross margins [4]. - Lianhua Leather reported a net loss of 10 million, down 62% year-on-year, primarily due to increased financial expenses [4]. Profit Forecast Adjustments - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 150 million, 180 million, and 230 million respectively [5]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.5, 0.6, and 0.8 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5]. - Price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are expected to be 20x, 16x, and 12x for the respective years [5].

Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 600 million, a year-on-year increase of 5%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 20 million, down 45% year-on-year, and a non-recurring net profit of 20 million, down 49% year-on-year [1] - For Q4 2024, the company achieved revenue of 900 million, a year-on-year increase of 24%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 30 million, up 150% year-on-year, and a non-recurring net profit of 30 million, up 21% year-on-year [1] - The total revenue for 2024 was 3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 140 million, down 24%, and a non-recurring net profit of 130 million, down 26% [1] Dividend and Management Changes - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.5 yuan per 10 shares (including tax), expecting a total payout of 40 million, resulting in a payout ratio of 31% [2] - Wu Meili resigned as the secretary of the board but continues to serve as the vice president, while Zhang Liang has been appointed as the new secretary of the board [2] Product Performance - Revenue from leather for shoes and bags in 2024 was 2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8%, accounting for 68% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 18%, down 2 percentage points [3] - Revenue from automotive interior leather was 700 million, a year-on-year increase of 20%, accounting for 24% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 34%, up 4 percentage points [3] - Revenue from second-layer leather collagen products was 100 million, down 1% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 10%, down 2 percentage points [4] Regional Performance - Revenue from East China was 1.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8%, accounting for 65% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 22%, up 1 percentage point [5] - Revenue from South China was 600 million, down 1% year-on-year, accounting for 21% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 22%, down 2 percentage points [5] - Revenue from overseas markets was 300 million, a year-on-year increase of 97%, accounting for 10% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 21%, up 5 percentage points [5] Subsidiary Performance - The subsidiary Hongxing Automotive Leather reported a net profit of 150 million, up 51% year-on-year, attributed to increased sales and improved gross margin [6] - Lianhua Leather reported a net loss of 10 million, down 62% year-on-year, primarily due to increased financial expenses and exchange losses [6] Profit Forecast Adjustment - Based on the performance in 2024 and Q1 2025, the company has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits attributable to shareholders of 150 million, 180 million, and 230 million respectively [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.5, 0.6, and 0.8 yuan for 2025-2027 [7]