沪深300指数期权
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股指延续震荡盘整
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2026-01-08 11:19
期货研究报告 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 金融期权 | 日报 2026 年 1 月 8 日 金融期权 专业研究·创造价值 股指延续震荡盘整 核心观点 今日各股指均延续震荡盘整。沪深京三市成交额 28262 亿元,较上日缩 量 553 亿元。股指大幅上行之后,技术面上需要一定时间震荡整固。不过目 前股市成交金额仍然处于较高水平,融资资金买入额保持较高水平,说明目 前市场情绪仍相对乐观。政策面利好预期以及资金净流入趋势这两个主线 逻辑不变,由于股指已经突破前期的震荡区间上沿,后续股指大概率保持相 对强势。总的来说,预计短期内股指震荡偏强运行。 期权方面,目前持仓量 PCR 与隐含波动率均有所回升,可以牛市价差 的思路对待。 (仅供参考,不构成任何投资建议) 姓名:龙奥明 电话:0571-87006873 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号:F3035632 投资咨询证号:Z0014648 邮箱:longaoming@bcqhgs.com 作者声明:本人具有中国期货 业协会授予的期货从业资格证 书,期货投资咨询资格证书, 本人承诺以勤勉的职业态度, 独立、客观地出具本报告。本 报告清晰准确地反 ...
股市成交金额维持高位,股指震荡盘整
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2026-01-07 10:53
期货研究报告 今日各股指均震荡盘整。沪深京三市成交额 28815 亿元,较上日放量 493 亿元。政策面利好预期以及资金净流入趋势构成驱动股指上行的主要逻 辑。政策面,中央经济工作会议的政策逐渐进入落实阶段,政策利好预期持 续发酵。资金面,融资资金买入金额由假期前的 2200 亿元左右飙升至 3000 亿元左右,反应出杠杆资金的入市热情较高。股指已经突破前期震荡区间上 沿,由于政策面利好预期以及资金净流入趋势这两个主线逻辑不变,后续股 指大概率保持强势。总的来说,预计短期内股指震荡偏强运行。 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 金融期权 | 日报 2026 年 1 月 7 日 金融期权 专业研究·创造价值 股市成交金额维持高位,股指震荡盘整 核心观点 期权方面,目前持仓量 PCR 与隐含波动率均有所回升,可以牛市价差 的思路对待。 (仅供参考,不构成任何投资建议) 邮箱:longaoming@bcqhgs.com 作者声明:本人具有中国期货 业协会授予的期货从业资格证 书,期货投资咨询资格证书, 本人承诺以勤勉的职业态度, 独立、客观地出具本报告。本 报告清晰准确地反映了本人的 研究观点。本人 ...
政策利好预期升温,股指震荡反弹
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-12-12 12:05
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - On December 12, 2025, all stock indices oscillated and rebounded. The total trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets was 2.12 trillion yuan, an increase of 233.5 billion yuan from the previous day [3]. - The Central Economic Work Conference pointed out that in 2026, China will continue to implement a more proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy. The key tasks for next year are to focus on domestic demand and build a strong domestic market, and to adhere to innovation - driven development and cultivate new growth drivers. Policy benefits in expanding domestic demand and supporting technological innovation will continue and intensify, which will play a positive role in stabilizing total economic demand and promoting structural transformation and upgrading. The risk appetite of the stock market has recovered, driving the stock index to rebound [3]. - External risk factors have eased, and the domestic liquidity environment is relatively loose. In the short term, the risk appetite of the stock market is relatively positive and optimistic. Overall, the expectation of policy benefits is gradually fermenting, and the stock index will be mainly oscillating and strengthening in the short term [3]. - For options, considering the long - term upward trend of the stock index, a bull spread or ratio spread strategy with a moderately bullish view can be adopted [3]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1 Option Indicators - **ETF and Index Performance**: On December 12, 2025, 50ETF rose 0.45% to 3.134; 300ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) rose 0.56% to 4.694; 300ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) rose 0.55% to 4.766; the CSI 300 Index rose 0.63% to 4580.95; the CSI 1000 Index rose 0.81% to 7370.94; 500ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) rose 1.17% to 7.285; 500ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) rose 1.20% to 2.872; the ChiNext ETF rose 0.89% to 3.174; the Shenzhen 100ETF rose 0.58% to 3.449; the SSE 50 Index rose 0.59% to 2994.64; the STAR 50ETF rose 1.87% to 1.42; and the E Fund STAR 50ETF rose 1.63% to 1.37 [5]. - **Volume and Position PCR**: The report provides the volume PCR and position PCR of various options on December 12, 2025, and their values on the previous trading day, including 50ETF options, SSE 300ETF options, etc [6]. - **Implied Volatility and Historical Volatility**: The report presents the implied volatility of at - the - money options in December 2025 and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying assets for various options, such as 50ETF options, SSE 300ETF options [7][8]. 2 Relevant Charts - **SSE 50ETF Options**: The report includes charts of the SSE 50ETF trend, option volatility, volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [9][10][11]. - **SSE 300ETF Options**: There are charts of the SSE 300ETF trend, option volatility, volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [20][21][22]. - **SZSE 300ETF Options**: Charts cover the SZSE 300ETF trend, option volatility, volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [32][33][34]. - **CSI 300 Index Options**: The report shows charts of the CSI 300 index trend, option volatility, volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [44][45][46]. - **CSI 1000 Index Options**: There are charts of the CSI 1000 index trend, option volatility, volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [57][58][59]. - **SSE 500ETF Options**: Charts include the SSE 500ETF trend, option volatility, volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [71][72][73]. - **SZSE 500ETF Options**: The report provides charts of the SZSE 500ETF trend, option volatility, volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [84][85][86]. - **ChiNext ETF Options**: There are charts of the ChiNext ETF trend, option volatility, volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [97][98][99]. - **Shenzhen 100ETF Options**: The report shows charts of the Shenzhen 100ETF trend, option volatility, volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [110][111][112]. - **SSE 50 Index Options**: Charts cover the SSE 50 index trend, option volatility, volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [123][124][125]. - **STAR 50ETF Options**: There are charts of the STAR 50ETF trend, option volatility, volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [136][137][138]. - **E Fund STAR 50ETF Options**: The report provides charts of the E Fund STAR 50ETF trend, option volatility, volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [145][146][147].
股指短线震荡整理
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-12-10 11:14
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not specified in the provided content Core Viewpoints - Today, all stock indices fluctuated and consolidated. The total trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets throughout the day was 1.79 trillion yuan, a decrease of 126 billion yuan compared to the previous day. The policy side indicated that in 2026, a more proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy will continue to be implemented, sending out positive signals [4]. - The expectation of policy benefits is gradually fermenting, and market risk appetite is rising. However, it is still necessary to wait for more policy details to be introduced in the subsequent Central Economic Work Conference. In the short term, due to the strong resilience of macro - economic data and the fact that the Politburo meeting's statement on aggregate policies did not exceed expectations, the stock indices still need to fluctuate and consolidate in the short term and are currently within the fluctuation range [4]. - Overall, the expectation of policy benefits is gradually fermenting, and in the short term, the stock indices will mainly fluctuate strongly. For options, considering the long - term upward trend of the stock indices, a bull spread or ratio spread strategy with a mild bullish view can be adopted [4]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1 Option Indicators - **Stock Index Performance**: On December 10, 2025, the 50ETF fell 0.32% to close at 3.132; the 300ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) fell 0.13% to close at 4.702; the 300ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) fell 0.17% to close at 4.775; the CSI 300 Index fell 0.14% to close at 4591.83; the CSI 1000 Index rose 0.37% to close at 7408.24; the 500ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) rose 0.54% to close at 7.263; the 500ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) rose 0.56% to close at 2.860; the GEM ETF rose 0.13% to close at 3.192; the Shenzhen 100ETF rose 0.23% to close at 3.475; the SSE 50 Index fell 0.31% to close at 2988.64; the STAR 50ETF rose 0.07% to close at 1.42; the E Fund STAR 50ETF remained unchanged at 1.37 [6]. - **Volume PCR and Open Interest PCR**: The volume PCR and open interest PCR of various options changed compared to the previous trading day. For example, the volume PCR of SSE 50ETF options was 85.15 (previous day: 79.26), and the open interest PCR was 97.51 (previous day: 100.45) [7]. - **Implied Volatility and Historical Volatility**: The implied volatility and 30 - day historical volatility of the 2025 December at - the - money options of various options were reported. For instance, the implied volatility of the SSE 50ETF options' 2025 December at - the - money options was 11.35%, and the 30 - day historical volatility of the underlying was 11.09% [8]. 2 Related Charts - **SSE 50ETF Options**: Charts include the SSE 50ETF trend, option volatility, volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [10][11][12]. - **SSE 300ETF Options**: Charts cover the SSE 300ETF trend, option volatility, volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [21][22][23]. - **SZSE 300ETF Options**: Charts involve the SZSE 300ETF trend, option volatility, volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [33][34][35]. - **CSI 300 Index Options**: Charts include the CSI 300 index trend, option volatility, volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [36][37][38]. - **CSI 1000 Index Options**: Charts cover the CSI 1000 index trend, option volatility, volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [49][50][51]. - **SSE 500ETF Options**: Charts involve the SSE 500ETF trend, option volatility, volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [62][63][64]. - **SZSE 500ETF Options**: Charts include the SZSE 500ETF trend, option volatility, volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [75][76][77]. - **GEM ETF Options**: Charts cover the GEM ETF trend, option volatility, volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [88][89][90]. - **Shenzhen 100ETF Options**: Charts involve the Shenzhen 100ETF trend, option volatility, volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [101][102][103]. - **SSE 50 Index Options**: Charts include the SSE 50 index trend, option volatility, volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [115][116][117]. - **STAR 50ETF Options**: Charts cover the STAR 50ETF trend, option volatility, volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [128][129][130]. - **E Fund STAR 50ETF Options**: Charts involve the E Fund STAR 50ETF trend, option volatility, volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [135][136][137].
政策利好预期升温,股指震荡上涨
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-12-08 10:28
期货研究报告 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 金融期权 | 日报 2025 年 12 月 8 日 金融期权 专业研究·创造价值 政策利好预期升温,股指震荡上涨 核心观点 期权方面,考虑到股指中长线向上,可以牛市价差或者比例价差温和 看涨的思路对待。 (仅供参考,不构成任何投资建议) 电话:0571-87006873 邮箱:longaoming@bcqhgs.com 作者声明:本人具有中国期货 业协会授予的期货从业资格证 书,期货投资咨询资格证书, 本人承诺以勤勉的职业态度, 独立、客观地出具本报告。本 报告清晰准确地反映了本人的 研究观点。本人不会因本报告 中的具体推荐意见或观点而直 接或间接接收到任何形式的报 酬。 今日各股指均震荡反弹。沪深京三市全天成交额 2.05 万亿元,较上日 成交额放量 3126 亿元。今日中央政治局召开会议,分析研究 2026 年经济工 作,释放出 2026 年政策面利好的强烈信号。会议指出,明年经济工作要坚 持稳中求进、提质增效,继续实施更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政 策,发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效应,加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度,切 实提升宏观经济治 ...
短期内股指延续区间震荡
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-12-04 11:29
期货研究报告 金融期权 | 日报 2025 年 12 月 4 日 金融期权 专业研究·创造价值 短期内股指延续区间震荡 核心观点 今日各股指均震荡小幅反弹。沪深京三市全天成交额 15617 亿元,较 上日缩量 1219 亿元。目前股指仍然处于震荡整理阶段,市场缺乏主线,资 金交投热情有所下降。一方面,短期内缺乏政策利好的主线,临近年末资金 交投热情下降,资金了结暂时离场的意愿较强,限制了股指的短线上行空 间。另一方面,未来政策面利好预期以及长线资金入市趋势不变,股指的支 撑力量较强,且中央经济工作会议的政策利好预期逐渐发酵,投资者风险偏 好不悲观。总的来说,短期内股指延续区间震荡。 期权方面,考虑到股指中长线向上,可以牛市价差或者比例价差温和 看涨的思路对待。 (仅供参考,不构成任何投资建议) 姓名:龙奥明 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号:F3035632 投资咨询证号:Z0014648 电话:0571-87006873 邮箱:longaoming@bcqhgs.com 作者声明:本人具有中国期货 业协会授予的期货从业资格证 书,期货投资咨询资格证书, 本 ...
股指延续震荡反弹
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-12-01 11:05
Group 1: Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Group 2: Core Views - On December 1, 2025, the stock indices oscillated and rebounded. The total trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets was 1889.4 billion yuan, an increase of 291.7 billion yuan from the previous day. The manufacturing PMI in November was 49.2%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month but still below the boom - bust line, indicating insufficient effective domestic demand and strong expectations for policy support. The central economic work conference in December is expected to bring incremental policy benefits. Overseas, the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut has increased, and the risk of AI asset investment bubble has cooled, reducing market risk - aversion sentiment. In general, the expectations of policy benefits and the trend of long - term capital inflows remain unchanged, providing strong support for the stock indices. It is expected that the stock indices will oscillate strongly in the short term [4]. - For options, considering the medium - to long - term upward trend of the stock indices, a bull spread or ratio spread strategy with a mild bullish view can be adopted [4]. Group 3: Summary of "1 Option Indicators" - On December 1, 2025, 50ETF rose 0.77% to 3.137; 300ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) rose 1.12% to 4.687; 300ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) rose 1.05% to 4.833; the CSI 300 Index rose 1.10% to 4576.49; the CSI 1000 Index rose 0.72% to 7386.68; 500ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) rose 0.94% to 7.202; 500ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) rose 0.98% to 2.874; the ChiNext ETF rose 1.25% to 3.073; the Shenzhen 100ETF rose 1.42% to 3.418; the SSE 50 Index rose 0.81% to 2993.68; the STAR 50ETF rose 0.79% to 1.40; the E Fund STAR 50ETF rose 0.74% to 1.36 [6]. - The PCR values of various options' trading volume and open interest on December 1, 2025, and their changes compared with the previous trading day are presented in detail, including 50ETF options, SSE 300ETF options, SZSE 300ETF options, CSI 300 Index options, CSI 1000 Index options, SSE 500ETF options, SZSE 500ETF options, ChiNext ETF options, Shenzhen 100ETF options, SSE 50 Index options, STAR 50ETF options, and E Fund STAR 50ETF options [7]. - The implied volatility of at - the - money options in December 2025 and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying assets of various options are provided, such as 50ETF options, SSE 300ETF options, SZSE 300ETF options, CSI 300 Index options, CSI 1000 Index options, SSE 500ETF options, SZSE 500ETF options, ChiNext ETF options, Shenzhen 100ETF options, SSE 50 Index options, STAR 50ETF options, and E Fund STAR 50ETF options [8][9]. Group 4: Summary of "2 Related Charts" - **SSE 50ETF Options**: Charts include the SSE 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [10][12][14][16][18]. - **SSE 300ETF Options**: Charts cover the SSE 300ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [20][22][24][26][30]. - **SZSE 300ETF Options**: Charts involve the SZSE 300ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [33][35][37]. - **CSI 300 Index Options**: Charts include the CSI 300 Index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [38][40][42][44][48]. - **CSI 1000 Index Options**: Charts cover the CSI 1000 Index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [51][54][56][58][60][62]. - **SSE 500ETF Options**: Charts involve the SSE 500ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [65][67][69][71][73][76]. - **SZSE 500ETF Options**: Charts include the SZSE 500ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [77][79][81][83][85][87]. - **ChiNext ETF Options**: Charts cover the ChiNext ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [90][92][94][96][98][100]. - **Shenzhen 100ETF Options**: Charts involve the Shenzhen 100ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [101][103][105][107][109][111]. - **SSE 50 Index Options**: Charts include the SSE 50 Index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [114][116][118][120][122][124]. - **STAR 50ETF Options**: Charts cover the STAR 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [127][129][130][134]. - **E Fund STAR 50ETF Options**: Charts involve the E Fund STAR 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [135][137].
股指继续震荡整理
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-27 10:53
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - On November 27, 2025, the stock indices fluctuated throughout the day and closed nearly flat. The total market turnover was 1.70 trillion yuan, a decrease of 93.5 billion yuan from the previous day. Due to weak incremental policy signals recently, the upward momentum of the stock indices has weakened. With the influence of the overseas Fed's interest - rate cut expectations and the risk of AI investment bubbles, the willingness of funds to take profits and leave temporarily has increased, and market sentiment has declined compared to before. - The profit growth of industrial enterprises above designated size from January to October 2025 was 1.9%, with a slowdown in growth rate. Considering the weakening of consumption and investment data in October, there are still strong expectations for policy benefits in the future, and the inflow trend of long - term funds remains unchanged, so the stock indices have strong support. - In general, with the coexistence of bullish and bearish factors, the current market main trend is unclear, and the stock indices will mainly fluctuate within a range in the short term. - Regarding options, considering the long - term upward trend of the stock indices, a bull spread strategy can be considered after a significant correction of the stock indices [4]. 3. Summary of Each Section 3.1 Option Indicators - On November 27, 2025, 50ETF fell 0.06% to 3.112; 300ETF (SSE) fell 0.09% to 4.622; 300ETF (SZSE) fell 0.21% to 4.768; the CSI 300 Index fell 0.05% to 4515.40; the CSI 1000 Index rose 0.12% to 7257.45; 500ETF (SSE) fell 0.21% to 7.050; 500ETF (SZSE) fell 0.28% to 2.817; the GEM ETF fell 0.50% to 3.012; the Shenzhen 100ETF fell 0.36% to 3.358; the SSE 50 Index rose 0.02% to 2972.27; the STAR 50ETF fell 0.22% to 1.38; and the E Fund STAR 50ETF fell 0.30% to 1.34 [6]. - The trading volume PCR and open - interest PCR of various options changed compared to the previous trading day. For example, the trading volume PCR of SSE 50ETF options was 92.73 (previous day: 89.94), and the open - interest PCR was 100.17 (previous day: 100.08) [7]. - The implied volatility of at - the - money options in December 2025 and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying assets of various options were reported. For instance, the implied volatility of at - the - money SSE 50ETF options in December 2025 was 12.49%, and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying asset was 12.36% [8]. 3.2 Relevant Charts - **SSE 50ETF Options**: Included charts of the SSE 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [10]. - **SSE 300ETF Options**: Included charts of the SSE 300ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [21]. - **SZSE 300ETF Options**: Included charts of the SZSE 300ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [34]. - **CSI 300 Index Options**: Included charts of the CSI 300 Index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [46]. - **CSI 1000 Index Options**: Included charts of the CSI 1000 Index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [59]. - **SSE 500ETF Options**: Included charts of the SSE 500ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [73]. - **SZSE 500ETF Options**: Included charts of the SZSE 500ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [86]. - **GEM ETF Options**: Included charts of the GEM ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [98]. - **Shenzhen 100ETF Options**: Included charts of the Shenzhen 100ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [111]. - **SSE 50 Index Options**: Included charts of the SSE 50 Index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [124]. - **STAR 50ETF Options**: Included charts of the STAR 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [137]. - **E Fund STAR 50ETF Options**: Included charts of the E Fund STAR 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of different tenors [147].
短期内股指区间震荡为主
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-26 10:50
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Short - term stock index will mainly fluctuate within a range. Today, all stock indices rose and then fell, with all - day volatile consolidation. The total trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets was 1797.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 29 billion yuan from the previous day. Since November, the incremental policy signals have weakened, the driving force for the upward movement of the stock index has decreased, and the willingness of funds to liquidate and temporarily leave the market has increased. Recently, both the margin trading purchase amount and margin trading balance have declined, indicating that market sentiment has declined compared with before. However, the positive policy expectations and continuous capital inflows have not changed in the medium and long term, and the support force below the stock index has emerged after a short - term correction. Overall, with the interweaving of long and short factors in the short term, the market's main line is still unclear, and the stock index will mainly fluctuate within a range in the short term. [3] - Regarding options, considering the medium - and long - term upward trend of the stock index, a bull spread strategy can be adopted after a significant correction of the stock index. [3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Option Indicators - On November 26, 2025, the 50ETF rose 0.13% to close at 3.114; the 300ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) rose 0.63% to close at 4.626; the 300ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) rose 0.80% to close at 4.778; the CSI 300 Index rose 0.61% to close at 4517.63; the CSI 1000 Index fell 0.02% to close at 7248.45; the 500ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) rose 0.16% to close at 7.065; the 500ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) rose 0.18% to close at 2.825; the GEM ETF rose 2.23% to close at 3.027; the Shenzhen 100ETF rose 1.72% to close at 3.370; the SSE 50 Index rose 0.12% to close at 2971.80; the STAR 50ETF rose 0.95% to close at 1.38; the E Fund STAR 50ETF rose 1.13% to close at 1.34. [5] - The trading volume PCR and position PCR of various options on November 26, 2025, and their changes compared with the previous trading day are provided in detail, including those of 50ETF options, 300ETF options (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), CSI 300 index options, CSI 1000 index options, 500ETF options (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), GEM ETF options, Shenzhen 100ETF options, SSE 50 index options, STAR 50ETF options, and E Fund STAR 50ETF options. [6] - The implied volatility of at - the - money options in December 2025 and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying assets of various options are presented, such as 50ETF options, 300ETF options (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), CSI 300 index options, etc. [7][8] 3.2 Relevant Charts - For each type of option (e.g., 50ETF options, 300ETF options in Shanghai and Shenzhen, etc.), multiple charts are provided, including the underlying asset's trend chart, option volatility chart, trading volume PCR chart, position PCR chart, implied volatility curve chart, and chart of at - the - money implied volatility of each term. [9][20][33]
支撑力量较强,股指震荡反弹
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-25 10:40
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - On November 25, 2025, all stock indices oscillated and rebounded. The total trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets was 1826.2 billion yuan, an increase of 85.8 billion yuan from the previous day [3]. - Due to the low necessity for further policy tightening this year, the incremental policy signals have weakened recently. Investor profit - taking intentions have risen, and both the margin trading volume and margin balance have declined, indicating a decrease in market trading sentiment. In the short term, the stock indices need technical consolidation [3]. - However, there are still expectations of policy benefits from the Central Economic Work Conference in December. The expectations of policy benefits and the trend of continuous capital inflow have not changed. In the long - term, the outlook for the stock indices is not pessimistic. After a significant short - term correction, there is strong support below. Overall, the stock indices will mainly oscillate within a range in the short term [3]. - For options, considering the long - term upward trend of the stock indices, a bull spread strategy can be adopted after a significant correction of the stock indices [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Option Indicators - **ETF and Index Performance**: On November 25, 2025, the 50ETF rose 0.52% to close at 3.110; the 300ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) rose 0.88% to close at 4.597; the 300ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) rose 0.64% to close at 4.740; the CSI 300 Index rose 0.95% to close at 4490.40; the CSI 1000 Index rose 1.31% to close at 7249.95; the 500ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) rose 1.21% to close at 7.054; the 500ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) rose 1.18% to close at 2.820; the ChiNext ETF rose 1.82% to close at 2.961; the Shenzhen 100ETF rose 1.35% to close at 3.313; the SSE 50 Index rose 0.60% to close at 2968.20; the Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF rose 0.66% to close at 1.37; and the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF rose 0.61% to close at 1.33 [5]. - **Volume and Open Interest PCR**: The volume and open interest PCR values of various options changed compared to the previous trading day. For example, the 50ETF option volume PCR was 88.17 (previous day: 101.94), and the open interest PCR was 80.45 (previous day: 73.66) [6]. - **Implied Volatility and Historical Volatility**: The implied volatility and 30 - day historical volatility of the at - the - money options of various options in December 2025 are provided. For instance, the implied volatility of the 50ETF option at - the - money option in December 2025 was 14.86%, and the 30 - day historical volatility of the underlying was 12.91% [7]. 3.2 Relevant Charts - **Option - related Charts**: The report includes a series of charts related to different options, such as the price trends, volatility, volume PCR, open interest PCR, implied volatility curves, and at - the - money implied volatility of different terms for options like the 50ETF option, 300ETF option (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), CSI 300 index option, CSI 1000 index option, 500ETF option (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), ChiNext ETF option, Shenzhen 100ETF option, SSE 50 index option, Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF option, and E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF option [9][20][33] etc.