来源：证券时报 继有色之后，油气板块延续大宗商品行情，成为最近市场的关注热点。 开年以来，在全球宏观周期转向、地缘风险溢价等因素共同作用下，油气板块持续走强，通源石油大涨 173.01%，洲际油气、招商轮船、中远海能、杰瑞股份等众多个股上涨超50%，中证油气资源指数整体 上涨33.07%，更有超80亿资金通过ETF渠道涌入，成为资金青睐的一大景气方向。 然而，面对种类繁多、差异较大的油气基金，如何避开高溢价的"陷阱"，选择与自己投资逻辑匹配的工 具，成为投资者面临的实际挑战。 超80亿资金借道基金抢筹 2月27日，油气板块再度大涨，和顺石油涨停，杰瑞股份、胜通能源等个股上涨超5%，多只油气ETF上 涨超2%。 拉长时间来看，全球油气板块集体共振，ICE布油从去年末的58.72美元/桶涨至突破70美元/桶，美股的 道琼斯美国石油开发与生产指数年内上涨18.43%，A股的中证油气资源指数上涨33.07%，通源石油、潜 能恒信等个股股价翻倍。 在行情走强的同时，大量资金借道基金抢筹，布局油气板块。wind数据显示，开年以来，超80亿元资金 净流入油气ETF，其中国泰石油ETF、鹏华石油ETF分别获得了29.91亿元 ...

年初以来国际原油价格波动走高，国内相关主题基金表现也持续亮眼。2月23日，布伦特原油自2025年7 月以来首次重回72美元/桶，随后小幅回落。2月24日，布伦特原油价格维持上涨趋势，并在71美元附近 波动。同日，多只油气ETF领涨场内基金，3只产品涨超9%。基金净值方面，主题产品年初至今均取得 正收益，最高超18%。有观点认为，当前投资油气ETF短期收益或会乐观，从中长期角度来看也仍具备 稳健上涨的趋势。不过，投资相关产品也需要注意观察溢价率变化、地缘局势变化趋势等风险因素。 公开数据显示，2月24日，布伦特原油价格在71美元/桶附近波动，整体呈现上涨趋势。截至16时，布伦 特原油报71.73美元/桶，涨0.34%。而就在前一个交易日（2月23日），布伦特原油盘中突破72美元/桶， 为2025年7月以来首次。若从国内春节假期开始计算，即2月15日起至今，布伦特原油价格已涨超 5.5%。 在原油价格上涨的同时，一众油气ETF也在2月24日开盘后领涨，更有多只产品涨超9%。交易行情数据 显示，截至2月24日下午收盘，富国标普油气ETF（QDII）、嘉实标普油气ETF（QDII）、银华中证油 气资源ETF均涨超9% ...

| | | 全部 宽基 行业 策略 风格 主题 T+0 陆股通 股票型 债券型 商品型 货币型 跨境型 | | | | | | | | ETF整体 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 还原 | | 类型 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 : | IOPV | 折溢价率 | | 换手率 成交量(份) 成交额(元) | | 5日涨跌幅 | | 1 | 513350 | 跨 标普油气ETF T+0 | 1.162 | +9.73% | 1.0778 | +7.81% | 152.76% | 981.85万 | 11.17亿 | +11.09% | | 2 | 159518 | 标普油气ETF嘉实 T+0 | 1.101 | +9.66% | 1.0268 | +7.23% | 99.88% | 1453.63万 | 15.46亿 | +10.10% | | 3 | 563150 | 主 油气ETF银华 | 1.436 | +9.53% | 1.4034 | +2.32% | 26.79% | 14.58万 | 20 ...

Group 1 - The scale of cross-border ETFs has returned to 1 trillion yuan, reaching 1 trillion yuan again as of February 11, with Hong Kong stock-themed ETFs totaling 822.45 billion yuan [1] - Baodao Fund announced the establishment of the Baodao Xinghang Mixed Fund, with the company investing 8 million yuan of its own funds during the fundraising period [2] - A total of 12 commercial real estate REITs have been filed and accepted since the pilot program began on December 31, 2025, with 11 in the Shanghai market and 1 in the Shenzhen market [3] Group 2 - Ren Xiangdong has reduced holdings in Dalian Technology, with the number of shares held by his managed funds decreasing by 119,400 shares and 63,800 shares respectively as of February 6 [4] - Yan Siqian has been appointed as the new fund manager for the Penghua Fengsheng Bond Fund, marking her first management role in a bond fund [5] Group 3 - The ETF market experienced a day of volatility, with all three major indices declining, while the aerospace sector showed strength with the aerospace ETF rising by 2.30% [6] - Oil and gas-related ETFs saw a collective decline, with the largest drop being 4.21% for the Boshi Oil and Gas ETF [7] Group 4 - The global semiconductor materials market is characterized by "long-term growth and cyclical fluctuations," with a restructuring of the regional landscape accelerated by domestic production trends [8] - Recent government policies have provided robust support for the development of the semiconductor materials industry, creating a comprehensive empowerment system [8]

Market Performance - A-share market indices showed mixed performance this week, with the Shanghai Composite Index declining by 0.44%, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 1.62%, while the CSI 300 Index rose by 1.58% and the SSE 50 Index increased by 1.13% [1] ETF Trends - Resource and technology sector ETFs have attracted significant capital recently, with the Brazil ETF leading the weekly gains at 22.5%, driven by the strong performance of the IBOVESPA index and key stocks like Vale and Petrobras benefiting from rising commodity prices [1] - The Brazil ETF currently has a premium rate of 15.04% [1] ETF Performance Rankings - The top-performing ETFs this week include: - Hotel F ETF: 22.50% - South Korea Semiconductor ETF: 17.14% - Brazil ETF: 12.55% - Gold Stocks ETF: 9.41% - Oil and Gas ETFs: around 7% [2][3] Fund Flows - The ETF market experienced a net outflow of 300 billion yuan this week, with broad-based ETFs seeing a net outflow of approximately 390 billion yuan, while industry ETFs recorded a significant net inflow of 68.55 billion yuan and commodity ETFs saw a net inflow of 24.36 billion yuan [3] Upcoming ETF Issuances - Four new ETFs are set to be issued next week, including: - Battery ETF by E Fund - Dividend Quality ETF by E Fund - Industrial Nonferrous ETF by Bosera - Hang Seng Biotechnology ETF by GF Fund [4][5]

Group 1 - In January 2026, the A-share ETF market showed a clear divergence, with over 200 billion yuan flowing into industry-themed ETFs such as non-ferrous metals, gold, chemicals, and satellite, while core broad-based ETFs like CSI 300 and CSI 1000 experienced a net outflow exceeding 1 trillion yuan [1][6] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 3.76% in January, reaching above the 4100-point mark, while the Sci-Tech 50 Index saw an increase of over 12% [2] - Significant gains were observed in various ETFs, with semiconductor and gold stock ETFs rising over 40%, and mining and non-ferrous metal ETFs increasing by over 20% [2][3] Group 2 - In January, the banking ETF fell by over 6%, along with declines in the automotive and battery ETFs [4] - On January 28, a notable increase in ETF trading volume was recorded, with the Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF exceeding 40 billion yuan in trading volume, marking the highest since 2015 for the SSE 50 ETF [5] - Over 1 trillion yuan was withdrawn from broad-based ETFs in January, with significant outflows from the CSI 300, CSI 1000, and SSE 50 ETFs, while industry-themed ETFs saw net inflows exceeding 10 billion yuan [6] Group 3 - In January, there was a substantial inflow of overseas funds into Chinese stock assets, with a net inflow of 16.659 billion USD into mainland Chinese stock funds, according to Goldman Sachs [7]

Core Insights - Brazilian ETFs led the market this week with a remarkable weekly increase of 22.5%, primarily driven by the historical high of the IBOVESPA index and strong performances from key constituents [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Brazilian ETF achieved a weekly growth of 22.5%, ranking first among ETFs [1] - The IBOVESPA index reached a historical high at the end of January, contributing to the ETF's performance [1] - Key stocks such as Vale and Petrobras showed strong performance, positively influenced by rising commodity prices [1] Group 2: Other Notable ETFs - ETFs related to semiconductor industries in China and South Korea, gold stocks, oil and gas, energy, and AI on the STAR Market also performed well, ranking among the top gainers [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the current commodity market is characterized by a divergence between precious metals and energy metals, driven by a combination of "hedging and demand" logic [3][4] - Gold has reached a price of $5,100, reflecting a shift in investor sentiment towards gold as a "wealth anchor" amid declining trust in currencies and bonds, with a 17% increase this year [3][4] - Silver has surged by 14% in a single day, driven by both its financial attributes and industrial demand from sectors like photovoltaics and new energy, alongside a five-year supply shortage [3][4] Group 2 - Oil prices have declined due to increased supply from Kazakhstan's Black Sea port and the resumption of operations at the Tengiz oil field, which has balanced supply and demand [3][4] - Copper prices are rising due to recovering industrial demand, indicating a potential economic recovery, as copper is essential for manufacturing [3][4] - Investment strategies suggest focusing on hard logic commodities, with recommendations for gold ETFs and leading silver companies, while advising caution against high-volatility investments like oil futures [4][5] Group 3 - The overarching investment logic in commodities is that precious metals are influenced by currency trust, industrial metals are driven by demand recovery, and energy prices are determined by supply-demand balance [5] - A suggested asset allocation strategy includes holding 5%-10% in gold ETFs for hedging against geopolitical risks and 3%-5% in industrial metal stocks to benefit from economic recovery [5] - Investors are advised to avoid chasing high prices in gold and silver and instead wait for pullbacks to enter positions, while also focusing on low-risk ETFs for energy investments [5]

Core Viewpoint - The oil and gas sector is experiencing a significant rise, with various stocks and ETFs showing substantial gains, indicating a positive market sentiment towards the industry. Group 1: Stock Performance - Tongyuan Petroleum saw a rise of over 13%, while Heshun Petroleum, Intercontinental Oil & Gas, and Zhongman Petroleum reached their daily limit up [1] - The oil and gas ETFs, including Huatai-PB Oil & Gas ETF, increased by over 4%, with several others also showing gains of more than 3% [1] Group 2: ETF Performance - The Huatai-PB Oil & Gas ETF increased by 4.27% year-to-date, reflecting a 16.39% annual gain [2] - The Oil & Gas Resource ETF rose by 3.97% on the day and 15.70% year-to-date [2] - The Petroleum ETF from Penghua also saw a daily increase of 3.97% and a year-to-date increase of 12.56% [2] Group 3: Industry Insights - The China Securities Oil and Gas Resource Index, which tracks companies involved in oil and gas extraction, services, and equipment manufacturing, rose by 13.11% in the fourth quarter, outperforming the overall A-share market [6] - The global oil market is facing supply-demand imbalances, with OPEC+ increasing production by nearly 3 million barrels per day starting April 2025, primarily from major oil-producing countries [6] - Despite a 6.5% year-on-year increase in China's crude oil imports in October and November, the increase mainly contributed to strategic reserves and port inventory rather than actual consumption [6] Group 4: Company Strategies - Companies in the oil and gas sector are focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements, such as digital management to lower extraction costs while maintaining stable cash flow generation [7] - The sector's resilience in fundamentals provides investment value even when oil prices are under pressure [7] - The China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) is positioned as a leading player in offshore resource development, aiming to strengthen its oil and gas business and explore marine mineral resources [7]

Core Viewpoint - Recent surge in overseas natural gas prices has led to significant increases in oil and gas ETFs, with some rising over 3% [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - Oil and gas stocks have seen a rise, with various ETFs tracking oil and gas resources showing gains of over 3% [1] - Natural gas futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose by over 10% after a previous increase of 29%, reaching a price of $5.381 per million British thermal units [2] - Cumulatively, U.S. natural gas futures have increased by over 70% in the past four trading days [2] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The volatility in the U.S. natural gas market is driven by fluctuations in demand (weather, LNG exports) and supply (high domestic production) [2] - Recent geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding Venezuela, Russia, and Iran, are contributing to supply concerns and supporting oil price increases [3] - The oil market is currently experiencing historically low inventory levels, while global demand remains resilient, particularly in refining and aviation sectors [4] Group 3: Strategic Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the importance of energy resource security, highlighting the need for enhanced domestic oil and gas supply capabilities [3] - Upstream companies are showing robust profitability, with a focus on capital expenditures aimed at increasing reserves and transitioning to low-carbon operations [5] - The oil and gas sector is characterized by low valuations, high dividends, and inflation resistance, making it an attractive asset allocation option in the current macroeconomic environment [5]