Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus is on the energy sector, particularly in the context of China's commitment to energy security as a national strategic priority [1][3]. Core Insights and Arguments - The Ministry of Foreign Affairs has made a clear statement regarding the assurance of energy security, indicating that energy self-sufficiency has become a core national strategy amid ongoing geopolitical tensions [1][3]. - The recent policy direction is expected to lead to a systematic reassessment of the strategic value of the entire energy supply chain, with two main lines of focus and a dual-driven approach [2][4]. Main Line One: Traditional Energy Supply and Upstream Resource Price Increases 1. **Oil and Gas Exploration**: Rising oil prices are beneficial for upstream sectors, with major oil companies ("Three Barrel Oil") maintaining high capital expenditures to ensure energy security, which in turn benefits oil service companies [4]. 2. **Coal and Coal Chemical Industry**: Coal is viewed as a stabilizing force for energy security, with positive demand expectations. Any disruptions in international methanol imports are likely to boost domestic coal chemical demand [4]. 3. **Natural Gas Industry Chain**: The increase in international gas prices is improving upstream profitability, while pipeline construction is driving equipment demand across the entire supply chain from gas sourcing to distribution [4]. Main Line Two: Energy Transition and Self-Sufficiency Creating New Competitive Advantages 1. **Nuclear Power**: Recognized as a stable and reliable baseload energy source, the implementation of small reactor policies is opening new market opportunities [4]. 2. **Energy Storage and Smart Grid**: The urgency for energy self-sufficiency is heightened by geopolitical conflicts, emphasizing the need for advancements in energy storage and grid technology [5]. 3. **Grid and Distribution**: The acceleration of new power system construction highlights the critical value of connecting new energy sources with demand [5]. 4. **Hydrogen Energy**: Green hydrogen and green ammonia/methanol are seen as long-term pathways for import substitution, with accelerated applications in heavy-duty vehicles [5]. Additional Important Insights - The policy direction is clear, and the benefits across the entire energy supply chain are evident. The landscape of China's energy security is undergoing systematic reconstruction, suggesting a proactive investment approach is advisable during the current valuation window [5].

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·燃气Ⅱ 燃气Ⅱ行业跟踪周报 重视资源价值，首华燃气+具备长协成本优势企业 2026 年 03 月 03 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] ◼ 风险提示：经济增速不及预期、极端天气、国际局势变化、经营风险。 证券分析师 袁理 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 谷玥 执业证书：S0600524090002 guy@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -8% -1% 6% 13% 20% 27% 34% 41% 48% 55% 2025/3/3 2025/7/2 2025/10/31 2026/3/1 燃气Ⅱ 沪深300 相关研究 《气温回暖&美伊局势紧张，美国气 价回落，欧洲气价微涨》 2026-02-24 《气温回暖，欧美气价高位回落，国 内气价平稳》 2026-02-09 东吴证券研究所 1 / 14 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 价格跟踪：气温回暖，美国气价回落；节后需求恢复缓慢，国内气价下 滑。截至 2026/02/27,美国 HH/欧洲 TT ...

燃气Ⅱ行业跟踪周报 证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·燃气Ⅱ 气温回暖&美伊局势紧张，美国气价回落，欧 洲气价微涨 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] 证券分析师 袁理 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 谷玥 执业证书：S0600524090002 guy@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 2026 年 02 月 24 日 2026-02-02 -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 2025/2/24 2025/6/22 2025/10/18 2026/2/13 燃气Ⅱ 沪深300 东吴证券研究所 1 / 13 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 价格跟踪：气温回暖&美伊局势紧张，美国气价回落，欧洲气价微涨。 截至 2026/02/20,美国 HH/欧洲 TTF/东亚 JKM/中国 LNG 出厂/中国 LNG 到岸价周环比变动-3.4%/+1.1%/+1.4%/0%/+3.9%至 0.8/2.8/2.7/2.5/2.7 元 /方。 ◼ 供需分析 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report indicates a decline in gas prices in Europe and the US due to warming temperatures, while domestic gas prices remain stable as of February 6, 2026 [1] Price Tracking - As of February 6, 2026, gas prices have decreased week-on-week: US HH by 31.5%, European TTF by 11%, East Asia JKM by 3.6%, Chinese LNG ex-factory price by 2%, and Chinese LNG CIF price by 11.6%, with current prices at 1.2, 3.1, 2.8, 2.7, and 2.6 yuan per cubic meter respectively [1] Supply and Demand Analysis - US natural gas market prices fell by 31.5% week-on-week, with storage levels decreasing by 2,420 billion cubic feet to 28,230 billion cubic feet, a year-on-year increase of 9.8% [2] - European gas prices decreased by 11.0% week-on-week, with gas consumption from January to October 2025 at 3,495 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 4.6% [2] - European gas supply fell by 5.2% week-on-week to 124,499 GWh, with a notable decrease in supply from inventory and LNG receiving stations [2] - Domestic gas prices decreased by 2.0% week-on-week, with apparent consumption in China from January to December 2025 at 4,332 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 2.3% [2] Pricing Progress - As of 2026, 68% of cities in China have implemented residential pricing adjustments, with an average increase of 0.22 yuan per cubic meter [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that supply is ample, and city gas companies are optimizing costs, with a focus on continuous pricing adjustments and demand growth [4] - Key recommendations include companies like Xinao Energy, China Resources Gas, and Kunlun Energy, which have attractive dividend yields and potential for valuation recovery [4] - Attention is drawn to companies with quality long-term contracts and cost advantages, such as Jiufeng Energy and Xinao Shares [4] - The importance of energy independence is highlighted, recommending companies with gas production capabilities like Shouhua Gas [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the gas industry [1] Core Views - The report highlights a warming trend in temperatures leading to a decline in gas prices in Europe and the US, while domestic gas prices remain stable [1][9] - It emphasizes the overall supply being relaxed, with domestic gas prices decreasing by 2.0% week-on-week [26] - The report suggests that the pricing mechanism is being rationalized, and demand is expected to increase [1] Price Tracking - As of February 6, 2026, the week-on-week changes in gas prices are as follows: US HH down 31.5%, European TTF down 11%, East Asia JKM down 3.6%, China LNG ex-factory down 2%, and China LNG CIF down 11.6% [9][10] - The report notes that the average gas consumption in Europe for the first ten months of 2025 was 349.5 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 4.6% [15] Supply and Demand Analysis - The report indicates that the US natural gas market price decreased by 31.5% week-on-week due to a high base, with storage levels at 28,230 billion cubic feet, a year-on-year increase of 9.8% [14] - In Europe, gas supply decreased by 5.2% week-on-week, with a notable drop in gas-fired power generation output by 10.9% week-on-week [15] - Domestic gas consumption for 2025 is projected to increase by 2.3% year-on-year to 433.2 billion cubic meters, attributed to warmer winter conditions affecting heating gas demand [26] Pricing Progress - The report states that 68% of cities have implemented residential pricing adjustments, with an average increase of 0.22 yuan per cubic meter [40] - The report anticipates continued pricing adjustments and improvements in profitability for city gas companies [40] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that can optimize costs and benefit from the ongoing pricing adjustments, such as Xin'ao Energy, China Resources Gas, and Kunlun Energy [1] - It also suggests monitoring companies with quality long-term contracts and flexible scheduling capabilities, such as Jiufeng Energy and Xin'ao Co. [1] - The report highlights the importance of energy independence and recommends companies with gas production capabilities, such as Shouhua Gas [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the gas industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights a significant drop in US gas prices due to the retreat of cold weather, while European and domestic gas prices remain relatively stable [4][9] - It emphasizes the ongoing supply-demand dynamics, with US gas storage levels showing a year-on-year increase of 9.8% despite a week-on-week decrease of 2420 billion cubic feet [16] - The report notes that domestic gas prices have increased by 1.3% week-on-week, driven by rising import prices [26] Price Tracking - As of January 30, 2026, the week-on-week changes in gas prices are as follows: US HH down 74.4%, European TTF up 0.9%, East Asia JKM up 2.1%, China LNG ex-factory price up 1.3%, and China LNG CIF price up 6.5% [4][9] - The report provides detailed price comparisons, indicating that the domestic LNG ex-factory price is 4045 RMB/ton, while the CIF price is 4433 RMB/ton [14] Supply and Demand Analysis - The report indicates that European gas consumption for the first ten months of 2025 was 349.5 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 4.6% [17] - It also notes that European gas supply decreased by 6.9% week-on-week, with a significant drop in supply from inventory [17] - Domestic gas consumption for 2025 is projected to be 433.2 billion cubic meters, with production increasing by 6.3% year-on-year [26] Pricing Mechanism Progress - The report states that 68% of cities have implemented residential pricing adjustments, with an average increase of 0.22 RMB/cubic meter [40] - It highlights that there is still a 10% room for price adjustment in the gas distribution sector [40] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that can optimize costs and benefit from the ongoing pricing adjustments, such as Xin'ao Energy, China Resources Gas, and Kunlun Energy [52] - It suggests monitoring companies with quality long-term contracts and flexible scheduling capabilities, such as Jiufeng Energy and Xin'ao Shares [52] - The report emphasizes the importance of energy independence and recommends companies with gas production capabilities like Shouhua Gas [52]

Group 1 - The oil sector is experiencing fluctuations, with funds entering the market at lower prices, as evidenced by the net subscription of 23 million units for the Penghua Oil ETF (159697) [1] - A cold wave in the U.S. has led to a significant increase in natural gas prices [1] - From 2022 to 2025, 67% (195 cities) of cities at the prefecture level and above in China have implemented residential pricing adjustments, with an increase of 0.22 yuan per cubic meter [1] Group 2 - The price difference for leading city gas companies in 2024 is projected to be between 0.53 and 0.54 yuan per cubic meter, with a reasonable distribution fee expected to exceed 0.6 yuan per cubic meter, indicating a potential 10% recovery space [1] - Cost optimization for city gas companies is expected due to relaxed supply conditions, and the pricing mechanism is being refined while demand is anticipated to increase [1] - There is a focus on companies with quality long-term contracts, flexible scheduling, and long-term cost advantages, as well as the importance of energy self-sufficiency due to increased uncertainty in U.S. gas imports [1] Group 3 - As of January 23, 2026, the National Oil and Gas Index (399439) shows mixed performance among its constituent stocks, with Intercontinental Oil and Gas leading at a 3.29% increase, followed by Fuan Energy at 2.73% and Hupoo Co. at 1.96% [1] - The latest price for the Penghua Oil ETF (159697) is 1.29 yuan, which closely tracks the National Oil and Gas Index [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the National Oil and Gas Index (399439) as of December 31, 2025, include major companies such as China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and China National Offshore Oil, collectively accounting for 67.11% of the index [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the gas industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that heating demand and escalating US-Iran tensions have led to a significant increase in overseas gas prices, with US HH prices rising by 10.2% and European TTF prices soaring by 32.4% as of January 16, 2026 [5][10] - The report emphasizes the importance of the commercial aerospace sector in enhancing the value and market share of specialty gases, particularly for companies like Jiufeng Energy [5] Price Tracking - As of January 16, 2026, the week-on-week changes in gas prices are as follows: US HH +10.2%, European TTF +32.4%, East Asia JKM +16.6%, China LNG ex-factory +0.9%, and China LNG CIF +10.1%, with prices reaching 0.8, 3.3, 2.8, 2.6, and 2.6 yuan per cubic meter respectively [10][11] Supply and Demand Analysis - The report notes that the US gas price has increased due to heightened tensions in the Middle East, with a week-on-week decrease in storage levels of 710 billion cubic feet, bringing total storage to 31,850 billion cubic feet, a year-on-year increase of 2.2% [16] - European gas prices have surged due to significantly lower temperatures compared to previous years, with a reported consumption increase of 4.1% year-on-year for the first nine months of 2025, totaling 313.8 billion cubic meters [17] Domestic Market Overview - The report indicates that domestic gas prices have increased by 0.9% week-on-week, with a total apparent consumption of 392 billion cubic meters in China for the first eleven months of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.5% [21][26] - The domestic LNG import price averaged 3,384 yuan per ton in November 2025, showing a year-on-year decrease of 18.3% [26] Pricing Mechanism Progress - The report states that 67% of cities have implemented residential pricing adjustments, with an average increase of 0.22 yuan per cubic meter, indicating ongoing efforts to optimize costs for city gas companies [36] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that can optimize costs and benefit from the ongoing pricing adjustments, highlighting New Hope Energy, China Resources Gas, and Kunlun Energy as key investment opportunities [5] - It also suggests monitoring companies with quality long-term contracts and flexible operations, such as Jiufeng Energy and New Hope Holdings, for their potential in the commercial aerospace sector [5]

Core Viewpoint - The report indicates a recovery in temperatures to normal levels, leading to a decline in gas prices in Europe and the US, with significant week-on-week changes in various gas price indices as of January 9, 2026 [1][2]. Price Tracking - Gas prices have decreased significantly, with US HH prices down by 27.5%, European TTF down by 5.7%, East Asia JKM down by 1.4%, and China's LNG ex-factory and import prices down by 1.4% and 4.8%, respectively, reaching 0.7, 2.4, 2.4, 2.6, and 2.3 yuan per cubic meter [1][2]. Supply and Demand Analysis - The US natural gas market saw a week-on-week price drop of 27.5% due to rising temperatures, with storage levels decreasing by 119 billion cubic feet to 32,560 billion cubic feet, a year-on-year decline of 3.5% [3]. - European gas prices fell by 5.7% as temperatures are expected to rise, with gas consumption in Europe for January to September 2025 at 3,138 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 4.1% [3]. - European gas supply increased by 5% to 112,234 GWh, with significant contributions from inventory consumption and LNG receiving stations [3]. - Domestic gas prices in China decreased by 1.4%, with apparent consumption for January to November 2025 at 3,920 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 1.5% [3]. Pricing Progress - From 2022 to 2025, 67% of cities in China implemented residential pricing adjustments, with an average increase of 0.22 yuan per cubic meter [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a favorable supply environment and cost optimization for city gas companies, with ongoing price mechanism adjustments and increasing demand [5]. - Key recommendations include companies like Xinao Energy, China Resources Gas, and Kunlun Energy, which are expected to benefit from these trends [5]. - Attention is drawn to companies with US gas sources and those involved in provincial pipeline businesses, highlighting potential risks and opportunities in the current market [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the gas industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The temperature is expected to rise to normal levels, leading to a decrease in gas prices in Europe and the US [4][9] - The overall supply of gas is sufficient, with domestic gas prices showing a week-on-week decrease of 1.4% [21] - The report emphasizes the importance of optimizing costs for city gas companies and the ongoing adjustment of pricing mechanisms [50] Price Tracking - As of January 9, 2026, the week-on-week changes in gas prices are as follows: US HH -27.5%, European TTF -5.7%, East Asia JKM -1.4%, China LNG ex-factory -1.4%, and China LNG CIF -4.8% [4][10] - The average daily gas generation in Europe increased by 26.8% week-on-week and 109.7% year-on-year to 1635.8 GWh [16] Supply and Demand Analysis - The US natural gas market price decreased by 27.5% week-on-week due to rising temperatures, with storage levels down by 1190 billion cubic feet to 32560 billion cubic feet [14] - European gas consumption from January to September 2025 was 313.8 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 4.1% [16] - Domestic gas consumption from January to November 2025 increased by 1.5% year-on-year to 392 billion cubic meters [21] Pricing Progress - Nationwide pricing adjustments are gradually being implemented, with 67% of cities having executed residential pricing adjustments, averaging an increase of 0.22 yuan per cubic meter [34] - The report indicates that there is still a 10% room for price adjustment in city gas companies [34] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that can optimize costs and benefit from the ongoing pricing adjustments, such as Xin'ao Energy, China Resources Gas, and Kunlun Energy, all with dividend yields around 4.8% [51] - It also highlights the importance of companies with quality long-term contracts and flexible scheduling, such as Jiufeng Energy and Xin'ao Shares [51] - The report suggests paying attention to companies with gas production capabilities, such as Shouhua Gas and New Natural Gas, due to the increasing uncertainty in US gas imports [51]