新能源上游原料需求旺盛 不仅仅是传统能源继续发光发热，新能源也是一日千里，特别是核电产业，更是发展迅速。2019年核电重启以 来，我国核电发展提速，最近三年每年核准机组都在10台以上，2024年达到了11台机组，为历年之最。"十四 五"期间，我国新核准建设核电机组46台、新增装机5450万千瓦，运行装机容量、年发电量均增长约30%。 10月份全社会用电量单月增幅超过10%，创下年内新高。 用电量数据也被称为反映经济变化的"晴雨表"之一，从国家能源局发布的数据中可以看到，包括煤电、核能、 锂电的传统能源和新能源，都出现快速发展态势。在产业上游原料端，动力煤、天然铀和碳酸锂等要素需求旺 盛，价格也出现进一步强劲反弹。 产煤区价格全面上涨 当前港口动力煤价格维持在830元/吨附近，但是国内主要产煤区价格继续保持周度上涨。根据煤炭资源网数 据，截至11月21日秦皇岛港Q5500动力煤市场价报收于832元/吨，周环比持平。但是煤炭主产地方面，仍保持 上涨。其中，山西大同地区Q5500报收于690元/吨，周环比上涨10元/吨；陕西榆林地区Q5800指数报收于668 元/吨，周环比上涨3元/吨；内蒙古鄂尔多斯Q5500报收 ...

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·燃气Ⅱ 燃气Ⅱ行业跟踪周报 降温将至美国气价上涨、库存提取欧洲气价 下行 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] 2025 年 11 月 24 日 证券分析师 袁理 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 谷玥 执业证书：S0600524090002 guy@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -14% -10% -6% -2% 2% 6% 10% 14% 18% 22% 2024/11/25 2025/3/25 2025/7/23 2025/11/20 燃气Ⅱ 沪深300 相关研究 《降温预期消化，美国气价回落、欧 洲&中国气价微降》 2025-11-17 《天气转冷美国&欧洲气价上涨，中 国供应充足气价微降》 2025-11-10 东吴证券研究所 1 / 14 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 价格跟踪：降温将至美国气价上涨、库存提取欧洲气价下行。截至 2025/11/21,美国 HH/欧洲 TTF/东亚 JKM/中国 LNG 出厂/中国 LNG 到岸 价周环比变 ...

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·燃气Ⅱ [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] 2025 年 11 月 17 日 证券分析师 袁理 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 谷玥 执业证书：S0600524090002 guy@dwzq.com.cn 燃气Ⅱ行业跟踪周报 降温预期消化，美国气价回落、欧洲&中国气 价微降 增持（维持） 行业走势 -12% -9% -6% -3% 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 15% 18% 21% 2024/11/18 2025/3/18 2025/7/16 2025/11/13 燃气Ⅱ 沪深300 相关研究 《天气转冷美国&欧洲气价上涨，中 国供应充足气价微降》 2025-11-10 《天气转冷美国&中国气价上涨，欧 洲燃气发电出力下降气价回落》 2025-11-03 东吴证券研究所 1 / 14 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 价格跟踪：降温预期消化，美国气价回落、欧洲&中国气价微降。截至 2025/11/14,美国 HH/欧洲 TTF/东亚 JKM/中国 LNG 出厂/中 ...

东吴证券近日发布燃气Ⅱ行业跟踪周报：天气转冷美国&欧洲气价上涨，中国供应充足气价微降，截至 2025/11/07，美国HH/欧洲TTF/东亚JKM/中国LNG出厂/中国LNG到岸价周环比变动 +4.8%/+3%/+1.2%/-0.6%/+0.2%至0.9/2.7/2.8/3/2.8元/方，海内外倒挂结束。 东吴证券近日发布燃气Ⅱ行业跟踪周报：天气转冷美国&欧洲气价上涨，中国供应充足气价微降。截至 2025/11/07，美国HH/欧洲TTF/东亚JKM/中国LNG出厂/中国LNG到岸价周环比变动 +4.8%/+3%/+1.2%/-0.6%/+0.2%至0.9/2.7/2.8/3/2.8元/方，海内外倒挂结束。 供需分析：1）天气转冷，美国天然气市场价格周环比+4.8%。截至2025/10/31，储气量周环比+330亿立 方英尺至39150亿立方英尺，同比-0.4%。2）继续补库，欧洲气价周环比+3.0%。2025M1-7，欧洲天然 气消费量为2654亿方，同比+5%。2025/10/30~2025/11/5，欧洲天然气供给周环比+1.9%至66030GWh； 其中，来自库存消耗-2178GWh，周环比+1670 ...

Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the gas industry [1] Core Views - The report highlights that colder weather has led to rising gas prices in the US and Europe, while China's gas supply remains sufficient, resulting in a slight decrease in domestic gas prices [4][9] - The overall supply is adequate, and the impact of cold weather on demand is unclear, with domestic gas prices showing a week-on-week decline of 0.6% [22] - The report emphasizes the ongoing optimization of cost structures for gas companies and the continued adjustment of pricing mechanisms, which are expected to support demand growth [51] Price Tracking - As of November 7, 2025, gas prices have changed week-on-week as follows: US HH +4.8%, European TTF +3%, East Asia JKM +1.2%, China LNG ex-factory -0.6%, and China LNG CIF +0.2% [4][9] - The report notes that the price gap between domestic and international markets has ended, indicating a more balanced pricing environment [9] Supply and Demand Analysis - In the US, gas market prices increased by 4.8% week-on-week, with storage levels rising by 33 billion cubic feet to 39,150 billion cubic feet as of October 31, 2025 [15] - European gas prices rose by 3.0% week-on-week, with a total consumption of 2,654 billion cubic meters from January to July 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5% [16] - Domestic gas consumption from January to September 2025 increased by 0.7% year-on-year to 318.8 billion cubic meters, attributed to warmer winter conditions in 2024 affecting heating demand [22][25] Pricing Progress - Nationwide, 65% of cities have implemented residential pricing adjustments, with an average increase of 0.21 yuan per cubic meter [33] - The report indicates that there is still a 10% room for price adjustment in the gas distribution sector, suggesting ongoing pricing reforms [33] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that can optimize costs and benefit from the ongoing pricing adjustments, highlighting key companies such as: - Xin'ao Energy (dividend yield 4.7%) - China Gas (dividend yield 5.8%) - Kunlun Energy (dividend yield 4.7%) [51][52] - It also suggests monitoring companies with quality long-term contracts and cost advantages, such as Jiufeng Energy and Xin'ao Shares [52][53]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the natural gas demand is expected to increase with the arrival of the winter heating season, leading to a rise in the National Petroleum and Natural Gas Index and related stocks [1] - As of November 6, 2025, the National Petroleum and Natural Gas Index (399439) rose by 1.01%, with significant increases in stocks such as Jereh (002353) up 4.70% and Shandong Gas (603318) up 4.12% [1] - A meeting was held on October 28 to discuss the natural gas supply and demand for the heating season, involving experts from various organizations including national pipeline companies and gas firms [1] Group 2 - Dongwu Securities forecasts a relaxed supply in 2025, with cost optimization for gas companies and a continued adjustment of pricing mechanisms [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the National Petroleum and Natural Gas Index as of October 31, 2025, include major companies like China National Petroleum (601857) and China Petroleum & Chemical (600028), accounting for 65.09% of the index [2] - The importance of energy self-sufficiency is highlighted, with a focus on companies that possess gas production capabilities and long-term resource contracts [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the gas industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that colder weather has led to an increase in gas prices in the US and China, while European gas generation output has decreased, resulting in a price drop in Europe [1][4] - It emphasizes the ongoing adjustments in pricing mechanisms and the potential for demand growth in 2025, driven by supply optimization and cost management by gas companies [1][4] Price Tracking - As of October 31, 2025, US HH gas prices increased by 11.6%, while European TTF prices decreased by 6.3%. The prices for East Asia JKM and China's LNG also saw slight declines [9][14] - The report notes that the average daily gas generation in Europe fell by 7% week-on-week and 5.1% year-on-year, reaching 829.3 GWh [18] Supply and Demand Analysis - The US gas market saw a week-on-week increase in storage levels by 740 billion cubic feet, totaling 38,820 billion cubic feet, which is a 0.5% increase year-on-year [16] - In Europe, gas consumption from January to July 2025 was 2,654 billion cubic meters, reflecting a 5% year-on-year increase [18] - Domestic gas prices in China rose by 3.1% week-on-week, with total apparent consumption from January to September 2025 increasing by 0.7% year-on-year to 3,188 billion cubic meters [20][25] Pricing Progress - The report indicates that 65% of cities have implemented residential pricing adjustments, with an average increase of 0.21 yuan per cubic meter [34] - The report suggests that there is still a 10% room for price adjustment in the gas distribution sector [34] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with cost advantages and flexible scheduling capabilities, such as Xin'ao Energy and Kunlun Energy, which have attractive dividend yields [1][4] - It also suggests monitoring companies that can mitigate the impact of tariffs on US LNG imports, such as New Natural Gas and Blue Flame Holdings [1][4] Important Announcements - The report mentions that the US LNG import tariff has been reduced from 140% to 25%, enhancing the economic viability of US gas imports [43] - It also notes that the European Parliament has agreed to provide more flexibility regarding gas storage targets, allowing for a deviation of 10% from the 90% storage goal [47]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the gas industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that colder weather has led to an increase in gas prices in the US and China, while Europe has entered the inventory withdrawal season with a slight price increase [1][9] - It emphasizes the ongoing adjustments in pricing mechanisms and the gradual recovery of demand, suggesting a positive outlook for gas companies [1][48] Price Tracking - As of October 24, 2025, gas prices have changed week-on-week as follows: US HH +25.4%, European TTF +1.2%, East Asia JKM +0.5%, China LNG ex-factory +6.5%, and China LNG CIF +0.4% [9][11] - The report notes that the price inversion between domestic and international markets has ended [9] Supply and Demand Analysis - The US natural gas market saw a week-on-week price increase of 25.4% due to colder weather, with storage levels rising by 870 billion cubic feet to 38,080 billion cubic feet, a year-on-year increase of 0.6% [14] - In Europe, gas prices increased by 1.2% as the region entered the inventory withdrawal phase, with gas consumption from January to July 2025 reaching 265.4 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 5% [15] - Domestic gas prices in China rose by 6.5% due to colder weather, with apparent consumption from January to September 2025 increasing by 0.7% to 318.8 billion cubic meters [21][24] Pricing Progress - Nationwide, 65% of cities have implemented residential pricing adjustments, with an average increase of 0.21 yuan per cubic meter [33] - The report indicates that there is still a 10% room for price adjustment in the gas distribution sector [33] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that can optimize costs and benefit from the ongoing pricing adjustments, highlighting key companies such as Xin'ao Energy, China Gas, and Kunlun Energy [49] - It suggests monitoring companies with quality long-term contracts and flexible scheduling capabilities, such as Jiufeng Energy and Xin'ao Shares [49] - The report also emphasizes the importance of energy independence and suggests关注ing companies with gas production capabilities like New Natural Gas and Blue Flame Holdings [49]

Core Insights - The report indicates that the natural gas prices are stable due to sufficient inventory in the US, progress in European storage, and slow recovery in domestic demand [1][2] Price Tracking - As of October 17, 2025, the week-on-week price changes for various natural gas benchmarks are as follows: US HH down 8.6%, European TTF down 1.7%, East Asia JKM up 0.8%, China LNG ex-factory down 0.4%, and China LNG CIF up 5.5% [2][3] Supply and Demand Analysis - US natural gas market shows a week-on-week price decrease of 8.6% with total supply down 0.1% to 111.7 billion cubic feet per day, while total demand increased by 2.7% to 101.3 billion cubic feet per day [3] - European gas prices decreased by 1.7% with a total consumption of 265.4 billion cubic meters from January to July 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5% [3] - Domestic gas prices decreased by 0.4% with apparent consumption from January to August 2025 increasing by 0.8% year-on-year to 283.2 billion cubic meters [3] Pricing Progress - From 2022 to September 2025, 65% of cities in China have implemented residential pricing adjustments, with an increase of 0.21 yuan per cubic meter [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that can optimize costs and benefit from a relaxed supply environment, such as Xin'ao Energy, China Resources Gas, and Kunlun Energy, among others [5] - Attention is also drawn to companies with quality long-term contracts and cost advantages, such as Jiufeng Energy and Xin'ao Shares [5]

Core Viewpoint - The gas industry is experiencing stable prices due to sufficient inventory in the US, progress in European storage, and slow recovery in domestic demand [1][2]. Price Tracking - As of October 10, 2025, the week-on-week price changes for various gas prices are as follows: US HH -0.9%, Europe TTF +0.9%, East Asia JKM +0.2%, China LNG ex-factory -0.2%, and China LNG CIF -2.7%, with prices stabilizing around 0.7, 2.8, 2.8, 2.7, and 2.7 yuan per cubic meter respectively [2][3]. Supply and Demand Analysis - US natural gas market shows a week-on-week price decrease of 0.9%, with total supply down 0.1% to 111.7 billion cubic feet per day, but up 4.3% year-on-year. Total demand increased by 2.7% to 101.3 billion cubic feet per day, also up 2.7% year-on-year [3]. - European gas prices increased by 0.9% due to a 5.8% year-on-year rise in gas consumption from January to June 2025, totaling 240.8 billion cubic meters [3]. - Domestic gas prices decreased by 0.2%, with apparent consumption from January to August 2025 up 0.8% year-on-year to 283.2 billion cubic meters [3]. Pricing Progress - As of September 2025, 65% of cities in China have implemented residential pricing adjustments, with an average increase of 0.21 yuan per cubic meter [4]. Investment Recommendations - For 2025, the industry is expected to see relaxed supply and cost optimization for gas companies. Key recommendations include companies like Xin'ao Energy, China Resources Gas, and Kunlun Energy, with attention to companies with quality long-term contracts and cost advantages [5].