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美元霸权还能挺多久?西非15国将统一货币,欧元和人民币将崛起
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-16 11:49
新冠疫情爆发后,美国特朗普政府为了保住经济,拖延了采取有效抗疫措施,结果经济反而受到了重创。为了挽救困局,美联储再次开启了老一套的操作 ——大规模向市场注入美元。美国政府通过印钞来对抗经济危机,这种方式并非首次应用,但凭借美元的全球霸权地位,美国能轻松将通货膨胀的压力转嫁 给其他国家。虽然其他国家明知道石油等国际大宗商品价格暴涨背后是美元泛滥,但他们仍然只能无奈承受。 然而,随着美国整体实力的持续下滑,今天 即便美联储拼尽全力印钞,也无法阻止美国在全球经济舞台上的衰退。 最近,西非国家共同体在加纳首都阿克拉召开了年度峰会。会议上,西共体主席布鲁宣布,成员国一致决定从2027年起启用新的货币埃科,以取代目前8个 使用西非法郎的国家以及其余7个国家的本国货币。尽管非洲经济体量较小,很少有人关注其经济新闻,但此次非洲国家勇敢迈出了关键的一步,决定建立 自己的货币联盟,反抗殖民主义的经济剥削。这一举措,无疑将在很大程度上改变未来世界的格局。 提到西非经济共同体,很多人可能感到陌生。因为非洲大多时候鲜少见到关于经济方面的正面报道。西非经济共同体最早成立于1975年,随着合作的深化, 15个成员国逐步从最初的货币同盟扩展 ...
晦暗不明看美元
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-12-06 21:59
Core Viewpoint - The latest data from the International Monetary Fund indicates a decline in the dollar's share of global foreign exchange reserves, dropping from 57.79% to 56.32%, marking a 30-year low and remaining below 60% for 11 consecutive quarters [1] - The U.S. Treasury's report shows a significant decrease in foreign net purchases of U.S. securities, down 94.4% to $51 billion in Q2 2025, a 72.1% drop compared to the average from Q2 2023 to Q1 2025 [1] - Factors such as the U.S. national debt exceeding $38 trillion, unilateral trade policies, and the call for a multipolar currency system are reshaping the international monetary landscape [1] Historical Context of Dollar's Rise - Before World War I, the dollar was not a dominant currency, with the British pound and other currencies holding more significant shares in global reserves [2] - The establishment of the Federal Reserve in 1913 accelerated the dollar's internationalization, aided by U.S. banks entering foreign markets and the Federal Reserve's support for dollar-denominated commercial paper [2] - The decline of the pound coincided with the rise of the dollar, as the U.S. became the world's largest creditor by the end of World War I [3] Bretton Woods System - The Bretton Woods Conference in 1944 established a new international monetary order, linking the dollar to gold and other currencies to the dollar, which solidified the dollar's status as the world's primary reserve currency [8] - The U.S. held a dominant position in the IMF, with 27% voting power, and maintained over 70% of the world's gold reserves, reinforcing the dollar's global influence [8][9] - The Marshall Plan and the Dodge Plan further integrated the dollar into the global economy by providing funds for post-war recovery in Europe and Japan, which in turn increased demand for U.S. exports [10] Current Challenges and Future Outlook - The current international monetary system is facing challenges, including the need for the U.S. to maintain trade deficits to support dollar liquidity, as highlighted by the "Triffin Dilemma" [12] - The future of the dollar's dominance depends on various factors, including the willingness of countries to hold dollar assets and the U.S.'s ability to manage its debt and maintain economic stability [13] - Recent U.S. financial sanctions and trade policies have prompted countries to reconsider their reliance on the dollar, leading to a trend towards bilateral currency transactions [13]