Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 met expectations, with revenue of 7.09 billion and a year-on-year increase of 11.9%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.06 billion, up 23.0% year-on-year [1]. - The negative electrode segment is expected to see both volume and profit growth due to the release of advanced capacity and high-quality new products [2]. - The company achieved a significant increase in the sales volume of coated separators, maintaining a leading market share [3]. - Active research and development of new technologies are establishing the company's differentiated product advantages [4]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a gross margin of 32.1%, an increase of 2.5 percentage points year-on-year, and a net profit margin of 16.5%, up 0.8 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company expects net profits to grow significantly in the coming years, with projections of 2.48 billion, 3.08 billion, and 3.69 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 108.5%, 23.9%, and 20.0% [4][5]. Product Development and Market Position - The company has successfully developed several innovative products, including high-capacity and fast-charging negative electrode materials, which are entering mass production [2]. - The company is the only global player that integrates the "process, equipment, and materials" for separators, achieving a sales volume of 4.77 billion square meters in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 63.9% [3]. - New product layouts are expected to contribute to revenue growth, with ongoing developments in solid-state batteries and composite materials [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [3] Core Views - The company's performance in H1 2025 met expectations, with revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items reaching 7.08 billion, 1.055 billion, and 990 million respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 11.95%, 23%, and 29% [1] - The negative electrode business is expected to ramp up production, with H1 2025 shipments of 70,000 tons, a slight increase year-on-year, and Q2 2025 shipments of approximately 40,000 tons, showing significant quarter-on-quarter growth [7] - The coating diaphragm business continues to grow rapidly, with H1 2025 shipments of approximately 4.8 billion square meters, a year-on-year increase of about 64% [7] - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.47 billion in 2025, supported by stable growth in core businesses and the introduction of new products [7] Financial Data and Valuation - The company is expected to generate total revenue of 15.65 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 16% [8] - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 2.47 billion, with a significant recovery expected in profitability [14] - The company's PE ratio is forecasted to be 19.4 in 2025, indicating a favorable valuation compared to historical levels [15]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 7.088 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.95% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.055 billion yuan, up 23.03% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 999.2 million yuan, reflecting a 29.17% increase [1] Group 1: Business Performance - The company's main business revenue from battery materials and services was 5.378 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 15.59% [1] - Coating separator processing volume reached 4.773 billion square meters, a significant growth of 63.85%, surpassing the industry average [1] - Sales volume of base film reached 528 million square meters, achieving a leap in growth [1] - Sales of PVDF and fine chemicals amounted to 14,607 tons, marking a 68.19% increase, with a leading market share in lithium battery-grade PVDF [1] - Aluminum-plastic film sales reached 9.66 million square meters, up 28.97% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Capacity and Innovation - The company has gradually put into production the first phase of negative electrode material capacity in Sichuan, with mass production of main products and core customer audits progressing smoothly [2] - New orders for automation equipment exceeded 2.4 billion yuan, showing a significant year-on-year recovery [2] - The company achieved breakthroughs in the development of solid-state batteries and battery material equipment, resulting in incremental orders [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a current price of 20.38 yuan [6]. Core Views - The company achieved steady growth in performance, with a revenue of 7.088 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing an increase of 11.95% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.055 billion yuan, up 23.03% year-on-year [1]. - The company is making significant progress in solid-state battery development, collaborating with Blue Solutions to tackle challenges in fourth-generation solid-state lithium metal batteries [4]. - The negative electrode business is gradually improving, with a shipment volume of approximately 70,000 tons in the first half of 2025, showing slight growth year-on-year [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 3.873 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 20.47%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 568 million yuan, up 37.53% year-on-year and 16.39% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 32.05%, an increase of 4.16 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 16.25%, up 1.49 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Business Segments - The coating membrane processing volume reached 4.773 billion square meters in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year growth of 63.85%, exceeding the industry average growth rate [3]. - The company has completed the first phase of the silicon-carbon negative electrode production capacity in Anhui, which is expected to achieve shipments in the hundred-ton range in consumer electronics and drone sectors [3]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 16.18 billion yuan, 19.74 billion yuan, and 23.64 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 20.3%, 22.0%, and 19.8% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 2.551 billion yuan, 3.239 billion yuan, and 3.938 billion yuan for the same years, with year-on-year growth rates of 114.3%, 27%, and 21.6% [4].

Company Overview - Xingyuan Material (300568) is a national high-tech enterprise established in September 2003, specializing in lithium battery separators and listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in December 2016 [2] - The company is a leading player in the global lithium battery separator industry, with multiple research centers planned worldwide, and its products are used in various applications including electric vehicles, energy storage stations, and medical devices [2] Industry Outlook - The demand for separators is expected to exceed 60 billion square meters globally by 2030, driven by the increasing popularity of electric vehicles and a surge in energy storage needs [2] - Technological advancements, such as fast-charging and high-safety separators, are addressing industry challenges, and separators will remain critical components even in semi-solid battery stages [2] Investment Insights - The ChiNext Composite Index includes over 1,300 companies, providing broad coverage and a balanced industry distribution, which mitigates the impact of fluctuations in any single sector [3] - The index is expected to benefit from supportive industrial policies and capital, with Xingyuan Material aligning with the "green and low-carbon" production direction, potentially improving profitability [3] - As of August 14, 2025, the price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) of the ChiNext Composite Index is at 55% of its ten-year average, indicating a relatively low valuation with potential for growth [3] ETF and Investment Tools - The recently launched Bosera ChiNext Composite ETF (159287) aims to help investors capture opportunities in the ChiNext market, with a focus on technology growth and innovation [6] - The index underwent key revisions to enhance its investability and responsibility investment orientation, reducing the number of sample stocks from 1,383 to 1,316 [6]

6 证券研究报告 点评报告 2025 年 8 月 28 日 晨会纪要 第一创业证券研究所 分析师：刘笑瑜 证书编号： S1080525070001 电话：0755-23838239 从行业上看，1-7 月同比增速靠前的行业为：铁路、船舶、航空航天和其他运输 设备制造业、有色金属冶炼及压延制造业和电气机械、器材制造业；1-7 月同比 增速靠后的行业为：煤炭开采和洗选业、钢铁业、家具制造业、纺织服装服饰业、 造纸及纸制品业。7 月同比增速明显改善的行业包括：计算机、通讯和其它电子 设备制造业、通用设备制造业、家具制造业、纺织业和钢铁业；7 月同比增速明 显下滑的行业包括：化纤业、汽车制造业。具体各行业利润同比增速如下表：上 游分化、下游较差而中游较好。 请务必阅读正文后免责条款部分 邮箱：liuxiaoyu@fcsc.com 核[心Ta观bl点e_：Summary] 一、宏观经济组： 事件： 8 月 27 日（星期三）国家统计局公布 7 月中国工业企业利润数据。 评论： 1-7 月份，全国规模以上工业企业实现利润总额 40203 亿元，同比下降 1.7%，比 1-6 月回升 0.1 个百分点。7 月份，规模以上工 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Xingyuan Material, is facing dual challenges of cyclical adjustments and technological transformation in the lithium battery separator industry, which is transitioning from rapid growth to rational competition. Financial deterioration, concerns over overseas expansion, and uncertainties surrounding solid-state battery technology are revealing deep-seated risks for the company [1]. Financial Performance - The company's gross margin is projected to drop sharply from 45.57% in 2022 to 28.07% in 2024, with further decline to 26.50% in the first half of 2025, nearing the industry's breakeven point [2]. - Revenue is expected to grow by 17.5% to 3.506 billion yuan in 2024, but net profit is forecasted to decline by 36.9% to 371 million yuan. In the first half of 2025, revenue is anticipated to increase by 15% to 1.9 billion yuan, while net profit may be halved to 100 million yuan, with non-recurring net profit plummeting by 75% [2]. Competitive Landscape - The ongoing decline in profitability reflects the company's limitations in cost control and technological barriers. Unlike integrated companies like CATL and Enjie, Xingyuan Material lacks bargaining power in raw material procurement and is forced to bear more cost pressure in price wars [3]. - The company faces significant competition in the domestic market, leading it to view overseas expansion as a critical strategy. In 2024, the overseas gross margin is expected to reach 49.38%, compared to only 26.50% domestically [3]. Debt and Expansion Risks - As of March 2025, the company's total short-term and long-term borrowings exceed 11 billion yuan, with cash reserves below 3 billion yuan and a debt-to-asset ratio exceeding 70%. This "debt-driven" expansion model poses multiple risks, including the pace of capacity release and potential losses from overcapacity [3][4]. - The company is expanding its production capacity in Sweden, Malaysia, and North Carolina, but faces the risk of a "build-lose-refinance" cycle if overseas capacity does not match market demand [4]. Geopolitical and Currency Risks - The company is exposed to geopolitical and currency fluctuation risks, particularly in the context of increasing localization demands in the U.S. and Europe. The construction of the North Carolina facility faces high costs and uncertainties related to labor negotiations and environmental approvals [4]. - The company's overseas revenue is dollar-denominated, and fluctuations in the USD/CNY exchange rate could erode profit margins if not effectively hedged [4]. Technological Transition Challenges - The company is investing in solid-state electrolyte membranes, but this transition faces uncertainties, including the choice of technology route, production bottlenecks, and the establishment of a pricing system for solid-state membranes [5][6]. - The solid-state battery technology landscape is complex, with various competing technologies, and the company’s current technological advancements may not align with market demands, risking substantial R&D investments [6]. New Business Ventures - In addition to its core business, the company is exploring semiconductor materials and electronic skin technologies, but these new ventures have long cultivation periods and may not provide immediate financial relief amid current pressures [7]. - The semiconductor materials sector is characterized by high technical barriers and lengthy certification processes, while the electronic skin market is still in its infancy, with significant uncertainties regarding market size and technology alignment [7]. Strategic Outlook - The company is at a crossroads, needing to navigate the cyclical downturn in its traditional business while pursuing technological breakthroughs in solid-state batteries and new materials. The heavy debt burden and the uncertain progress of new ventures pose significant challenges to its future [8].

Core Viewpoint - As of August 21, the stock price of Xingyuan Material closed at 12.07 yuan, down 0.36 yuan or 2.90% from the previous trading day, with a trading volume of 796,125 hands and a transaction amount of 969 million yuan [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - Xingyuan Material is a leading domestic lithium battery separator manufacturer, with main products including dry separators, wet separators, and coated separators [1]. - The company was established in 2003 and built the first domestic dry separator production line in 2008, becoming one of the few companies globally to master both dry and wet separator production technologies [1]. - The company's separator products are widely used in the fields of new energy vehicles and energy storage [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Future Outlook - An institutional report indicates that the company's revenue and net profit are expected to achieve quarter-on-quarter growth by the second quarter of 2025, with a forward-looking layout in the solid-state battery sector, suitable for semi-solid and all-solid batteries [1]. - The first phase of the separator production base invested in Malaysia has been completed and put into production, with an annual production capacity of 2 billion square meters [1]. Group 3: Market Activity - On August 21, the main funds of Xingyuan Material experienced a net outflow of 126 million yuan, with a cumulative net outflow of 310 million yuan over the past five trading days [2].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" investment rating for the company, indicating a potential increase of 5% to 15% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [11]. Core Views - The company's performance is under short-term pressure, with a revenue of 1.898 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.78%. However, operating profit and net profit have significantly declined by 64.33% and 58.53%, respectively, due to intensified industry competition [7][10]. - The demand for lithium battery separators is expected to continue growing, driven by the increasing sales of new energy vehicles and energy storage batteries in China. The report highlights that the sales of new energy vehicles in China reached 6.935 million units in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 40.30% [7][9]. - The company is actively expanding into the solid-state battery electrolyte market, having established strategic partnerships to develop high-performance solid electrolyte membranes and related products [10][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.898 billion yuan, with a net profit of 100 million yuan, down 58.53% year-on-year. The operating cash flow increased by 132.41% to 536 million yuan [7][10]. - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 25.09%, a decrease of 6.43 percentage points compared to the previous year, indicating pressure on profitability due to increased competition [9][10]. Market Demand - The report notes that the demand for lithium battery separators is expected to grow, with a projected output of 223 billion square meters in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 30.41% [9]. - The company is well-positioned in the market, with major clients including CATL and BYD, and has a significant share in the global market for lithium battery separators [10]. Strategic Initiatives - The company has signed several strategic cooperation agreements to enhance its market position and product offerings, particularly in the solid-state battery sector [10][11]. - The report emphasizes the company's commitment to innovation, with a strong patent portfolio and ongoing development of advanced separator technologies [10].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Foshan Fospower Technology Co., Ltd. plans to acquire 100% of Jinli Co., Ltd. through a combination of issuing shares and cash payment, with a total transaction value of 5.08 billion yuan, of which 4.68 billion yuan will be paid in shares and 400 million yuan in cash [2][3] - Following the completion of this transaction, Jinli Co., Ltd. will become a subsidiary of Foshan Fospower Technology [3] - Foshan Fospower Technology, as a key listed platform under Guangxin Group, focuses on strategic emerging industries such as new energy and electrical engineering, and has established itself as a leader in the new materials industry in Foshan [3] Group 2 - Jinli Co., Ltd. specializes in the research, production, and sales of lithium battery wet separators, with a strong competitive advantage in the wet separator field due to its comprehensive product layout, quality customer resources, and robust R&D capabilities [3]