Core Viewpoint - The hydraulic industry in China is experiencing a shift towards increased domestic production and technological advancements, with key players focusing on expanding their market presence both domestically and internationally [2][4][7]. Group 1: Company Business Layout - The hydraulic industry companies primarily focus on the domestic market, with companies like Jilun Intelligent and Fenglong Co., Ltd. having higher foreign sales ratios of 56.33% and 38.97% respectively [2][3]. - Companies such as Hengli Hydraulic, Aidi Precision, and Shaoyang Hydraulic have over 80% of their revenue coming from hydraulic-related products [2]. Group 2: Business Planning - Hengli Hydraulic plans to deepen its global layout, focusing on Southeast Asia and Europe, and aims to innovate in electric cylinders and hydraulic integration products [6]. - Aidi Precision is set to enhance strategic cooperation with main engine manufacturers and scale up production of core components like hydraulic motors and pumps [6]. - AVIC Heavy Machinery aims to leverage its aviation technology to expand hydraulic applications in high-end industrial markets [6]. - Fenglong Co., Ltd. plans to improve production capacity and quality through automation and lean management [6]. Group 3: Import and Export Overview - China's hydraulic trade deficit has been decreasing from 2019 to 2024, with a trade surplus of $2.93 million in 2024, attributed to advancements by leading companies like Hengli Hydraulic and Aidi Precision [7]. - The export value of China's hydraulic products has shown an upward trend, reaching a record high of $2.182 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 9.4% [9].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [2]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a benchmark in the domestic hydraulic industry, focusing on the development of hydraulic transmission control equipment and systems integration, with a significant emphasis on non-standard hydraulic cylinders and valves [5][6]. - The hydraulic industry is entering an upward phase, driven by favorable policies and accelerating domestic substitution, particularly in the engineering machinery sector [6][40]. - The company has invested 1.4 billion yuan in a linear actuator project, which is expected to enhance its product offerings and market reach [2][18]. Financial Summary - The company's projected net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is estimated at 2.747 billion, 3.220 billion, and 3.665 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 42.63, 36.36, and 31.95 times [2][3]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 8.985 billion yuan in 2023 to 13.897 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 14.71% [3][4]. - The company’s net profit margin is projected to remain stable, with a slight increase in profitability expected over the forecast period [25][28]. Industry Outlook - The hydraulic industry is projected to grow significantly, with the global market expected to reach approximately 51.57 billion USD by 2024 and 77.82 billion USD by 2034, indicating a CAGR of 4.2% [40][43]. - The domestic excavator market is recovering, with sales expected to increase significantly in the coming years, driven by infrastructure investment and equipment upgrades [41][49]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for hydraulic components in various sectors, including construction and agriculture, as the market shifts towards high-efficiency and energy-saving hydraulic systems [6][44].

Core Viewpoint - The hydraulic motor industry in China is experiencing structural changes, characterized by differentiated import growth and simultaneous increases in export volume and value, reflecting the demand for high-precision and high-reliability products driven by domestic industrial upgrades [1][11]. Industry Overview - Hydraulic motors are key components in hydraulic systems, converting hydraulic pressure into mechanical energy, widely used in various industrial applications such as construction machinery, shipbuilding, and mining [2]. Industry Development History - The hydraulic motor industry in China has evolved through three main stages: the initial phase from 1952 to 1978, the rapid development phase from 1979 to 2000, and the mature and transformative phase from 2000 to present, with significant advancements in technology and production capabilities [4][5]. Industry Status - In the first five months of 2025, China imported 104,400 hydraulic motors, a year-on-year increase of 2.09%, with an import value of 629 million yuan, up 11.84%. Exports reached 929,900 units, growing 12.76%, with an export value of 810 million yuan, up 9.20% [1][11]. - The demand for high-end hydraulic motors is particularly strong in sectors like construction machinery electrification and industrial automation, with local companies making technological breakthroughs in high-end markets [1][11]. Industry Supply Chain - The upstream of the hydraulic motor industry includes raw materials such as steel, castings, and hydraulic oil, while the downstream applications span across various industrial sectors, with construction machinery being the largest application area [7]. Key Enterprises' Performance - The competitive landscape of the hydraulic motor industry features international giants dominating the high-end market, while domestic companies like Hengli Hydraulic and Aidi Precision are gaining market share through cost-effective strategies [15][19]. Industry Development Trends - The industry is undergoing a transformation towards high-end and intelligent products, with advancements in materials and electronic control technologies enhancing performance [21]. - Green manufacturing is becoming a standard, driven by environmental regulations and energy efficiency standards, pushing companies to adopt energy-saving technologies [22][23]. - The globalization of the hydraulic motor industry is shifting from an export-oriented approach to localized development, with companies establishing production bases in countries along the Belt and Road Initiative [24].

Core Insights - Xingtai City has established 44 county-level characteristic industrial clusters, making it a significant hub for cashmere and cashmere products, children's car production, wire and cable manufacturing, and bearing industry aggregation [1] - The city has seen a total revenue of 139.23 billion yuan from these industrial clusters in the first quarter of this year, reflecting an 8.5% year-on-year growth [1] Group 1: Industrial Development - Xingtai's county-level characteristic industrial clusters include 22 with annual revenues exceeding 10 billion yuan, 4 national-level, and 9 provincial-level small and medium-sized enterprise clusters [1] - The city is focusing on optimizing and upgrading these clusters to build a modern industrial system with local characteristics and comparative advantages [1] Group 2: Technological Innovation - The bearing component industrial cluster in Linxi County has been recognized as a national-level small and medium-sized enterprise cluster, emphasizing technological innovation and product upgrades [2] - Xingtai's overall R&D expenditure is projected to increase by 64.3% in 2024, with technology contract transaction values reaching 9.586 billion yuan, a 61.22% increase [2][3] Group 3: Automation and Efficiency - Qinghe County is a key hub for cashmere processing, where companies are upgrading traditional equipment to enhance production efficiency, achieving a 20% cost reduction and a 25% increase in efficiency through smart manufacturing [3] - The city has established numerous innovation platforms, with 420 platforms at provincial and above levels, promoting the integration of industrial design and traditional manufacturing [3] Group 4: Collaborative Development - Xingtai City has cultivated 79 leading enterprises and 667 specialized small and medium-sized enterprises, focusing on collaborative development within industrial clusters [4] - The children's car industry cluster in Pingxiang has captured approximately 50% of the domestic market and 40% of the international market, showcasing the effectiveness of nurturing leading enterprises [4] Group 5: Shared Resources - The wire and cable industrial cluster in Ningjin County has seen a revenue increase of 28.9% in 2024, with shared platforms allowing small and medium-sized enterprises to reduce costs by over 30% [5] - Xingtai has initiated 21 clusters with 32 enterprises establishing shared factories, resulting in an average profit increase of 10% for participating companies [5] Group 6: Business Environment - Xingtai City has implemented mechanisms for regular communication between government and enterprises, enhancing the business environment and facilitating access to low-interest loans for companies [6] - Financial institutions have developed tailored loan products for specific industrial clusters, creating a "one industry, one product" financial service model [6] Group 7: Investment Attraction - The Xingtai High-tech Zone is attracting electronic information production lines from Shenzhen, with supportive measures such as housing and transportation for employees [7] - By March 2025, the total number of business entities in Xingtai is expected to reach 979,000, reflecting a 5.33% year-on-year growth [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 105.5 CNY, representing approximately 28% upside from the current price of 81.33 CNY [1][4][8]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading hydraulic system solution provider, expanding beyond hydraulic cylinders to include hydraulic pumps, valves, and motors, which are expected to drive future growth [4][6][7]. - The hydraulic industry is experiencing steady growth, with a shift towards high-end and electric solutions, indicating a robust market opportunity for the company [4][6][8]. - The company aims to replicate its success in hydraulic cylinders by expanding its product offerings and enhancing its global presence through strategic acquisitions and new manufacturing facilities [4][6][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Hydraulic Systems as Core Technology - Hydraulic systems are essential for heavy equipment, providing high power density and efficiency, crucial for various applications including excavators and marine engineering [12][13][16]. - The system consists of key components such as hydraulic pumps, valves, and motors, each playing a vital role in the overall functionality and efficiency of machinery [12][13][16]. 2. Market Growth and Demand - The global hydraulic market has grown from 25.7 billion euros in 2000 to 54 billion euros in 2023, with a CAGR of 3.3%, indicating a strong demand for hydraulic components [4][6][8]. - The company has successfully diversified its product lines to include non-standard hydraulic components for various industries, reducing its dependency on the cyclical nature of the construction sector [4][6][8]. 3. Replicating Success and Global Expansion - The company has established a strong reputation in the hydraulic cylinder market and is now focusing on expanding its product range to include hydraulic pumps and valves, which are expected to contribute significantly to revenue growth [4][6][8]. - The establishment of manufacturing facilities in Mexico is anticipated to enhance supply chain stability and facilitate entry into new markets, further driving growth [4][6][8]. 4. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are estimated at 99.7 billion CNY, 114.8 billion CNY, and 135.8 billion CNY, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 10.9%, 15.2%, and 18.3% [5][8]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 25.3 billion CNY, 31.4 billion CNY, and 39.6 billion CNY, reflecting growth rates of 1.3%, 24.3%, and 26.0% [5][8].