Core Viewpoint - The stock of Changling Hydraulic (605389.SH) has experienced an abnormal fluctuation, with a cumulative price increase of 20% over three consecutive trading days, prompting a notice of unusual trading activity [1] Company Summary - The company's main business operations have not changed, and internal production activities are normal [1] - There have been no significant changes in the market environment or industry policies affecting the company [1] - The controlling shareholder is in the process of transferring shares and changing control, but the completion of this process remains uncertain [1] - The company has no undisclosed significant matters that need to be reported [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company continues to show growth in its main business, with the linear actuator segment entering a phase of realization, leading to a "buy" rating for Hengli Hydraulic [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 5.17 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.0%; net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.43 billion yuan, up 11.0% year-on-year [2] - In Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 2.75 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.5%; net profit attributable to shareholders was 810 million yuan, up 18.3% year-on-year and 31.4% quarter-on-quarter [2] Profitability Metrics - Q2 2025 marked a new high for quarterly net profit and the second-highest revenue, with a net profit margin increase of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 44%, up 0.9 percentage points year-on-year; the net profit margin was 29.6%, up 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [3] Cost Structure - The total expense ratio for the period was 12.5%, down 1.2 percentage points year-on-year; management expenses increased due to a rise in employee numbers and salaries, while financial expenses decreased due to increased exchange gains [3] Market Dynamics - The excavator industry saw sales of 120,500 units in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.8%; the company sold 308,300 hydraulic cylinders for excavators, up over 15% year-on-year [3] - Sales of hydraulic pump and valve products in non-excavator sectors grew by over 30%, with total sales nearing last year's levels [3] Product Development - The company has developed over 50 new products in the first half of 2025, all of which have successfully transitioned to mass production [4] - The Mexico factory has officially commenced operations, expected to accelerate breakthroughs with foreign clients, although it reported a slight loss of 13,480 yuan during the reporting period [4] Investment Outlook - The company is a leading player in the hydraulic components industry, benefiting from the recovery in excavator demand; the electric business and global expansion are expected to contribute to performance in the medium to long term [5] - EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 are 2.11, 2.42, and 2.90 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 39.8, 34.7, and 29.0 [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [4][8] Core Views - The company's main business continues to grow, with the linear actuator segment entering a realization phase [4] - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 5.17 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.43 billion yuan, up 11.0% year-on-year [4] - The second quarter of 2025 saw a record high in quarterly net profit and the second-highest revenue, with a net profit margin increase of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [5] Financial Performance - The company reported a gross margin of 44% and a net margin of 29.6% in Q2 2025, with respective year-on-year increases of 0.9 and 1.8 percentage points [5] - The company sold 12.05 million excavators in China in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 16.8%, and sold 308,300 hydraulic cylinders for excavators, also up over 15% [5] - The company has developed over 50 new products in the first half of 2025, all of which have successfully completed mass production [6] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in the excavator market, with significant growth anticipated in related hydraulic cylinders and pumps [7] - The company's EPS is projected to be 2.11, 2.42, and 2.90 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 39.8, 34.7, and 29.0 [8][12]

Group 1 - The stock price of Hengli Hydraulic is reported at 84.09 yuan, down by 2.81 yuan, a decrease of 3.23% from the previous trading day [1] - The stock reached a maximum of 87.20 yuan and a minimum of 84.00 yuan during the trading session, with a trading volume of 177,300 shares and a transaction value of 1.515 billion yuan [1] - Hengli Hydraulic specializes in the research, production, and sales of hydraulic components and systems, with applications in engineering machinery and metallurgical machinery [1] Group 2 - The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority holds shares in Hengli Hydraulic, with a market value exceeding 900 million yuan as of the end of Q2 2025 [1] - On August 27, a block trade occurred involving 68,800 shares, with a transaction value of 5.7854 million yuan, at a price equal to the closing price [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the financial performance and strategic adjustments of Shaoyang Victor Hydraulics Co., Ltd. for the first half of 2025, indicating a decline in revenue and net profit due to strategic shifts towards the hydropower sector and increased production costs [2][3]. Financial Performance - The company's operating revenue for the reporting period was approximately 143.43 million yuan, a decrease of 12.84% compared to the same period last year [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 7.11 million yuan, down 31.68% year-on-year [2]. - The net cash flow from operating activities improved significantly, reaching approximately 11.75 million yuan, compared to a negative cash flow of about 27.22 million yuan in the previous year [2]. - Basic and diluted earnings per share were both 0.065 yuan, a decrease of 31.58% from the previous year [2]. - Total assets at the end of the reporting period were approximately 873.52 million yuan, down 8.03% from the end of the previous year [2]. Business Overview - The company specializes in the design, research and development, production, and sales of hydraulic components, including hydraulic piston pumps, cylinders, and systems, providing comprehensive hydraulic transmission solutions [3][4]. - The company has established itself as one of the few comprehensive hydraulic enterprises in China with a wide range of hydraulic products and advanced production technology [3][4]. Strategic Adjustments - The company has shifted its business focus towards the hydropower sector, which has led to a temporary decline in revenue due to project delivery being concentrated in the second half of the year [3][4]. - Production adjustments were made to improve efficiency, including the adoption of line production methods, which temporarily increased costs due to the need for new tools and materials [3][4]. Market Position - The company is recognized for its strong brand, deep technical expertise, and comprehensive product range, positioning it as a leading player in the domestic hydraulic industry [10][11]. - It has a history of over 50 years in hydraulic piston pump production, leveraging its experience to achieve breakthroughs in technology and product development [10][11]. Product Offerings - The main products include high-pressure axial piston pumps, hydraulic cylinders, and complete hydraulic systems, which are widely used in industries such as metallurgy, hydropower, marine engineering, and military applications [4][5]. - The company has developed a range of hydraulic systems tailored to specific industry needs, demonstrating its capability in providing customized solutions [6][7].

Group 1 - The company, AVIC Heavy Machinery (SH 600765), announced on August 4 that its 23rd temporary board meeting of the 7th session was held via communication, where it reviewed the proposal to change the minimum transfer price for the equity transfer of Excellence Forging Technology (Wuxi) Co., Ltd. [2] - For the year 2024, the company's revenue composition is as follows: forging industry accounts for 79.85%, hydraulic industry accounts for 17.8%, and other businesses account for 2.35% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Changling Hydraulic, is undergoing a potential change in control, leading to a suspension of its stock trading for an estimated period of no more than three trading days [2]. Group 1: Stock Suspension and Control Change - Changling Hydraulic announced that its stock will continue to be suspended from trading starting July 8, due to ongoing discussions regarding a significant matter that may result in a change of control [2]. - The company's major shareholders, Xia Jifa and Xia Zemin, are currently negotiating key terms of the transaction with the involved parties, which requires internal approval processes [2]. Group 2: Historical Context and Previous Suspensions - The company was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange on March 22, 2021, with a three-year lock-up period for its controlling shareholders, which will expire on March 22, 2024 [3]. - In January 2023, the company also suspended trading due to a similar situation regarding a potential change in control, which was later terminated due to disagreements on core terms with the transaction party [3]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the year 2024, Changling Hydraulic reported a revenue of 883 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.75%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 6.84% to approximately 94.73 million yuan [4]. - This marks the fourth consecutive year of declining net profit since the company went public, contrasting with a steady increase in net profit from 2017 to 2020 [4].

Core Viewpoint - The actual controller of Changling Hydraulic is planning a significant matter that may lead to a change in the company's control [2] Group 1: Stock Suspension - Changling Hydraulic's stock (code: 605389) will be suspended from trading starting July 4, 2025, due to ongoing negotiations regarding a potential change in control [3] - The suspension is expected to last no more than two trading days to prevent abnormal fluctuations in the stock price [3] Group 2: Shareholding Structure - As of the end of Q1 this year, the major shareholders include Xia Jifa with 58.8 million shares (40.81% of total shares) and Xia Zemin with 39.2 million shares (27.21% of total shares) [3][4] - The total shareholding of the top five shareholders accounts for 77.75% of the total share capital, with a combined market value of approximately 33.84 billion yuan [4] Group 3: Business Overview - Changling Hydraulic operates in the hydraulic, casting, and photovoltaic industries, producing products such as hydraulic central swivel joints, tension devices, and precision castings [4] - The company completed the acquisition of Jiangyin Shangchi in 2023, entering the photovoltaic sector, which is expected to enhance its product offerings [5] Group 4: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Changling Hydraulic reported total revenue of 2.19 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.64% [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 310 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 19.06% [6] - The company has a significant amount of accounts receivable, totaling 409 million yuan [5]

Core Viewpoint - The actual controller of Changling Hydraulic is planning a significant matter that may lead to a change in the company's control [2] Group 1: Stock Suspension - Changling Hydraulic's stock will be suspended from trading starting July 4, 2025, due to ongoing negotiations regarding the potential change in control [3] - The suspension is expected to last no more than two trading days to prevent abnormal fluctuations in the stock price [3] Group 2: Shareholding Structure - As of the end of Q1 this year, Xia Jifa holds 58.8 million shares, accounting for 40.81% of the total share capital, while Xia Zemin holds 39.2 million shares, accounting for 27.21% [4] - The total shareholding of the main shareholders and their concerted actions amounts to 112.01 million shares, representing 77.75% of the total share capital [5] Group 3: Business Overview - Changling Hydraulic operates in the hydraulic, casting, and photovoltaic industries, with products including hydraulic central swivel joints, tensioning devices, and precision castings [5] - The company completed the acquisition of Jiangyin Shangchi in 2023, entering the photovoltaic sector, which is expected to enhance its product offerings [6] Group 4: Financial Performance - In 2024, Changling Hydraulic's net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 6.84%, despite an increase in revenue [6] - For Q1 this year, both revenue and net profit showed a year-on-year decline, with accounts receivable reaching 409 million yuan [6] - The total revenue for Q1 was 2.19 billion yuan, with a year-on-year change of 0%, while the net profit was 310 million yuan, down 19.06% year-on-year [7]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" rating for the company, indicating a strong potential for price appreciation in the next 6-12 months [9]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit in the short term from the recovery of the excavator market, while the long-term outlook is positive due to its focus on electrification and global expansion [5][9]. - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 9.39 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.51%, with a net profit of 2.51 billion yuan, reflecting a modest growth rate [5][11]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 93.90 billion yuan, with a net profit of 25.09 billion yuan, showing a slight increase of 0.4% year-on-year [5]. - The gross margin for 2024 is reported at 42.83%, an increase of 0.93 percentage points year-on-year, indicating ongoing cost reduction and efficiency improvements [6]. - The company’s hydraulic cylinder product revenue reached 47.61 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.44%, while hydraulic pump and valve products generated 35.83 billion yuan, a 9.63% increase, marking a historical high [7]. Strategic Initiatives Summary - The company is advancing its electrification strategy, with a linear actuator project entering mass production, which is expected to contribute to new business growth in the medium to long term [8]. - The internationalization strategy is being reinforced with production capacity established in Mexico and service centers in the U.S., Brazil, Indonesia, and India, covering over 20 countries and regions [7]. Earnings Forecast Summary - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.12 yuan, 2.44 yuan, and 2.93 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 35.4, 30.8, and 25.7 [9][11].