转自：前瞻产业研究院 行业主要上市公司：恒立液压(601100);艾迪精密(603638);中航重机(600765);合锻智能（维权）(603011); 邵阳液压(301079)等。 本文核心内容：液压行业产业链;液压行业全景图谱 液压行业产业链全景梳理 目前我国液压产业链上游主要为钢铁、配件和工作介质，其中钢铁包括圆钢 钢管、模锻件等钢材，配 件包括密封件、五金标准件、塑料等，工作介质是液压油;液压中游主要为液压的生产，从产品功能区 分包括液压马达、液压泵、液压阀、液压油缸、液压系统;液压的下游主要为各个大型工程领域，包括 工程机械、航空航天、机床工具、农业机械、汽车工业、重型机械等。 液压行业产业链区域热力地 液压行业的上游行业主要有三类，分别是钢铁、配件和工作介质，其中钢铁供应一般是国内大型钢铁联 合企业，包括宝钢股份、鞍钢股份、河钢股份等;工作介质指的是液压油，代表企业有康普顿、中晟高 科、统一等。 液压行业中游制造企业有恒立液压、邵阳液压、合锻智能、艾迪精密、川润股份、鲍斯股份。 液压行业下游主要是工程机械、农业机械、机床工具、汽车工业等行业，其中工程机械行业额有潍柴动 力额、中联重科、三一重工等; ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [2]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a benchmark in the domestic hydraulic industry, focusing on the development of hydraulic transmission control equipment and systems integration, with a significant emphasis on non-standard hydraulic cylinders and valves [5][6]. - The hydraulic industry is entering an upward phase, driven by favorable policies and accelerating domestic substitution, particularly in the engineering machinery sector [6][40]. - The company has invested 1.4 billion yuan in a linear actuator project, which is expected to enhance its product offerings and market reach [2][18]. Financial Summary - The company's projected net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is estimated at 2.747 billion, 3.220 billion, and 3.665 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 42.63, 36.36, and 31.95 times [2][3]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 8.985 billion yuan in 2023 to 13.897 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 14.71% [3][4]. - The company’s net profit margin is projected to remain stable, with a slight increase in profitability expected over the forecast period [25][28]. Industry Outlook - The hydraulic industry is projected to grow significantly, with the global market expected to reach approximately 51.57 billion USD by 2024 and 77.82 billion USD by 2034, indicating a CAGR of 4.2% [40][43]. - The domestic excavator market is recovering, with sales expected to increase significantly in the coming years, driven by infrastructure investment and equipment upgrades [41][49]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for hydraulic components in various sectors, including construction and agriculture, as the market shifts towards high-efficiency and energy-saving hydraulic systems [6][44].

Group 1 - The company, AVIC Heavy Machinery (SH 600765), held its 13th meeting of the 7th Board of Directors on October 29, 2025, to discuss the appointment of the auditing firm for the fiscal year 2025 [1] - For the first half of 2025, the company's revenue composition is as follows: Forging industry accounts for 83.02%, Hydraulic industry accounts for 17.08%, Other industries account for 0.59%, and Internal offsets account for -0.69% [1]

Core Insights - The 2025 Hurun Rich List revealed that Wang Liping's family, the leader of Hengli Hydraulic, has a wealth of 86 billion yuan, marking a significant increase of 36 billion yuan or 72% from the previous year, elevating their rank from 76th to 54th, advancing 22 positions and maintaining the title of "richest in Changzhou" [1][3] - Wang Liping, aged 59, is the chairman of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co., Ltd., which operates in various sectors including construction machinery and agricultural machinery. The company has expanded its market share due to increasing domestic and international demand for hydraulic products, with high-pressure cylinders being a core business [1][2] - Hengli Hydraulic's performance in the construction machinery sector has surpassed its historical peak in 2021, with Q3 2025 financial results showing revenue of 7.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.087 billion yuan, up 16.5% year-on-year, indicating strong growth potential [1] Future Growth Strategies - In addition to consolidating its advantages in the construction machinery sector, Wang Liping has been planning new growth avenues for Hengli Hydraulic. In 2021, the company invested 1.5 billion yuan to initiate a linear actuator project focused on developing humanoid robots and other smart electric products, positioning itself well in the emerging humanoid robot industry [2]

Core Viewpoint - The LHY hydraulic brand, formerly known as "Linde Hydraulics," has been officially launched, marking a strategic transformation and a commitment to becoming a global leader in hydraulic systems, leveraging over a century of German technological heritage [1][5]. Brand Evolution - LHY has a history of 121 years, originating from Linde Hydraulics established in Munich, Germany, in 1904, and has consistently led the industry through technological innovation [3]. - Following its strategic restructuring by Weichai in 2012, LHY has focused on global development, establishing a new hydraulic intelligent manufacturing plant in Germany and investing 2 billion yuan in a hydraulic R&D and manufacturing base in China [3][5]. - The brand upgrade to LHY signifies both a legacy of Linde's technology and a forward-looking strategic shift towards becoming a system solution provider rather than just a component supplier [5][10]. Technological Innovation - LHY emphasizes continuous technological innovation as its core competitive advantage, supported by a "two countries, three locations" global R&D system [6][8]. - The company has developed unique hydraulic components that enhance efficiency and compactness, such as a hydraulic motor with a unique steel column structure that improves stability and reduces installation space [8][10]. - LHY has achieved significant milestones in product development, including electric distributed excavators and advanced main pump technologies, positioning itself to lead in the industry's technological evolution [11][13]. Global Operations - LHY has established a global production network with four manufacturing bases and eight subsidiaries across Europe, the U.S., and China, creating a comprehensive service network in over 50 countries [11]. - The company aims to integrate resources from both Germany and China to provide efficient and sustainable solutions, fostering a collaborative ecosystem in the hydraulic industry [13].

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Changling Hydraulic (605389.SH) has experienced an abnormal fluctuation, with a cumulative price increase of 20% over three consecutive trading days, prompting a notice of unusual trading activity [1] Company Summary - The company's main business operations have not changed, and internal production activities are normal [1] - There have been no significant changes in the market environment or industry policies affecting the company [1] - The controlling shareholder is in the process of transferring shares and changing control, but the completion of this process remains uncertain [1] - The company has no undisclosed significant matters that need to be reported [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company continues to show growth in its main business, with the linear actuator segment entering a phase of realization, leading to a "buy" rating for Hengli Hydraulic [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 5.17 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.0%; net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.43 billion yuan, up 11.0% year-on-year [2] - In Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 2.75 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.5%; net profit attributable to shareholders was 810 million yuan, up 18.3% year-on-year and 31.4% quarter-on-quarter [2] Profitability Metrics - Q2 2025 marked a new high for quarterly net profit and the second-highest revenue, with a net profit margin increase of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 44%, up 0.9 percentage points year-on-year; the net profit margin was 29.6%, up 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [3] Cost Structure - The total expense ratio for the period was 12.5%, down 1.2 percentage points year-on-year; management expenses increased due to a rise in employee numbers and salaries, while financial expenses decreased due to increased exchange gains [3] Market Dynamics - The excavator industry saw sales of 120,500 units in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.8%; the company sold 308,300 hydraulic cylinders for excavators, up over 15% year-on-year [3] - Sales of hydraulic pump and valve products in non-excavator sectors grew by over 30%, with total sales nearing last year's levels [3] Product Development - The company has developed over 50 new products in the first half of 2025, all of which have successfully transitioned to mass production [4] - The Mexico factory has officially commenced operations, expected to accelerate breakthroughs with foreign clients, although it reported a slight loss of 13,480 yuan during the reporting period [4] Investment Outlook - The company is a leading player in the hydraulic components industry, benefiting from the recovery in excavator demand; the electric business and global expansion are expected to contribute to performance in the medium to long term [5] - EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 are 2.11, 2.42, and 2.90 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 39.8, 34.7, and 29.0 [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [4][8] Core Views - The company's main business continues to grow, with the linear actuator segment entering a realization phase [4] - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 5.17 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.43 billion yuan, up 11.0% year-on-year [4] - The second quarter of 2025 saw a record high in quarterly net profit and the second-highest revenue, with a net profit margin increase of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [5] Financial Performance - The company reported a gross margin of 44% and a net margin of 29.6% in Q2 2025, with respective year-on-year increases of 0.9 and 1.8 percentage points [5] - The company sold 12.05 million excavators in China in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 16.8%, and sold 308,300 hydraulic cylinders for excavators, also up over 15% [5] - The company has developed over 50 new products in the first half of 2025, all of which have successfully completed mass production [6] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in the excavator market, with significant growth anticipated in related hydraulic cylinders and pumps [7] - The company's EPS is projected to be 2.11, 2.42, and 2.90 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 39.8, 34.7, and 29.0 [8][12]

Group 1 - The stock price of Hengli Hydraulic is reported at 84.09 yuan, down by 2.81 yuan, a decrease of 3.23% from the previous trading day [1] - The stock reached a maximum of 87.20 yuan and a minimum of 84.00 yuan during the trading session, with a trading volume of 177,300 shares and a transaction value of 1.515 billion yuan [1] - Hengli Hydraulic specializes in the research, production, and sales of hydraulic components and systems, with applications in engineering machinery and metallurgical machinery [1] Group 2 - The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority holds shares in Hengli Hydraulic, with a market value exceeding 900 million yuan as of the end of Q2 2025 [1] - On August 27, a block trade occurred involving 68,800 shares, with a transaction value of 5.7854 million yuan, at a price equal to the closing price [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the financial performance and strategic adjustments of Shaoyang Victor Hydraulics Co., Ltd. for the first half of 2025, indicating a decline in revenue and net profit due to strategic shifts towards the hydropower sector and increased production costs [2][3]. Financial Performance - The company's operating revenue for the reporting period was approximately 143.43 million yuan, a decrease of 12.84% compared to the same period last year [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 7.11 million yuan, down 31.68% year-on-year [2]. - The net cash flow from operating activities improved significantly, reaching approximately 11.75 million yuan, compared to a negative cash flow of about 27.22 million yuan in the previous year [2]. - Basic and diluted earnings per share were both 0.065 yuan, a decrease of 31.58% from the previous year [2]. - Total assets at the end of the reporting period were approximately 873.52 million yuan, down 8.03% from the end of the previous year [2]. Business Overview - The company specializes in the design, research and development, production, and sales of hydraulic components, including hydraulic piston pumps, cylinders, and systems, providing comprehensive hydraulic transmission solutions [3][4]. - The company has established itself as one of the few comprehensive hydraulic enterprises in China with a wide range of hydraulic products and advanced production technology [3][4]. Strategic Adjustments - The company has shifted its business focus towards the hydropower sector, which has led to a temporary decline in revenue due to project delivery being concentrated in the second half of the year [3][4]. - Production adjustments were made to improve efficiency, including the adoption of line production methods, which temporarily increased costs due to the need for new tools and materials [3][4]. Market Position - The company is recognized for its strong brand, deep technical expertise, and comprehensive product range, positioning it as a leading player in the domestic hydraulic industry [10][11]. - It has a history of over 50 years in hydraulic piston pump production, leveraging its experience to achieve breakthroughs in technology and product development [10][11]. Product Offerings - The main products include high-pressure axial piston pumps, hydraulic cylinders, and complete hydraulic systems, which are widely used in industries such as metallurgy, hydropower, marine engineering, and military applications [4][5]. - The company has developed a range of hydraulic systems tailored to specific industry needs, demonstrating its capability in providing customized solutions [6][7].