Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a significant price increase in the next 6-12 months [6][13]. Core Views - The report highlights that multiple paper companies have issued price increase notices, which may improve the industry's profitability [2]. - It notes that overseas pulp mills are reducing production, which is expected to stabilize and potentially increase pulp prices [3]. - The report anticipates a recovery in finished paper prices as pulp prices rise and demand improves, particularly in the second half of 2025 [4]. - The company is expanding its production capacity and enhancing its integrated operations in the pulp and paper industry, which is expected to improve profitability [5]. - Revenue and profit forecasts for the company show a steady growth trajectory from 2025 to 2027, with expected revenues of 436.97 billion, 472.71 billion, and 506.73 billion yuan, respectively [6]. Summary by Sections Industry Analysis - In August, several paper companies announced price increases, marking the fourth round of price adjustments since July, indicating a trend towards improved profitability in the packaging paper sector [2]. - Domestic pulp prices have been under pressure due to concentrated production capacity and weak downstream demand, but a recovery is anticipated in the second half of 2025 as demand picks up [3]. Company Performance - The company has launched several new production lines and projects, including a 37,000-ton specialty paper project and various pulp production lines, which are expected to enhance its competitive edge and profitability [5]. - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 436.97 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 7.29%, and net profits of 35.46 billion yuan, reflecting a 14.33% increase [6]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts earnings per share (EPS) of 1.27 yuan for 2025, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 11, 10, and 9 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [6].

021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 021-60635727 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 行业 纸浆日报 日期 2025 年 6 月 9 日 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635730 lijin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3015157 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03134307 能源化工研究团队 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 研究员:李捷,CFA（原油燃料油） 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（尿素、工业硅） 研究员 ...