据统计，截至11月24日，国内瓦楞纸日均价为3213元/吨，同比上涨17.65%；箱板纸日均价为3889元/吨，同比上涨6.86%。业内普遍认为，在这一轮涨价当 中，由于下游需求相对稳定，上游环节的议价能力要更强。 卓创资讯瓦楞及箱板纸资深分析师 徐玲：短期来看，瓦楞及箱板纸（价格）还是呈现上涨的趋势，但涨势有所放缓。一方面目前纸厂的库存处于低位，供 应端暂时没有很大的压力；另一方面，随着春节、元旦的订单陆续释放，需求存在增加的预期。整个产业链的利润向上游偏移，涨价向下游传导难度加大。 在河北廊坊一家包装纸企业的办公室里，负责人向记者展示了最近一段时间他们收到的来自上游的大量涨价函。 河北廊坊三泰纸业总经理程传雨告诉记者，面对成本不断上涨的情况，他们也随之上调了企业生产的包装纸价格，但涨幅比上游原纸20%到30%的幅度要 低，总体保持在10%到15%左右。不过，成本的上涨并未影响到企业产量，在这个工厂，记者了解到包装纸产线和纸箱产线基本都处于满产状态。 （央视财经《经济信息联播》）原纸价格因上游废纸涨价而出现上涨，下游的纸板厂和包装厂企业是否受到了涨价的影响？年底纸张需求的传统旺季已经到 来，纸张企业的生产情 ...

GOLDTRUST FUTURES CO.，LTD GOLDTRUST FUTURES 数据来源：文华财经、金信期货 观点仅供参考，市场有风险，入市需谨慎 GOLDTRUST FUTURES CO.，LTD 品种 周度观点 需求：结构性分化持续。白卡纸提价落地情况好，包装纸头部企业引领涨价潮，箱板纸、瓦楞 纸均价周环比均涨 80 元 / 吨；而文化纸需求依旧疲软，双胶纸即便计划提价，因缺乏需求支 撑，下游接受度低，整体需求未实现全面放量。 供给：宽松中现短期扰动。国内 10 月纸浆产量环比涨 10.2%，供给基础宽松；智利针叶浆外 盘报价下跌、阔叶浆报价上涨。不过美国木兰浆厂 11 月 20 日起临时停产，给全球供应带来短 期小幅扰动，但难改整体宽松格局。 纸浆 库存：延续高位累库态势。截至 11 月 20 日，国内主流港口纸浆样本库存量达 217.3 万吨， 较上期累库 6.3 万吨，环比涨 3.0%，其中青岛港持续宽幅累库，仅常熟港等少数港口呈窄幅去 库走势，整体库存处于年内中位水平。 利润：纸企利润分化。包装纸企业因产品提价，叠加纸浆成本稳升但传导顺畅，利润修复态势 明确；而依赖文化纸的企业仍承压，双胶 ...

来源：《理财周刊》 据上海证券交易所披露信息，安徽林平循环发展股份有限公司（下称"林平发展"）已于11月7日完成问询函回复工作。该 公司的上市申请已于6月25日获得受理，并在7月23日正式进入问询环节。 根据其招股书披露内容，林平发展本次IPO拟募集资金12亿元，其中5亿元将投入年产90万吨绿色环保智能制造新材料项 目（二期）建设，剩余7亿元则用于年产60万吨生物基纤维绿色智能制造新材料项目的推进。 作为一家以瓦楞纸、箱板纸生产为核心业务的高新技术企业，林平发展当的营收已连续两年出现下滑，产品单价也持续 处于下行态势；与此同时，税收优惠在公司净利润中的占比已飙升至80.58%。 在此情况下，公司的IPO进程能否顺利推进，未来业绩是否将持续面临压力，已成为监管机构与市场各方共同聚焦的核心 问题。 业绩起伏，稳定性成疑 林平发展是一家整合废纸利用、热电联产与绿色造纸业务的资源综合利用企业。 根据招股书披露的信息，2022年至2024年及2025年上半年（以下简称"报告期"），公司营业收入分别实现28.79亿元、 28.00亿元、24.85亿元和12.24亿元，对应净利润为1.54亿元、2.12亿元、1.53亿元及 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Shanying International (600567) has shown a stable price of 1.79 yuan as of November 20, 2025, with a slight increase in trading volume and mixed capital flow trends [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 20, 2025, Shanying International closed at 1.79 yuan, with no change in price [1]. - The trading volume was 1.373 million hands, resulting in a total transaction value of 246 million yuan [1]. - The net outflow of main funds was 24.5 million yuan, accounting for 9.96% of the total transaction value, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 3.87 million yuan, representing 1.58% of the total [1][2]. Group 2: Recent Capital Flow - Over the past five days, the stock has experienced fluctuating capital flows, with the most significant net outflow of main funds recorded on November 18, amounting to 35.29 million yuan [2]. - The net inflow from retail investors peaked on November 18, with 35.79 million yuan [2]. Group 3: Financial Metrics and Industry Comparison - Shanying International's total market capitalization is 10.41 billion yuan, ranking 5th in the paper and printing industry [3]. - The company reported a net profit of -290 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a decline of 522.74% year-on-year [3]. - The gross profit margin stands at 7.91%, significantly lower than the industry average of 14.76%, placing the company in the 32nd position out of 38 in the industry [3]. Group 4: Analyst Ratings - In the last 90 days, three institutions have provided ratings for Shanying International, with one buy rating and two hold ratings [4]. - The average target price set by institutions over the past 90 days is 2.0 yuan [4].

021-60635727 行业 纸浆日报 日期 2025 年 11 月 19 日 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 能源化工研究团队 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 研究员:李捷,CFA（原油沥青） 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（工业硅多晶硅） 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 期货从业资格号：F03134307 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 一、行情回 ...

Group 1: Report Information - Report Type: Pulp Daily Report [1] - Date: November 18, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [4] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Pulp Futures: The previous settlement price of the 01 contract was 5474 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5474 yuan/ton, with an overall increase of 0.00%. [7] - Shandong Wood Pulp Market: The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp was 4900 - 6500 yuan/ton, remaining stable from the previous trading day. The price of Shandong Yinxing was 5550 yuan/ton. [7] - International News: Finnforest Metsa notified Chinese customers that the November quotation of softwood pulp increased by $20. In September, the chemical pulp shipments of the world's 20 pulp - producing countries increased by 8.3% year - on - year, with softwood pulp up 3.8% and hardwood pulp up 11.8%. Shipments to the Chinese market continued to grow. [7] - European Market: In October, the European wood pulp inventory was 703,900 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 2.8% and a year - on - year increase of 3.4%. The consumption was 844,100 tons, a month - on - month increase of 4.8% and a year - on - year increase of 1.2%. [7] - Inventory: As of November 14, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports was 1.9766 million tons, an increase of 4.22% from the previous week. [7] - Downstream Market: The performance of downstream base paper remained differentiated. The packaging paper market continued to be favorable, while the prices of other base papers were stable. The improvement of social orders for offset paper was limited, and publishing tenders continued. [7] Group 3: Industry News - Hong Kong Stock Market: On November 17, Hong Kong paper stocks rose. Chenming Paper led with a gain of over 6%, Nine Dragons Paper rose over 5%, and Lee & Man Paper rose nearly 3%. [8] - Price Increase: Since November, the price increase wave in the domestic paper industry has intensified. Shanying Paper raised the prices of products such as red fir paper and corrugated paper by 30 - 100 yuan/ton, and the core product categories in Guangdong and Zhejiang bases increased by 50 yuan/ton. Nine Dragons Paper and other enterprises followed suit. [8] - Market Outlook: Driven by the packaging demand during the "Double Eleven" period, the price increase of packaging paper was supported, but industry insiders pointed out that the price increase might not be sustainable due to the oversupply of bulk paper materials. [8]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Shanying International (600567) has shown a decline in both price and financial performance, with significant net outflows from major and retail investors, indicating potential concerns about the company's future performance [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - As of November 17, 2025, Shanying International's stock closed at 1.87 yuan, down 0.53% with a trading volume of 1.5884 million hands and a turnover of 295 million yuan [1]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a main revenue of 21.133 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.17%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -290 million yuan, a significant decline of 522.74% [3]. - The company's third-quarter results showed a single-quarter main revenue of 7.291 billion yuan, down 0.77%, and a net profit of -331 million yuan, a decrease of 636.03% [3]. Investor Sentiment - On November 17, 2025, the net outflow of major funds was 7.5265 million yuan, accounting for 2.55% of the total turnover, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 18.0977 million yuan, representing 6.12% of the total turnover [1][2]. - Over the past five days, the stock has experienced fluctuating fund flows, with significant net outflows from major and speculative funds on several days [2]. Industry Comparison - Shanying International's total market value is 10.875 billion yuan, significantly higher than the industry average of 7.068 billion yuan, ranking 4th in the industry [3]. - The company's net asset value stands at 17.017 billion yuan, also above the industry average of 4.132 billion yuan, ranking 2nd [3]. - However, the company ranks poorly in profitability metrics, with a net profit of -290 million yuan and a return on equity (ROE) of -1.93%, ranking 34th in the industry [3]. Analyst Ratings - In the last 90 days, three institutions have provided ratings for the stock, with one buy rating and two hold ratings, and the average target price set at 2.0 yuan [4].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Views - The fundamentals of pulp futures have not improved. It is recommended to view it as range - bound and sell on rallies [7]. - The fundamentals of double - offset paper futures have not improved. It is recommended to view it as range - bound and sell on rallies [18]. 3. Summary by Variety Pulp - **Demand**: Demand is flat, with only rigid demand replenishment. Terminal orders in the downstream base paper market are limited, and paper mills' raw material procurement is cautious. Only sporadic publishing tenders in the cultural paper field have slightly boosted market confidence, but demand has not improved substantially. The overall operating rate of downstream finished paper has declined [5]. - **Supply**: Supply is relatively abundant. Although the domestic pulp import volume decreased in October, port inventories are still ample. Overseas prices have fluctuated, but there is no shortage of supply [5]. - **Inventory**: As of November 13, 2025, the inventory of mainstream ports in China was 211.0 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 10.2 million tons or 5.1%. The inventory shifted from narrow - range destocking to high - level accumulation [5]. - **Profit**: Paper mill profits continue to decline. Although the pulp futures market rebounded, weak downstream demand has led to a lack of support for price increases in the finished paper market, and the industry profit is contracting [6]. Double - offset Paper - **Demand**: Demand remains weak. This week, the domestic sales volume of double - offset paper was 169.6 thousand tons. Only sporadic orders were released in the publishing field, and social printing demand was sluggish. The market transaction was light, and only some downstream enterprises replenished inventory moderately [17]. - **Supply**: Supply increased slightly. This week, the operating rate of double - offset paper was 51.40%, a week - on - week increase of 0.16 percentage points, but the growth rate narrowed. The industry output reached 175.6 thousand tons, and imports remained at a low level [17]. - **Inventory**: Inventory decreased from an increase but the pressure still exists. This week, the inventory days of double - offset paper decreased by 0.66% compared with last week. Although paper mill inventories decreased slightly, the overall inventory pressure has not been substantially alleviated [17]. - **Profit**: The industry is still in a loss state. Although some paper mills' planned price increases may offset cost pressure slightly, the industry has been in a loss situation since October, and rising costs and weak demand have failed to reverse the loss pattern [17]. Waste Paper - **Demand**: Demand is strong and rising. The e - commerce festival and year - end promotions have led to concentrated procurement by downstream cardboard and carton factories. The seasonal recovery of cultural paper has also increased the demand for waste paper, driving up the procurement volume of waste cartons. The operating rate of paper mills exceeded 85%, and leading paper mills have raised purchase prices [26]. - **Supply**: Supply is continuously tight. The recycling volume of waste cartons has decreased in many domestic areas, and import restrictions and price increases of imported recycled pulp have increased the demand for domestic waste cartons. Some paper mills' maintenance has further exacerbated the supply gap [26]. - **Inventory**: Overall, there is a narrow - range destocking trend. As of November 6, the inventory of mainstream ports in China was 200.8 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 5.3 million tons or 2.6%. Downstream cardboard factories' raw material inventories are mostly at medium - to - high levels, while paper mills' raw material inventories are generally low [26]. - **Profit**: Industry profits are clearly divided. The cost pressure of corrugated paper and boxboard paper has increased, and gross profit has shrunk. However, the demand for yarn tube paper is good, and the gross profit of some high - end paper types has remained at a good level [27]. Boxboard Paper (Packaging Paper) - **Demand**: Demand shows resilience. The e - commerce replenishment demand after the "Double 11" promotion and the subsequent Chinese New Year goods stocking demand support the demand for boxboard paper. Downstream cardboard factories have a certain demand for boxboard paper, driving some paper mills to raise prices [36]. - **Supply**: Supply is structurally tightened. Leading paper mills such as Nine Dragons and Shanying have raised prices, but due to the shortage of raw material waste paper, some medium - and large - sized paper mills in East and South China have announced machine shutdowns for maintenance in mid - November, resulting in a decrease in overall market supply [36]. - **Inventory**: The inventory turnover is 10.5 days, which is relatively controllable. However, the high - level raw material inventories of downstream cardboard factories have restricted their replenishment, and the low raw material inventories of paper mills have affected the production and stocking rhythm of boxboard paper [36]. - **Profit**: The immediate profit is 270 yuan, and profitability has some support. The price increase of boxboard paper and the rising cost of raw material waste yellow board paper have affected the profit margin, which is in a moderate recovery state [36].

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Shanying International has shown a recent upward trend, with a notable increase in trading volume and market capitalization, despite a year-to-date decline in stock price [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 14, Shanying International's stock price increased by 2.15% to 1.90 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 346 million CNY and a turnover rate of 3.18%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 11.049 billion CNY [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock price has decreased by 3.06%, but it has increased by 6.15% over the last five and twenty trading days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Shanying International reported a revenue of 21.133 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 2.17%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -290 million CNY, a significant decline of 522.74% [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Shanying International reached 196,100, an increase of 3.71% from the previous period, with an average of 29,649 circulating shares per shareholder, up by 2.49% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 1.807 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 46.126 million CNY distributed over the last three years [3]. Group 4: Major Shareholders - As of September 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the third-largest circulating shareholder, holding 99.8305 million shares, an increase of 2.3267 million shares from the previous period [3].

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Shanying International (600567) has shown a recent increase in price, with a closing price of 1.86 yuan on November 13, 2025, reflecting a 2.76% rise, amidst mixed capital flows and a challenging financial performance in the paper industry [1][4]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Shanying International reported a main revenue of 21.133 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.17% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -290 million yuan, a significant decline of 522.74% year-on-year [4]. - The third quarter alone saw a main revenue of 7.291 billion yuan, down 0.77% year-on-year, with a net profit of -331 million yuan, a drastic drop of 636.03% [4]. - The company’s debt ratio stands at 67.69%, with a gross profit margin of 7.91% [4]. Market Position - Shanying International's total market capitalization is 10.817 billion yuan, ranking 5th in the paper and printing industry [4]. - The company has a net asset value of 17.017 billion yuan, placing it 2nd in the industry [4]. - The price-to-earnings ratio is -28.01, while the price-to-book ratio is 0.69, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to industry averages [4]. Capital Flow Analysis - On November 13, 2025, the net inflow of main funds was 46.4422 million yuan, accounting for 8.44% of the total transaction amount [1]. - Over the past five days, the stock has experienced fluctuations in capital flow, with notable net outflows from retail investors [1][2]. - The financing data indicates a net repayment of 13.154 million yuan on November 13, with a total financing balance of 4.11 billion yuan [2]. Institutional Ratings - In the last 90 days, three institutions have provided ratings for Shanying International, with one buy rating and two hold ratings [5]. - The average target price set by institutions over this period is 2.00 yuan [5].