美国咖啡爱好者原本指望，唐纳德・特朗普总统上月调整关税的举措能很快让日常咖啡的价格降下来， 如今看来恐怕要失望了。 特朗普政府今年夏季起对多国征收大范围进口关税，涉及巴西等主要咖啡生产国，这直接推高了生咖啡 豆的价格。但经纪商、贸易商及行业专家表示，新增成本目前仍在供应链中逐步传导，尚未波及终端消 费者。 换句话说，美国咖啡零售价走高，主要是受去年咖啡豆供应短缺的影响 —— 截至今年 3 月的 12 个月 内，生咖啡豆价格一度翻倍。 独立咖啡分析师克里斯托弗・费兰表示："目前我们看到的大部分零售端涨价，并非是对关税政策的反 应，而是与去年以来生豆市场价格创下历史新高有关。" 费兰与其他行业专家估算，生豆价格变动传导至消费者至少需要 9 个月时间，这其中部分原因在于咖啡 豆烘焙周期以及价格谈判流程。这意味着，咖啡零售价要回落，很可能要等到明年年中。 美国是全球最大的咖啡消费国，该国消费者将不得不更长时间承受高价咖啡。对于白宫而言，想要在 2026 年 11 月美国中期选举前遏制食品通胀，也将是一项棘手的任务。 此前，由于选民对食品价格上涨的不满情绪，民主党在新泽西州、纽约州和弗吉尼亚州的选举中胜出， 特朗普因此 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. has imposed a 40% tariff on Brazilian products, raising the total tariff rate to 50%, significantly impacting Brazil's economy [1][3] - Brazil's President Lula has stated that there is no room for direct dialogue with President Trump, indicating a challenging diplomatic situation [1][3] - Approximately 35.9% of Brazilian exports to the U.S. will face a combined tariff of 50%, severely affecting key products like raw coffee beans [3][5] Group 2 - China has approved 183 Brazilian coffee companies to export to China, effective from July 30, 2025, providing crucial support to Brazil's coffee industry [3][5] - Brazil's agricultural sector is facing difficulties, with the coffee export to the U.S. being a significant concern due to the new tariffs [3][5] - The relationship between China and Brazil remains strong, with China being Brazil's largest trading partner for 15 consecutive years, and future investments from China in Brazil are projected to reach 27 billion reais [5][7] Group 3 - Brazil is seeking support from emerging economies and plans to address the tariff issue through the World Trade Organization [5][7] - The unilateral tariff actions by the U.S. are seen as damaging to global trade order and are likely to face resistance from other countries [7]