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海大集团(002311):持续成长的农牧白马
CMS· 2025-08-17 13:04
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [2][5]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading player in the aquaculture feed industry, with a strong focus on cost-effective products and comprehensive service offerings driving sustained growth. The recovery in major aquatic product prices is expected to boost demand for the company's aquaculture feed. Additionally, the company aims to replicate its successful domestic competitive model in overseas markets, creating new growth opportunities [1][5]. Company Overview - The company is recognized as a comprehensive service leader in domestic aquaculture, with its core business in feed production and sales, holding the top position globally in feed sales. The company has maintained the number one position in domestic aquatic premix feed sales for 21 consecutive years and ranks among the top ten in poultry and livestock feed [5][11]. - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 114.6 billion yuan, with feed business revenue accounting for 80% and gross profit contributing 69% [12][19]. Competitive Advantages - The company continuously builds competitive barriers through a combination of product quality, service, and management. It invests approximately 26% of its profits in R&D, significantly lower raw material costs compared to industry averages, and provides a full range of services to enhance customer loyalty [5][29][39]. - The company has established a comprehensive service system that includes seedling, breeding technology, disease prevention, and safety control, ensuring that farmers achieve excess profits and enhancing user stickiness [48][50]. Market Outlook - The aquatic feed market is expected to grow due to increasing per capita consumption of aquatic products and rising penetration rates. The company is well-positioned to benefit from this growth, with plans to expand its overseas market presence, targeting a sales volume of 7.2 million tons by 2030, with a CAGR of 20% [5][11][19]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 4.97 billion yuan, 5.86 billion yuan, and 6.63 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively. The target price is set at 71.76 yuan, based on a 24x PE ratio for 2025 [5][6].