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多么痛的领悟,美国专家:这辈子,美国都别想赢过中国制造业
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-13 02:48
2025年2月21日,桥水基金创始人瑞·达利欧在塔克·卡尔森的节目中发表了一番引人注目的言论:"在我们这一代,美国已经没法与中国的制造业竞争了。"这 一言论迅速引发了广泛的讨论,仿佛一面镜子,反映出美国经济的困境以及中国制造业的强大。 美国的制造业衰退,其实早在上世纪60年代就已悄然开始。当时,底特律的汽车生产线嗡嗡作响,造船厂里火花四溅。二战后的美国舰队几乎垄断了太平 洋,背后正是强大的制造能力的支撑。然而,如今的美国"锈带"城市却显得荒凉萧条,昔日繁忙的工厂已经空无一人,许多工人只得推着购物车在街头游 荡。甚至连英特尔这样的芯片巨头,也面临生产线停滞、工程师们无奈叹息的困境。 其根本原因在于两国经济结构的差异。美国凭借美元的全球霸权,占据产业链的顶端,获得全球80%的利润,大量资本流入金融和服务业。相比之下,制造 业利润薄弱,一般只有10%左右,谁愿意去做呢?更重要的是,美国的工会力量强大,工人的成本远远高于中国和许多新兴市场国家。例如,台积电在美国 建立的工厂,由于预算超支,只得忍痛减少亏损。而曾经全球领先的美国造船业,如今的产能仅相当于中国的1/200。 印度、墨西哥和巴西等发展中国家也尝试模仿中国发 ...
Zai Lab Limited (ZLAB): A Bull Case Theory
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-16 16:32
Company Overview - Zai Lab Limited (ZLAB) is a Chinese pharmaceutical company with a market capitalization of $3.3 billion, experiencing revenue growth of over 40% [2] - The company is strategically positioned to benefit from China's aging population, with a significant increase in demand for medicines expected due to demographic shifts [2] Market Position and Strategy - ZLAB has secured licenses from leading U.S. and European pharmaceutical companies, granting it exclusive rights to distribute established drugs in China [2][3] - The Chinese government's regulation of drug pricing, which lowers prices as sales volumes increase, allows for continued volume growth across a large population, particularly among the 300 million individuals over 60 years old [3] Financial Performance - ZLAB's revenues are projected to grow from $145 million in 2021 to an estimated $900 million in the next year, indicating strong compounding growth potential [4] - Despite not appearing cheap on conventional value metrics, ZLAB is viewed as a long-term winner in the Chinese healthcare market, with potential to become a $30 billion pharmaceutical leader [4] Investment Potential - The company is seen as a 10-15x investment opportunity over time, driven by strong structural tailwinds in the healthcare sector [4] - ZLAB's focus on growth opportunities in the Chinese market and its licensing strategy aligns with trends observed in other successful pharmaceutical companies [5]
Blueprint Medicines (BPMC) Reports Q1 Loss, Lags Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-01 13:26
分组1 - Blueprint Medicines reported a quarterly loss of $0.74 per share, which was worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.42, representing an earnings surprise of -76.19% [1] - The company posted revenues of $149.41 million for the quarter ended March 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 8.04%, but showing an increase from $96.12 million in the same quarter last year [2] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.46 on revenues of $171.35 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is -$1.01 on revenues of $728.21 million [7] 分组2 - The Zacks Industry Rank for Medical - Biomedical and Genetics is in the top 32% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook for the industry [8] - Blueprint Medicines shares have increased by approximately 2.6% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with a -5.3% decline in the S&P 500 [3] - The estimate revisions trend for Blueprint Medicines is currently mixed, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting the stock is expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6]