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公募基金泛固收指数跟踪周报(2025.10.20-2025.10.24):股债跷跷板效应再现,债市窄幅震荡-20251027
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-10-27 08:26
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report's industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report - Last week (from October 20 to October 24, 2025), the bond market showed a narrow - range oscillation. Driven by factors such as the easing of Sino - US trade frictions and the "15th Five - Year Plan", the stock market sentiment was boosted, and the bond market was under pressure due to the stock - bond seesaw effect [3][10]. - Bond yield is unlikely to rise significantly because the stock market may turn to stable operation after the "15th Five - Year Plan" is implemented, and there is often a "bond rush" phenomenon in the fourth quarter. However, the downward space for yield has not been fully opened, as the progress of Sino - US negotiations and the implementation of the new fund fee regulations are important variables [10]. - The US bond yield oscillated last week. Affected by multiple factors such as the US government shutdown, credit pressure, and geopolitical risks, the market's risk - aversion sentiment increased. The release of the under - expected US CPI data in September strengthened the expectation of interest rate cuts [11]. - The CSI REITs Total Return Index rose by 0.16% last week, with the environmental protection, people's livelihood, and data center sectors leading the gains. Two new public REITs made progress in the primary market [11]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1. Weekly Market Observation - **Pan - fixed - income Market Review and Observation** - The bond market had a narrow - range oscillation last week. The 1 - year, 10 - year, and 30 - year treasury bond yields increased by 2.82BP, 2.40BP, and 1.24BP to 1.47%, 1.85%, and 2.21% respectively [3][10]. - The US bond yield oscillated. The 1 - year, 2 - year, and 10 - year US bond yields increased by 3BP, 2BP, and 2BP to 3.58%, 3.48%, and 4.02% respectively [11]. - The CSI REITs Total Return Index rose by 0.16% to 1045.13 points. Two new public REITs made progress in the primary market [11]. 3.2. Pan - fixed - income Fund Index Performance Tracking | Index Classification | Last Week | Last Month | YTD | Since Strategy Launch | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Money Enhancement Index | 0.03% | 0.12% | 1.24% | 4.22% | | Short - term Bond Fund Preferred | 0.03% | 0.15% | 0.94% | 4.35% | | Medium - and Long - term Bond Fund Preferred | 0.08% | 0.38% | 0.80% | 6.44% | | Low - volatility Fixed - income + Fund Preferred | 0.23% | 0.38% | 2.89% | 4.18% | | Medium - volatility Fixed - income + Fund Preferred | 0.73% | 0.35% | 5.15% | 5.69% | | High - volatility Fixed - income + Fund Preferred | 0.75% | 0.27% | 7.82% | 7.56% | | Convertible Bond Fund Preferred | 1.67% | 0.94% | 18.10% | 21.79% | | QDII Bond Fund Preferred | - 0.03% | 0.45% | 5.45% | 10.54% | | REITs Fund Preferred | 0.69% | - 2.75% | 23.13% | 31.92% | [12] 3.3. Money Enhancement Index Tracking - **Money Enhancement Strategy Index** - The index aims for liquidity management, seeking a curve that surpasses money funds and rises smoothly. It mainly invests in money market funds and inter - bank certificate of deposit index funds [14]. - The performance benchmark is the CSI Money Fund Index (H11025.CSI) [14]. 3.4. Pure Bond Index Tracking - **Short - term Bond Fund Preferred Index** - The index aims for liquidity management, pursuing a smooth - rising curve while controlling drawdowns. It focuses on credit and risk management and consists of 5 selected funds [16]. - The performance benchmark is 50% * Short - term Pure Bond Fund Index + 50% * Ordinary Money Fund Index [16]. - **Medium - and Long - term Bond Fund Preferred Index** - The index invests in medium - and long - term pure bond funds, aiming for stable returns while controlling drawdowns. It selects 5 funds, balancing coupon strategies and band operations [19]. - It adjusts the duration according to market conditions to cope with interest rate changes [19]. 3.5. Fixed - income + Index Tracking - **Low - volatility Fixed - income + Preferred Index** - The equity center is set at 10%, and 10 funds are selected each period. It focuses on funds with an equity position within 15% in the past three years and recently [20][22]. - The performance benchmark is 10% * CSI 800 Index + 90% * ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index (CBA00303.CS) [22]. - **Medium - volatility Fixed - income + Preferred Index** - The equity center is 20%, and 5 funds are selected each period. It selects funds with an equity position between 15% - 25% [23]. - The performance benchmark is 20% * CSI 800 Index + 80% * ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index (CBA00303.CS) [23]. - **High - volatility Fixed - income + Preferred Index** - The equity center is 30%, and 5 funds are selected each period. It chooses funds with an equity position between 25% - 35% [27]. - The performance benchmark is 30% * CSI 800 Index + 70% * ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index (CBA00303.CS) [27]. 3.6. Convertible Bond Fund Preferred Index - The sample space consists of bond - type funds with an average convertible bond investment proportion of at least 60% in the latest period and at least 80% in the past four quarters [29]. - An evaluation system is built from the perspectives of funds, fund managers, and fund companies to select 5 funds [29]. 3.7. QDII Bond Fund Preferred Index Tracking - The underlying assets of QDII bond funds are overseas bonds, covering regions such as the world, Asia, and emerging markets. They are divided into investment - grade and high - yield products based on credit ratings [32]. - 6 funds with stable returns and good risk control are selected to form the index [32]. 3.8. REITs Fund Preferred Index Tracking - The underlying assets of REITs are mainly high - quality and stable infrastructure projects. The unit net value volatility is relatively limited [33]. - 10 funds with stable operations, reasonable valuations, and certain elasticity are selected according to the underlying asset types [33].
公募基金泛固收指数跟踪周报(2025.09.22-2025.10.10):美国政府持续停摆,国内债市呈现震荡走势-20251013
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-10-13 11:48
Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided in the content about the report industry investment rating. Core Viewpoints - The bond market in China showed a volatile trend. Before the National Day (2025.09.22 - 2025.09.30), it maintained a weak oscillation, and after the National Day (2025.10.09 - 2025.10.10), the bond market sentiment improved, and the yields generally declined. The central bank will continue to support liquidity, and the bond supply in the fourth quarter may gradually decrease, so the relatively fragile situation of the bond market sentiment is expected to improve. However, the current market's continuous bullish sentiment is not strong, and the repair amplitude may be relatively limited [2][9]. - The US Treasury yields fluctuated. Before the National Day, they rose, and during and after the National Day, they declined. The continuous "shutdown" of the US government and the divergence of Fed officials on interest - rate cuts have affected the market [10]. - REITs continued to face pressure. Before and after the National Day, the CSI REITs Total Return Index declined, with only the environmental protection and people's livelihood sector rising slightly after the National Day. In the primary market, there were new developments for some REITs [11]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Weekly Market Observation 1.1. Pan - Fixed - Income Market Review and Observation - **Bond Market Review**: Before the National Day, the 1 - year Treasury yield decreased by 1.72BP to 1.37%, the 10 - year yield decreased by 0.42BP to 1.86%, and the 30 - year yield increased by 5.7BP to 2.25%. After the National Day, the 1 - year yield decreased by 0.88BP to 1.37%, the 10 - year yield decreased by 1.45BP to 1.85%, and the 30 - year yield increased by 3.68BP to 2.28%. Due to the relief of the pressure to realize floating profits at the end of the quarter and the central bank's continuous support for market liquidity, the bond market sentiment improved [2][9]. - **US Treasury Yield Fluctuation**: Before the National Day, the 1 - year US Treasury yield increased by 8BP to 3.68%, the 2 - year yield increased by 3BP to 3.60%, and the 10 - year yield increased by 2BP to 4.16%. During and after the National Day, the 1 - year yield decreased by 8BP to 3.60%, the 2 - year yield decreased by 8BP to 3.52%, and the 10 - year yield decreased by 11BP to 4.05%. The continuous "shutdown" of the US government and the divergence of Fed officials on interest - rate cuts affected the market [10]. - **REITs Performance**: Before the National Day, the CSI REITs Total Return Index decreased by 0.92% to 1061.47 points, and all types of REITs generally declined. After the National Day, the index decreased by 0.26% to 1058.71 points, with only the environmental protection and people's livelihood sector rising slightly. As of October 10, 2025, 16 REITs had completed fundraising and listing in 2025. Last week, 3 new public REITs and 1 expansion - offering REIT made new progress [11]. 1.2. Public Fund Market Dynamics - The first foreign - funded consumer REIT, Huaxia CapitaLand Commercial REIT, was successfully listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange on September 29, 2025. It is the 75th public REIT in China and a benchmark case for the internationalization, diversification, and specialization of the Chinese public REIT market [3][12]. 2. Pan - Fixed - Income Fund Index Performance Tracking - **Currency Enhancement Index**: Last week (2025.10.09 - 2025.10.10), it rose by 0.00%, with a cumulative return of 4.16% since its establishment. It aims at liquidity management, pursues a curve that surpasses money - market funds and rises smoothly, and mainly allocates money - market funds and inter - bank certificate of deposit index funds. The performance comparison benchmark is the CSI Money Fund Index [4][13][15]. - **Pure Bond Index**: - **Short - Term Bond Fund Preferred Index**: Last week, it rose by 0.00%, with a cumulative return of 4.27% since its establishment. It aims at liquidity management, pursues a smooth - rising curve on the basis of ensuring drawdown control, and mainly configures 5 funds with stable long - term returns, strict drawdown control, and significant absolute - return capabilities. The performance comparison benchmark is 50% * Short - Term Pure Bond Fund Index + 50% * Ordinary Money - Market Fund Index [4][13][18]. - **Medium - and Long - Term Bond Fund Preferred Index**: Last week, it rose by 0.01%, with a cumulative return of 6.06% since its establishment. It invests in medium - and long - term pure bond funds, pursues stable returns while controlling drawdowns, and selects 5 funds each period. It adjusts the duration and the ratio of credit bond funds and interest - rate bond funds according to market conditions [4][14][20]. - **Fixed - Income + Index**: - **Low - Volatility Fixed - Income + Preferred Index**: Last week, it fell by 0.18%, with a cumulative return of 3.99% since its establishment. The equity center is positioned at 10%, and 10 funds are selected each period. It selects fixed - income + targets with an equity center within 15% in the past three years and recently. The performance comparison benchmark is 10% CSI 800 Index + 90% ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index [4][14][22]. - **Medium - Volatility Fixed - Income + Preferred Index**: Last week, it fell by 0.45%, with a cumulative return of 5.59% since its establishment. The equity center is positioned at 20%, and 5 funds are selected each period. It selects fixed - income + targets with an equity center between 15% and 25% in the past three years and recently [4][14][23]. - **High - Volatility Fixed - Income + Preferred Index**: Last week, it fell by 0.42%, with a cumulative return of 7.78% since its establishment. The equity center is positioned at 30%, and 5 funds are selected each period. It selects fixed - income + targets with an equity center between 25% and 35% in the past three years and recently [4][14][27]. - **Convertible Bond Fund Preferred Index**: Last week, it rose by 0.89%, with a cumulative return of 23.01% since its establishment. It selects bond - type funds with a convertible - bond investment proportion of at least 60% in the latest period and at least 80% on average in the past four quarters as the sample space, and selects 5 funds to form the index [4][14][29]. - **QDII Bond Fund Preferred Index**: Last week, it rose by 0.23%, with a cumulative return of 10.37% since its establishment. It selects 6 funds with stable returns and good risk control based on the credit and duration of overseas bonds [4][14][32]. - **REITs Fund Preferred Index**: Last week, it fell by 0.19%, with a cumulative return of 34.27% since its establishment. It selects 10 funds with stable operations, reasonable valuations, and certain elasticity based on the underlying asset types of REITs [4][14][33].
公募基金泛固收指数跟踪周报(2025.08.11-2025.08.15):股债“跷跷板”持续演绎,债市显著承压-20250818
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-08-18 09:11
1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week (from August 11 to August 15, 2025), the bond market performed weakly, with yields of major bond types generally rising. The ChinaBond - Composite Wealth Index (CBA00201) dropped 0.33%, and the ChinaBond - Composite Full - Price Index (CBA00203) declined 0.38%. Yields of interest - rate bonds across all tenors generally increased, and those of credit bonds across all tenors and ratings were under upward pressure. Credit spreads showed a narrowing trend [2][10]. - The marginal convergence of the capital market was moderate, and the "see - saw" effect between stocks and bonds was prominent. The US bond market fluctuated within a narrow range, and the expectation of interest - rate cuts was inconsistent. The secondary market of REITs continued to adjust, and trading activity decreased [2]. - The Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF continued to attract funds. As of August 15, 2025, the total scale of the first - batch Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF products exceeded 110 billion yuan, reaching 116.124 billion yuan in total, with 8 products having a scale exceeding 10 billion yuan [3]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Pan - Fixed - Income Market Review and Observation - **Bond Market Review**: Last week, the bond market was weak. The ChinaBond - Composite Wealth Index and the ChinaBond - Composite Full - Price Index both declined. Yields of interest - rate bonds and credit bonds generally increased, and credit spreads narrowed. For example, the 1 - year, 3 - year, 5 - year, and 10 - year Treasury yields changed by 1.06bp, - 1.47bp, 3.14bp, and 5.02bp respectively compared to the previous week [2][10]. - **Market Observation**: The capital market marginally converged moderately, and the "see - saw" effect between stocks and bonds was obvious. The central bank's net withdrawal of funds led to a slight increase in capital interest rates. The US bond market fluctuated narrowly, and the expectation of interest - rate cuts was inconsistent. The secondary market of REITs continued to adjust, and trading activity decreased [11][12][13]. 3.2. Public Fund Market Dynamics - The Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF continued to attract funds. As of August 15, 2025, the total scale of the first - batch products exceeded 110 billion yuan, with 8 products having a scale over 10 billion yuan. The total scale of the bond ETF market in the whole market reached 538.2 billion yuan, nearly tripling compared to the end of 2024. Multiple fund companies are preparing to apply for the second - batch Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETFs [3][14][15]. 3.3. Performance Tracking of Pan - Fixed - Income Fund Indexes - **Money Enhancement Index**: It rose 0.02% last week and has accumulated a return of 3.93% since its establishment [4]. - **Short - Term Bond Fund Optimal Selection**: It had a flat return of 0.00% last week and has accumulated a return of 4.12% since its establishment [4]. - **Medium - and Long - Term Bond Fund Optimal Selection**: It dropped 0.16% last week and has accumulated a return of 6.30% since its establishment [4]. - **Low - Volatility Fixed - Income + Fund Optimal Selection**: It rose 0.04% last week and has accumulated a return of 3.32% since its establishment [4]. - **Medium - Volatility Fixed - Income + Fund Optimal Selection**: It rose 0.51% last week and has accumulated a return of 3.62% since its establishment [4]. - **High - Volatility Fixed - Income + Fund Optimal Selection**: It rose 0.44% last week and has accumulated a return of 5.17% since its establishment [4]. - **Convertible Bond Fund Optimal Selection**: It rose 1.29% last week and has accumulated a return of 17.35% since its establishment [5]. - **QDII Bond Fund Optimal Selection**: It rose 0.14% last week and has accumulated a return of 9.06% since its establishment [5]. - **REITs Fund Optimal Selection**: It dropped 0.76% last week and has accumulated a return of 36.05% since its establishment [5].
【公募基金】债市行情清淡,关注固收+方向——公募基金泛固收指数跟踪周报(2025.06.23-2025.06.27)
华宝财富魔方· 2025-07-01 11:15
Market Overview - The bond market experienced a slight decline last week (June 23-27, 2025), with the China Bond Composite Wealth Index (CBA00201) down by 0.05% and the China Bond Composite Full Price Index (CBA00203) down by 0.09% [2] - Short-term interest rates decreased while long-term rates increased, with credit bond yields generally rising and credit spreads widening [11] - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) maintained a supportive stance, injecting a net of 12,672 billion yuan into the market, which favored short-term bonds [11] Public Fund Market Dynamics - The PBOC announced plans to open a new batch of Qualified Domestic Institutional Investor (QDII) investment quotas to meet domestic investor demand, marking the first release in a year [14][15] - As of May 31, 2025, the total approved QDII quota reached 167.79 billion USD, with securities accounting for the largest share at 54.93% [15] Fund Performance Tracking - Short-term bond fund index rose by 0.02% last week, with a cumulative return of 3.94% since inception [3] - Medium to long-term bond fund index fell by 0.05%, with a cumulative return of 6.48% since inception [4] - Low volatility fixed income + fund index increased by 0.16%, with a cumulative return of 2.47% since inception [5] - Medium volatility fixed income + fund index rose by 0.42%, with a cumulative return of 1.78% since inception [6] - High volatility fixed income + fund index increased by 0.35%, with a cumulative return of 3.00% since inception [7] - Convertible bond fund index rose by 2.13%, with a cumulative return of 9.98% since inception [8] - QDII bond fund index increased by 0.59%, with a cumulative return of 7.96% since inception [9] - REITs fund index fell by 2.80%, but still recorded a cumulative return of 39.01% since inception [10] REITs Market Observation - The REITs secondary market adjusted from high levels, with the CSI REITs Total Return Index down by 1.38% last week [13] - Newly launched REIT products received strong market interest, with first-day trading limits reached for new listings [13] - The Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges released new guidelines for public REITs expansion, which may stabilize future operations [13]