晨会纪要（2025/08/26） 编辑人 崔健 022-28451618 SAC NO：S1150511010016 cuijian@bhzq.com 渤海证券研究所晨会纪要（2025.08.26） 基金研究 科创板表现突出，通信、电子领涨行业——公募基金周报 公司研究 半年度业绩增长良好，产品差异化助力巩固市场地位——爱玛科技（603529） 2025 年半年报点评 战略转型持续推进，期待公司业绩拐点——拓斯达（300607）2025 年中报点 评 行业研究 证 包装纸价走强，以旧换新受益领域中报业绩向好——轻工制造&纺织服饰行 业周报 券 研 究 报 告 晨 会 纪 要 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 7 晨会纪要（2025/08/26） 基金研究 科创板表现突出，通信、电子领涨行业——公募基金周报 宋 旸（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150517100002） 张笑晨（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150525070001） 1、本周市场回顾 上周，权益市场主要指数延续上涨，其中，涨幅最大的是科创 50，上涨 13.31%，创业板指涨幅超过 5%。 行 ...

Wind数据显示，截至2015年底，公募市场共有2687只基金产品，合计总规模为8.41万亿元。在这 一年里，由于市场出现较大波动、风险偏好下降，资金加速向"安全垫"更厚的货币基金聚集，全年货 币基金规模暴增2.4万亿元，实现翻倍以上的增长。 2025.08. 25 本文字数：3333，阅读时长大约5.5分钟 作者 | 第一财经 曹璐 2015年，在同事的推荐下，投资者老钱跟风买了几只"能赚钱"的权益基金。而深圳的王姐在银行柜 台买入了人生第一只货币基金，"听说比存定期强，随用随取还能赚点菜钱"。这一年，全市场公募基 金规模刚突破8.4万亿元，全年增加85%。 十年后的2025年，公募基金的行业规模已增至35.14亿元。老钱在手机APP上熟练操作各类产品： 最近创新药的产品涨这么多，是不是该减仓了？还是该添点ETF？逐步开启定投的王姐则称，"我最 近赚了不少呢！"并头头是道地分析起了今年买了哪些产品。 这十年，公募基金的故事，远不止数字的膨胀。背后产品结构、投资标的和行业逻辑都有了不同的转 变。同时，投资者也在"进化"，老钱们会查季报、算回撤，王姐们向年轻人请教行业与持仓，曾经 的"听推荐盲从"逐渐蜕变为"主 ...

2025年8月23日，福莱新材(605488.SH)发布2025年半年度报告。截至2025年8月22日，共有6个机构投资 者披露持有福莱新材A股股份，合计持股量达3021.19万股，占福莱新材总股本的10.71%。其中，机构 投资者包括嘉兴市进取企业管理合伙企业(有限合伙)、江苏银创资本管理有限公司-银创源通清泉3号私 募证券投资基金、浙商银行股份有限公司-前海开源嘉鑫灵活配置混合型证券投资基金、同泰竞争优势 混合A、南华丰淳混合A、达诚价值先锋灵活配置A，机构投资者合计持股比例达10.71%。相较于上一 季度，机构持股比例合计下跌了1.08个百分点。 外资态度来看，本期较上一季未再披露的外资机构即MORGAN STANLEY & CO. INTERNATIONAL PLC.。 公募基金方面，本期较上一季度新披露的公募基金共计2个，包括前海开源嘉鑫混合A、南华丰淳混合 A。本期较上一季未再披露的公募基金共计5个，包括鹏华碳中和主题混合A、安联中国精选混合A、富 荣福锦混合A、浙商鼎盈事件驱动混合(LOF)、华夏稳进增益一年持有混合A。 ...

长钱长投 ●全市场ETF总规模达4.8万亿元 ●股票ETF、跨境ETF、商品ETF、债券ETF规模今年以来均显著增长 ●次新基金快速建仓，把握市场反弹机遇 新发火热 ●7月以来新成立的权益类基金数量占比超七成 ●逾50只权益类基金提前结束募集，以便快速成立后入市 本版制图 范雨露 仓位高企 ●主动权益类基金股票仓位连续多周上行，达到今年以来高位 ...

Group 1 - Star fund manager Zhai Xiangdong officially announced his resignation from China Merchants Fund on August 9 due to personal reasons, with speculation that he may join a private equity fund next [1] - Dongwu Fund appointed Xue Zhen as the new chairman, succeeding Ma Zhenya, who transitioned to a senior supervisory role [2] Group 2 - The first two public REITs focused on data centers were listed on August 8, both experiencing a 30% surge on their debut, with total trading volume nearing 700 million yuan [3] - The public REITs market has shown strong performance this year, with the CSI REITs total return index and CSI REITs index rising by 13.37% and 9.91% respectively, outperforming major indices [3] Group 3 - Guangfa Asset Management withdrew its application for public fund management qualifications, indicating a tightening of public fund license approvals in the industry [4] - The trend of fund managers publicly sharing their real-time trading performance is growing, with many achieving positive returns, signaling a shift towards more transparent investment practices [5] Group 4 - The China Europe Digital Economy Mixed Fund announced a suspension of large subscriptions over 1 million yuan due to its impressive performance, ranking 8th out of 4349 in its category with over 150% returns in the past year [6] - The A-share market showed slight declines on August 8, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.12% and total trading volume at 173.65 billion yuan [7] Group 5 - Convertible bond funds have performed exceptionally well, with over ten thematic funds achieving net value growth rates exceeding 15%, and the highest reaching nearly 25% [10] - Huaxia Fund reported a significant increase in revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, with total assets under management surpassing 2.85 trillion yuan [11] Group 6 - North Trust Fund's general manager Liu Xiaoling announced her resignation amid internal conflicts, with Xuan Xuezhong appointed as the new general manager [12] - The bond ETF market welcomed a new product surpassing 10 billion yuan in scale, contributing to a total market size of nearly 520 billion yuan [13] Group 7 - The public REITs market continues to expand with new products being approved, including the CICC Vipshop Outlets REIT and the AVIC Jingneng Solar REIT [15][16] - The recent leadership changes in major fund companies, such as the appointment of Ye Cai as chairman of Invesco Great Wall Fund, reflect ongoing shifts in the industry [17] Group 8 - The Hong Kong stock market has seen strong performance this year, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 22.17% and 20.80% respectively, although recent volatility has raised concerns [18] - Quantitative private equity funds have shown remarkable performance, with several firms surpassing 10 billion yuan in scale, indicating a robust market for these investment strategies [19] Group 9 - The China Interbank Market Dealers Association issued self-regulatory penalties to three private equity firms for non-compliant practices related to non-market-based issuance [20]

Market Overview - The A-share market is experiencing fluctuations but shows a slow upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4054.93, down 1.75% for the week, and the ChiNext Index at 2322.63, down 0.74% [1][2][7] - The performance of major indices indicates a mixed trend, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq down 2.36% and 2.17% respectively, while the crude oil market saw a significant increase of 2.92% [1][2] Fund Market Review - The average stock position of all funds increased to 80.41%, up 1.92 percentage points from the previous week, while the average position for equity mixed funds decreased by 4.13 percentage points to 74.76% [3][12] - In terms of performance, passive index funds averaged a decline of 1.42%, while ordinary stock funds fell by 0.37% [13][14] Fund Issuance - A total of 28 new funds were established this week, raising 12.833 billion, a decrease from the previous week, with stock funds accounting for the largest share at 8.090 billion [4][25] Fund Performance - Among equity products, the best-performing passive index fund was the Communication ETF, which rose by 5.84%, while the worst performer saw a decline of 8.17% [16][14] - In the fixed income category, the best-performing mixed bond fund increased by 3.19%, while the average performance of mixed bond funds was a decline of 0.21% [18][21] Public Fund Market Dynamics - The public REITs market is expanding, with the listing of the first central enterprise natural gas power public REIT, increasing the total number of public REITs to 71 [30] - There is a growing interest from individual investors in ETFs, with several new ETFs set to launch, indicating a rising acceptance and participation in the ETF market [31]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The discussion primarily revolves around the mutual fund industry, particularly focusing on equity funds and their performance in April 2025 [1][2][5]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **New Equity Fund Issuance**: In April 2025, new equity fund issuance reached 57 billion units, an increase from 50 billion units in the previous month, marking a 14% month-over-month growth and positioning it at the 95th percentile of the last three years [1]. 2. **Active vs Passive Funds**: The issuance of active equity funds in April was 3.974 billion units, a decrease of 6.6 billion units compared to the previous month, while passive equity funds saw an increase of over 45 billion units, up by 7.4 billion units [1][2]. 3. **Net Inflows in Equity ETFs**: Since March, net inflows into existing equity products totaled over 15 billion units, with the total of new and existing funds rising by 150 billion units. In April, net inflows into stock ETFs reached 197.3 billion yuan, a significant increase of over 230 billion yuan from the previous month [2]. 4. **Sector Allocation Trends**: By 2025, active equity funds have increased allocations in sectors such as automotive, non-ferrous metals, and electronics, while reducing exposure to power equipment, communications, and defense industries [2]. 5. **Margin Financing Trends**: As of the end of April, the total margin financing balance was 1.78 trillion yuan, reflecting a 6.9% decrease from the previous month. The net outflow for April was 131.5 billion yuan, with margin trading activity declining [3]. 6. **Investment Sentiment**: The overall sentiment in the market appears cautious, with the trading heat index at -0.15, indicating a position in the 26.6th percentile since the end of 2015 [5]. 7. **Bank Wealth Management Products**: In April, the issuance of wealth management products approached 6,000, a decrease of 3.6% from the previous month, while the number of products reaching maturity increased by 22% [4]. 8. **Industry Capital Movements**: In April, industrial capital saw a net reduction of 370 million yuan, with 10.6 billion yuan in purchases and 10.9 billion yuan in sales, indicating a narrowing trend compared to previous months [4]. Additional Important Insights - **Insurance Fund Trends**: As of December last year, the scale of insurance funds decreased, but upcoming policy changes are expected to lower investment risks in stocks, potentially increasing this segment's investment volume [6]. - **Overall Fund Flow Health**: Despite a reduction in margin financing, other fund types, including public funds and private equity products, are showing healthy issuance trends, suggesting a stable investment environment [7].

Group 1: Special Bonds and Economic Support - In the first half of the year, the issuance of special bonds increased by approximately 44.7% year-on-year, reaching about 21,607 billion yuan compared to 14,935 billion yuan in the same period of 2024 [1] - The government plans to issue 4.4 trillion yuan in special bonds this year, an increase of 500 billion yuan from the previous year, focusing on investment construction, land acquisition, and settling local government debts [1] - Infrastructure investment grew by 5.6% year-on-year from January to May, indicating a strong fiscal policy aimed at stabilizing employment and market expectations [1] Group 2: Manufacturing Sector in the US - The US ISM Manufacturing PMI for June was reported at 49, indicating a contraction for the fourth consecutive month, with new orders index dropping to 46.4 [3] - The Markit Manufacturing PMI showed a contrasting figure of 52.9, suggesting a recovery in domestic manufacturing, particularly among small and medium enterprises [4] - The divergence between ISM and Markit PMIs reflects a stronger domestic demand while external demand remains weak, influenced by uncertainties in US tariff policies [3][4] Group 3: Alibaba's Taobao Flash Sale Initiative - Taobao Flash Sale announced a substantial subsidy plan of 500 billion yuan to enhance consumer engagement and support merchants through various financial incentives [5] - The initiative aims to reshape user perception of the Taobao app and significantly boost order volume, which has already surpassed 60 million daily orders since its launch [6] - This aggressive subsidy strategy indicates Alibaba's commitment to the local lifestyle sector and its willingness to invest heavily in customer and merchant benefits [6] Group 4: Automation and AI in Banking - Bank of New York Mellon has deployed dozens of AI-driven "digital employees" to work alongside human staff, marking a significant step towards automation in the banking sector [7] - Goldman Sachs has introduced AI assistants to its workforce, aiming to enhance operational efficiency and user experience [7] - The trend of integrating AI into banking operations suggests a shift towards more automated processes, potentially reducing the need for human labor in certain tasks [8] Group 5: Amazon's Robotics Expansion - Amazon has reached a milestone of 1 million robots in its global operations, significantly automating its logistics and warehouse processes [9] - The company employs approximately 1.56 million people, with a substantial portion working in warehouses, indicating a growing reliance on robotic assistance [9] - The ongoing automation efforts may lead to a reduction in low-skilled jobs, as robots increasingly take over repetitive tasks [10] Group 6: Regulatory Changes in Precious Metals Transactions - The People's Bank of China has implemented new regulations requiring cash transactions over 100,000 yuan in precious metals to be reported, enhancing transparency in the market [11][12] - This regulation aims to mitigate risks associated with money laundering and illegal fund flows, particularly in the gold market [13] - The impact on the normal gold investment market is expected to be minimal, although it may restrict the movement of unaccounted assets overseas [13] Group 7: Fund Performance in the Market - In the first half of the year, 87.1% of public funds reported positive returns, with 44 funds achieving returns over 50% [14] - The performance of equity funds has been driven by structural market trends, particularly in the innovation and North Exchange sectors [14][15] - Despite the overall positive performance, many investors remain cautious due to previous losses, affecting their enthusiasm for new fund subscriptions [15] Group 8: Stock Market Trends - The stock market experienced fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index closing down 0.09%, indicating a mixed performance across sectors [16] - Traditional sectors such as steel and renewable energy showed signs of recovery, while technology and defense stocks faced corrections [16][17] - The market's focus appears to be shifting towards traditional industries and potential recovery stories rather than new narratives [17]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the strong performance of public funds in the first half of 2025, with over 80% of funds showing net value growth and several products exceeding an 80% growth rate [1][2] - The overall market scale of public funds remains historically high, surpassing 32 trillion yuan, with a notable increase in the proportion of equity funds [1][4] - New fund issuance showed a peak in March, followed by a decline, with bond funds continuing to dominate the issuance rhythm [5] Group 2 - QDII funds have emerged as a standout performer, with 72 products achieving over 50% net value growth, and the highest growth rate approaching 90% [2][5] - Equity mixed funds are the mainstay of public funds, with a significant presence in the top-performing categories, capturing market hotspots such as new energy and biotechnology [2][3] - Flexible allocation funds also performed well, with several products achieving net value growth rates exceeding 40%, showcasing their adaptability to market dynamics [3] Group 3 - The proportion of equity products has increased, with stock funds growing from 4 trillion yuan at the beginning of the year to 4.3 trillion yuan, reflecting improved investor confidence and a favorable economic environment [4] - The total net asset value of QDII funds rose from over 500 billion yuan to nearly 600 billion yuan, indicating a growing demand for global asset allocation among investors [5] - The issuance of stock funds peaked in March but saw a decline in subsequent months, while bond funds maintained a strong issuance presence [5]

Group 1 - The main variable in the funding landscape is passive and individual funds, with public funds being the most elastic institutional capital, primarily driven by passive funds [3] - Future changes in public fund flows are expected to focus on institutional increases in broad index ETFs, with indices like CSI 300, SSE 50, and STAR 50 likely to see significant upward movement driven by capital [3] - Individual funds remain a crucial source of capital in thematic market trends, and once market upward expectations align, individual funds are anticipated to provide strong ongoing incremental capital [3]