2025 年 11 月 23 日 盈利成绩亮眼，海外市场可期 —运机集团（001288.SZ）公司动态研究报告 买入(维持) 投资要点 分析师：尤少炜 S1050525030002 yousw@cfsc.com.cn | 基本数据 | 2025-1 1- 2 1 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 29.01 | | 总市值（亿元） | 68 | | 总股本（百万股） | 235 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 152 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 19.5-37.17 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 98.17 | 市场表现 -20 0 20 40 60 (%) 运机集团 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《运机集团（001288）：智能化 转型加速，国际化战略与技术创新 双轮并进》2025-09-02 2、《运机集团（001288）：业绩显 著增长，盈利能力明显提升》2024- 10-31 聚焦数字化转型方向，持续高研发投入，将技术优势转化为 市场竞争力。研发投入强度领先，公司研发投入持续加码， 2025 年前三季度研发投入达 4785.84 万元，较 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [9] Core Views - The company has achieved significant revenue growth, with a 48.50% increase in revenue to 880 million yuan in the first half of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, and a 20.35% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders [4][5] - The company is accelerating its smart transformation and internationalization strategy, leveraging technological innovation to enhance its competitive edge [5][6][7] Summary by Relevant Sections Market Performance - The material handling machinery industry in China is experiencing steady growth and structural optimization, with an import and export total of 18.877 billion USD, reflecting a 9.50% year-on-year increase [5] International Business Expansion - The company's overseas business has made significant breakthroughs, with revenue from Africa reaching 438 million yuan, a 34.22% increase year-on-year [6] - The company signed a major EPC contract worth 406 million USD for an alumina conveyor system in Guinea, enhancing its international operational capabilities [6] Research and Development - The company increased its R&D investment to 27.6263 million yuan, a 28.00% year-on-year growth, focusing on technological innovation [7] - Successful development of the V1.0 smart industrial inspection robot in collaboration with Huawei, which has been deployed in Guinea [7][8] Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 2.262 billion, 3.105 billion, and 4.036 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.14, 1.72, and 2.45 yuan [9][11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [5][11]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 880 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 48.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 73 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 20.35% [1]. - The company is experiencing strong growth in domestic markets, with domestic revenue increasing by 104.75% year-on-year, while overseas revenue grew by 21.81% [2]. - The company has secured significant projects, including a $406 million bauxite conveyor system project in Guinea, which is the longest belt conveyor in the world, enhancing its capabilities in large-scale international projects [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 30.87% and a net profit margin of 8.34%, with the net profit margin slightly declining due to increased credit impairment losses [3]. - The company’s revenue is projected to grow to 2.07 billion yuan in 2025, with net profits expected to reach 218.73 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 39.03% year-on-year [5][6]. Business Development - The company is actively expanding into emerging markets while deepening its presence in traditional sectors such as mining and ports, leading to a significant increase in both domestic and international sales [2]. - The collaboration with Huawei to establish a joint innovation center has resulted in the development of an AI-powered industrial inspection robot, which is already in use in mining projects [4]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue its upward trajectory in revenue and profitability due to capacity expansion and ongoing international orders, with forecasts indicating revenues of 2.71 billion yuan and 3.50 billion yuan for 2026 and 2027, respectively [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - Sichuan Zigong Transportation Machinery Group Co., Ltd. (referred to as "the company") reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by technological innovation and market demand, while maintaining stability and growth in a complex market environment [2][3]. Financial Performance - The company achieved an operating income of 880 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 48.5% - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 73.38 million yuan, an increase of 20.35% compared to the previous year [2]. Business Strategy and International Expansion - The company has emphasized its internationalization strategy, with export revenue accounting for 55.62% of total revenue in the first half of the year [3]. - A significant contract was signed for a 128-kilometer long-distance conveyor system project in Guinea, valued at 406 million USD (approximately 2.93 billion yuan), marking a record for the company and enhancing its capabilities in large-scale international projects [2][3]. Technological Innovation - The company has strengthened its R&D in intelligent technology, collaborating with Huawei to establish the "Zigong-Huawei Joint Innovation Center," which has developed an intelligent industrial inspection robot for mining [3]. - The company is also working on various robotic products, aiming to create a comprehensive digital integration solution for the mining and equipment manufacturing industries [3]. Future Outlook and Growth Targets - The company has set ambitious performance targets, aiming for a net profit growth rate of no less than 50% in 2024 and a cumulative growth rate of 612.5% from 2024 to 2026 [4]. - The shift from price competition to a focus on technical solutions and value-added services has led to an increase in project bidding success rates and average contract values [4][5]. - The management is confident in achieving annual performance targets, with expectations for further growth in overseas revenue [5].

Core Viewpoint - Sichuan Zigong Transportation Machinery Group Co., Ltd. (referred to as "the company") signed a significant EPC contract worth approximately $406 million with Silver Valley International SA, which is expected to substantially boost the company's revenue and enhance its competitive advantage in the international market [1][2]. Group 1: Contract Details - The contract includes comprehensive responsibilities such as site surveying, design, procurement, construction, installation, programming, testing, training, documentation, and project delivery, with a duration of 442 days [1]. - The total contract value is approximately $406 million, which accounts for about 190.53% of the company's audited revenue for 2024, projected to be 1.5 billion yuan [1][2]. Group 2: Business Strategy and Growth - The contract aligns with the company's strategy of "business internationalization + product intelligence," which is expected to enhance its influence in the international conveying machinery sector and expand its overseas market presence [2]. - The company has a strong competitive edge in energy-saving and environmentally friendly conveying machinery, particularly in challenging, long-distance, off-road material transportation projects [2]. Group 3: Industry Trends and Future Outlook - The company is positioned well within the trend of industrial intelligence, particularly in high-risk sectors like mining, where intelligent inspection and automated operations are becoming core trends in industrial transformation [3]. - The company aims to integrate intelligent equipment with industrial internet innovations, responding to global mining giants' new strategies and enhancing its competitive position in the global mining equipment landscape [3][4]. - The company plans to continue expanding its international business and product intelligence strategy, capitalizing on the growing overseas market for large-scale projects and the stable growth of the aftermarket [4].

Core Viewpoint - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange held its first collective performance briefing for listed companies in 2024, focusing on the theme "New Growth for Enterprises: Private Enterprises Competing in the Middle Stream," showcasing the latest developments of private enterprises and addressing investor concerns regarding technological innovation, tariff challenges, internationalization, and development strategies [1]. Group 1: Technological Innovation - Innovation is identified as the core driving force for the development of the private economy, with Shenzhen's private listed companies making significant investments in R&D, technology innovation, and patent accumulation [3]. - Jianfan Bio focuses on the R&D, production, and sales of biomedical materials and high-tech medical devices, particularly excelling in blood purification technology, and plans to enhance production management and diversify its product line [3]. - ZhiJian Electronics, a leader in consumer lithium-ion batteries, is committed to a forward-looking R&D strategy and aims to enhance its core competitive advantages while exploring market growth opportunities [3]. - Wanfu Bio sees digital pathology as a significant transformation opportunity and is developing comprehensive digital pathology solutions to reduce doctors' workloads [4]. - Xinlitai is exploring AI applications in drug discovery and clinical research to improve innovation efficiency and plans to deepen AI's role in drug design and data mining [4]. Group 2: Tariff Challenges - Companies are closely monitoring international trade policies and are implementing measures such as increasing domestic sales and developing new overseas markets to mitigate the impact of high tariffs imposed by the U.S. [6]. - Zongshen Power reported that its domestic sales accounted for 51.99% of total revenue in 2024, slightly higher than export business, and has taken proactive measures to address tariff risks [6]. - Yunjigroup highlighted that its supply chain has a high localization rate, effectively mitigating tariff fluctuations, and is capitalizing on new overseas projects due to the ongoing high prosperity cycle in the mining industry [7]. - Jianfan Bio is expanding into new markets while increasing its overseas business share, particularly in heavy liver disease and critical illness applications [7]. - Wanfu Bio has over 20 years of experience in international markets and continues to innovate to maintain growth in its international business despite tariff challenges [7]. Group 3: Development Trends - Shenzhen's private listed companies demonstrate resilience and vitality, with a significant number of companies contributing to economic development and technological innovation [9]. - As of March 2025, there are 2,181 private listed companies in Shenzhen, accounting for 76% of the total, with a combined market value of 22.65 trillion yuan, representing 69% of the total market value [9]. - In 2023, 582 private enterprises disclosed their annual reports, achieving a total revenue of 6.25 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.62%, and a net profit of 419.9 billion yuan, a growth of approximately 1% [9]. - Jianfan Bio is investing in high-value resin and medical device projects, aiming to enhance market share and secure product supply [10]. - Xinlitai is transitioning from generic to innovative drugs, with increasing revenue contributions from new patented products [11].