消息面上，据报道，印尼镍矿协会(APNI)公布，2026年工作计划与预算(RKAB)中镍矿石产量申请约2.5 亿吨，较2025年的3.79亿吨大幅下降。APNI秘书长表示，减产是为防止镍价进一步下跌，因全球供应 过剩将压制价格。方正证券发布研报称，针对镍供给过剩的情况，印尼在近期打出组合拳，包括收紧独 立镍冶炼厂的建设许可，计划下调26年镍矿生产配额等，镍供给过剩情况有望得到缓解。 中金此前指出，力勤资源目前已覆盖镍矿贸易、冶炼生产、设备制造和销售等完整产业链环节。公司在 上游与菲律宾、印尼等矿企签订长期贸易和供货协议，中游印尼OBI岛形成共计40万金属吨镍产能，下 游延伸拓展硫酸镍钴等，已形成全面镍产品服务体系。该行认为，公司印尼的湿法产能有望受益，且未 来存在扩张印尼镍产业链布局的潜力，驱动公司业绩和估值抬升。 力勤资源(02245)再涨超4%，股价暂现五连阳，累计涨幅接近30%。截至发稿，涨4.55%，报20.7港元， 成交额3934.27万港元。 ...

银河期货发布研报称，近期印尼频繁调整政策，希望托底镍价，包括收缩RKAB配额至2.5亿吨、对钴 征税、以及环保监管等举措，刺激镍价超跌反弹。其中最为重要的是印尼RKAB的配额自今年的3.79亿 吨大幅降至2.5亿吨，市场较为担忧印尼明年待投产的镍产品项目缺乏原料，镍矿价格将出现大幅上 涨。该政策符合印尼新政府的战略方向，但最终实施方式暂不明确。印尼政策可信度略低，关注后续进 展。 中金此前指出，力勤资源目前已覆盖镍矿贸易、冶炼生产、设备制造和销售等完整产业链环节。公司在 上游与菲律宾、印尼等矿企签订长期贸易和供货协议，中游印尼OBI岛形成共计40万金属吨镍产能，下 游延伸拓展硫酸镍钴等，已形成全面镍产品服务体系。该行认为，公司印尼的湿法产能有望受益，且未 来存在扩张印尼镍产业链布局的潜力，驱动公司业绩和估值抬升。 力勤资源(02245)再涨超4%，近四个交易日累涨超23%。截至发稿，涨4.5%，报19.74港元，成交额 3570.43万港元。 ...

银河期货发布研报称，近期印尼频繁调整政策，希望托底镍价，包括收缩RKAB配额至2.5亿吨、对钴 征税、以及环保监管等举措，刺激镍价超跌反弹。其中最为重要的是印尼RKAB的配额自今年的3.79亿 吨大幅降至2.5亿吨，市场较为担忧印尼明年待投产的镍产品项目缺乏原料，镍矿价格将出现大幅上 涨。该政策符合印尼新政府的战略方向，但最终实施方式暂不明确。印尼政策可信度略低，关注后续进 展。 智通财经APP获悉，力勤资源(02245)再涨超4%，近四个交易日累涨超23%。截至发稿，涨4.5%，报 19.74港元，成交额3570.43万港元。 中金此前指出，力勤资源目前已覆盖镍矿贸易、冶炼生产、设备制造和销售等完整产业链环节。公司在 上游与菲律宾、印尼等矿企签订长期贸易和供货协议，中游印尼OBI岛形成共计40万金属吨镍产能，下 游延伸拓展硫酸镍钴等，已形成全面镍产品服务体系。该行认为，公司印尼的湿法产能有望受益，且未 来存在扩张印尼镍产业链布局的潜力，驱动公司业绩和估值抬升。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The nickel industry is facing increasing challenges related to waste management, highlighted by a major Chinese-controlled smelter in Indonesia reducing production due to its tailings storage nearing capacity [1] Industry Summary - The Indonesian nickel industry is under pressure as nickel ore supply struggles to keep pace with the rapid expansion of smelting capacity, leading several smelters to warn of potential production halts [1] - The chairman of the Indonesian Nickel Smelting Association (FINI), Arif Perdanakusumah, indicated that the industry is experiencing significant stress due to these supply-demand imbalances [1] Company Summary - Company has established a comprehensive nickel product service system covering nickel ore trading, smelting production, equipment manufacturing, and sales [1] - The company has signed long-term trade and supply agreements with mining enterprises in the Philippines and Indonesia, securing its position in the upstream market [1] - The company’s smelting capacity on OBI Island in Indonesia totals 400,000 metric tons of nickel, with potential for future expansion in the Indonesian nickel industry chain, which could drive performance and valuation increases [1]

Group 1: Company Overview - Company is a leading player in the global nickel industry, covering the entire nickel supply chain from trading to production and sales [1] - The company has established long-term trade and supply agreements with mining companies in the Philippines and Indonesia, ensuring stable resource supply [1] - The company has developed a comprehensive nickel product service system, including nickel sulfate and cobalt, enhancing its market position [1] Group 2: Competitive Advantages - The company has created a unique competitive advantage by granting equity to Indonesian partners, ensuring resource stability and sustainable development [1] - It has built an independent overseas industrial park with essential infrastructure, allowing for operational autonomy and reduced transaction costs [1] - The company collaborates with high-quality suppliers to create a win-win cooperation platform, strengthening its supply chain [1] Group 3: Market Outlook - The Democratic Republic of Congo's new cobalt export quota system is expected to systematically raise cobalt prices, benefiting the company [2] - The tightening of export quotas in Congo is anticipated to drive further increases in cobalt prices, positively impacting the company's performance [2] - The company is projected to achieve significant earnings growth, with estimated EPS of 1.74 and 2.49 for 2025 and 2026, respectively, indicating a 48% CAGR from 2024 to 2026 [2]