Core Viewpoint - Su Keng Agricultural Development Co., Ltd. (601952) reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the third quarter of 2025, primarily due to low agricultural product prices affecting profit margins [2][3]. Trading Information Summary - As of October 28, 2025, Su Keng Agricultural Development's stock closed at 9.4 yuan, with a slight increase of 0.11%. The turnover rate was 0.42%, with a trading volume of 57,900 shares and a transaction amount of 54.5 million yuan [1]. - On the same day, the net outflow of main funds was 2.33 million yuan, accounting for 4.27% of the total transaction amount, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 3.91 million yuan, representing 7.17% of the total transaction amount [1][3]. Financial Report Highlights - For the third quarter of 2025, the company reported a main revenue of 6.81 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.63%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 304 million yuan, down 33.37% year-on-year [2]. - The third quarter alone saw a main revenue of 2.22 billion yuan, a decline of 7.31%, and a net profit of approximately 90.79 million yuan, down 43.71% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company's debt ratio stood at 51.41%, with investment income of 36.43 million yuan and financial expenses of 1.57 billion yuan. The gross profit margin was reported at 12.32% [2]. Key Financial Data - The net cash flow from operating activities increased by 113.73% year-on-year, attributed to an increase in the initial inventory of wheat and controlled external procurement and credit sales [3][4]. - The basic earnings per share for the third quarter were 0.07 yuan, a decrease of 41.67% year-on-year, while the diluted earnings per share also fell by the same percentage [4]. Production and Sales Data - For the first nine months of 2025, the production of self-produced wheat was 642,500 tons, with sales of 293,000 tons, reflecting a production increase of 0.79% year-on-year [5]. - The sales volume of rice was 92,000 tons, with a significant decrease of 21.34% year-on-year [5]. Shareholder Information - As of the end of the reporting period, the total number of ordinary shareholders was 43,866, with the largest shareholder being Jiangsu Provincial Agricultural Reclamation Group Co., Ltd., holding 67.84% of the shares [6][8].

Financial Performance - The company reported a total operating revenue of 458.82 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 9.26% compared to 505.65 million yuan in the same period last year [1] - Operating profit was 23.22 million yuan, down 29.42% from 32.89 million yuan year-on-year [1] - Total profit amounted to 23.22 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 29.51% from 32.94 million yuan in the previous year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders, after excluding non-recurring gains and losses, was 17.55 million yuan, a decrease of 31.40% from 25.58 million yuan in the same period last year [1] - Basic earnings per share were 0.15 yuan, down 28.57% from 0.21 yuan year-on-year [1] - The weighted average return on net assets decreased by 1.32 percentage points to 3.08% [1] Key Operational Data - The production volume of self-produced wheat was 638,300 tons, an increase of 6.03% compared to the previous year, while sales volume was 182,700 tons, up 77.78% [1] - The company sourced 207,100 tons of external wheat, which is a 124.69% increase year-on-year [1] - Rice production was 96,500 tons, with a slight decrease of 0.19%, while sales volume was 185,500 tons, down 19.13% [1] - The production of edible oil was 65,700 tons, with a decrease of 17.53% in sales volume [1] - The company reported a total asset value of 1,463.41 million yuan at the end of the reporting period, reflecting a 1.52% increase from the beginning of the period [1] Business Environment - The decline in revenue and profit is attributed to low and narrow fluctuations in agricultural product prices and a general decline in agricultural input prices, which have compressed the gross profit margins of key products such as rice and wheat [1]

Core Insights - The company reported an increase in revenue but a decline in profit for the year 2024, indicating potential challenges in profitability despite revenue growth [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company achieved an operating revenue of 100.1 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.14% [1]. - The gross profit margin decreased to 34.11% from 38.26% in the previous year [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 15.72 million yuan, down 21.21% from the previous year [1]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 12.46 million yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 37.58% [1]. - The weighted average return on equity decreased to 9.29% from 14.18% [1]. Cash Flow and Assets - The net cash flow from operating activities was 307,700 yuan [2]. - As of the end of the reporting period, total assets amounted to 21.55 million yuan, with net assets of 18.68 million yuan, resulting in a debt-to-asset ratio of 13.31% [2]. Research and Development - The company invested 856,200 yuan in research and development, which accounted for 12.45% of its operating revenue [2]. Employee Statistics - The total number of employees increased to 60, up from 48, marking a 25% increase in workforce [3]. Management and Ownership - The actual controllers and major shareholders are Peng Chao and Peng Bingsheng, who are father and son [4]. - Peng Chao serves as the chairman, while Peng Bingsheng is the current general manager [4]. Company Overview - The company specializes in the research, breeding, promotion, and service of hybrid rice seeds, with its main products including rice seeds and related services [6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Su Kan Agricultural Development (601952.SH) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report indicates that the decline in grain prices has led to a contraction in sales scale, with expectations for a recovery in grain prices to improve performance [4] - The company reported a revenue of 10.917 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 10.28%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 730 million yuan, down 10.56% year-on-year [4] - For Q1 2025, the revenue was 2.133 billion yuan, a decrease of 8.70% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was 82 million yuan, down 36.18% year-on-year [4] - The report has adjusted the profit forecasts for 2025-2026 and added a forecast for 2027, estimating net profits of 865 million yuan, 907 million yuan, and 960 million yuan for 2025-2027 respectively [4] Financial Summary - The total market capitalization is 13.601 billion yuan, with a current stock price of 9.87 yuan [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are projected to be 0.63 yuan, 0.66 yuan, and 0.70 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 15.9, 15.2, and 14.4 [4] - The company’s gross margin for 2024 is reported at 14.5%, with a net profit margin of 6.7% [10][11] Business Segments - In the planting business, revenue for 2024 was 3.646 billion yuan, down 4.13% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 25.96%, up 2.32 percentage points [5] - The seed business saw revenue of 1.812 billion yuan, a decline of 21.47% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 10.97% [6] - The processing business reported a slight revenue decline to 3.606 billion yuan, down 5.48% year-on-year, but with an increase in profitability [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Su Kan Agricultural Development (601952.SH) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report indicates that the decline in grain prices has led to a contraction in sales scale, with expectations for a recovery in grain prices to improve performance [4] - The company reported a revenue of 10.917 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 10.28%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 730 million yuan, down 10.56% year-on-year [4] - For Q1 2025, the revenue was 2.133 billion yuan, a decrease of 8.70% year-on-year, with a net profit of 82 million yuan, down 36.18% year-on-year [4] - The report has adjusted the profit forecasts for 2025-2026 and added a forecast for 2027, expecting net profits of 865 million yuan, 907 million yuan, and 960 million yuan for 2025-2027 respectively [4] Financial Summary - The total market capitalization is 13.601 billion yuan, with a current stock price of 9.87 yuan [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are projected to be 0.63 yuan, 0.66 yuan, and 0.70 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 15.9, 15.2, and 14.4 [4][10] - The gross profit margin is expected to stabilize around 14.5% for 2025-2027 [11] Business Segments Planting Business - The planting business generated revenue of 3.646 billion yuan in 2024, down 4.13% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 25.96%, up 2.32 percentage points [5] - The company has cultivated approximately 1.364 million acres of land, with self-operated and contracted land areas of 409,000 acres and 955,000 acres respectively [5] Seed Business - The seed business revenue was 1.812 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 21.47% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 10.97% [6] - Wheat seed sales fell by 31.45% year-on-year, while rice seed sales increased by 24.98% [6] Processing Business - The processing business saw a slight revenue decline, with rice processing revenue at 3.606 billion yuan, down 5.48% year-on-year, and a gross margin of 3.08% [7] - The edible oil processing revenue was 2.283 billion yuan, down 9.00% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 5.24% [7]