Core Insights - The CIBF2025 battery exhibition in Shenzhen highlighted the growing importance of lithium carbonate futures in the lithium battery industry, with companies increasingly focusing on risk management and cost control due to declining lithium prices [1][2][3] Industry Trends - The CIBF2025 battery exhibition attracted over 400,000 attendees, setting a new industry record, but many familiar companies were absent due to the current downtrend in lithium carbonate prices [2] - The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate was reported at 63,000 yuan per ton as of May 21, with expectations of further price declines [2] Company Strategies - Companies are actively forming futures teams to manage risks associated with falling lithium prices, utilizing futures for risk management and inventory optimization [3][4] - There is a notable recruitment trend for professionals skilled in futures trading, with several leading lithium manufacturers expanding their futures teams [3][5] Risk Management - The establishment of internal futures teams is seen as essential for companies to effectively manage risks and protect sensitive business information [6][7] - A well-structured futures department can enhance decision-making and operational efficiency, tailored to the specific needs of each company [8][7] Future Outlook - The participation rate of non-financial A-share listed companies in hedging activities has increased to 28.6% in 2024, indicating a growing trend towards risk management in the industry [5]

Core Insights - The article discusses the significant growth of the off-exchange derivatives trading business by risk management subsidiaries of futures companies in China, which has increased by 8.8% since the beginning of 2025, driven by the need for customized risk management solutions for real enterprises facing external shocks and market volatility [1][2]. Group 1: Market Trends - As of April 18, 2025, the nominal principal of commodity off-exchange derivatives held by risk management subsidiaries reached 228.03 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 18.53 billion yuan since January 20, 2025, when Trump took office, marking an approximate growth of 8.8% [2]. - The demand for hedging has surged due to intensified market fluctuations caused by trade policies, with some companies reporting a 40% increase in their off-exchange derivatives positions in April 2025 [2][5]. Group 2: Client Demographics - The primary clientele for these off-exchange derivatives are real enterprises, with over 95% being private small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), which often struggle with the standardized nature of traditional futures contracts [2][3]. - Customized derivatives can address the specific needs of SMEs, providing tailored solutions for price fluctuations and exchange rate risks [2][4]. Group 3: Risk Management Solutions - Off-exchange derivatives have proven effective for SMEs, allowing them to manage risks without the high capital requirements and expertise typically needed for direct participation in futures markets [4][6]. - Examples include a petrochemical company using vanilla options to secure higher selling prices and a private steel mill locking in future prices to avoid rising procurement costs [3][5]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The market for off-exchange derivatives is expected to continue expanding, driven by the increasing complexity of the macroeconomic environment and the need for effective risk management strategies among enterprises [6]. - The unique advantages of off-exchange derivatives, such as preemptive risk control, position them as essential tools for enterprises aiming to enhance their competitiveness and navigate global market uncertainties [6].

Core Viewpoint - Accumulated options play a significant role in helping production and trading companies reduce costs and improve efficiency, particularly in volatile markets where locking in higher selling prices or lower purchasing prices is essential [1][19]. Summary by Sections Accumulated Options - Accumulated options, also known as cumulative options, allow investors to buy or sell a specified quantity of an underlying asset at predetermined price conditions over a future period [2]. - Common elements of accumulated options include the underlying asset, contract duration, initial price (S0), knock-out price (H), exercise price (K), and leverage factor (N) [2]. Example of Accumulated Options - An example of a sugar cumulative put option specifies that if the closing price (St) is equal to or exceeds 6000 CNY/ton, the investor receives 2 times the SR501 short position at that price [3]. - The structure also includes fixed payout cumulative options, which provide fixed compensation within a specified range, potentially leading to excessive hedging risks for some companies [3]. Risk and Return Characteristics - Accumulated options can be viewed as a series of options that expire on each observation day, allowing for a structured approach to risk management [4]. - The advantages of using exchange-traded options to replicate accumulated options include transparency in pricing and the ability to adjust positions dynamically [5]. Application Scenarios - Accumulated options are suitable for scenarios with low tail risk, where the probability of significant price movements is minimal, thus enhancing returns or reducing costs [7]. - For instance, a sugar trader may use a cumulative put option to manage inventory while waiting for favorable price movements [7]. Considerations for Using Accumulated Options - Volatility is a critical factor when considering the use of accumulated options, as higher volatility can lead to increased payouts [8]. - The choice of exercise price and knock-out price significantly impacts the risk and return profile of the options [9][10]. Risk Control Measures - Companies must be cautious of insufficient hedging when the underlying price drops significantly below the knock-out price, which can lead to unprotected positions [11]. - Effective risk management strategies include accurately assessing hedging needs and selecting appropriate option structures to avoid excessive hedging [12][13]. Conclusion - Accumulated options are beneficial for locking in favorable prices in a fluctuating market, but caution is advised in trending markets to avoid potential losses [18].