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累购期权:棉花企业的“成本减负”神器
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-07-01 01:09
本文通过对新疆棉花产业下游企业运用结构化场外期权的复盘,展现产业企业风险管理的新思路。下游 加工企业X针对采购成本管控需求,采用累购期权,匹配其现货采购模式,成功在震荡行情中锁定低价 采购机会。 产业受结构性问题困扰 棉花作为纺织工业的核心原料,其价格波动直接影响服装制造、外贸出口及农业种植等多个领域。近年 来,国际地缘冲突、极端天气频发及替代纤维(如化纤)竞争加剧,进一步放大了棉花市场的波动,产 业上下游企业,尤其是新疆相关企业,经营稳定性面临严峻考验。新疆作为我国棉花主产区,产量占全 国总产量的90%以上。当地棉花产业企业的盈利空间持续承压,利用期货及衍生工具对冲风险的需求显 著上升。 2024年,国内棉花期现货价格呈现显著的"双高双低"震荡特征。以新疆3128B级棉花为例,价格区间为 15200~16800元/吨,振幅同比扩大至1600元/吨。年初,受国际市场价格走低及下游订单疲软拖累,棉 价跌至15200元/吨的年内低点;5月,因主产区干旱,棉价反弹至16800元/吨的高位;此后,消费复苏 不及预期,价格再度回落,四季度持续在15500元/吨附近震荡。 实际上,棉花产业长期受到"三大高压"与"两大弱势 ...
巧避钢价过山车 熔断累购显神通——南京钢贸企业期权套保实战
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-06-17 05:57
产业企业应用金融工具管理价格风险逐渐深入。钢贸商采购过程中,针对短线价格低位探底以及中线偏 强震荡预期下的套保需求,采用熔断累购期权,精准实现了减少多头套保亏损、优化多头建仓点位、实 现大幅上涨行情下灵活调仓的三大风险管理目标。 [项目背景] 近年来,黑色产品受产地集中、需求具有季节性等因素影响,价格波动加大,无形之中增加了相关企业 在风险管理上的难度。 2023年4月,全球粗钢产、销量环比均下降。国内市场上,南方雨季来临,成材需求较弱,虽然产业链 在持续去库,但在情绪的带动下,黑色产品价格趋势性下跌。之后,随着成本的下移,钢厂利润有所修 复,2023年5月,长流程钢厂出现复产动作。市场普遍认为,在此背景下,微弱的利好便会促使价格快 速反弹。 南京某钢贸公司(简称A公司)是某工地的螺纹钢供应商,其套保是为了管理商品采购过程中的价格上 涨风险。当时,该公司有几笔远期订单将在2023年7月出货,且按前1个月月均价结算,价格上涨可能会 对经营造成较大影响,企业希望能够通过金融工具进行套保,降低采购成本,并保护利润率。他们打算 在2023年6月底前机动采购3000~5000吨螺纹钢,进行备货。考虑到粗钢压产政策落地的 ...
累计期权应用,解构及持仓风险应对
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-05-09 13:40
Core Viewpoint - Accumulated options play a significant role in helping production and trading companies reduce costs and improve efficiency, particularly in volatile markets where locking in higher selling prices or lower purchasing prices is essential [1][19]. Summary by Sections Accumulated Options - Accumulated options, also known as cumulative options, allow investors to buy or sell a specified quantity of an underlying asset at predetermined price conditions over a future period [2]. - Common elements of accumulated options include the underlying asset, contract duration, initial price (S0), knock-out price (H), exercise price (K), and leverage factor (N) [2]. Example of Accumulated Options - An example of a sugar cumulative put option specifies that if the closing price (St) is equal to or exceeds 6000 CNY/ton, the investor receives 2 times the SR501 short position at that price [3]. - The structure also includes fixed payout cumulative options, which provide fixed compensation within a specified range, potentially leading to excessive hedging risks for some companies [3]. Risk and Return Characteristics - Accumulated options can be viewed as a series of options that expire on each observation day, allowing for a structured approach to risk management [4]. - The advantages of using exchange-traded options to replicate accumulated options include transparency in pricing and the ability to adjust positions dynamically [5]. Application Scenarios - Accumulated options are suitable for scenarios with low tail risk, where the probability of significant price movements is minimal, thus enhancing returns or reducing costs [7]. - For instance, a sugar trader may use a cumulative put option to manage inventory while waiting for favorable price movements [7]. Considerations for Using Accumulated Options - Volatility is a critical factor when considering the use of accumulated options, as higher volatility can lead to increased payouts [8]. - The choice of exercise price and knock-out price significantly impacts the risk and return profile of the options [9][10]. Risk Control Measures - Companies must be cautious of insufficient hedging when the underlying price drops significantly below the knock-out price, which can lead to unprotected positions [11]. - Effective risk management strategies include accurately assessing hedging needs and selecting appropriate option structures to avoid excessive hedging [12][13]. Conclusion - Accumulated options are beneficial for locking in favorable prices in a fluctuating market, but caution is advised in trending markets to avoid potential losses [18].