证券研究报告 | 2026年03月25日 均胜电子（600699.SH） 增持安徽均胜安全持股比例，积极布局具身智能机器人产业链 |  | 公司研究·公司快评 | |  | 汽车·汽车零部件 |  投资评级：优于大市（维持） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 唐旭霞 | 0755-81981814 | | tangxx@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980519080002 | | 证券分析师： | 杨钐 | 0755-81982771 | | yangshan@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980523110001 | 事项： 公司公告：均胜电子于 2026 年 3 月 23 日与先进制造基金签署了《关于安徽均胜汽车安全系统控股有限公 司的股权转让协议》，公司拟以人民币 25.16 亿元受让先进制造基金所持有的公司控股子公司安徽均胜安 全约 12.42%股权。本次交易前，公司、先进制造基金分别持有安徽均胜安全约 57.12%、12.42%股权。本 次交易完成后，公司对安徽均胜安全的持股比例提升至 69. ...

Group 1 - The core focus of the meeting was on the progress of the company's robotics components business and collaborations with leading robotics companies such as Zhiyuan and Xiaopeng, as well as major North American clients [1] - The company has a comprehensive range of humanoid robot components, with an estimated total value of 50,000 to 100,000 RMB per set, and expects significant growth in orders next year, particularly from North American clients and domestic partners [2] - The company has secured at least half of the market share in North America, with a focus on upgrading products from components to assemblies, targeting a value of 3,000 to 4,000 USD for head assemblies [3] Group 2 - The company is focusing on high-value-added products and has initiated the development of key components such as robotic controllers and energy management modules, with plans to integrate these into assemblies by the end of the year [4] - The company has successfully engaged with Xiaopeng Robotics for the production of head-mounted products and is preparing for mass production, receiving positive feedback on sensor kits and other components [5] - The company has seen increased demand from high-end clients in Europe for vacuum boosters and has secured over 6.6 billion RMB in orders for domestic vehicle charging systems, indicating a dual growth cycle in traditional and emerging businesses [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q3 performance exceeded expectations, with rapid development in robotics and intelligent driving businesses [1] - Revenue for the first three quarters reached 45.844 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.45%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.12 billion yuan, up 18.98% year-on-year [4] - The company achieved a gross margin of 18.6% in Q3, an increase of 2.9 percentage points year-on-year, indicating significant improvement in profitability [5] Financial Performance - Q3 single-quarter revenue was 15.497 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.25%, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 413 million yuan, up 35.40% year-on-year [4] - The company’s gross margin for automotive safety business improved significantly, reaching 17.2% in Q3 [5] - The company’s new orders in Q3 amounted to approximately 40.2 billion yuan, with a total of about 71.4 billion yuan in new orders for the first three quarters [6] Strategic Development - The company has a clear strategy to integrate "automotive + robotics," with comprehensive layout in core components for humanoid robots [6] - Strategic cooperation agreements have been signed with leading robotics companies, enhancing collaboration in core technology and customized development [6] - The company is increasing investment in R&D for intelligent driving and robotics, while optimizing production capacity and organizational structure in Europe and the U.S. [5] Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.543 billion yuan, 1.921 billion yuan, and 2.257 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [7] - Corresponding P/E ratios for 2025 to 2027 are projected to be 27x, 22x, and 18x [7]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported steady revenue and profit growth in the first half of 2025, driven by the automotive electronics and safety businesses, as well as the consolidation of Xiangshan Co. [2][3] Revenue Summary - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 15.771 billion yuan, an increase of 14.27% year-on-year and 8.20% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to the robust development of automotive electronics and safety businesses, along with the consolidation of Xiangshan Co. [3] Profit Summary - The net profit attributable to shareholders in Q2 2025 was 367 million yuan, up 11.18% year-on-year and 7.85% quarter-on-quarter. The non-recurring profit was 386 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17.89% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 20.55%. The gross margin reached 18.39%, up 2.89 percentage points year-on-year and 0.49 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, benefiting from cost reduction and efficiency improvement measures [3]. Expense Summary - In Q2 2025, the expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and financial costs increased by 0.45%, 0.71%, 1.89%, and decreased by 0.03% respectively. The increase in sales expense ratio was mainly due to business expansion and new order acquisition needs, while the management expense ratio rose due to capacity optimization and personnel cost increases in Europe. The R&D expense ratio increased due to higher investments in smart electric vehicles and humanoid robots [3]. Strategic Positioning - The company is extending its strategy into the robotics industry chain, positioning itself as a "Tier 1" provider for both automotive and robotics sectors, offering integrated hardware and software solutions for key components. In April 2025, the company established a wholly-owned subsidiary to accelerate talent acquisition and product development in this area [4]. Overseas Operations - The company is enhancing efficiency in overseas operations by optimizing procurement prices and introducing Chinese suppliers, leading to a continuous decline in raw material costs. The global operations improvement team is also adjusting production capacity from high-cost to low-cost regions, which is expected to further improve gross margins [5]. Investment Outlook - As a leading platform in automotive electronics, the company is expected to drive collaborative development across four major business areas through its "Dual Intelligence Strategy." The humanoid robotics business is anticipated to create a second growth curve. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 62.249 billion, 64.995 billion, and 68.566 billion yuan, with net profits of 1.489 billion, 1.827 billion, and 2.109 billion yuan respectively [6][8].

Core Insights - The company has fully entered the humanoid robot sector and plans to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary, Ningbo Junsheng Embodied Intelligent Robot Co., Ltd., by April 2025 [1] - The subsidiary will provide key components such as large and small brain controllers, energy management modules, and high-performance exoskeleton materials, as well as integrated hardware and software solutions for robot heads and chest assemblies [1] - The company has signed cooperation agreements with both domestic and international robot manufacturers, leveraging its global supply chain and manufacturing capabilities to supply critical robot components [1]