Core Viewpoint - 康耐特光学预计2025年上半年净利润同比增长不少于30% [1] Business Analysis - The growth in 1H25 is primarily driven by increased sales of high refractive index and functional products, with standardized lens gross margin at 30% and customized lens gross margin at 60% [1] - The domestic channel expansion has allowed high refractive products to penetrate the market quickly due to their differentiated positioning and high cost-performance ratio [1] - The smart glasses industry is accelerating, with global shipments reaching 1.487 million units in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 82.3% [1] - The company is actively enhancing its XR (extended reality) layout, having established an optical R&D center and secured strategic investment from GoerTek, with production capacity in Thailand [1] Customization Capability & Technology Advantage - The company is expected to achieve simultaneous volume and price increases due to its comprehensive coverage of customization capabilities and technological advantages [2] - The new resin lens production line in Japan is expected to be operational by the end of July 2025, which will enhance high-end customization capacity and optimize the global supply chain [2] Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The company forecasts net profits of 540 million, 660 million, and 820 million yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 25.5%, 22.64%, and 23.76% respectively [2] - The current stock price corresponds to PE valuations of 32, 26, and 21 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company anticipates growth driven by the increasing vision problems among the elderly and youth populations, as well as the expanding optical market [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The aging population in China is leading to a rise in vision health issues among middle-aged and elderly individuals, with their needs for health and lifestyle increasing [1] - The overall myopia rate among children and adolescents in China reached 52.7% in 2023, with specific rates of 35.6% for elementary school students, 71.1% for middle school students, and 80.5% for high school students [1] - The government has included myopia prevention and control in its performance assessment, which is expected to boost demand for vision correction products [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue is projected to be approximately 1.203 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.29% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be around 104 million yuan, representing a year-on-year decrease of 19.08% [1] Group 3: Brand Development - The company is cultivating its own brands, with a total of 13 self-owned frame brands and 4 self-owned lens brands as of now [2] - In 2024, self-owned lens sales accounted for 58.65% of total lens sales, while self-owned frame sales made up 65.40% of total frame sales [2] Group 4: Product Performance - Functional lens sales constituted 35.32% of total lens sales in 2024, showing a year-on-year growth of 33.87% [2] - Sales of progressive lenses for adults increased by 7.28%, while sales of defocus lenses grew by 19.05%, and fatigue-relief lenses surged by 66.72% [2]

Group 1: Future Growth Drivers - The main drivers for future profit growth are the increasing vision problems among the elderly and children, with a focus on the aging population and the rising myopia rates among youth [2][3] - As of 2023, the overall myopia rate among children and adolescents in China is 52.7%, with rates of 35.6% for elementary school students, 71.1% for middle school students, and 80.5% for high school students [2][3] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1,202.82 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 2.29% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 103.63 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 19.08% compared to the previous year [5] Group 3: Market Outlook - The global eyewear market is projected to grow from 104.08 billion USD in 2024 to 131.34 billion USD by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.8% [6] - The Chinese eyewear retail market is expected to expand from approximately 97.86 billion yuan in 2024 to 116.29 billion yuan by 2029, with an estimated CAGR of 3.5% [6] Group 4: Store Expansion and Brand Development - As of December 31, 2024, the company operates 557 stores, including 510 direct-operated and 47 traditional franchise stores [7] - In 2024, the company opened 78 new stores and closed 36, resulting in a net increase of 42 stores [7] - The company has developed 13 proprietary eyewear brands and 4 lens brands, with proprietary lens sales accounting for 58.65% of total lens sales and proprietary frame sales accounting for 65.40% of total frame sales in 2024 [7] Group 5: Smart Glasses Initiative - The company is actively integrating smart technology into its offerings, establishing partnerships with leading smart eyewear brands and enhancing in-store experiences with dedicated smart eyewear sections [4] - A joint venture with Thunder Innovation was established to co-develop smart eyewear products, with the first product launched on January 7, 2025 [4]